GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,349.76 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,341.88..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold
GOLD - 1H VIEWStill looking for a move lower in the coming weeks. There are 2 possible zones I would like to see Gold sell off from:
Zone 1: $3,356 - $3,340 (CMP)
Zone 2: $3,406 - $3,426
Being patient, with no current sells. This analysis is just my current theory. If $3,450 (Wave 2 high) is taken out, then we are heading towards $3,600+
The market is bullish, but I am bearish. Don't regret it.📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week, the US CPI data, consumer index, tariff issues and geopolitical situation are all key points to pay attention to. In the morning, both our long and short positions had good gains, making a good start to the week. The best way is to follow the trend and grab limited profits!
In the 4H cycle, the current trend shows a Zhendan upward pattern, and bulls still occupy the dominant low position in the short term. At the daily level, three consecutive positive days at the end of last week broke through the middle track, and the high point broke through the previous high, indicating that the short-term adjustment is over, and the rise in the market to test 3400 will be a high probability event. At present, the MACD daily line is bullish, the Bollinger Bands are flat, and the gold price is above the middle track. The bulls are strong, but there is still a need for a correction. Intraday trading focuses on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, the US session will continue to rise, and if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out again. In the short term, if it touches 3370-3375 again, you can consider shorting and look towards 3365-3355 SL 3380.
🎯 Trading Points:
sell 3370-3375
tp 3365-3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XUA/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 3-hour
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Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Technical Analysis Summary
Market Structure: Bullish breakout
Price has successfully broken above both the downtrend line and the support zone (highlighted in yellow), signaling a shift in structure from bearish to bullish.
Key Support Zone:
The yellow zone (~3,335–3,355) was previously a resistance area. After the breakout, it is acting as a strong support level and has been retested.
Trendlines:
Downtrend line: Broken and retested.
Uptrend line: Guiding current price action, supporting higher lows and forming an ascending channel.
200 EMA (blue line):
Price is trading above the EMA 200 (~3,331), confirming bullish bias and providing dynamic support.
Momentum (RSI 14):
RSI is around 67.85, showing strong bullish momentum.
Nearing overbought, so a minor pullback or consolidation could occur before continuation.
Volume:
Increase in buying volume near breakout area suggests institutional interest or strong buyer conviction.
Mr SMC trading point
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Conclusion:
Price has shifted into a bullish continuation pattern.
A successful break and retest of structure and trendlines increases the likelihood of further upside.
As long as price holds above the yellow support zone and the uptrend line, bullish momentum is favored.
Short-term pullbacks may offer new long opportunities.
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
XAU/USD Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛Timeframe:
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📆 Date: July 14, 2025
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🎯 Weekly Bias: Mildly Bullish — elevated risk, cautious momentum
🔎 Market Overview:
🛡️ Safe‑haven demand surging:
Renewed 30% tariffs on EU, Mexico, Canada have pushed investors into gold, lifting prices to a 3-week high.
📉 Weak USD & inflation hedge:
A softer U.S. dollar, under pressure from dovish Fed speculation, continues to support gold. A predicted September rate cut further boosts gold’s appeal.
🏦 Central bank accumulation:
Q1 2025 saw record demand from central banks (≈244 tonnes), with many reallocating reserves toward gold for geopolitical and de-dollarization reasons.
📈 YTD performance standout:
Gold is up ~27% this year, leading other assets. Bullish technical indicators like tightening Bollinger Bands and sustained MACD support continuation.
🌀 Market Sentiment:
🔽 Exchange reserves continue dropping:
Indicative of increased HODLing and lower upcoming sell pressure.
🧠 Sentiment firmly bullish:
Analysts highlight risk‑off bias; gold remains favored amid trade tensions.
🤝 ETF inflows & institutional buying:
Strong flows through gold ETFs and central bank buying reflect ongoing structural support.
🔧 Technical Analysis:
📊 Weekly Movement: +1.9% weekly gain, now at $3,367.
✅ Key Levels:
🔻 Resistance: $3,374 → $3,400
🔺 Support: $3,350 → $3,331
🟢 Signals: Mild bearish RSI divergence hints at short-term pause
🟢 Weekly Bias: Mildly Bullish — momentum favored, but caution amid technical divergence.
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⚠️ Risk Reminder: For educational purposes only — not financial advice. Utilize prudent risk management.
👍 If this update helps, hit like, comment your view, and follow for timely XAUUSD alerts!
