GBPUSD– Rejection at Resistance: Technical and Macro PullbackGBPUSD has climbed back into a strong multi-week resistance zone just beneath 1.3670. While the recent rally was sharp, it now confronts both structural resistance and weakening UK fundamentals. The British economy is losing steam—GDP contracted more than expected, manufacturing output is weak, and the latest CBI survey paints a grim industrial outlook. Meanwhile, Fed officials continue to push back on early rate cut expectations, lending resilience to the USD. Technically, this aligns with a potential top forming near 1.3630–1.3670, offering a compelling risk-reward for sellers.
🔻 Bias: Bearish
• Favoring short setups from resistance, backed by weak UK data and a sticky Fed narrative.
🔑 Key Fundamentals
🇬🇧 UK:
May GDP: –0.3% m/m (worse than forecast)
CBI Industrial Trends: Output volumes and orders well below long-run average
Inflation slowing, but BoE hesitant amid stagnant growth – classic stagflation
🇺🇸 US:
Fed officials (Barkin, Collins, Cook) emphasize caution
Core services inflation still elevated
Fed rate cuts now expected in September, not July
⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View
Hawkish surprise from the BoE (if they hike or signal tightening)
U.S. Core PCE comes in soft, pressuring the USD
Sustained global risk-on rally pulling GBP higher via equities
📅 Important Events to Watch
June 25–26: Fed Chair Powell testimony to Congress
June 28: U.S. Core PCE inflation report
UK CPI revisions, retail sales, and BoE commentary
U.S. jobs and consumer confidence (early July)
📉 Technical Setup – Short from Key Supply Zone
Chart Structure:
Major confluence resistance at 1.3625–1.3665 (blue zone)
Multiple rejection wicks + ascending wedge structure
Bearish divergence building on momentum (not shown)
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone:
🔹 Sell between 1.3625 and 1.3665, ideally after a bearish engulfing/pin bar or 4H rejection
Take Profits:
TP1: 1.3535 – local support
TP2: 1.3465 – fib and horizontal confluence
TP3: 1.3390 – wedge breakdown target
Stop Loss / Invalidation:
🔸 SL above 1.3685**
A 4H/1D candle close above invalidates the setup and opens the door to new highs.
Risk-Reward:
RR to TP1: ~1.8
RR to TP3: 3.5+
🧭 Summary:
GBPUSD is technically stretched and facing key resistance. With UK macro data deteriorating and Fed members holding the line, this rally looks increasingly vulnerable. As long as 1.3685 holds, sellers may dominate with clear downside targets over the next 1–2 weeks.
Gbpusdsetup
GBP/USD Breakout Done , Best Place To Get 150 Pips Clear !Here is my opinion on GBP/USD On 2H T.F , We have a very good breakout now clear not as the old one and we have a very good bearish price action , so i think it will be a good entry if the price go back to retest my res with the news today and give us a good touch and go to downside , and also we might see a random move and fake wicks to take all stop losses before going down or even back to upside so be careful today and use a good risk , i`m waiting the price to back to retest the broken support and new res and then i will enter a sell trade with a very small lot size .
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Below SupportMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Below Support
GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.3620 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound started another decline from the 1.3620 resistance zone.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.3460 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.3620 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.3550 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.
The pair even traded below 1.3500 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.3380 level. There was a recovery wave above the 1.3450 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3622 swing high to the 1.3382 low.
However, the bears were active near the 1.3500 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level. As a result, there was a fresh bearish reaction below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.3460.
Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.3380. The next major support is at 1.3350, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.3200.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near 1.3440. The first major resistance is near the 1.3500 zone. The main hurdle sits at 1.3530. A close above the 1.3530 resistance might spark a steady upward move. The next major resistance is near the 1.3565 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.3620 resistance in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bearish GBP/USD Outlook: Shorting the Pound Against the DollarI can write a lot of text here but let make it short, liek and sub from you for that:
3 options:
pump till PDH then dump to weekly FVG 1.34 area
dump from here till weekly FVG 1.34 area
if it breaks above PWH with good volume and closing at least on 4h then only longs
GBP/USD Potential Bullish ReversalGBP/USD Potential Bullish Reversal 📈🦾
📊 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart showcases a well-defined horizontal range between the support (~1.31900) and resistance (~1.36200) zones. The price action has respected these levels multiple times, forming a clear accumulation zone at the bottom and rejection at the top.
🔄 Pattern Formation:
A Rounded Bottom (Cup) structure is visible forming from the June low.
