XAUUSD - Gold buyers no longer afraid of risksLast week was a week of losses for global indexes, especially for the U.S. There was a sharp fall due to the long-lasting trade war between the U.S. and China, which has yet to yield any results and is strained by new reciprocal tariffs. Investors increased demand for secure assets while risk appetite continues to fall. This demand has been especially beneficial for gold per ounce in the recent period. Commodities , which were stuck at $1,300-1,400 throughout the year, have recently increased their upward momentum. Major investment firms raised their price estimates up to $2,000. However, short-term resistance levels at 1534-1550 and 1575 may come to the forefront. The continuation of the trade war between the U.S. and China, downward sloping bond yield curves, and most importantly, the FED remaining on the interest rate path play an important role in the continuation of the uptrend. Support levels at 1507-1493 are critical in fallbacks. During the week, PMI figures also came from Europe, Asia and the U.S. This data, which is the leading indicator of growth, is quite weak. JP Morgan Global Composite PMI is at its lowest level in recent years. In short, recession pricing is prevalent in economies. This environment benefits gold . Confidence indexes by the U.S. and Chinese industry profitability figures may stand out in the upcoming week. In addition, developments in the Italian elections, the trade war and Brexit are important for the direction of pricing.
As long as global risks are not eliminated, an upward trend in gold per ounce can be expected.
Support - 1496
Resistance - 1555
Breakout - 1557
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Goldoutlook
Gold: A Few Slight Retracements; 1450 Soon; 1500 Within ReachI have discussed at length in my previous posts where I think Gold will go and the specific reasons for my conclusions. As such, I will refrain from repeating.
To keep it simple, I see 1450 as the next major hurdle and once 1450 is broken we will be set to reach and exceed 1500 within 3 weeks afterwards. Until then it will take some volatility before we get to 1450 and a lot of false bear flags will be dished out.
As a rule of thumb when trading Gold and Silver: never panic sell and always wait for two consecutive trading sessions for confirmation.
I expect Gold to do the following in the near-term:
1) 1440ish (current) --> 1443-1446 (Sunday futures open)
2) 1443-1446 --> 1431-1438
3) 1431-1438 --> 1447
4) 1447 --> 1440-1442
*5) 1440-1442 --> 1450 --> 1470 --> 1490 --> 1500 and beyond
*Slight retracements after 1450 on the journey to 1500 but nothing major.
I expect we will reach 1450 by this coming week and we will top 1500 anytime in September. Longer-term I am still eyeing 1700+ by the mid-point of 2020.
If Gold happens to gap fill some lower levels into the 1416-1421 range it will be very quick and sometime Sunday overnight into pre-dawn Monday.
- zSplit
GOLD SHORTThe reason why we feel GOLD may Rise.
* On weekly basis it has just started moving DOWN
* To SINL and come near 1228 levels
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is Sinking.
* RSI (14,CLOSE) is Sinking.
* CCI (20,CLOSE) is Sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to Rise. Our SELL call shall be from SELL BELOW :1245.09, SL:1249.60, Tgt 01:1233.82, Tgt.02: 1228.83, Tgt 03:1213.46
. The view expressed here is on weekly basis. [b ]Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
DJIA SHORT ::: REVERSAL CALLDJIA is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may sink.
01. It has CLEARED quarterly TARGET 02 level. and may come down for a bounce back soon.
02. Bearish Engulfing in daily Chart.
03. To sink and come near 1204 to 1197 levels
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may sink.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our sell call shall be from sell bellow:1218. with a SL @: 1222 Tgt01: 1208 Tgt02: 1204 Tgt03: 1190. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
GOLD SHORT ::: RISK CALL :::GOLD is expected to SINK.
There are many reason why we feel it may SINK
* HAMMER in WEEKLY Chart.
* To SINK and come near 1199 LEVELS
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it maySINK.
* RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
* CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also the same
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our Short call shall be from 1215 with a SL @:1230 Tgt01: 1207 Tgt02: 1199 Tgt03: 1187. We are expecting this to happen shortly. We expect a sharp bounce back by mid week Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
Gold ShortGOLD is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may rise.
01. It had almost touched Target 03 of Quartely.
02. Hammer pattern in daily Chart.
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may sink.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our sell call shall be from short below 1225 sl @ 1237 for a target 1208. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.