Gold range shock , Both long and short have a chance!📌Fundamentals:
1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict
2. The US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
4. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flows
📊Technical aspects:
The market came out in the Asian session. It stalled again later. We are used to seeing fluctuations of hundreds of points. A fluctuation of more than ten or twenty points a day is the same as no fluctuation. At present, the market is temporarily maintained in the range of 3400-3360, and there is not much fluctuation. At present, let's see where the market breaks through. If it retreats to around 3360, follow up with long orders. If it rebounds to around 3400, follow up with short orders.
Goldsell
Gold fluctuates, long and short operations in the US market!
📊Comment analysis
At 14:00 on Wednesday, US time, Fed Chairman Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
The market generally expects that the FOMC will continue to remain on hold at this meeting, as the impact of tariff policies on inflation and the economy remains to be seen; the Fed may cut interest rates in June. Since this interest rate decision does not update economic forecasts, the focus will be on the Fed's accompanying comments on any signals of future interest rate cuts to support the economy. Since the decision to keep interest rates unchanged has been fully digested by the market, Powell's tone at the press conference will be the key to changing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts this year.
💰Strategy package
The US market is expected to remain volatile, and both long and short positions have opportunities. You only need to operate at a certain point. Go long on a short-term retracement to 3378 support, and go short when it reaches the upper resistance of 3408.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold is rising strongly. When can the bull market stop?🗞News side:
1. Trump announces renegotiation of USMCA
2. Pay attention to the Fed interest rate
📈Technical aspects:
Looking at the daily chart, gold prices are breaking through important resistance levels and forming a strong upward trend. The price is currently trading around 3410, with strong suppression at 3420-3430 above the short-term. If the gold price encounters resistance and pressure, gold may once again experience a correction. Therefore, when the gold price touches the 325-3435 line, you can try to place a short position. In terms of operation, after two consecutive positive days on the technical front, the bulls will continue further. The current short-term support has moved up to the 3386 line. 3386 is the early resistance that turned into support after breaking through. This will be an important support level. At the same time, the 3270-3260 line support below is still strong. Continue to look at the 3430-3450 line. Therefore, in terms of operation, we mainly do long positions on callbacks and supplementary short positions on rebounds.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The most important golden strategy📌Fundamentals:
Focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision
📊Technological aspects:
From the golden hour chart, the Asian market is in line with a wave of continued gains and the subsequent adjustment to the 10 moving average of 3350 has stabilized. The European market has slowly moved higher and is approaching the Asian market high. This pattern is still very strong, and there is a high probability of a second rise tonight; The 10 EMA is above 3370 as the primary support and continues to be bullish. As each line closes, the moving support will slowly move up. As long as it does not effectively break, the short squeeze will continue. A breakthrough of 3410 will also happen at any time. If it breaks through, it will be easy to continue to storm above 3420. If it rushes higher and falls back in the evening and falls below the 10 EMA, then If it adjusts to the middle track for the first time, there will still be good support, just continue to be bullish; comprehensively speaking, today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplementary.
🎯 Practical Strategy:
Short strategy: short gold when it rebounds around 3425-3430, target around 3400-3380.
Long strategy: long gold when it pulls back around 3365-3370, target around 3400-3420.
Short-term entry can be made at key points.📊Technical aspects:
|Gold showed a clear upward trend today driven by risk aversion, mainly because Trump announced a 100% tariff on films produced overseas, a move that triggered global concerns about trade wars and exacerbated economic uncertainty. In order to avoid risks, investors have turned to traditional safe-haven assets such as gold, resulting in a surge in demand for gold and a subsequent rise in prices. Currently, from the perspective of technical indicators, the 4-hour moving average is in a bullish arrangement, the Bollinger band is in an enlarged form, and the gold price is running close to the upper Bollinger band. Gold is still bullish, but the RSI shows overbought. Don't chase highs and beware of gold's highs and falls. It is recommended to go long again after a pullback.
🎯Practical strategy:
Go long when gold falls back to around 3385-75, with a target of around 3400. If it does not break, you can go short near 3400 and see a fall back near 3384.