The price made a bullish bounce near the key support level at 1.33930, marked by an orange circle, suggesting a potential higher low formation.
The blue downtrend line from the recent high (red arrow) has been broken, indicating a trend reversal attempt.
📍 Current Price: 1.34494
🎯 Target Zone: 1.35734
🛑 Support to Watch: 1.33930
📈 Bullish Confirmation:
A break above the minor neckline (around current price) would confirm a cup & handle breakout with a projected target of 1.35734.
Strong buying pressure and higher lows are reinforcing bullish strength.
⚠️ Risk Management Tip:
A breakdown below 1.33930 would invalidate the bullish setup and could retest the major support zone (~1.31900).
✅ Bias: Bullish, unless price closes below 1.33930
🕒 Outlook: Short- to Mid-term Upside Potential
GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBP/USD Hits June LowGBP/USD Hits June Low
As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair dropped sharply last night, falling below the 1.34170 level. This move marked the lowest point for the pound against the dollar since the beginning of June.
One of the main drivers behind this decline is the strengthening of the US dollar, which is attracting market participants amid heightened geopolitical tensions and a potential escalation of military conflict between Iran and Israel, involving US armed forces. According to the latest reports, Donald Trump has warned Tehran that US patience is wearing thin.
Today, however, the pound has seen a slight rebound, supported by the release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI). While the data confirmed that inflation is easing, the pace of decline is slower than expected. This may reduce the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England – which in turn has boosted the pound’s value.
What could happen next?
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
Since the end of May, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with bulls making several attempts to break the resistance level at 1.3600 – so far, without much success.
The sharp decline from point A to B suggests that the bears have seized the initiative, with the pair rebounding from the lower boundary of the blue channel.
GBP/USD traders may:
→ interpret the bounce from the lower blue boundary as an upward correction following a sharp fall;
→ use Fibonacci retracement levels to estimate potential upside. In such cases, particular attention is typically given to the 0.5–0.618 zone (highlighted in orange). Here, it aligns with the 1.3526 level, which acted as support on 12–13 June, but may now serve as resistance after being breached.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#GBPUSD: Smaller Time-Frame Tells A Different Story! GBPUSD has exhibited strong bullish sentiment in shorter timeframes. However, an analysis of shorter timeframes reveals a different picture. The current price trend is upward, and it is anticipated to continue. Nevertheless, we anticipate a price correction around 1.3470, followed by a continuation of the bullish move. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best of luck in your trading endeavours, and please remember to prioritise safety.
Kindly consider liking, commenting, and sharing this analysis for further insights.
Team Setupsfx_
GBP/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone – Downside Targets GBP/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone – Downside Targets Ahead 🚨
This chart analysis of GBP/USD reveals a clear bearish structure unfolding after the pair tested a strong resistance zone near the 1.36000 level. Here's the professional breakdown:
🔴 Key Resistance Zone: 1.36000 – 1.36200
Price has been rejected multiple times from this upper zone (marked in red).
Repeated upper wicks and lower closes signal selling pressure.
Recent candle formations suggest a potential reversal from this level.
🟢 Major Support Zones:
1.33090 (Mid-Level Support)
This level has acted as a reaction zone in the past.
Could provide temporary consolidation or bounce.
1.31500 – 1.32000
Strong historical support, price bounced here previously.
Bears might slow down in this area before continuation.
1.28000 – 1.29000
Deeper support zone; if broken, could indicate a major trend shift.
📉 Bearish Projection
Price is expected to descend toward 1.33090, and if momentum continues, potentially down to the 1.28 region.
The zigzag projection in the black box reflects a stair-step pattern typical of strong bearish legs.
🧠 Market Psychology & Price Action
Sellers are defending the resistance aggressively.
Lower highs and consistent rejection candles imply weakening bullish momentum.
This setup aligns with a distribution phase before a drop.
📌 Conclusion
🔻 As long as the price remains below the 1.36000 resistance, the bias remains bearish. Watch for confirmations at 1.33090 and 1.32000 – these are crucial zones where price decisions will unfold.
📆 Short to mid-term traders may look for sell setups on retracements with stop-losses above the resistance and targets near support zones.
GBP/USD Rally Resumes – Bullish Targets AheadHi everyone,
As outlined in our previous GBP/USD analysis (idea linked below), the Cable confirmed its continued rally following a decisive break above the 1.35195 level. This was quickly followed by a move through our highlighted levels at 1.35630 and 1.35934.
