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Goldpattern

Oolong news stirs up gold market trend analysisWe decisively prompted support and arranged long orders near 3320. While the bottom stabilized, Trump suddenly released a smoke bomb, saying that he was considering whether to fire Fed Chairman Powell. The risk aversion sentiment exploded instantly, and gold soared in the short term, hitting the target of 3340-3345 in a few minutes, and the highest rose to 3377! But then Trump denied the relevant plan, and the risk aversion sentiment quickly cooled down. The gold price immediately fell from a high level, and the market returned to a volatile pattern. At present, the risk aversion drive has been falsified. In the short term, we need to focus on the trend opportunities after the high and fall. Considering that the news is still uncertain, it is recommended to wait and see first, and wait for the situation to become clearer before entering the market. 🔍Technical observation: The 1-hour chart of gold shows an obvious high and fall pattern, accompanied by a long upper shadow line closing. If there is no new risk aversion stimulus, the short-term momentum for another attack is limited. 📉Operational suggestions: Maintain the main idea of rebound short selling, pay attention to the short-term pressure in the 3365-3370 range, and choose to arrange short orders. ⚠️It should be noted that news has a great impact on the market. Transactions need to be executed decisively, but be careful not to be led by short-term fluctuations. Strict implementation of trading plans is the key.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel
Trump's tariff news stimulates gold to explode! 📌 Driving Events Gold prices rose for the third consecutive day and are expected to close higher this week. The trend turned in favor of gold buyers as tariff tensions intensified. US President Trump announced new tariffs, exacerbating concerns about a trade war. 📊Personal Comments: Signs of instability in Trump's trade policy have once again hit investor confidence, reviving safe-haven demand for gold. In the absence of any top US economic data, the market will continue to focus on trade headlines. Weekend fund flows may also drive gold price movements. ⭐️Set Gold Price: 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3360-3369 SL 3374 TP1: $3355 TP2: $3342 TP3: $3325 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
XAUUSD – Key Inflection Zone Before Core PCE Price Index m/mGold opened today with a bearish gap, once again struggling to stay above the 3327–3305 support zone, the same range where it hovered yesterday. While the price did form a higher low and higher high structure on the lower timeframes, this move still lacks the strength to signal a proper reversal—rather, it looks more like a minor consolidation ahead of tonight’s US GDP and Unemployment Claims release. At this point, gold is trapped between two key forces: A resilient resistance zone formed by the downtrendline, unfilled gap from earlier this week, and confluence of MA50 & MA200 A rising minor support trendline, creating a tightening range and indicating that the next breakout may provide a clearer direction. ⚠️ Technical Outlook As long as gold remains below 3366–3367, the prevailing downtrend structure remains valid. Any rally into that zone should be viewed cautiously, especially if accompanied by weak volume or rejection candles. However, if gold manages to break and close H4 above 3367, it could trigger a short-term correction toward 3396 or even higher, aiming to fill the previous gap. But so far, the momentum remains bearish, and lower highs continue to dominate the mid-term structure. 🔽 Trade Idea (Cautious Swing Trade) Due to the wide stop-loss required, we recommend using reduced position size to maintain proper risk management. 🔵 Sell Area: 3358 – 3367 ❌ Stop Loss: 3396 (above the trendline and prior key high) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3331 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3306 🎯 Take Profit 3: 3289 🧠 Risk Level: Moderate to High (Lot size should be adjusted) R3: 3379 R2: 3366 R1: 3350 Pivot: 3327 S1: 3305 S2: 3286 S3: 3256
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Gold may usher in new opportunities Key fundamental drivers - Middle East tensions and nuclear negotiations Despite the ongoing tensions, Iran's signal of restarting nuclear talks has reduced risk aversion, triggering an intraday sell-off in gold, and the market has digested the reduced possibility of escalation of the conflict. The turbulent situation in the Middle East remains a trigger for market volatility, and any downgrade/escalation signals may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices. - Fed policy and rate cut bets The Fed kept interest rates unchanged this week, but Powell's "data-dependent" stance has raised market expectations for a September rate cut to 60%. A dovish meeting statement could push gold prices above $3,400, while a delayed rate cut signal could drag gold prices to $3,350. Short-term outlook In the short term, gold prices may fluctuate between $3,350 and $3,450, and a breakthrough depends on: - Upside catalyst: Escalating tensions in the Middle East + weak retail sales data may push gold prices to $3,450. - Downside risks: Fed hawkish signals + fading geopolitical risks could push prices to $3,300. Key event risks - June 19: Fed policy meeting (expected to be dovish) - June 21: US CPI data (inflation indicator to measure the timing of rate cuts) - Middle East situation: progress in nuclear negotiations and conflict dynamics 💰Strategy Package Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3390-33396 SL 3400 TP1: 3380 US dollars TP2: 3375 US dollars 🔥Buy gold area: $3374-$3366 SL $3360 TP1: 3390 US dollars TP2: 3400 US dollars
