Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;
European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;
🎯Practical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
Goldsell
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side:
1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed.
📈Technical aspects:
Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold trading ideas after key data releaseOn the news front, the US April ISM manufacturing PMI was higher than expected, which led to the US Treasury bonds giving up their gains. From a technical analysis point of view, after the gold price fell out of the strong support of 3260 in the shock range, this position turned into the short-term resistance level for our short-term reference, followed by the position of multiple entity K-lines at the hourly level of 3275. There is a possibility of breaking through 3260 in the later period, so 3275 can also be treated as a defensive position.
Although the price of gold has been hovering around 3220, our main bearish direction remains unchanged in the short term. The trading strategy given in the afternoon is still a reference. For rebound, first focus on the 3240-3250 first-line resistance, and further look at the top-bottom transition position of 3260-3270. You can participate in transactions in small batches. Below, focus on the 3210-3200 support, and if it falls below, look for the 3193 first-line.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage.
The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I shared a few hours ago has hit Take Profit at the RRR 1:2 level. This was the second TP level.
For those who wish, you can hold the trade until the TP level at 3206.35.
If the price approaches this level, don’t forget to move your SL to the entry point.
Wishing everyone a pleasant end to the day.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
Gold continues to fall, is it expected to reach 3210-3200?Yesterday we mentioned that the market may present a convergent triangle pattern. Today, the gold price has indeed ushered in a wave of sharp declines at the opening of the Asian session, and has fallen below the key support of 3260, and the lowest level has reached 3221. At present, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. In the short term, gold is still in a downward trend and is in a correction to overbought. The gold price is expected to reach 3210-3200. If it falls below this support range, it may even test the previous low of 3193. But at the same time, the 1H RSI indicator has fallen into the oversold area. Therefore, in terms of news, we need to pay attention to the initial jobless claims and PMI data during the US trading session today, and beware of the rebound after the correction.
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Updates - May 1st , ahead of Unemployment Claims & PMI News🔍 Gold Route Map – Updated May 1st | Macro Levels & Bias
📊 Today’s Key News (May 1st):
• 🕒 14:30 – Unemployment Claims (USD) • 🏭 14:45 – Final Manufacturing PMI • 🏭 15:00 – ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
Expect high volatility and whipsaws.
Gold continues its ruthless selloff, slicing through level after level with institutional precision. As we enter May, structure is loud and clear: bulls are out cold unless price proves otherwise.
👁🗨 Key Zones to Watch:
🔻 Resistance 3385 – HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 – Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 – Final barrier before shift
⚔️ 3315–3320 = Flip Zone
→ Flip = reclaim structure
→ Rejection = continuation sell
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 – Last OB Rejection
⚖️ 3286–3292 = Retest Range
→ Internal structure test
→ Weak support unless reinforced
🟩 3260–3270 = Reaction Zone
→ Confirmed demand
→ Last week’s sniper buy played from here
🟢 3252–3244 = Fresh Buy Zone
→ Strong OB + inefficiency
→ Eyes on reaction
🟢 3220–3235 = Major Discount Range
→ ⏳ Multi-timeframe OB + weekly FVG
🧊 3190–3205 = Daily Demand Shelf
→ If price nukes, this is where blood meets buyers
🧊 3160–3175 = April’s Demand Base
→ Mid-range accumulation shelf
📉 Current Bias
• HTF Trend: Bearish under ATH, clean lower highs • LTF Flow: Still bearish unless we flip above 3315 • Market Context: News-heavy week + low liquidity zones triggered this meltdown
🧠 Pro Tip: Don’t trade every bounce. Trade the right structure with proper confirmation. Most of the breakout noise is bait — only a few zones are true sniper setups.
Gold plays games. We play levels.
GoldMindsFX 🙏
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
Gold’s short trend intensifies! Main empty follow up.📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Gold, the price of this round has fallen from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded and repaired 3370; it rebounded to 3358 during the week and then weakened again. The Asian market opened with a rapid sell-off below 3260 and is now trading around 3234; the short position in each cycle is good, and the pre-non-agricultural market continues to be bearish. The target is adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168.