As previously noted, the clearance of these levels strengthens our expectation for further upside, with the next key level of interest around 1.36850. We'll be watching to see how price action develops from here.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup Developing!GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup Developing! 🔻
Chart Breakdown (H4):
📌 Resistance Zone (🔴 1.35800 – 1.36000):
The pair has been rejected multiple times from this strong resistance area, marked by multiple upper wicks and bearish pressure. Most recent price action shows another rejection, forming a lower high.
📌 Support Level (🟣 1.34732):
This key horizontal level has acted as a strong support multiple times (highlighted with 🟠 circles), suggesting bulls are attempting to defend this zone.
📉 Bearish Structure Formation:
Price recently tested resistance again and was rejected sharply.
A potential double-top or lower high structure is forming.
A break and close below the 1.34732 support will likely confirm bearish momentum.
📍 Next Target (🔻):
If support breaks, price may fall towards the support demand zone around 1.34150 – 1.34300, aligning with the marked red support box.
📈 Invalidation Point:
A clean breakout and hold above 1.36000 would invalidate this bearish bias and potentially signal continuation higher.
⚠️ Summary:
🔼 Resistance Rejection at 1.36000
🔽 Watching for break below 1.34732
🎯 Bearish target: 1.34300 zone
🔄 Invalidation: Break above 1.36000
Bias: 📉 Bearish Below 1.34732
GBPUSD Edges HigherGBPUSD Edges Higher
GBP/USD is attempting a fresh increase above the 1.3500 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3515.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3615 resistance. The British Pound even traded below the 1.3575 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.3500 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3540. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535.
The pair tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low. It is now showing positive signs above 1.3540.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3575 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low.
The next major resistance is near 1.3590. A close above the 1.3590 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3615. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3650.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 1.3515. If there is a downside break below 1.3515, the pair could accelerate lower. The first major support is near the 1.3500 level. The next key support is seen near 1.3450, below which the pair could test 1.3420. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.3350 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/USD Buys from 1.34800 This week’s analysis focuses on capitalising on the strong bullish structure forming on GU. After a clear break of structure to the upside, price has been forming consistent higher highs and higher lows.
From this move, a key Point of Interest has been left around the 1.34800 level, which aligns with a clean 9H demand zone. As price now needs to retrace after the recent bullish push, this 9H zone becomes a likely area for accumulation and a potential continuation rally.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- GU has been very bullish overall on the higher timeframes
- The 9H demand zone caused the latest break of structure to the upside
- There’s plenty of liquidity and imbalance above that needs to be taken
- The DXY is moving bearish, supporting GU upside
P.S. If price pushes higher before retracing, it may enter a premium supply zone, where I’ll be watching for any significant reaction. Either way, patience is key — don’t hesitate to wait for your setup to fully form.
Wishing you a focused and profitable trading week!
GBPUSD Holds Above 1.34 – Is 1.35 the Launch Pad?In last week’s GBPUSD outlook, I pointed to the 1.34 zone as a potential buy area and likely end of the correction.
The market reacted as expected, reversing from 1.34 and rallying to 1.35. Toward the end of the week, a brief correction followed — but price held above 1.34 and has now returned to 1.35, printing a higher low in the process.
📌 From both a technical and psychological standpoint, 1.35 remains a key level. A confirmed break above could lead to a retest of the recent high — or even push for a new high.
✅ My bias stays bullish as long as 1.34 support remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBP/USD Shorts from the daily supplyI’m anticipating a potential retracement as price has been heavily bullish and is now beginning to show signs of being overbought. After recently breaking major structure to the upside, there’s room for a temporary sell-off as price corrects before continuing higher.
I’ll be watching for possible reactions from the 59-minute demand zone for a minor bounce, but the more ideal long opportunity would be at the 12H demand zone around 1.3300, where structure is cleaner and confluences align.
Confluences for Short-Term Sells:
- A recent change of character (CHOCH) to the downside signals a shift in momentum
- A clean daily supply zone has been left behind that could initiate a deeper pullback
- Significant liquidity below, including the Asia low, ready to be swept
- For price to maintain long-term bullish movement, it must first correct, fill imbalances, and mitigate valid demand levels
P.S. If price drops further and breaks structure, we’ll likely see a new supply zone form. This will provide a closer and more refined opportunity to participate in the move.
Stay sharp and trade safe! 📉📈
GBP/USD Analysis: Price Searching for SupportGBP/USD Analysis: Price Searching for Support
In the second half of May, the British pound showed notable strength: from its 12 May low, GBP/USD climbed to a peak on 26 May — marking its highest level in over three years.