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
With bulls and bears in a stalemate, where will gold go?Gold fell under pressure around 3384 in the early trading on Thursday, and then rebounded after falling to 3361. The highest in the European session reached around 3403, and then fell back due to resistance. The US session accelerated its decline, reaching a minimum of 3339, and then rebounded in the late trading, closing in the negative on the daily line. The daily trend continued to fluctuate in a positive and negative cycle. On Thursday, it rose and fell, closed in the negative and fell below the 5-day moving average. Today, we will focus on the resistance position of 3405. Whether it can break through will determine the strength of the bulls in the future market. The risk of continuous negative daily lines cannot be ruled out. The support below is the key points of 3330 and 3300. The 4-hour fluctuation range is locked at 3385-3335. The fluctuation space in the Asian and European sessions is limited. It is recommended to sell high and buy low. For stable trading, it is recommended to go long in the 3340-3350 area. The overall bullish trend has not changed, and the impact of non-agricultural data is limited. It is expected that gold will most likely rise and fall. Remember not to chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for opportunities. Steady trading, precise attack!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
2
Gold starts a new trend? What is the reason?Gold prices rebounded, and the phenomenon of "buying on dips" appeared after hitting the low of the week earlier. In addition, the US Trade Court ruled that President Donald Trump's tariffs on major trading partners exceeded his authority, which attracted market attention. Investors' focus has gradually shifted to the US core inflation data to be released this week. So far, the price of gold has risen by 0.91%, and the price has fluctuated around 3315. It hit the lowest point since May 20 during the European and Asian sessions. The cyclical market presents a three-wave pattern. The first two periods showed a trend of rising first, then falling, and then rising again. It is currently entering the third period. The current rally has basically ended and will usher in a small decline. I believe that the current rise in gold is partly due to technical covering, while economic uncertainty continues to support gold prices amid ongoing US debt problems and global trade tensions. In addition, there are reports that the United States has ordered a large number of companies not to export goods to China without permission, and revoked the export licenses that some suppliers have obtained. The current market is focusing on the US GDP data to be released later and the core personal consumption expenditure price index to be released on Friday. These two data will become an important basis for judging the future interest rate path of the Federal Reserve. I will also pay attention to the release of news in a timely manner so as to update you in time on the impact of news on gold prices. Please be patient, traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated?Overview: Gold has shown renewed bullish momentum, recently testing the 3360+ zone. While the rally appears impulsive, system-based structure mapping suggests it may still be part of a broader setup — not the true breakout. We're observing a possible ABCDE triangle structure, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this scenario holds, the market could revisit levels below 3044, possibly toward 2950–3000, before completing Wave-E and resuming the larger bullish move. This aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where current highs serve to attract buyers before a deeper liquidity move unfolds. ❗ If the 3-Drive pattern is invalidated and price sustains above 3366, the downside leg may already be complete — meaning Wave-E might be in progress. 🔍 Market Intention Signs of liquidity hunting above 3360 hint at unfinished business by Smart Money (SM) - drawing in late buyers. Market may be positioning to sweep lows before revealing its actual direction. 