Short-term resistance 3235-3240, strong resistance 3246-3250, 3260 is not expected to arrive; short-term support 3220, strong support 3210-3194.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3240-3250, target 3220-3200.
XAUUSD Sells on possible tariffs reduction on ChinaFX:XAUUSD
XAUUSD
✏️Gold has rose roughly 30% since Trump took office in Jan 20 early this year, trading at about 2,700 per ounce, to highest at 3,500 on 22 April. Price has recently also reacted off the 0.79 fibre zone, giving a fantastic reaction upside, but failed to break above the HTF Resistance.
🔖Trump recently has also mentioned that he would not fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and we could see him lowering his 'tough guy' attitude towards China. On his recent speech in the Oval Office he said “I'm not going to say, oh I’m going to play hardball with China, I’m going to play a hardball with you, President Xi”, and “we’re going to be very nice”.
📌On the other hand, a White House official mentioned about possible reduction of the 145% tariffs to less than half of its current charges. Note that, this happened before the China's foreign ministry spokesperson Guo JiaKun clarified that the two countries had not held any negotiations on the tariffs, and reached to any agreements. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did mention about the rates being 'unsustainable', as well as Powell warning about Trump's tariffs worsening inflation and slowing the economy. From these sources, we could perceive it as, the US may desperately need the negotiations with China, than vice versa.
📌As mentioned by Radomski ( news article referred below), we could be experiencing the ‘Buy the Rumour, Sell the News' effect, where investors sought to buy low risk investment products, such as Gold at the beginning of the year due to expected tariffs implementation and trade wars, and selling safer investment products when they see better opportunities. Rarely, we experience ATHs after ATHs without significant corrections. Therefore in this scenario, we could expect at least a few % of short term correction in the near future.
Let me know what you guys think!
🔗Sources: www.investing.com
www.reuters.com
spectrumlocalnews.com
How to trade when ADP comes?The selling opportunity was announced earlier. XAUUSD successfully reached TP3306 and 3280.
It is predicted that the market will reach 3250 again. So now is a good time to sell.
When ADP is bullish. Continue to short after the rebound. If it is bearish. Then go short. The target is 3250-3230
Gold Price Analysis April 30The market's D frame continues to maintain a fixed price range, with a dispute between buyers and sellers in the range of 3345 and 3275.
With the sideways wave in recent days, the possibility of creating a Dow and decreasing the price of Gold will be higher than increasing to ATH slightly. Gold has just reacted from 3000 candle wick area yesterday, which is also the old breakout area. Gold can push up to 3324 in the European session. If it does not break 3324, it is possible to SELL Gold to 3275. However, the sideways waves may have a relatively strong reaction around 3288 and the reaction area of 3300 is also weak but still need attention. If it breaks through 3324, Gold will find daily resistance around 3340 for the SELL strategy.
Wide fluctuations, short at high levels and long at low levelsIn terms of news, we need to pay close attention to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the recent conflict between India and Pakistan. Initial jobless claims and PMI data will be released on Thursday, and the unemployment rate and non-farm data for April will be watched on Friday.
Technical side, from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of 3320-3330, and further focuses on the suppression of 3345-56. The intraday rebound relies on 3320-3330 to short and continue to fall. The lower support is 3300-3290, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3270-3260. Before the daily level loses this position, continue to see long-short fluctuations, and participate in high-altitude low-multiple cycles. Do not chase orders.
Intraday trading strategy
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3300-3290
BUY 3260-3270
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold key resistance not broken, Continuation of weak shock!📌 Pattern analysis and attention:
📊Technical aspects: The current golden week maintains a range of 3260-3360 fluctuations, showing a weak oscillation pattern of falling first and then rising, but with stronger downward momentum. Technical aspects show that 3360 is a short-term long-short watershed. If it cannot be broken through, it will maintain low-level fluctuations; 3340 is the core key position. If it stands firm, it will turn into a strong oscillation, otherwise it will continue to be weak. The first two days of the week closed below 3320, confirming short-term weakness.
🎯Practical strategy: Short sell when it rebounds to 3320-3325 area, target 3310-3300.