Beware of the market's trap of luring more investors, short 3335Regarding recent trading strategies, I believe you have also seen my trading win rate. I often inform the future trend of gold several hours or even days in advance, because my many years of trading experience have made me an excellent poisonous wolf in the trading market. Now I see a lot of bullish voices in the market, but my wolf’s sense of smell has discovered danger signals. In the short term, I think that without the influence of news, the market needs to digest the overbought momentum of the bulls. From the 4H chart, the middle track of the Bollinger Band is at 3332, which is very close to the strong support of 3330 given by us during the day. Therefore, I think that at least within 4 hours, gold will fall back to test the support below 3340-3330, or even 3320. Since most people want to follow the crowd, let them go. They will only fall into the trap set by the market. Let's prove with facts whether following the wolf pack will make you hungry or well fed.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
Gold has successfully broken above its descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure and growing bullish momentum.
A pullback toward the broken trendline is now likely, as price may retest the breakout zone.
Once the pullback is completed, we anticipate a bullish continuation and a move toward higher levels.
As long as price holds above the identified support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Will gold resume its rally after the pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)I am not inclined towards buy's at this level blindly, because overall my bias remains bearish on Gold. Buyers closed very weak above this 'resistance turned support' zone, so we can possibly see sellers take back control.
For now I'm holding back from any new trades, but will take sell's when market structure offers an opportunity.
Gold Roadmap=>Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) currently appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) .
The Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) was broken with the help of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , the upper line of this classic pattern having served as an important resistance line for us in previous ideas .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It is currently completing the next five impulse waves . Wave 5 of these waves could end in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and of course, given the momentum of gold approaching PRZ , we can also look for Short positions in PRZ .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,329
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Tariff News?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. We remain bullish on the commodity and can expect to see $3,400. A correction towards the demand zones would provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity.
Gold markets experienced significant volatility this past week, largely driven by global trade developments and speculation over future Federal Reserve actions. Although gold posted a positive weekly performance, it remained confined within its recent trading range and continued to trade cautiously.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, noted, “Gold saw declines on Monday and Tuesday, but a three-day rally brought the week to a positive close. It appears that the announcement of new U.S. tariffs played a major role in this rebound. However, it remains uncertain whether the consolidation phase following the historic high near $3,500 has concluded.”
Adam Button, head of currency strategy at Forexlive.com, said that since the passage of the “Big, Beautiful Bill” last week, markets have split into two opposing camps. “The optimists are enthusiastically buying equities, while the pessimists are flocking to precious metals. The bulls believe the budget deficit could stimulate growth, but the bears are concerned about the long-term burden of repaying it.”
He continued: “This divide is evident across the market. Bearish capital is flowing into bitcoin, silver, and gold. While retail traders are largely focused on bitcoin and silver, gold remains the preferred safe haven for central banks and global reserve managers. These institutions are likely observing Trump’s policies and the political landscape carefully before reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and reallocating reserves toward gold.” He added, “Among retail traders, patience seems to have worn thin, and many are ready to enter the market aggressively.”
Button also stated that the markets are no longer reacting seriously to Trump’s tariff rhetoric. “The reaction of the Canadian dollar after the 35% tariff announcement on Thursday clearly reflected this indifference. Even the Brazilian real barely moved despite facing unexpected tariffs. Now all eyes are on the potential tariffs on Europe—an announcement that could come at any moment and serve as a key test. Still, I expect the market will shrug it off. The only question is whether that indifference lasts an hour or even less.”
Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank has issued a warning that financial markets may be underestimating the risk of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell being dismissed by Trump. According to Bloomberg, George Saravelos, the bank’s senior strategist, said that such a move could result in a 3–4% drop in the U.S. dollar and a 30–40 basis point surge in Treasury yields within a single day.
He emphasized that removing Powell would be a significant blow to the Fed’s independence and would raise concerns about direct political interference in monetary policymaking. The market’s long-term response would depend on Trump’s nominee to replace Powell, how other Fed officials react, and the overall state of the economy. Deutsche Bank also warned that the U.S.’s weak external financing position could amplify market volatility well beyond the initial shock.
Looking ahead to next week, investors will be closely watching developments around trade tariffs, but special attention will also be paid to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. According to the ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), prices in the manufacturing sector have slightly accelerated, while price components in the non-manufacturing sector have dropped notably. Since manufacturing only accounts for 10% of U.S.GDP, the risks to CPI appear skewed to the downside. A slowdown in inflation may lead some market participants to reassess the likelihood of a July rate cut—potentially halting the recent upward momentum of the U.S. dollar.