Take profit for long orders during the day, the callback continu
Gold pulled back and went long and successfully stopped profit. Today's latest trading ideas are shared
Gold hit a high of 3386 in the morning and then fell back under pressure to reach a low of 3350. The long orders at the 3358 line that we shared with you gave several opportunities to enter the market, and the 3390 line target was realized as expected. At present, geopolitical conflicts have erupted again, and risk aversion is high. Today, we will pay attention to the pressure at the 3400 mark. If it pulls back, we will continue to go long, and shorting is also a short-term idea!
Gold trading reference ideas
Gold pulled back to 3376 and went long, defending 3368, with a target of 3400. If it breaks up, we can go short near 3416/20. If it does not break, we can go short near 3400, with a stop loss of 3406, and look for a pullback near 3384.
Gold is in line with the uptrend
After yesterday's sharp rise from 3238, spot gold continued to climb in the Asian market on Tuesday. The price of gold has now broken through the highest level of 3386 US dollars per ounce, and the daily increase is nearly 28 US dollars. At present, the price of gold remains close to the new record, and the rise is far from over. The global trade war has caused market concerns and continued to push the price of gold to new highs. Gold has become an asset for a new round of investment boom!
The market boom is coming, and the gold bulls are coming?
Banking giant Goldman Sachs released a bullish forecast report on gold, saying that if a recession becomes a reality, the gold price target will reach 3880 US dollars per ounce by the end of 2025. The forecast is based on the expectation that concerns about a recession will accelerate the inflow of funds into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), thereby pushing up gold prices.
In addition, Goldman Sachs warned that if the Federal Reserve loses its independence, the price of gold may soar to 4500 US dollars per ounce.
What do you think of today's gold trend!
Looking back at the current gold and silver, from the market point of view, the gold price trend has been stabilizing above the middle track, and the cycle bulls continue to line up. From the indicator point of view, the middle track has been hooking upward, and there is still room for an upward rebound in the short term. In addition, gold started from 3322 last week, and directly rose from 3322 to 3387. Now it is around 3367. So there is a point to pay attention to today, that is, the position of the middle track of 3334. It is still difficult to say whether it can be stepped back.
Don't expect a deep callback. The only difference between the oscillating market and the unilateral market is that the oscillation will come back, while the unilateral market will not. This is why we always emphasize the need to bring a good stop loss. In terms of the cycle rhythm, we have been participating in the cycle of time and space last week. At present, we can still participate in this pattern. There is one opportunity in the European and US markets. We will start at this time point during the day!
Gold: More near 3350, defend 40, and target the resistance of 3385-90! If it breaks below, wait for the two support levels of 3334-20 before considering!
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It’s the right time to short📌Fundamentals:
This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate decision, which is expected to dominate the market this week. In addition, we need to continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
📊Technical aspects:
The 1-hour moving average begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage of 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and gold will go short at 3325 first. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward without stepping back, there will be no opportunity to go long. Then there is no need to chase more gold. Go short first and look at the decline and adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to go short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3328-3330, and the support on the lower side is 3280-3293.
🎯Practical strategy:
Short gold when it rebounds to around 3325-3328, target around 3300-3280.
Buy gold when it falls back to 3280-3295, target around 3325-30.
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levels📌Fundamentals:
The market is still focused on Trump's tariffs, followed by geopolitical situations, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the Israeli-Palestinian ceasefire, and the Russia-Ukraine negotiations.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper pressure is around 3336-3345, and the lower support is around 3280-3293. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
🎯Practical strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds at 3336-45, with a target of 3280-3295.
2. Go long gold at 3280-3295, with a target of 3325-30.
Gold rises as a safe haven, how to plan the market outlook
📌 Gold Drivers
Gold prices rose more than 2% on Monday, benefiting from a weaker dollar and safe-haven inflows as U.S. President Donald Trump's new tariffs reignited concerns about the impact of a global trade war. Spot gold rose by more than 2.3%, US gold futures rose by 2.4%, and the US dollar index fell by 0.4%. On Sunday, Trump wrote on his social platform Truth Social: "I authorize the Department of Commerce and the United States Trade Representative to immediately initiate procedures to impose a 100% tariff on all films produced abroad entering the United States. We want to make movies in the United States again!" But he did not specify how these tariffs will be implemented.
