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Gbpusdbearish

GBP/USD Shorts from 1.25200This week, my analysis for GBP/USD (GU) suggests a potential move higher to complete a corrective phase, as the pair has experienced heavy bearish momentum recently. Once the price reaches my point of interest (POI), which lies within the confluence of three key supply zones, I’ll be looking for signs of a slowdown in that region. I’ll wait for the price to form a redistribution pattern in this area, signaling an opportunity to align with the overall bearish trend. Since GU is already in a bearish trend, it’s ideal to capitalize on this movement and target the underlying liquidity below. Confluences for GU Sells: The price has shown a Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. Several unmitigated supply zones remain, which are likely to be tapped. Significant liquidity below, along with imbalances that need to be filled. The Dollar Index (DXY) is bullish, supporting the bearish case for GU through correlation. Note: If the price drops first before retracing upward, I’ll look for a buying opportunity around the 1-hour demand zone at 1.23000.
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD Sells from 1.2700 back downThis week, I expect GBP/USD to continue its downtrend, following a clear change in character and a break of structure on the higher timeframe, signaling bearish momentum. My primary plan is to wait for a retest of the 2-hour supply zone, located above the Asia high. Once the Asia high is taken, I’ll look for confluences to execute potential sell trades. If the 2-hour supply zone fails to hold, I’ll shift my focus to the 10-hour supply zone, which represents a significant structural point. Should price distribute in this area, I’ll look for major sells to align with the prevailing bearish trend. Confluences for GBP/USD Sells: - Liquidity Below: There’s substantial liquidity to the downside waiting to be taken. - Bearish Momentum: The pair has been bearish over the past two weeks. - Break of Structure: Price has broken key levels to the downside on the higher timeframe. - DXY Correlation: The dollar index (DXY) is aligning with this bearish setup. - Key Supply Zone: A well-defined supply zone caused the initial downside move. Note: As price approaches the 8-hour demand zone, I’ll also consider any long opportunities to take price up to the supply zone for a countertrend move, rather than waiting for bearish setups exclusively.
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD Sell to buy idea from 1.32000 to 1.30400GU Analysis for This Week: My outlook on GU this week largely depends on how the market opens. If the price moves downward and breaks structure by taking out the liquidity at the swing low, I expect a retracement to the 12-hour demand zone. In this scenario, the 10-hour supply zone I marked would become more valid, although there is also a possibility that price could move there first. This would lead to an initial sell-off, to ride the price down until it fills the imbalance just above the demand zone. Once price reaches this point, it would fill a level of imbalance, potentially triggering stronger buying pressure. Confluences for GU Sells: - The price has been forming lower lows and lower highs. - There is an imbalance below that needs to be filled, along with a demand level. - A 10-hour demand zone was left untouched by the NFP news event. - There is significant liquidity below, providing clear target levels for take profit. - This analysis aligns well with the dollar index (DXY) chart. Note: If the price invalidates the current supply, my ideal scenario would be for the price to reach the 11-hour supply zone at the very top, as it offers a more premium level to sell from. Have a great trading week, everyone!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27000 back down (Pro Trend)My analysis for GU is bearish, and I am currently waiting for a pullback into a daily supply zone to look for shorting opportunities. Once the price taps into my point of interest (POI), I will look for a lower time frame (LTF) Wyckoff schematic to take the price down. With the dollar looking bullish, this analysis aligns well. Additionally, this is a pro-trend trade, as recent price action has shown lower lows and lower highs. If the price creates a new break of structure (BOS), we may see a new supply zone, which I will be monitoring closely. Confluences for GU sells are as follow: - Price broke structure to the downside on the higher time frame - Daily supply level left unmitigated thats now become our POI. - Lots of liquidity left to the downside as well as an imbalance - DXY is also correlating and supporting this idea as the dollar is looking bullish right now. - Lots of bearish pressure which means the correction is pending back up. P.S. If the price continues to drop and enters the 6-hour demand zone, I will look for buying opportunities back up to a nearby supply zone. It's important to stay adaptable based on what the market presents.