On Wednesday, June’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be released, followed by June retail sales figures on Thursday. Additionally, Friday will see the preliminary results of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey for July. This report is closely watched for its one-year inflation expectations. The annual rate surged to 6.6% in May before dropping to 5% in June. If this downward trend continues, it could reinforce the view that inflation risks are easing, potentially leading to a modest pullback in the dollar.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone.
On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs.
All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal!
We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move.
Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move
It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD : Gold at a Turning Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead?By analyzing the TVC:GOLD (XAUUSD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed to $3330 today, entering a key supply zone, which triggered a pullback down to $3310. Gold is now trading around $3317, and I’m watching several potential setups closely.
Scenario 1:
If gold stabilizes below $3320, we could see a bearish move toward $3296.
Scenario 2:
If price breaks above the $3333 resistance, it may enter the next supply zone between $3341 and $3351, which could trigger a strong rejection—potentially offering a 100 to 400 pip move.
Now let’s break down the key levels to watch:
Supply zones: $3320, $3333, $3342, $3358
Demand zones: $3303, $3296, $3289, $3278
Monitor how price reacts to each of these zones — they may provide excellent opportunities.
Gold Eyes CPI as Tariffs BiteGold (XAU/USD) continues to push higher, recently hitting $3,360. The latest catalyst: escalating trade tensions, as President Trump imposes a fresh round of 30% tariffs on EU and Mexican goods. This is boosting safe-haven demand and weighing on the dollar, albeit modestly. Still, with the Federal Reserve signalling a cautious stance on rate cuts, gold may need an additional spark to clear long-term resistance.
Chart Setup:
• Current Resistance: Gold is trading just below $3,365, a multi-session ceiling.
• Indicators: The RSI remains above 50, reflecting bullish momentum.
• Breakout Potential: A strong CPI print tomorrow could challenge this uptrend. But if CPI cools, gold could test the $3,400 psychological barrier.
• Pullback Risk: A drop below $3,350 (23.6% Fibonacci) could bring us back to the $3,340–$3,320 support zone.
Markets are on edge ahead of Tuesday's U.S. CPI report, which may significantly influence inflation expectations, Fed policy, and safe-haven demand.
Gold another bullish breakout supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Want to Know What Happens in Crypto? Check Silver InsteadThe Gold/Silver ratio is one of the key indicators that highlights major turning points in modern economic history. Similarly, the ETH/BTC ratio is widely followed as a gauge of strength in the crypto market and the beginning of altcoin seasons. Interestingly, these two ratios also appear to correlate well with each other.
As adoption of both Ethereum and Bitcoin has grown, the Gold/Silver and BTC/ETH ratios have started to move more closely together. They often follow similar patterns, with tops and bottoms forming one after the other. For clarity, this analysis uses the BTC/ETH ratio rather than ETH/BTC.
Historically, BTC/ETH tends to lead during market tops, followed by a similar move in the Gold/Silver ratio. This pattern has been observed repeatedly since 2020. When it comes to bottoms, the timing between the two ratios is usually tighter, as seen during the 2020, 2021, and 2024 lows.
The latest signal came from a top in the BTC/ETH ratio, and the Gold/Silver ratio now appears to be following that move. Given the cyclical nature of crypto markets, both ETH and silver could be at the early stages of new upward trends. For a potential trend reversal, it may be wise to keep a closer eye on silver in the coming weeks.
XAU/USD Update: Ready for a 12% Surge?Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Is XAU/USD about to explode or crash?
We’ve formed a symmetrical triangle pattern , and its breakout triggers could deliver solid profits for longs or shorts. Let’s dive into the details with the Daily timeframe to see the big picture.
✔️ Daily Timeframe: Our HWC is strongly bullish. After hitting $ 3,497.80 , we entered a secondary retracement phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. If we break resistance at $ 3,444.18 , my targets are the next ceiling at $ 3,494.50 and, long-term, $ 3,796.64 . But if we break support at $ 3,796.64 , it could signal a major trend change from uptrend to downtrend, opening shorts. Next supports are $ 3,206.32 and $ 3,019.31 —use these as your targets.
📊 Key Insight : Risk management is key to surviving financial markets. Stick to max 1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe.
📉 Market Context: Markets are predicting a major recession in the U.S. economy. If it happens, Gold will be the only safe-haven asset. So, I personally favor riding Gold’s uptrend.