Gold Key Points Summary How to grasp the end of the monthly line📌Fundamentals:
Trade policy easing and dollar rebound
Economic data and Fed policy game
Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East situation
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of the 3328-35 line, focusing on the 3345-56 first-line suppression. During the day, the counterattack relies on this position to continue to bearish and continue to fall. The lower support is around 3290-85, and the short-term long-short strong and weak watershed is the 3260-65 first-line mark. Before the daily level does not fall below this position, we will continue to see long and short shocks, and the high-altitude low-multi cycle will mainly participate.
🎯Practical strategy:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3328-35, and cover short positions when it rebounds at 3343-52. Target 3310-3315, and look at 3275-80 if it breaks;
Short gold after the rebound!Fundamentals:
1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
2. Pay attention to whether geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although gold once rebounded from around 3267 under the circumstances of the ADP data being significantly positive, reversing the downward trend in the short term. However, the recent rebound high of gold only stopped at around 3330, and multiple top turning points were built in the 3320-3330 area, which greatly limited the height of gold’s rebound and further the bearish sentiment in the market. Therefore, I think the area around 3260 is not the low point of this round of decline. I think gold is very likely to continue to fall and continue to the 3240-3230 area, or even lower.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and completely open up the downward space!
How should gold be positioned after the ADP data is released?Although the current ADP data is positive, and the US GDP in the first quarter is sluggish, the risk of US recession has increased, but gold has not risen sharply, and the 1H moving average is still radiating downward. At present, it can only be regarded as a short-term correction to the oversold area. If the upper 3300-3310 does not break, you can go short. Brothers who have made profits now can exit the transaction in time. We are patiently waiting for entry opportunities.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280Gold market analysis:
Gold has started to fluctuate and hover in the short term. There are opportunities for buying and selling in short-term operations. Yesterday, we also arranged 3 buy orders at low levels. Today, we have to consider changing our thinking and sell it at a suppressed position. The reason is that the weekly line is a big tombstone, which means that the weekly line still has room to fall. This week is basically halfway through. The first half of the week is volatile, and the second half of the week will begin to follow the weekly line to decline. The direction of the daily line is currently vague, but the trend of the weekly line is relatively clear. It has risen and fallen sharply. The data did not support the technical decline of gold. Later, we need to pay attention to the impact of holidays on it. Today, friends who are short-term gold can still intercept in the range. If you want to make a big profit, sell at a high position and hold it. I estimate that it will waterfall. The horizontal time is too long, and the time to fall later will be longer.
Look for opportunities to go short near 3320 in the Asian session. The suppression position is 3329. The current support is near 3300. From the perspective of form, this position still has support in the Asian session, but it is not sure whether it can continue to support gold in the European session. The current idea is to predict that if it breaks 3329, it is necessary to adjust the thinking to be bullish. In addition, the daily moving average is also beginning to turn up and suppress, and selling is beginning to move.
Support 3300, pressure 3320 and 3329, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3300.
Fundamental analysis:
Today, we will start to pay attention to the situation of ADP data, and there is also PCE data. Gold in the European and American sessions will definitely move greatly.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280
Gold Possible SellsOANDA:XAUUSD My sentiments on gold for today.
1. Last buyer haven, prior to recent one
This is the last place prior to the level gold is sitting on top currently (4.(black)) where buyers would have been really and truly comfortable buying which means we know there could likely be stop losses even below here.
2. Bearish momentum/bearish channel
At this time gold has been bearish for about 7 days and if its one thing you know I believe in is momentum, adhere to whatever the momentum is doing - in this case its selling (bearish) so it is likely IMO to continue to do so - this is further supporting by the elements of my analysis.
3. Buyers stoplosses
The area highlighted in red shows suggested buyers stop losses below the currently obvious buyer havem (4. black) which means this is likely where the market will try to attack to capture that trapped liquidity. Something to think about, if gold had the liquidity to buy, it would. Let this guide you in terms of what you allow yourself to see next.
4. Current Obvious buyer haven
Pay attention to the level I've drawn to show where buyers would be heavily induced to buy at this time, this looks like a gold mine for buys (pun intended lol). Something you'd learn in this space, if it feels to good to be true, it probably is.