📊Comment analysis
Gold prices continue to accumulate and have broken through 3330 points. It can be found that gold is now completely above the trend line.
💰Strategy package
The only suppression position above is currently around 3350.
The support below is currently at 3275-85.
If gold does not retreat, then the upper side will directly test the suppression near 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat next, then pay attention to 3275-85.
As long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-85 range, you can directly enter the market to do more.
Continue to look at 3350 above. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 in the future, you will see the 3380-3420 range.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold bulls are back in force. What is the operation strategy?The gold price has reached the sideways fluctuation range expected by Quid. This matches my morning prediction.
From the 4-hour trend:
Gold has now broken through the first upward resistance level predicted by Quid, and is currently fluctuating slightly in the 3315-3320 range.
The current upward resistance position is around 3330. The lower support is currently located at 3275-85. If gold does not retreat, then the upward trend may test the position around 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat, traders need to pay attention to the 3275-3285 decline range.
Quid believes that as long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-3285 range, then a long operation strategy can be carried out at this position.
The current upper high is still at 3350. If the upward resistance level of 3350 is broken later, I expect the price of gold to reach a height of 3380-3420.
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Continue to short gold when it rebounds to a high level
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a downward short position, and there is still room for gold shorts. Gold came under pressure at the 3270 line last week and fell back. Currently, the 1-hour gold is still fluctuating within a range. It is still mainly short above the rebound of gold.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3270, stop loss 3280, target 3240
Trade Plan – MGC (Micro Gold Futures) | Sunday, May 4Trend Bias (Multi-Timeframe Analysis):
• 1W: Bullish – Strong macro uptrend with pullback off all-time highs.
• 1D: Bearish – Lower highs and lower lows forming after topping out at $3,509.
• 4H: Bearish – Clean downtrend continuation forming.
• 1H: Bearish – Price rejected lower highs, now curling down again.
• 15M: Bullish – Short-term bounce from $3,210 low, but corrective in nature.
Trade Setup:
• Direction: Short
• Entry Zone: $3,250 – $3,260
• Price has retraced to a lower-high zone under supply; aligns with hourly resistance.
• Stop Loss: $3,270
• Just above 1H structure and 15M failed high.
• Take Profit: $3,210
• Prior swing low and liquidity zone.
what is fair value gap ? what is fair value gap ?
-This Analysis is based on educational purposes using the concepts of Smart Money and Liquidity Sweep area
- We create two fair Value gaps in which market will act on that
first one is between 3247 to 3260 area expecting move down from that point and touched 3192 to 3165 which is a strong liquidity zone
SELLGold is charging from a bullish perspective to bearish, and on H4 we can see bearish break of structure and a retracement but also a shift of structure to the down side and am expecting more sell side pressure for the coming week with my entry price set to be activated through Liquidity Engineering.
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals:
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
📊Technical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
Gold trend layout in the evening after the release of NFP data🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
📈Technical aspects:
The short orders in hand have already been profitable, and gold is now back near 3250, while the US dollar index has once again fallen by 100, reaching around 99.6, and the 1H moving average is currently showing signs of turning upward. The upper and lower shadow lines of the 1H K-line closing look like cross stars of equal length, which means that things may go wrong, and gold may rebound upwards in the short term. We can still focus on the resistance of 3260-3270 above, and further focus on the first-line resistance of 3280-3286, while the bottom has never been able to effectively break through the first-line support of 3240. If this week closes at 3240, then the market outlook next week will be conducive to long trading.
Intraday operation suggestions
🎁SELL 3260-3270
🎁TP 3245-3240
🎁BUY 3230-3240
🎁TP 3260-3270
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals:
The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below.
🎯Practical strategies:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.