This historic drop screams one thing: global markets are losing faith in U.S. monetary and fiscal policies, big time.
And that’s a loud wake-up call for investors: It’s time to bulletproof your portfolio. What’s that mean?
Your stocks, real estate, cash, bonds , you name it...
They’re slowly but surely turning to Gold .
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 14Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3339
Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support below 3349
One-hour chart resistance 3390, support below 3353
Gold news analysis: In the Asian market on Monday, spot gold hit a high of 3374, a new high since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the European Union from August 1, further heating up the market's concerns about international trade and providing momentum for gold prices to rise. Gold prices rose 1% last Friday, closing at 3357, as investors sought safe-haven assets after US President Trump announced multiple tariff measures. Analysts said the uncertainty premium has returned to the market again. Last week, Trump stepped up his tariff offensive against Canada, saying that the United States would impose a 35% tariff on Canadian imports in August and planned to impose a comprehensive tariff of 15% or 20% on most other trading partners. Trump also announced last week that he would impose a 50% tariff on imported copper and a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods.
Gold operation suggestions:
From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3349--53 range support, and the upper pressure focuses on the suppression near the 3400-3412 range. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3350. If the four-hour level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy on dips.
Buy: 3350near
Buy: 3356near
XAUUSD (Gold) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)In continuation :-
The future outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) is a complex interplay of various macroeconomic factors, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment. As of mid-July 2025, several key themes are likely to shape its trajectory:
Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Expectations (Central Bank Actions):
Impact: Gold is a non-yielding asset. Therefore, its attractiveness is highly sensitive to interest rate movements. Higher interest rates (or expectations of them) tend to increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, as investors can earn more from interest-bearing assets like bonds. Conversely, lower rates or a more dovish stance from central banks (like the U.S. Federal Reserve, ECB, BoJ) reduce this opportunity cost, making gold more appealing.
Current Context: As of mid-2025, markets are closely watching central bank rhetoric regarding potential rate cuts. If inflation continues to moderate, leading to clearer signals or actual rate cuts, this would likely be a positive catalyst for gold prices. However, if inflation proves stickier or central banks maintain a "higher for longer" policy, gold could face headwinds.
Inflation Outlook:
Impact: Gold has historically been considered a hedge against inflation and a store of value during periods of rising prices.
Current Context: If inflation remains elevated or shows signs of re-accelerating, demand for gold as an inflation hedge could increase, providing support to prices. If inflation falls back significantly to central bank targets, this traditional appeal might lessen somewhat, unless other safe-haven drivers emerge.
U.S. Dollar Strength:
Impact: Gold is primarily priced in U.S. dollars. A stronger U.S. dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers holding other currencies, potentially dampening demand. A weaker dollar has the opposite effect, making gold cheaper and generally supportive of higher gold prices.
Current Context: The dollar's strength is heavily influenced by U.S. interest rate differentials and the relative economic performance of the U.S. versus other major economies. A "risk-off" environment can also lead to dollar strength (as a safe-haven itself), which can create a counteracting force for gold.
Geopolitical Risks and Economic Uncertainty:
Impact: Gold is a classic "safe-haven" asset. In times of increased geopolitical tension, economic instability, financial market turmoil, or escalating conflicts, investor demand for gold typically surges as a store of value.
Current Context: Global geopolitical landscape remains complex, with ongoing regional conflicts, trade disputes, and political uncertainties. Any escalation in these areas would likely contribute to increased safe-haven demand for gold. Similarly, if there are growing concerns about a global economic slowdown or recession, gold's appeal as a safe haven could strengthen.
Central Bank Gold Demand:
Impact: Central banks globally have been significant buyers of gold in recent years, diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar. Their sustained buying provides a structural floor to gold demand.
Current Context: Continued strong buying by central banks, particularly from emerging economies, is expected to remain a supportive factor for gold prices in the medium to long term.
Overall Future Outlook (Mid-July 2025 Perspective):
The outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) appears cautiously bullish in the medium term, with potential for continued appreciation.
Positive Drivers: The primary drivers are the increasing likelihood of future interest rate cuts (even if gradual), potentially persistent underlying inflation concerns, and the ongoing elevated geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties. Continued strong central bank demand further underpins this outlook.
Potential Headwinds: A significantly stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar (e.g., due to a major global "risk-off" event that drives dollar demand, or robust U.S. economic outperformance leading to delayed rate cuts) could provide a counteracting force. Rapid disinflation could also temper some of gold's appeal.
