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German30

GERMAN 40 Long Positive Surprises?EU data going to be released: M3 Money Supply y/y Private Loans y/y EU Economic Forecasts Never the less,technically German 40 is providing very interesting oppurtunity where the bulls are accumulatiing their positions Chart: green arrows: More buys/add to more buying positions 1 profit target,but 7 different entries for aggressive and conservative traders red-line: Below the red line the strong bearish pressure is starting, where the bulls get bigtroubles.In this case,if the price holds just for a short time below the red zone,but returns back above,it will be a clear sign that the bulls are taking back control. If not,the bullish trade setup is not valid anymore. Also it is possible that winning trades should be liquidated immediately,once news catalysts/events cause the market to turn down(market trend change). In this case I recommand to close immediately the positions, and waiting for new entry signal. It can also happen, that we have to close the positions, and the price coming back to our origin entry. We can use the stup to enter again,once confirmation aligned with signals(Respecting/Rejecting OF THE RED LINE).
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by DaveBrascoFX
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OANDA:DE30EURLong
by The-Thief
DAX CEEPS CLIMING AMONG UNIMPRESSIVE ECONOMIC DATA European stock markets rallied today amid indications that major central banks might have concluded their tightening cycle. The DAX index in Germany edged up by 0.1%, fueled by growing investor optimism about the European Central Bank's pause on interest rate hikes despite bleak economic data. The Eurozone faces a potential recession in the last quarter of the year, with German factory orders plummeting by 3.7% in October. As consumers grapple with high interest rates and prices, European retail sales are expected to rise marginally by 0.2% on the month, showing an annual drop of 1.1%. ECB's Isabel Schnabel's comments hint at a halt to rate hikes, triggering a decline in the euro against the dollar. Speculation on impending rate cuts has propelled the DAX to record highs. The uncertain market awaits the Fed's meeting next week and the ECB's final rate decision, crucial factors in determining the EUR/USD's next move. For now, a dovish Fed or an upturn in European data could signal a potential turnaround for EUR/USD bulls. On the technical side, MACD is still showing Buy signals, while RSI is deep into overbought territory. If the price continues to climb, it might reach levels of 16880, but if it drops, it might fall to the support level of 16277. As a pivot point might be considered 16493 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
XETR:DAX
by legacyFXofficial
Upward Momentum For The DAX Amidst Economic Data Release The DAX in Frankfurt exhibited robust performance, closing at 16,150.17 with a 1.10% surge, largely fueled by positive market responses to German Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and Federal Reserve hints at potential rate cuts. German CPI figures for November indicated a substantial easing of inflationary pressures, favorably impacting investor sentiment. Throughout the trading day, the index fluctuated between a high of 16,167.94 and a low of 15,989.91, surpassing its previous closing value of 15,975.22. Key players like Infineon Technologies saw a 4% spike in shares, while other notable performers such as Zalando, Sartorius, and Siemens Energy registered over 3% climbs. Additionally, the automotive sector depicted strength with Vonovia, BMW, and Mercedes Benz Group securing gains exceeding 2%. However, not all DAX constituents experienced positive momentum, with Covestro and Munchener Ruck facing declines greater than 0.5%. Amidst the market upswing, the euro slightly retreated against a strengthening dollar, trading within the range of $1.1018 to $1.0969. The Dollar Index, measuring the dollar's strength against major currencies, increased by 0.15% to 102.90. Simultaneously, German government bond yields mirrored the global trend of declining yields, closing at 2.4510%, a 1.7% drop from the previous session. This decline aligns with softer inflation data and potential prospects of a more accommodative Federal Reserve monetary policy, including probable rate cuts to stimulate economic growth. Technically, the DAX's monthly chart indicates an ongoing upward trend, but the index faces critical junctures. Despite retesting previous highs, the index hasn't broken out, while recent weakness challenges price support. A breakout would signify bullish prospects for both Germany and the United States, whereas a failure at price support could convey a negative message for both economies. Supported by indicators like MACD and RSI, a continuation of the bullish trend might propel the price towards levels around 16,295.42, considering a pivot point at 16,170.56 that could lead to a return to 16,129.73. Investors are advised to closely monitor these pivotal levels as they could dictate the index's future trajectory and signal broader market implications, not only within Germany but also for global markets, particularly in the United States. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses
XETR:DAXLong
by legacyFXofficial
4-19-23 [ger40]special request from one of our members. --- this is the german index,,, i don't know much about germany, but i reckon it's in a similar situation as our market: >bears keep shorting, >market maker keeps squeezing. >the more the bears add, >the higher the index goes. >index can't drop until the bears do. --- what i'm depicting in the above chart is called a sharp double zig-zag. to validate wave X of the double z, one could look at the 12H rsi and notice the depth of it. --- i estimate this move finishes at HKEX:17 ,777 will give you a macro update after. 🍀
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by notoriousbids
2
GER30 Weekly Outlook WC Monday 27 March 2023I do not typically analyse this index. But this one's for the culture. Anticipating longs unless I am proven wrong on Monday or Tuesday this week. I have outlined the price targets you should be concerned with should you go in with a long bias. This is technical science. Not random, there is no chance, no 'maybe it might do this or that'. It is calculated, specific levels in price have been provided. If it does not look like it wants to reach for these levels, the long bias is invalid. I would look to sit on the sidelines or consider reversing the outlook. All the best.