Short
by Hassan_fx
May 12, DXY & GBPUSD: Trading Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings Traders! In this comprehensive video, I will provide in-depth analysis of the DXY and GBPUSD pairs, offering valuable insights for the upcoming week in trading. Both of these currency pairs have reached critical junctures, necessitating a thorough understanding of potential price movements and the need to adjust trading strategies accordingly. Currently, we have observed retracements to significant points of interest in both pairs, prompting the question: what can we anticipate in terms of trading opportunities for the week ahead? May 10, Analysis (Explaining H1 Draws & Confirmations, Entry): April 29, Long-term Video Analysis (DXY & GBPUSD): March 15, SMT Divergence (Educational Lecture Explaining how to use it): Stay tuned for ongoing updates and analysis throughout the week to stay informed and make informed trading decisions. Kind Regards, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
2
May 06, Navigating DXY and GBPUSD: Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings Traders! In this comprehensive video, I'll delve into the DXY and GBPUSD, offering valuable insights for the week ahead in trading. It's essential to adapt your strategies to the market conditions. Presently, we've witnessed a retracement to a significant point of interest, hinting at potential bearish momentum to follow. Stay tuned for the latest updates throughout the week. Kind Regards, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
4
GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum Persists, Targeting Daily Sell StopsCurrently, GBPUSD demonstrates a persistent inclination towards the sell side, targeting the Daily sell stops . Having interacted with an m15 order block, a liquidity void has been filled. Now, a potential retest of the order block is underway, with price currently trading within a rejection block. This setup may serve as confirmation for further selling activity. Alternatively, if this scenario fails to materialize, selling against the m15 Buy Stops becomes a viable strategy, awaiting confirmation for entry. Kind Regards, The_Architect
Short
by The_Archi-tect
GBPUSD: Exploring a High Reward Sell OpportunityCurrently, the Institutional Order Flow on GBPUSD remains bearish , indicating a continued pursuit of premium trading points such as the H1 Bearish Order Block . Smart Money is likely to engage in selling at these levels to capitalize on price movement towards discount prices. My anticipation revolves around the mitigation of the H1 Bearish Order Block, representing Smart Money's final institutional buying within the market . Upon confirmation, I'll seek an entry to target the Daily Bullish Order Block, serving as my Draw On Liquidity. Additionally, there's a H1 Liquidity Void that I expect the market to fill before considering any selling actions. I remain adaptive to market dynamics and will adjust my approach accordingly. Kind Regards, The_Architect
Short
by The_Archi-tect
GBPUSD: Constructing a Potential Sell ScenarioYesterday, GBPUSD witnessed a resurgence in its Bearish Institutional Order Flow, signaling an objective to reach the Daily Order Block , identified as my Draw On Liquidity for the day. Currently, I foresee a retracement back towards a premium m15 inducement order block. Notably, there are Buy Stops positioned below it, potentially utilized by Smart Money to pair their shorts. Additionally, I anticipate the market to fill the Liquidity Void present. I plan to enter a confirmation within the Order Block. Stay tuned for an educational video analysis. Kind Regards, The_Architect
Short
by The_Archi-tect
GBPUSD Pullback Pending (1.29500 back down)My bias for GU this week is centered around anticipating a pullback to address the imbalances left behind. This week has witnessed a significant bearish trend for the dollar, leading to increased bullish pressure on GU. Given this scenario, it's evident that price hasn't experienced a healthy pullback yet, which is overdue. Therefore, I'll be patiently waiting for price to reach my 8hr supply zone, where I anticipate a wyckoff distribution to form. Once I receive confirmation on the lower time frames, I'll initiate sell positions. However, if price decides to drop before reaching the supply zone, I'll consider buying opportunities from the 6hr demand level back up to the designated supply zone. Confluences for GU Sells are as follows: - Price overall on the higher time frame like weekly and monthly is still bearish. - Bullish pressure has been excessive and its due for a pullback. - Nice supply zone on the 8hr that has caused recent break of structure. - Lots of imbalances left below left from NFP event that needs filling. P.S. Given the premium level of this supply zone, I prefer to observe price action slowing down. However, I'll exercise caution and focus on trading opportunities primarily on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Tuesdays and Thursdays are notably packed with significant economic events such as CPI & PPI. Have a good week traders and preserve capital on those days!
Short
by Hassan_fx
3
Bearish outlook on GBPUSD - 30 June 2023Currently, there is bearish order flow, with lower highs and lower lows being formed on H4 timeframe. A throwback to the support-turned-resistance zone at 1.2700, which coincide with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and a break below downside confirmation at 1.2600 could provide the bearish acceleration towards key support zone at 1.2500, which coincides with the 161.8% fibonacci extension level. Price is hovering below our ichimoku cloud and 20 EMA, supporting our bearish bias.
Short
by shermzT