🎯 Action Zone Anticipate rejection or weakness in the 3360–3370 resistance zone. If a lower high confirms here → potential downside toward the 3040–2950 zone. If price breaks and holds above 3366 impulsively, it may signal early Wave-E continuation. Bullish setups become favorable below 3044, where liquidity is likely absorbed — confirmation from the system remains key before acting. 📌 System-Based Order Limits (4H–Daily Confluence) Bias >Entry Zone >Stop Loss (SL) >Take Profit (TP) Sell Setup >3354.33 >3364.14 >3342.15 Buy Setup >3345.86 >3336.05 >3358.04 📌 System-Based Order Limits (Daily–Weekly–Monthly Confluence) Levels derived based on structured order-flow logic. Not financial advice. Use them as context for anticipation and invalidation. 🔹 Daily Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3350.95 3281.20 3399.82 Sell 3302.39 3372.14 3253.52 🔸 Weekly Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3335.02 3192.49 3434.89 Sell 3235.80 3378.33 3135.93 🔻 Monthly Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3374.47 3097.33 3568.65 Sell 3181.54 3458.68 2987.36 🔁 How to Use This Information Anticipation Zones: These are not "trade calls" — rather, they’re zones of interest where Smart Money might act. Cross-Validation : Look for price reactions around these levels aligned with structure, volume, and bias thresholds. Invalidation Clarity: If price breaks and holds above/below the SL levels, reassess the current wave position or pattern unfolding. 🧠 Final Insight Including these order levels allows traders to: Frame entries based on their preferred timeframes See how short-term setups may align or contradict macro levels Plan decisions more systematically, reducing emotional entries 🧠 Decision Framework Instead of reacting emotionally, allow structure to lead the logic. Let the market show its hand — real confirmation comes after traps are complete. The true opportunity lies after the liquidity event, not during it. > Timing Consideration: > When price moves past the Red, Grey, Green, and Blue dynamic levels , it signals a potential shift—prompting readiness for entry. However, action should only be taken once a Buy/Sell order signal appears and is confirmed by the next closed candle. This ensures structured execution and prevents premature entries. 💡 This scenario is structured based on system rules, not prediction. Market intent unfolds dynamically — understanding the setup allows better anticipation and discipline. The key-level to watch for Grey, Green and Blue dynamic level for guides: Daily TF Weekly TF Monthly TF As of the time writing this update – the micro cycle and key-level are relevant for watch: 2H TF M45 TF M15 TF
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSDLong
by jerryfc000
Gold Trends and Trading StrategiesThe gold market continued to fluctuate yesterday, and the price was repeatedly under pressure at the key position of 3250. At the weekly level, gold prices tried to rebound after bottoming out on Friday, but the upper short-term moving average formed technical suppression, and the daily line closed with a cross star with long upper and lower shadows, and the long-short game was fierce. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a descending channel pattern. The price rebounded after testing the lower track of the channel many times, but it has never effectively broken through the 3250 central axis suppression. The hourly chart shows that the market maintains a rhythm of shock correction. The current daily line has two Yins and one Yang, but it has not effectively broken the previous low. It is expected that the bottoming and rebounding mode may continue today. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3260-3200 range, and rely on the upper and lower edges of the channel to implement a high-altitude low-multiple strategy. Gold operation suggestions: 1. Short near the rebound of 3247-3252, target 3230-3220. 2. Go long near the retracement of 3206-3215, target 3230-3245.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD MONTHLY OUTLOOK — MAY 2025🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Long-term bullish | Near-term exhaustion 🔎 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW ✅ HTF Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 2075 (2020/2022 resistance) ✅ Sustained higher highs + strong impulse candles since Oct 2023 ⛔️ Price just wicked into Monthly FIB Extension Zone (1.618–2.0) = 3440–3500 ⚠️ Bearish wick formed near 3500, suggesting premium rejection 🧠 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES (Monthly) Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply 3440–3500 Monthly FIB Extension zone + rejection wick + final extension of long-term bull leg 🔼 Resistance 3222–3242 Previous OB and last BOS area before wick spike — possible retest point ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3160–3185 Equilibrium / liquidity trap area seen on H4/D1 🟩 Monthly Demand 2960–3050 Large unmitigated zone + FVG + consolidation base before impulse 🟦 Discount Range 2800–2950 Key reaccumulation blocks from 2023 rallies 🔮 MACRO + MARKET CONTEXT 💬 Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing inflation concerns and Fed credibility under fire after CPI/UoM combo 📉 UoM Sentiment: Dropped below expectations = recessionary anxiety 📊 Inflation Expectations: Came in hotter = market confused, no clean direction 🗣️ Powell speech + May FOMC aftermath = market lacks conviction, stuck in uncertainty 🧭 STRATEGIC SCENARIOS ✅ Bullish Continuation (if retracement holds above 3160–3180) Potential reentry toward 3240–3250 and re-test upper wick zone >3440 Must see H4 CHoCH + volume confluence ❌ Bearish Retracement (if lower timeframes lose 3160) Deeper move likely toward 3050–3080 = Monthly demand base Below that = consolidation back to 2960 ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION Applied from breakout leg Oct 2023 (Low ~1810 to High ~2222 → projected from pullback at ~1984) Extension targets: 1.272 = ✅ Reached 1.618 = 3440 = tapped 2.0 = 3500 = wick rejection We are now reacting inside a fully extended bullish range, which supports a monthly cool-off. 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold hit the monthly moonshot. Now it’s all about real structure and rotation: 💡 Watch how price respects the 3160–3180 range. Lose that — and we dive back toward 3050–3080. Hold it — and we reload for the final frontier above 3440. Gold’s Monthly Jetpack Ran Out of Fuel at 3500 🚀🔥 — Now It’s All About Gravity and Structure." From FIB extensions to wick rejections, this is not the time to chase... it’s the time to react. Comment, follow, and stay sharp — sniper mode never sleeps. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue. From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold breaks through 3350. Can the bullish pattern continue?In the early Asian session, gold rose rapidly and broke through the 3350 resistance level predicted by Quaid. Fundamental analysis: US political developments also add uncertainty to the market. The Trump administration's decision to impose a 100% tariff on imported films shocked the market, and this unpredictable trade policy weakened market confidence. Although the dollar was supported by strong employment data, it still struggled to gain substantial upward momentum, which further supported gold prices. Economic uncertainty also boosted gold prices. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to start a rate cut cycle in the near future, which weakens the attractiveness of interest-bearing assets and increases the relative value of non-yielding gold. However, many traders remain cautious and avoid building large positions, waiting for clearer policy signals. Technical analysis interpretation: From the monthly chart analysis, gold breaking through the neckline becomes a key trigger point. The pattern measures the depth from the neckline to the bottom of the head and projects it upward, giving a target price range of $3200-3300, which has now been achieved. In addition, the pattern is not only technically strong, but also psychologically significant. A breakout after a long period of consolidation often attracts new long-term market participants and speculators. Market Observation: Current market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. On the one hand, macro uncertainty and risk aversion demand drive funds to the gold market; on the other hand, concerns about the timing and magnitude of the Fed's policy adjustments restrict the willingness of some bulls to take risks. Quaid Analysis: Bull Outlook After the gold price breaks through the 3350 resistance level I predicted, the next target range may point to 3380-3400. Short Outlook In the short term, gold may face technical pullback pressure. The main support levels are at 3330 and 3300. If it falls below 3300, it may trigger a deeper pullback to around 3240. Quaid believes that the market's expectations for the Fed's shift may be too optimistic. If future data show that inflationary pressure remains stubborn or economic resilience exceeds expectations, it may lead to a delay in expectations for rate cuts, thereby putting pressure on gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
Gold plunged $36 during Asian trading hours. What's the reason?Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session, and the current price of gold is around $3,310/ounce, a plunge of $36 during the day. In the optimistic market sentiment, the recovery of US dollar demand seems to put downward pressure on gold prices. Quaid believes that optimism about the possible progress in trade negotiations between the United States and its major trading partners supports risk appetite, boosts the performance of the US dollar against major currency competitors, and gold sellers are trying to regain control. The Wall Street Journal said that weakening the impact of auto tariffs is the latest concession of Trump's trade policy after market turmoil and fierce lobbying by companies and other countries. Looking ahead to this trading day, trade headlines and the re-adjustment of positions at the end of the month will play a key role in driving gold prices. Trading analysis: From a technical point of view, gold prices are currently trying to break down again after failing to confirm a break below the three-week