Gbpusd_forecast
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets HigherMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets Higher
GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.3220 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3220.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3245 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2850 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.3000 zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3150. The pair even climbed above 1.3200 and traded as high as 1.3263. It is now consolidating gains and trading well above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3260. The next major resistance is near 1.3320. A close above the 1.3320 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3450.
Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3500. On the downside, there is a key support forming near a bullish trend line at 1.3245.
If there is a downside break below 1.3245, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is at 1.3145. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high.
The next key support is seen near 1.3030, below which the pair could test 1.2860. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2745 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Inflation in the UK Has FallenInflation in the UK Has Fallen
According to Forex Factory, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in below expectations: while analysts had forecast a decline to 2.7% year-on-year from the previous 2.8%, the actual CPI figure was 2.6%.
Following the release of this news, the GBP/USD exchange rate rose to 1.3280 – the highest level in seven months.
On the one hand, falling inflation is a sign of a healthy economy and a relief for the Bank of England, especially considering that CPI stood in double digits just two years ago. As a result, analysts may now predict that interest rates could be cut at the meeting scheduled for 8 May.
On the other hand, demand for the dollar remains volatile due to Trump’s tariff policies, fears of a US recession, and a wave of bond sell-offs.
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
In just one week, the pound-to-dollar rate has risen by approximately 4.2%, with the RSI indicator now hovering near extreme overbought levels. Furthermore, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which has been in play since the beginning of 2025.
In such conditions, a correction (with a bearish breakout of the ascending trendline, shown in blue) appears a logical development. However, a key factor in sustaining the current trend of dollar weakness could be the speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, scheduled for today at 20:30 GMT+3.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Thoughts- It's not if, it's WHEN !
All longs are null until the weekly order block has been breached or price drops considerably. In the here and now the short seems to be closing in.
It is as always important to stack confluences in favour of the short prior risking capital.
15' break of structure is an absolute requirement as this point of price action.
Within the higher time frame order block- looking for a lower time frame order block is not enough to short from therefore scrolling back months to find is pointless in our opinion.
We will let price show us, we will reaction with price.
What are your thoughts...
Are we dropping today?
FRGNT X
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My take on GBPUSD as of 11:23am 4/9/2025Market Insights from Indicators
Trend and Movement
Directional Indicators:
PLUS_DI (25.39) significantly outweighs MINUS_DI (5.54), indicating strong bullish momentum.
Directional Movement Index (DX: 64.15) confirms significant trend strength.
Aroon Oscillator (71.43) shows a healthy trend with potential upward movement.
Moving Averages:
EMA (1.3126), KAMA (1.31498), and TEMA (1.31703) remain above the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bearish bias.
However, shorter-term indicators like PLUS_DI and ROC suggest consolidation or temporary bullish moves.
Momentum and Oscillators:
RSI (68.12) reflects a mildly overbought condition, signaling possible resistance to bullish moves.
MACD (0.0052) and CMO (36.24) support short-term bullish momentum.
Williams %R (-29.19) and CCI (87.28) indicate price nearing resistance levels.
Volatility and Price Action
ATR (0.00356) suggests low volatility, allowing tighter stop-loss and target levels.
Price action is currently testing the support zone at 1.2780–1.2790 and resistance near 1.2830–1.2850.
Trend Analysis
Short-term momentum shows rising highs and closes, with support from bullish indicators like DX (~64).
Long-term bearish bias persists due to EMA, DEMA, and TEMA above the current price.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.2780–1.2790 (previous hourly lows).
Resistance: 1.2830–1.2850 (aligned with recent highs and trend indicators).
Directional Indicators and Oscillators:
Bullish dominance with PLUS_DI (29.18) outweighing MINUS_DI (12.42).
Momentum (MOM ~0.00877) supports short-term bullish opportunities.
Stochastic (45.48) and Stochastic RSI (26.07) indicate moderate upward momentum, but not extreme levels yet.
Volatility and Risk Indicators
True Range (TRANGE ~0.00354) indicates limited hourly price variability.