5. Possible move
This is what I think is likely to occur, gold will crash below the current obvious buyer haven taking out all previous buyer stops, capturing all that liquidity along the way even attacking the last buyer haven. Then and only then can gold resume it's bullish activities because now it would have enough liquidity to do what it wants.
What are your thoughts?
Gold: Bearish Shooting Star Reversal?The trend in gold is higher and no doubt it can go higher still.. BUT
There is a possible short setup
because:
A) It's very overbought relative to its weekly average
B) A Weekly shooting star reveral pattern took place on the weekly chart
C) The daily chart shows a possible breakdown
Thoughts?
Is gold's safe-haven appeal waning or is it gathering momentum?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 30), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,318 per ounce. London gold prices fell 0.8% on Tuesday, and Trump said that China will absorb the new tariff shock. The weak labor market and consumer confidence data in the United States have raised market expectations for policy easing. This has put pressure on the price of safe-haven asset gold, while the US dollar has taken the opportunity to rebound.With the PCE inflation data and non-farm payrolls report about to be released, the market has entered a critical game period. On the one hand, the easing of tariffs has weakened the safe-haven appeal of gold; on the other hand, signs of economic slowdown have strengthened the Fed's expectations of a rate cut. In the short term, the rebound in risk appetite has suppressed gold prices; but if this week's data confirms the risk of a recession, the Fed may be forced to turn, and then international gold may usher in a new round of outbreaks! The current market sentiment shows a clear contradictory state. On the one hand, concerns about global trade tensions drive safe-haven demand, and on the other hand, expectations that the United States may ease its trade policy trigger profit-taking. This trading day will usher in the US first quarter GDP data and March PCE data, which are likely to be the winners and losers of the next trend of gold.
Technical Review:
Gold hit 3500 and began to fall. The current low is temporarily at 3260. The daily cycle has failed to break down after three trading days of testing. The pattern is a Yin-Yang line conversion, and it is a very obvious wide-range oscillation market. This trend should not be chased. The market has no continuity and is just going back and forth. The gold daily line has been alternating between Yin and Yang for 5 consecutive trading days, maintaining a wide range of oscillations. The short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart moving averages are glued together, the RSI stops and maintains the middle axis, and the Bollinger Bands gradually close, forming a box range oscillation of 3265/3385. The trading idea is to sell at a high price and buy at a low price to participate in the short-term.
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to fluctuate. The data in the second half of the week is dense. Gold is likely to wait for data to break through. It maintains a fluctuating trend before the data. Gold continues to rise and fall in the early trading. The rebound is still under pressure. Today's small non-agricultural data is also a key node for gold trading. So if gold chooses a direction, don't be obsessed. Gold continues to fluctuate in 1 hour, and the fluctuation range begins to narrow, which means that it is getting closer to a change. Gold is still fluctuating downward. Gold once again hit 3328 in the Asian session and fell under pressure. Tonight's small non-agricultural data, if gold breaks through the fluctuation today, then follow up at that time.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3298-3302, stop loss at 3290, target at 3330-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3352-3355, stop loss at 3364, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3300, second support level: 3275, third support level: 3260
First resistance level: 3340, second resistance level: 3355, third resistance level: 3373
Gold fluctuates and is bearish, waiting for NF
📌 Policy factors
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued to fall, falling to $3,310 in the current European session on Wednesday, as signs of improved global risk sentiment and easing trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets. Market participants remained cautious ahead of the release of major US economic data, including ADP employment changes, core PCE price index and first quarter GDP preliminary values, all of which are scheduled to be released later today.
It is reported that President Trump suddenly signed an executive order to provide automakers with up to 15% tariff rebates to ease the impact of his auto tariff policy. Even more unexpectedly, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick revealed that a trade agreement had been reached secretly with a certain country. These major changes immediately triggered a strong market reaction.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price maintains the accumulation range of 3265-3360, temporarily stable and waiting for large fluctuations
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell gold area: 3368-3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3330
🔥Buy gold area: $3264-$3262 SL $3257
TP1: $3280
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3318
🔥Buy gold area: $3285-$3283 SL $3280 scalping
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3295
TP3: $3300
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account