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Goldpullback

XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Premium Pressure & Weak High Trap in Play Hey team! Hope you’re staying sharp as we close out this NFP week. Here’s your Daily Outlook for XAUUSD — built from clean structure, supply/demand logic, and current price action. 📍 Bias: Neutral → leaning bearish while inside premium rejection zone 🔹 1. 🔍 Daily Structure Overview Recent CHoCH down after failing to break above the weak high at ~3395. Price is reacting from premium supply and has now tapped a daily FVG near 3315. We're in a mid-premium rejection area, with multiple rejections from the 3350–3395 zone. 🔹 2. 📐 Key Daily Zones Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply Trap 3350 – 3395 Weak high, CHoCH zone, FVG, supply OB 🔽 Retracement Demand 3278 – 3262 Clean OB + imbalance zone (FVG) 🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3172 – 3140 Breaker block + daily wick base 🔽 Deep Demand (Discount) 2950 – 3020 Full retracement zone from last BOS 🔹 3. 📊 EMA Context (Daily) EMA 5/21 cross locked bullish — but starting to curl as momentum slows. Price is testing EMA21 from above; breakdown below it could invite further retracement. All EMAs still stacked bullish, but showing early signs of cool-off. 🔹 4. 🔢 Fibonacci Swing Swing used: 3245 (swing low) → 3395 (current top) Price is now below 38.2% retracement (~3335) 50% = 3320, 61.8% = 3300 → high confluence in this cluster for potential bounce or breakdown decision. 🔹 5. 📉 RSI Check RSI diverging slightly from highs → bearish divergence forming Currently near 58 → leaves room for downside without being oversold 🔹 6. 🌍 Macro Context NFP Report just released → Mixed numbers: NFP weak, unemployment up = mildly bullish gold CPI incoming – key for inflation outlook and Fed tone Market uncertain → risk-off flows could favor gold, but rejection from premium likely before CPI clarity ⚔️ Scenarios for June 9 Start 🔽 Bearish Plan (likely early-week setup) Rejection from 3335–3350 → short trigger zone TP1 = 3278 TP2 = 3172–3140 (if momentum extends) 🔼 Bullish Continuation Clean reclaim of 3350 and 3395 breakout → flip into aggressive bullish continuation Target = 3450–3500 FVG above current ATH ✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note We’re in the heart of the premium trap — don’t buy blindly into strength. Let price show intent. ⚠️ This week may be a pre-CPI fakeout zone — stay patient, let the structure guide you. 📣 If you’re watching this with us — drop your thoughts in the comments. Are we heading to 3170 first or flipping 3395 clean? Let’s crush the week, — GoldFxMinds 💡
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 STRUCTURE OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Price: 3,358 Bias: Bullish, but watch for major resistance and fakeouts at highs 🔎 STRUCTURAL ZONES TO WATCH Zone Type Price Range Reason / Confluence 🟥 PREMIUM SUPPLY 3,415–3,440 H4/H1 OB + FVG, unmitigated supply, previous HH sweep, top risk 🟥 SELL INTEREST 3,390–3,410 FVG + micro supply, previous LH zone, NY session high trap 🟦 MID FLIP ZONE 3,344–3,360 Recent CHoCH, local S/R flip, base of last impulsive move 🟩 SUPPORT #1 3,309–3,325 H4 OB + FVG, prior bounce, 21/50 EMA zone 🟩 SUPPORT #2 3,279–3,295 H4 demand, sweep + FVG, retest of previous structure 🟦 DEEP DEMAND 3,254–3,265 Strong OB, last HL, aligns with deep liquidity sweep on HTF 📈 QUICK CONTEXT (PA/RSI/EMA) Trend: Still bullish on H4, but approaching exhaustion into supply PA: Clean HH/HL, but sellers are waiting at the top RSI: Overbought zone – potential for sharp rejection near premium EMAs: Price above all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200), short-term stretched 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT Geopolitics: Middle East, US inflation, global uncertainty still fueling safe haven flows News: Monday open – watch for liquidity grabs and fakeouts in both directions ⚡️ HOW TO TRADE THESE ZONES Only react to confirmation (BOS, CHoCH, or engulf) on M15/M5 at key levels Avoid chasing candles at highs – best trades come from liquidity sweeps or trap zones Be patient around NY session for high-volume fakeouts 🎯 KEY LEVELS RECAP POI Price Range Bias Premium Supply 3,415–3,440 Sell trap / reversal zone Sell Interest 3,390–3,410 Short if rejection confirmed Mid Flip Zone 3,344–3,360 PA magnet, S/R reaction Support #1 3,309–3,325 Buy bounce on structure Support #2 3,279–3,295 Demand, look for sweep bounces Deep Demand 3,254–3,265 Extreme liquidity zone, last line of bulls Friendly Tip: Mark your key levels and watch price like a true sniper – don’t chase, wait for the trap! Which zone are you watching for the next big move? Drop your thoughts below, give a like if you value this structure, and follow for real-time gold plans and no-nonsense market insight. Stay sharp, team! 💡✨ — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