In summary, Gold is likely to remain an important asset in investor portfolios, acting as both an inflation hedge and a safe haven. Its price action will be particularly sensitive to central bank policy shifts and global stability.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions
Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment.
While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365.
A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395.
However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329.
Pivot: 3342
Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395
Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
XAU/USD technical analysis setup Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 6-hour timeframe, focusing on a key resistance zone that could trigger either a bullish breakout or a bearish reversal.
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Analysis Summary
Current Price: $3,357.95
Trend Context: Price is testing a strong resistance zone with a possible breakout or rejection in play.
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Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
1. Resistance Zone: $3,357–$3,372
Multiple previous rejections.
A confirmed close above $3,372.77 signals bullish strength.
2. Upside Targets:
Target 1: $3,393.87
Target 2: $3,452.08
3. Indicators:
RSI at 63.74, approaching overbought but still with room to rally.
EMA 200 is trending upward, supporting bullish bias.
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Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
1. If price fails to close above $3,372.77, a rejection from resistance is likely.
2. Downside Targets:
Reversal projected toward the key support zone at $3,246.97
EMA 200 at $3,300.97 may provide temporary support before breakdown.
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Trade Ideas
Direction Entry Level Stop-Loss Target 1 Target 2
Bullish Close above $3,372 Below $3,346 $3,393.87 $3,452.08
Bearish Rejection from $3,357–$3,372 Above $3,380 $3,300 → $3,246.97
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
This is a critical decision point for Gold. A breakout above resistance can propel price to $3,450, while rejection could drive price back to $3,246. The reaction at the current zone will dictate the next major swing.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3365-3380-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic ReleasesGold Outlook – 14 July | Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic Releases
🌍 Market Sentiment & Macro Overview
Gold has started the week with a sharp retracement after filling prior liquidity gaps (FVG) from the past two weeks.
This early weakness signals a risk-off tone as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of a heavy macroeconomic calendar and geopolitical trade discussions.
This week’s high-impact events include:
📌 US CPI (Inflation Data)
📌 US PPI (Producer Prices)
📌 Unemployment Claims
📌 Retail Sales Figures
These data points will likely set the tone for price action through the second half of the week, with potential for sharp moves in gold.
📉 Technical Snapshot – M30 Chart Structure
Price swept minor liquidity above recent highs
Pulled back by more than $15 from the short-term top
Currently trading below the intraday VPOC (~3358), suggesting short-term bearish momentum
If the selling pressure holds, we may see a move toward:
⚠️ 333x zone — initial liquidity pool
❗ 332x zone — deeper liquidity grab before any bullish reversal
🧭 Trading Plan – Key Zones and Setup
📥 Buy Setup: 3331 – 3329 (Zone of Interest)
Stop Loss: 3325
Target Levels:
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3344
TP4: 3350
TP5: 3360 – 3370
✅ A highly reactive zone — ideal for intraday long setups if price sweeps into this area and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., volume spike or rejection wick).
📤 Sell Setup: 3393 – 3395 (Resistance Re-Test)
Stop Loss: 3399
Target Levels:
TP1: 3390
TP2: 3386
TP3: 3382
TP4: 3378
TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360
📉 Potential scalp zone if price retests resistance with signs of exhaustion. Monitor closely for bearish structure confirmation.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
3358
3368
3374
3394
Support Zones:
3349
3340
3331
3318
These zones remain relevant for both momentum trades and reversion setups.
⚠️ Strategy Considerations
At the time of writing, gold is trading indecisively around the M30 VPOC. No clear breakout has occurred yet.
⏳ Wait for volume confirmation during the London session
🚫 Avoid impulsive entries based on emotions or FOMO
✅ Stick to your risk parameters and let price come to your level
🧠 Summary & Bias
Gold is experiencing an early-week technical correction after recent strength.
The market is in "wait-and-see" mode, with macro drivers likely to dictate direction from mid-week onwards.
📍 Watch the 3331–3329 zone closely — it remains the most attractive level for long setups.
📍 The 3393–3395 zone is a key area to fade strength if price struggles at resistance.
Patience and precision are key this week. Let the market reveal its intention, and trade accordingly.
Volatile Times for GBPJPY: What’s Going On Behind the Moves?Good morning, Guys,
I’m anticipating a new short opportunity on GBPJPY once the pair reaches my sell zone level. From there, my target is set at 197.934.
Every like from you is what truly motivates me to keep sharing these insights.
Massive thanks to everyone who shows love and support!