Moving averages like TEMA (1.31703), T3 (1.31303), and WMA (1.31403) reinforce long-term bearish resistance above 1.3140.
TSF (1.31757) points to strong resistance near 1.3170.
Key Events to Watch
April 9, 2025 (Today):
USD FOMC Minutes (High Impact): A hawkish tone could strengthen the USD, pushing GBP/USD lower, while a dovish approach may support GBP/USD gains.
April 10, 2025 (Tomorrow):
USD Inflation Data: Lower CPI or core inflation figures may weaken the USD and favor GBP/USD bullish moves.
Jobless Claims: Rising claims could signal labor market weakness, further pressuring the USD.
April 11, 2025 (Friday):
GBP GDP & Trade Balance: Positive data could strengthen the GBP, aligning with bullish chart patterns.
USD PPI & Consumer Sentiment: Higher producer prices or sentiment could support USD recovery.
Trading Considerations
FOMC Impact: Hawkish minutes may trigger bearish GBP/USD moves, while a dovish tone supports a bullish outlook.
Key Levels: Watch 1.2780–1.2790 (support) and 1.2830–1.2850 (resistance) for trading decisions.
Volatility Management: ATR (~0.00356) suggests tight stop-losses during high-impact news.
My Take
Given the bullish technical setup but acknowledging the risk from upcoming high-impact news, I lean toward caution. At this point of my trading career i'm not comfortable with aggressive trading. A well-defined long trade near 1.279–1.280 could be rewarding—but i'm prepared for rapid moves on news releases.
Aggressive Option: Enter long around support now with tight stops and target 1.283–1.285, but be very nimble in managing your position amid the news.
Conservative Option: Wait for the market to digest the FOMC minutes and inflation data, then look for a confirmed breakout or reversal that aligns with the bullish technical signals.
I think ill wait for the news... it's in about 2 hours. see ya then!
GBP/USD Is About to Explode – Here’s Why This Level Matters🚨 GBP/USD at a Critical Zone – Breakout or Reversal?
Let’s break down the price action from a technical perspective 👇
📊 Daily Technical Analysis – GBP/USD (April 2025)
The GBP/USD pair is trading near a key inflection point, with price action hinting at a potential breakout — or a deeper correction.
📈 Trend Overview:
The broader trend remains bullish, following a steady rally from the 1.2300 area back in February. The pair has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong underlying demand.
However, we’re now seeing signs of bullish exhaustion as the price struggles near the 1.2850 – 1.2900 resistance zone — an area that previously acted as a strong supply level.
🧱 Key Resistance Levels:
1.2850 – 1.2900: Major resistance zone; a daily close above this level would likely accelerate bullish momentum.
1.3000: Psychological round number and the next natural target.
1.3140: Historical swing high from mid-2023, could serve as the next upside objective.
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
1.2680: Previous higher low and potential first line of defense.
1.2520: Strong structural support — a break below this zone may shift the medium-term outlook to neutral or even bearish.
1.2300: February’s key low and the base of the current trend.
📐 Technical Structures:
Price appears to be forming an ascending triangle — a classic bullish continuation pattern — with flat resistance at 1.2850 and rising higher lows from below. This supports the idea of an impending breakout if bulls regain control.
Additionally, the pair is moving within a rising price channel, offering clean structure for both trend-following and breakout traders.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A confirmed close above 1.2900 would likely open the door toward 1.3000, followed by 1.3140. This scenario aligns with the current market structure, assuming continued weakness in the USD or sustained risk appetite.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
Failure to break the resistance zone, especially with bearish reversal candles, could trigger a drop toward 1.2680, and possibly 1.2520. A daily close below 1.2520 would be a strong technical warning for bulls.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is sitting at a technically significant level. The prevailing trend favors the bulls, but the outcome at 1.2850–1.2900 will be decisive. Watch price action closely for confirmation — breakout or rejection, the next move could be sharp.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Do you see a breakout or a reversal ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
GBPUSD Watch – Bearish Momentum Building Below Supply ZoneGBPUSD pair has broken sharply below the long-standing accumulation range between 1.2857 – 1.3012, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The recent bearish engulfing structure has pushed price into a corrective pullback phase, with sellers likely to re-enter on rallies.