4
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 19, 2025“Between Bounce & Breakdown – Watch the Mid-Zone Traps 🎯” 🧠 Market Overview: Gold bounced last week from the 3160–3172 buy block, confirming demand at discount, but price remains stuck under multiple bearish supply layers. Until we reclaim structure above 3285, this is still a bearish pullback inside a bullish macro trend. → We’re now trading between sniper zones, where volume fades, fakeouts rise, and only confirmation wins. 🔍 STRUCTURE FLOW 🟩 3160–3172 → Confirmed buy zone from last week, clean bounce with CHoCH 🔴 3365–3375 → Daily rejection supply zone, created by imbalance wick & H4 OB 🟧 Price is now inside “mid-trap” territory (3205–3285) = avoid trading blindly 📌 KEY SNIPER ZONES (REFINED) 🔹 Zone Type Price Range Confluences 🟢 Buy Zone 1 3160–3172 OB + EQ liquidity + confirmed CHoCH (D1-H1 confluence) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 3212–3225 Internal FVG + H1 OB origin + 61.8% fib retrace 🔴 Sell Zone 1 3275–3285 Previous H4 OB + bearish NY reaction trap zone 🔴 Sell Zone 2 3312–3324 Internal liquidity sweep + imbalance fill 🔴 Sell Zone 3 3365–3375 Strong rejection + top of H4 imbalance ⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: EMA50/100 now sloping down = bearish short-term tone RSI near neutral (no divergence = trend-follow only) Daily candle closed inside mid-zone → no clear momentum = trade only on LTF CHoCH confirmations 🔔 RISK EVENTS (THIS WEEK) Thu, May 23 → Unemployment Claims + Flash PMIs + Housing Data Fri, May 24 → New Home Sales + FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative) → Expect fakeouts ahead of these. Stay reactive, not predictive. 🧭 DAILY PLAN 🔽 If price reclaims 3275–3285 and fails → sniper sell entry → TP 3225 / 3172 🔼 If price dips to 3212–3225 with M15 CHoCH → scalp buy to 3260–3270 ❌ Avoid entries in 3230–3265 → mid-zone chop trap 🧠 Final Thoughts: You don’t chase gold in mid-range. You don’t sell bottoms or buy tops. You wait at the edge of structure — with logic, confluence, and confirmation. That’s sniper mode. 🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper plans 💬 Drop your bias below — Break below 3172 or bounce back to 3320?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold XAUUSD How Long This Correction Will Continue! Read CaptionOANDA:XAUUSD forms a retreat and tests 2577 following a fake breakdown of 2546. After such a severe fall, it is a very reasonable response. The dollar is growing more quickly, and the fundamental context is still negative. China's ambiguous economic figures heightened economic worries. Powell stated that there is no need to lower interest rates right now because the economy is still expanding, the job market is strong, and inflation is still above the 2% target, but this uncertainty regarding future rate reduction by the US Federal Reserve is still weighing on the markets. Now, everyone's eyes are on the crucial retail sales data. Technically, it is important to watch the resistance at 2589 and the 0.5-0.7 fibo. Below these areas, a false breakdown and consolidation could lead to a collapse. Resistance levels: 2578, 2592, 2604. Support levels: 2543, 2532, 2504 Key : 2565 OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is currently indicating that the pullback up might be a little drawn out. Before the news, MM will probably aim for liquidity (above these levels). Bears may become active in response to a false breakout, which would only boost sales. However, the likelihood of a breakdown and decline will rise if there is a bounce from 0.5 fibo and a smooth recovery to 2546.