Demand for the pound has been driven by several factors:
→ A surge in inflation. CPI data released last Wednesday came in above expectations. As a result, market participants interpreted this as a reason for the Bank of England to remain cautious about cutting interest rates. Holding rates at elevated levels is generally considered bullish for the pound.
→ The pound’s relative resilience amid trade tensions, particularly following a newly signed agreement with the US, as well as strengthening trade ties between the UK and the EU.
Can the pound continue to rise? The GBP/USD chart offers reasons for doubt.
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
Recent price movements have formed an ascending channel (outlined in blue), and earlier this week, demand was so strong that the pair briefly moved above the upper boundary. But what happened next?
That strong buying momentum appears to have faded — resulting in a sequence of lower highs (A→B→C→D), suggesting that the market may be searching for a foothold. Today’s bounce (highlighted by the arrow) hints that such a foothold may have been found. But how reliable is it? And can the uptrend be resumed?
→ From a bullish perspective: Support may be provided by the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by the 1.345 level.
→ From a bearish perspective: The 1.352 level is acting as resistance, further strengthened by the median line.
It is possible that the area marked by lower highs (A→B→C→D) could ultimately prove to be an insurmountable barrier for the developing uptrend on the GBP/USD chart.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD Near Key Resistance – Watching for PullbackGBPUSD has surged to test the 1.3538 resistance, forming a strong impulsive rally supported by higher lows and tight bullish consolidation patterns. However, price is now pressing into a major horizontal resistance and rising trendline, setting up for either continuation or correction.
Key Levels:
Major Resistance: 1.35389 (previous high, potential double top)
Trendline Support: ~1.3440 (ascending structure)
Downside Target (if break occurs): 1.3140 (range floor)
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Scenario (Primary Watch)
Price reacts to 1.3538 and forms a rejection candle
Break of the ascending trendline may trigger a retracement
Downside target zones:
1.3440 (initial structure)
1.3140 (major support zone)
🔹 Bullish Breakout (Alternate Scenario)
Clean break and close above 1.3538
Would invalidate short-term correction and open path to new highs
Momentum continuation possible toward 1.3600–1.3700
Pattern Notes:
Bullish structure with minor flags and wedges in the uptrend
But rally is extended and hitting overbought territory near resistance
RSI divergence or reversal patterns around this level would strengthen short case
Conclusion:
📌 GBPUSD is at a major resistance. Watch for rejection or breakout.
📌 If it holds below 1.3538 and breaks trendline, short setup is favored.
📌 If it breaks out above 1.3538 with volume, stay out of shorts and wait for retest.
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD pair is showing a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. However, the price currently looks overextended. This suggests the market may be due for a corrective pullback.
I’m watching for a pullback into a discounted zone near the fair value gap.
If the price moves back into this zone, I’ll look for a bullish break of market structure as a signal to enter long.
This plan emphasizes patience and the importance of waiting for a favorable entry rather than chasing an extended move. As always, this is my personal strategy and not financial advice. Proper risk management and discretion are essential.
GBPUSD Breaks Out – Is 1.40 Next?In my previous analysis, I highlighted that GBPUSD was trading in a strong resistance zone and warned of a potential correction toward the sub-1.31 support area.
While we did see a brief correction, bears lacked follow-through, and the pair reversed from 1.3136, never quite reaching the expected support zone.
🚀 Break Confirmed – Bulls in Control
After bouncing from just above the support zone at 1.3136, GBPUSD began to consolidate and build pressure right under the key resistance area.
That build-up acted as a launchpad, and now we have a clean breakout, with price trading well above 1.35, currently around 1.3577.
This is a genuine breakout, following a textbook sequence: rejection above support, tight consolidation, and then a decisive push higher — all favoring continuation to the upside.
🎯 W hat’s Next?
The next obvious target is the psychological level at 1.40, which aligns with previous key levels and the overall momentum.
📊 Trading Plan:
The strategy remains simple: buying dips is preferred.
The 1.3450 area is an ideal zone to look for long opportunities, especially if the breakout is retested and confirmed as support.
📌 Don’t chase — let the market pull back, then follow the strength. Momentum is clearly with the bulls. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25
Hey traders ✌️
welcome to your market analysis by FRGNT! 🙌
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
💡Trade confluences provided during the week 📝
✅Bullish weekly close above recent highs & Orderblock
✅ Within Weekly Orderblock. Potential shorts after bearish price action.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bearish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Neutral Level breakout then make your move at (1.32500) - Bearish profits await!"
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Target 🎯: 1.31600
💰💵💸GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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