rising channel on Monday. However, as the 14-day relative strength index is still above the midline, any decline in gold prices may be quickly bought. During Asian trading hours, gold must close at the rising trend line support of $3,300/oz to confirm a break below the rising channel. Long-term important support for gold prices is in the $3,260/oz area. If gold prices continue to fall below the above level, a new downward trend towards the $2,975 area will begin. If buyers defend the above channel support of $3,300/oz, a rebound to the static resistance of $3,370/oz will be inevitable. If gold prices continue to recover, the target will be $3,400/oz, followed by the historical high of $3,500/oz. The market is currently in a state of sideways fluctuations. I hope Quaid's analysis can help all traders understand the trend of gold in depth.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
XAUUSD – Daily Outlook (April 28, 2025)Gold continues to trade near all-time highs after last week’s explosive rally. However, the most recent Daily candle shows a clear long-wick rejection into the premium supply zone (around 3350–3430), suggesting that smart money may be defending this level. ✅ Structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. ✅ Momentum slowed slightly after touching the upper extreme. ✅ Price is still holding above the previous daily range breakout. At the same time: ⚠️ Buyers are showing signs of exhaustion after tapping into the premium supply zone. ⚠️ Volume on the last bullish candle was lower compared to the recent bearish reaction. ⚠️ The last daily wick indicates possible trapped buyers at the highs. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 3350–3430 (premium supply rejection) Support Zone: 3280–3300 (former breakout zone) Deeper Support: 3120–3160 (mid-range liquidity pocket) What’s Next? As long as Gold stays above 3280, the broader bullish bias remains intact. However, a clean daily close below 3280 could trigger deeper retracements into 3240 or even 3160 zones before bulls regain strength. Patience is key here: let price tell its story between the premium rejection and the former breakout zone. 🔔 Final Thought: Gold is not in a rush. Neither should you be. Stay sharp, stay patient — the best setups often appear when most traders lose their discipline. Follow for more clean updates, sniper entries, and smart market flow insights. Let’s grow together! 🚀💛
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
GOLD, Is it 5th Wave?1. Sharp Movement, Steep Trade Angle 2. Length of 3rd Wave is equal to 5th Wave 3. Ascending Channel TGT is completed 4. Divergence in the Price Movement 5. Nifty Price Movement - It is at a breakout point. The Correlation between 2 asset classes is approximately Negative 0.30 to 0.35 post Covid If this is the case, then price may not move beyond 1 Lakh This will be a great opportunity to book the profit in gold; it may correct to 70000 or below in the next few months.
MCX:GOLD1!
by OK_Rane
XAUUSD – 4H Key Levels Map (as of April 13, 2025)🔍 XAUUSD – 4H Key Levels Map (as of April 13, 2025) 🔼 Key Resistance Zone – 3,275–3,285 (Premium + Weak High Zone) Why it matters: This is where price reached extreme premium and swept a weak high. It’s also the highest H4 imbalance zone. What to watch: Watch for rejection patterns: M5/M15 CHoCH, bearish OB rejections, or RSI bearish divergence. If price closes above 3,285 with volume and EMA5 lock → watch for bullish continuation and potential new ATHs. 🟦 Mid-Level Liquidity Pocket – 3,221–3,233 (Previous H4 FVG zone) Why it matters: This zone was the launchpad of the impulsive move. It still holds unmitigated imbalance. What to watch: First retest of this zone could offer a bounce. If broken cleanly → invalidates recent push, opens path to deeper retrace. Look for M15 CHoCH + bullish OB to validate reentry if we drop here. 🧊 Support Zone – 3,065–3,085 (Previous H4 BOS + FVG) Why it matters: Clean BOS level where structure flipped bullish. Imbalance is also present. What to watch: Major zone for potential retracement buys. If price rejects here on higher timeframe → signs of continuation. EMA5/21 alignment above this zone supports bullish momentum. 🔽 Ultimate H4 Demand Zone – 2,958–2,972 (Discount Zone) Why it matters: Previous accumulation range, massive unmitigated imbalance, and strong HL. What to watch: Extreme demand zone — only in case of full market correction. Watch for long wicks or liquidity grabs with M15/M5 CHoCH confirmation. ✅ Summary: Gold is still flexing bullish strength, but we’re deep into premium. Don’t rush — let the price talk. If we reject the highs, be ready at 3,221 and 3,065 for potential entries. Stay patient, stay sharp — the clean setups are always worth the wait. 💛 Friendly Note to Fellow Traders: Take a deep breath, trust your levels, and don’t let FOMO drive your next click. Gold always gives another chance — if not today, then tomorrow. Happy trading, and if this helped, drop a like or comment — we’re all learning this magic together!
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1