Key Technical Levels:
Current Price: 1.2795
Resistance (Supply Zone): 1.2857 – 1.2863
First Support Target: 1.2688 – 1.2690
Mid-Level Target: 1.2568 – 1.2570
Final Bearish Target: 1.2383 – 1.2390 (demand zone & key support)
Trade Scenario:
📉 Bearish Bias:
Price is expected to retrace into the supply zone (1.2857–1.2863) and then reject.
If resistance holds and structure remains intact, expect continuation toward:
TP1: 1.2689
TP2: 1.2568
TP3: 1.2385
🔁 Invalidation Zone:
A sustained break and close above 1.2863 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a move toward 1.3012.
Technical Confluence:
✅ Previous consolidation turned into a strong resistance zone
✅ Bearish breakout from range
✅ Clean lower highs and lower lows structure
✅ Volume drop on the pullback (likely a corrective move)
Will GBPUSD reverse in 2025?Dear Traders,
Hope you are enjoying the holidays, we are getting ready for the new year and in meantime we have identified a key level emerging on GU that will possible shape the price next couple of months. Looking at the detailed of how price behaved in these last two months. We can expect USD exhaustion. Good luck.
GBPUSD: 700+ Pips Swing Buy! Get ready for big moveDear Traders,
GBPUSD our first few ideas are up and running in profit of 700+ pips, we are expecting bullish move to continue dominating the market. Now we think price is likely to remain bullish for next few weeks, while wee may also notice some correction in the market.
Want to support us?
-Please like and comment our ideas which will encourage us to post more educative posts like this. ;)
Thank you
GBP/USD Technical & Fundamental AnalysisThis chart presents a long (buy) trade setup on GBP/USD (British Pound to US Dollar) 30-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis
1. Entry & Stop Loss (SL) 🛑
Entry Zone: 1.29050 - 1.29100 (Purple Support Area)
Stop Loss: Below 1.28850 (Red Box)
2. Target Zones 🎯
Target 1: 1.29300 – Minor resistance, suitable for first take-profit (TP1).
Target 2: 1.29500 – Stronger resistance level.
Target 3: 1.29700 – Major resistance area, final take-profit (TP3).
3. Market Structure & Price Action 📈
The price reacted to the entry zone, a support level.
A retest of previous demand zones before potential bullish continuation.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Favorable, as upside potential is greater than downside risk.
Bullish Confirmation: If price holds above the 1.29050 zone, an upward move is likely.
Recent Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD
1. UK Economic Data 🇬🇧
UK GDP Growth: Slower growth than expected, but still in positive territory.
Bank of England (BoE) Policy: No immediate rate cuts, keeping GBP stable.
UK Inflation: Still above target, supporting a stronger GBP.
2. US Economic Data 🇺🇸
Federal Reserve (Fed) Policy:
Mixed signals from the Fed—some officials hint at rate cuts later this year.
If the Fed pauses or cuts rates, GBP/USD could rise.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data:
Expected to show job market resilience. A strong NFP could push USD higher, pressuring GBP/USD.
US GDP Data:
Slower-than-expected growth could weaken USD, helping GBP.
3. Market Sentiment 🌍
Risk-On vs. Risk-Off:
If investors shift to risk-on sentiment (buying stocks, GBP), GBP/USD could move higher.
If risk-off sentiment dominates (buying USD as a safe haven), GBP/USD may struggle.
Conclusion & Trading Plan
✅ Buy near 1.29050 - 1.29100 with SL below 1.28850.
✅ Take Profits: TP1 (1.29300), TP2 (1.29500), TP3 (1.29700).
✅ Monitor: US economic data, Fed rate expectations, and risk sentiment.
GBPUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: Wait for BUYS!In this video, we will analyze GBPUSD and GBP Futures for the week of March 31 - April 4th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The GBP has been a bit stronger than its counterparts, and currently in consolidation. I am waiting for a high probability setup, which would entail as sweep of SSL and a tap of the Weekly +FVG before moving higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBPUSD GBPUSD Analysis & Signal (1H Timeframe)
📅 Date: March 23, 2025
On the GBP/USD chart, the price has reached a key resistance zone around 1.29629 after an uptrend, showing signs of rejection. This resistance aligns with a descending trendline, adding to the selling pressure.
Currently, the price is heading toward the demand zone marked between 1.28613 and 1.28117, which could act as a strong support level.
Signal:
Sell:
📍Entry Point: 1.29114 (current price)
🔴Stop Loss: 1.29629 (above resistance)
🟢Take Profit 1: 1.28613
🟢Take Profit 2: 1.28117
⚠️Risk Management:
With the stop loss set above the resistance, the risk-to-reward ratio (R:R) for this trade is at least 1:2. It’s recommended to risk only 1-2% of your capital on this trade.
📝Note: Before entering the trade, wait for additional confirmations (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns or a break of the zone) and assess market conditions.
GBPUSD Be bullishIf GBPUSD can effectively break through the resistance level of 1.30000, it is likely to attract more bulls to enter the market, driving the exchange rate to rise further.
The potential resistance levels above might be around 1.31400, 1.32100, etc. On the contrary, if it encounters resistance and drops back near 1.30000, the support levels below are at around 1.28888 and 1.27000.
💎💎💎 GBPUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 [email protected] - 1.28500
🎁 TP 1.30000 - 1.31400
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Trade Idea: GBP/USD Long SetupPair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
Trade Type: Long
Entry: 1.2900 - 1.2950
Stop Loss: 1.2850 (below previous structure low)
Technical Analysis:
GBP/USD has been trending within a well-defined ascending channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The recent price action saw a pullback toward the lower boundary of this channel, around the 1.2860 region, which coincides with the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, providing a confluence of support. A bullish candlestick pattern or a bounce from this support zone could signal a potential continuation of the uptrend toward the upper channel resistance near 1.3270. 
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent economic developments support a bullish outlook for GBP/USD:
• UK Inflation Data: The UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.8% in February, down from 3% in January and below the expected 2.9%. This easing inflation may influence the Bank of England’s monetary policy decisions, potentially leading to a more accommodative stance, which can be supportive of the GBP. 
• US Economic Factors: The US is set to impose new tariffs starting in April, which could impact market sentiment and influence USD strength. Additionally, upcoming US PMI data may provide further insights into economic conditions that could affect USD performance.
GBP/USD Potential Bear Momentum...I couldn't resist the GBP/USD bear opportunity here displaying a broadening pattern.
I'm already in established shorts on the EUR/USD at 1.0891 but decided to jump in on GBP/USD at 1.2916 considering the price movements can be more pronounced.
Right now, my cap on whether this trade works or not is 1.3000. if we, for whatever reason, pop back up to 1.3000, I'd close this trade but for now, I think this trade looks good and will target 1.2750 however, using chart pattern percentages, I wouldn't be surprised to see 1.2600.
We'll see how this one looks going forward, especially with trump announcing more tariffs later today.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
GBP/USD Trade idea
GBP/USD is currently around 1.29165.
A recent bearish move has been observed.
There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the H4 timeframe just above the current price.
Expected Price Action (Blue Path):
Price might first move upwards to fill the H4 Fair Value Gap, potentially reaching the 1.29801 level (previous high area).
This area could act as a liquidity grab or inducement zone.
Main Expectation (Red Path):
After hitting the FVG area and liquidity zone, the price is expected to reverse downward.
The target for this move is 1.28121, where there is another key demand area / Weekly Fair Value Gap (W-FVG).
Key Levels:
FVG (H4) – Target for potential upward move.
1.29801 – Liquidity / potential reversal zone.
1.28121 – Main downside target after rejection.