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold 2 day TFIf gold breaks below the uptrend channel, I anticipate a further drop in its value. However, I have identified two specific areas where multiple factors converge, and I will keep an eye on them for potential buying opportunities. There are several factors that can cause the price of gold to rise: Supply and demand: Like any other commodity, the price of gold is affected by its supply and demand in the market. If the demand for gold exceeds its supply, the price of gold can rise. Economic and political instability: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven investment during times of economic and political uncertainty. In times of market volatility, investors may buy gold as a hedge against potential losses. Inflation: As the value of currency decreases due to inflation, investors may turn to gold as a store of value. Gold has historically maintained its value over time and can provide a hedge against inflation. Central bank policy: The policies of central banks, including changes in interest rates and quantitative easing, can affect the price of gold. For example, if central banks lower interest rates, it can lead to a weaker currency and an increased demand for gold. USD exchange rate: Gold is priced in USD, so changes in the exchange rate between the USD and other currencies can also impact the price of gold. If the USD weakens, it can make gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies.
TVC:GOLD
by ChartStrategist
GOLD IS CONSOLIDATED - XAUUSDGOLD is struggling hard to break the support 1752. Based on my previous analysis it was going well on Friday 8th oct it showed rejection form 1780-85. Now there are 2 possibility for you all to open sell order. When price strike to above resistance 1780-85 OR goes below 1750. Still main trend is down so we are not going to place any buy order. Our target is 1723 and blow. Just keep focus. Market will be volatile tomorrow as there a FOMO news. We might see some movement by tomorrow. Like our IDEA Follow Commet down.
TVC:GOLD
by rudravasaikarrr
2
Gold - Expect Near-Term Weakness Gold has had a great run, however i believe that we may very well see a slight easing before continuing higher, firstly let's look at some charts. Gold is below the daily 21 ema - This means that so long as we remain below this level, near-term the bears are in control. Gold has retraced to the weekly 10 ema - This is healthy within a strong bull market, to periodically return to these longer-term moving averages, but also note the highlighted regions when price fell below this moving average. Gold has YET to retrace to the monthly 5 ema - This, coupled with the monthly doji candle from August (signals indecision) leads me to believe that we will experience a drop to test the monthly 5 ema, currently around $1890 USD. Furthermore, the monthly stochastic is signaling a likely cross to the downside, all of this together leads me to believe that a move lower to test the monthly 5 ema, possibly even overshooting slightly lower to around $1800 is entirely on the cards. All this coupled with the sudden profit-taking in the stock market over the Thursday and Friday trading sessions leads me to believe that further weakness could kick next week off, not to mention the grossly overbought conditions within the stock market, from the put/call ratio, to the SKEW, to the spike in the VIX. It is worth mentioning that the cryptocurrency market also had a sharp selloff, PRIOR to the stock market selloff, what this says to me is that money is not merely rotating out of one asset and into another, but rather it is leaving the market as cash. We can also see the DXY strengthening (albeit only slightly, and within a stronger overall downtrend), this is also a major headwind for gold, as i wrote earlier, that a stronger dollar will reflect in a weaker gold price (generally speaking). I may very well be wrong, however i will personally be easing some of my exposure to see how things shake out. I also want to reiterate, i am very bullish on precious metals (hence the physical holdings) and i believe that the stock market will be a major beneficiary of truly awesome levels of inflation, however i am getting a slightly eerie, calm before the storm feeling and will be freeing up some capital to take advantage should that opportunity arise. -TradingEdge
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Profit_Link