GLong
by akashthakrar
DAX Weekly Forecast 10-14 October 2022 DAX Weekly Forecast 10-14 October 2022 We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.25% for this week, falling from the 4.53% from the last week. Currently there is around 18.2% that the asset is going to close either above or below the channel: TOP 12727 BOT 11623 The current volatility percentile is around 90th, placing us in a very risky environment. With this situations in general the market moves: AVG weekly bull candle = 1.83% AVG weekly bear candle = 2.5% At the same time, there is currently a 73% that we will touch the high of previous weekly candle of 12674 and there is a 26% that we will touch the low of the previous week of 11894 From the technical analysis point of view: The majority of moving averages ranging from 10 to 200, are currently around 80% agreement that the market is in a bearish trend ( the current price is below those moving averages)
XETR:DAX
by exlux
DAX Weekly Forecast Analysis 3-7 Oct 2022 DAX Weekly Forecast Analysis 3-7 Oct 2022 We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.27% for this week, decrising from the 4.44% from the last week. Currently there is around 18.2% that the asset is going to close either above or below the channel: TOP 12483 BOT 11420 The current volatility percentile is around 90th, placing us in a very risky environment. With this situations in general the market moves: AVG weekly bull candle = 1.73% AVG weekly bear candle = 2.5% With this mind, from the opening price it would situate us around TOP 12150 BOT 11650 At the same time, there is currently a 35% that we will break the ath of previous weekly candle of 12410, and there is a 66% that we will touch the low of the previous week of 11860 From the technical analysis point of view: The majority of moving averages ranging from 10 to 200, are currently around 80% agreement that the market is in a bearish trend ( the current price is above those moving averages) From the distribution of the candles, for this year we had 54% bearish weekly candles. News that can affect the price of this asset this week: - Tuesday 4 October : ECB Presdint Speaks - Thursday 6 October : ECB Report - Friday 7 October: EU Leaders Summit
XETR:DAX
by exlux
2
DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September Currently our volatility coming from volatility token for DAX is at 3.83%, increasing from 2.55% last week, located on 60th percentile, placing us in a higher than average probability volatility environment Based on the previous calculations, there is currently a 20% chance that the asset is going to break the channel for TOP 12600 BOT 11970 At the same time, based on the previous calculations: - There is a 35% chance that the previous high from last week of 12946 is going to be touched/surpassed. - There is a 65%chance that the previous low from last week of 12200 is going to be touched/surpassed We can deduct that we have a much higher probability to have a continuation of bearish candle than bullish. On average the weekly candle when the asset was located around this percentile are 1.8% for bull candles and 2.56% for the bear candles from the opening price. From the fundamental point of view, news that can affect this asset price this week: - Monday 26 Septeptember, ECB President Lagarde Speaks - Tuesday 27 Septeptember, ECB President Lagarde Speaks - Wednesday 28 Septeptember, ECB President Lagarde Speaks - CB Consumer confidence and Powell Speech for Tuesday 27 Sep - Powell Speech for Wednesday 28 Sep - US GDP coming on thursday 29 Sep - German Unemployment change Friday 30 Sep - CPI EUR Friday 30 September Overall I believe for this week there is higher chance due to the overall global activity to have another bearish weekly candle.
XETR:DAXShort
by exlux
DAX Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022DAX Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022 The current implied volatility is +- 467$ from the current opening of the weekly candle, 12685$ With this in mind, we have a 80% chance that the market is going to stay within the range: TOP: 13143 BOT: 12226 At the same time, we can see that the average weekly candle, is around 2.1 - 2.46% From the technical analysis POV, we can see that our asset is below EMA 50/100/200. At the same from the volume POV, we can see that currently our CMF is positive, indicating a volume divergence much stronger on the bullish side. Lastly, we can see that we are close to the most important resistence zone of this asset for this year, which is around 12500/12400, so if we are not going to close below this point, there is a very high chance that the market will rebound and go towards 13k. Otherwise if we are going to break it, we can expect a downfall movement towards 12250 - 12000.
XETR:DAXShort
by exlux
1
ridethepig | DAX into the elections and beyond📍 DAX gaining tempo The previous 2020 macro map, outdated as it may be, contains the overarching manoeuvre which we can now describe as a compounding play. It is as follows: my models started to pick up on the alarm bells towards the back-end of last year, and hinted of DAX making revisiting 10,000. The compounding is going to be of great importance, when we realise the 5th wave is still (yet) to complete. By the time private clients began to call outguessing the Green / CDU coalition and 'Green New Deal' it was too late... and there now occurs two dominos: if DAX retests the lows in a panic move, and sellers force through a retest of the lows for a second time and then the new economic cycle can begin in 2021/2022. Moreover, for those trading the single currency, we are going to get major updates here as we enter into 2021 and digital currencies come through the backdoor. This fact paves the way for perpetual bonds which are on the way to act as a trojan horse for government defaults is of utmost concern. The brutal bear market rally in the euro is not going to help german equities over the coming months, and the ECB knows it which is why they are signalling distress signals louder than usual.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by ridethepig
5
ridethepig | DAXThis diagram portrays the position from the initial 2020 Macro map which I posted on December 31st 2019. The position arose after I called the end of an economic cycle and positioned with the intention to defend. We overshot the lows and snapped back, it is worth pointing out that sellers have significantly better chances because of the strong resistance. 📌 Dax 2020 Macro Map We got all of the ingredients at the ready, the construct of the breakdown played out as expected, and just like a bakery making a good sourdough loaf, the single difference between my loaf and the others was that the purity and clarity came from Vix: Here the continuation of Covid and lockdowns will turn out to be too much to handle for equities. The numbers are illusory, valuations are over stretched, and governments on the brink of default. I would like to point out the easier and path with far less effort required to the downside in German Equities. Targets: 11,590; 10,160 and 7,960
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by ridethepig
1