Downloading...
Download

Governance

$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES 1/8 Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️ 2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64) • Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B) • Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭 3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS • $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth • Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting • New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐 4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS • Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report • CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky • Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔 5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT • Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused • SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x) • Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀 6/8 – RISKS • Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell) • Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes • Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️ 7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks 2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins 3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK • 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot • Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers • Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
1
#WLDUSDT #2h (ByBit) Falling wedge breakout and retestWorldcoin regained 50MA support and is pulling back to it, road to 200MA resistance seems next. ⚡️⚡️ #WLD/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (5.0X) Amount: 5.2% Current Price: 2.416 Entry Targets: 1) 2.403 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 2.771 Stop Targets: 1) 2.219 Published By: @Zblaba MIL:WLD #WLDUSDT #2h #Worldcoin #Privacy worldcoin.org Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +76.6% Possible Loss= -38.3% Estimated Gaintime= 5 days
Long
by TradingOn
#AAVEUSDT #1h (OKX Futures) Rising wedge breakdown and retestAave just printed a gravestone doji followed by a shooting star, seems likely to retrace down to 200MA support. ⚡️⚡️ #AAVE/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: OKX Futures Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (5.0X) Amount: 4.5% Current Price: 95.44 Entry Targets: 1) 95.87 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 87.43 Stop Targets: 1) 100.10 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:AAVE OKX:AAVEUSDT.P #1h #DeFi #DAO aave.com Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +44.0% Possible Loss= -22.1% Estimated Gaintime= 3 days
Short
by TradingOn
#YFIUSDT #2h (OKX Futures) Descending trendline break and retestYearn Finance printed a morning star then regained 50MA support, seems about to make another impulse on Low TF. ⚡️⚡️ #YFI/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: OKX Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (6.0X) Amount: 5.0% Current Price: 5841 Entry Targets: 1) 5802 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 6188 Stop Targets: 1) 5609 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:YFI OKX:YFIUSDT.P #YearnFinance #DeFi #Yield yearn.fi Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +39.9% Possible Loss= -20.0% Estimated Gaintime= 4 days
Long
by TradingOn
#YFIUSDT #4h (OKX Futures) Falling wedge breakoutYearn Finance regained 100EMA support then pulled back to it after forming a dragonfly doji, looks like bullish continuation is in play. ⚡️⚡️ #YFI/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: OKX Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (9.0X) Amount: 4.9% Current Price: 7065 Entry Targets: 1) 7056 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 7374 Stop Targets: 1) 6897 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:YFI OKX:YFIUSDT.P #YearnFinance #DeFi yearn.fi Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +40.6% Possible Loss= -20.3% Estimated Gaintime= 1 week
Long
by TradingOn
#YFI/BTC 1W (Binance) Descending wedge breakout and retestYearn Finance has been down-trending for years in sats but is sitting on historical demand zone once again. It has recently printed a bullish hammer on weekly, a decent bounce towards 100EMA resistance would make sense. ⚡️⚡️ #YFI/BTC ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Signal Type: Regular (Long) Amount: 3.0% Current Price: 0.1437 Entry Targets: 1) 0.1432 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.2879 Stop Targets: 1) 0.0949 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:YFI BINANCE:YFIBTC #YearnFinance #DeFi yearn.fi Risk/Reward= 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +101.0% Possible Loss= -33.7% Estimated Gaintime= 3-6 months
Long
by TradingOn
#UNI/BTC 3D (Binance) Broadening wedge breakout and retestUniswap is pulling back to 50MA support and seems likely to bounce towards 200MA resistance. ⚡️⚡️ #UNI/BTC ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Signal Type: Regular (Long) Amount: 6.0% Current Price: 0.0002028 Entry Targets: 1) 0.0002002 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.0002669 Stop Targets: 1) 0.0001668 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:UNI #UNIBTC #Uniswap #DeFi Risk/Reward= 1:2 Expected Profit= +33.3% Possible Loss= -16.7% Estimated Gaintime= 3 months uniswap.org
Long
by TradingOn
#MKR/USDT 4h (ByBit) Ascending wedge on resistanceMaker is up-trending for a month but printed 3 shooting stars in a row, looks likely to retrace down to 100EMA support. ⚡️⚡️ #MKR/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (5.0X) Amount: 5.0% Current Price: 1270.0 Entry Zone: 1285.0 - 1340.0 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 1186.0 2) 1091.0 3) 996.5 Stop Targets: 1) 1418.0 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:MKR #MKRUSDT #Maker #DAO #DeFi Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +48.2% | +84.4% | +120.4% Possible Loss= -40.2% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks makerdao.com
Short
by TradingOn
$HBAR/USDT 8h (#Bybit) Bear flag breakdown and retestHedera Hashgraph lost 100EMA support and is pulling back to it, bearish continuation seems likely after. ⚡️⚡️ #HBAR/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (2.7X) Amount: 5.1% Current Price: 0.06247 Entry Zone: 0.06327 - 0.06769 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.05406 2) 0.04547 3) 0.03687 Stop Targets: 1) 0.07503 Published By: @Zblaba $HBAR #HBARUSDT #Hedera #Hashgraph
Short
by TradingOn
Corporate governance reforms are working for JapanJapan1 is trading at a 33-year high, despite a challenging global macro backdrop. At 15x forward Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio, Japan has been trading at a valuation discount versus global peers, for a considerable period of time. We are finally starting to see a number of catalysts help narrow the wide valuation gap versus global peers – an improvement in corporate governance, rebound in domestic consumption post the pandemic, strong earnings results in FY3/23 and a weaker yen. This has led to a notable influx of overseas investor capital into Japanese stocks for 8 weeks in a row. This rally was initially stoked by Warren Buffet publicly investing in Japan’s five leading trading companies. Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffets industrial and insurance conglomerate also said it intended to hold onto the investments for the long haul and could increase the size of its holdings to as much as 9.9%. The Japanese equity rally has also been fuelled further by a combination of strong macro-economic data and solid earnings results which saw ¥5Trn in buyback announcements. On the macro front, the re-opening driven rebound in domestic demand is supporting the economy. Recovery in Travel demand boosts business confidence According to data on travel and tourism from the Japan Tourism Agency (JTA), spending on domestic travel reached ¥4.2Trn in Jan- March 2023, surpassing pre-pandemic levels slightly. The rapid recovery in inbound consumption is also a tailwind with the number of visitors to Japan in April back up to 73% of the 2019 average. Strong travel demand is supportive for business confidence. In tandem, the May services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reached its highest level since the survey began in 2007. This is consistent with trends in consumer sentiment evident from the May consumer confidence survey which showed an improvement in the consumer confidence index for the third month in a row2. Rebound in domestic demand aids growth According to preliminary estimates, GDP in Jan-Mar Calendar Year (CY)23 grew by 0.4% following two quarters of negative growth3. The main driver was private second demand, with consumption rising 0.6% and capex up 0.9% quarter on quarter (QoQ)3. Even public investment, which has been weak for a while, rose 2.4% QoQ contributing 0.1% to GDP growth. On the flipside external demand, highlighted in the export trade data, contracted 4.2%, dragging down headline GDP growth by 0.9%. While inbound spending, classified as services exports in the GDP statistics, increased 5.6% QoQ, goods exports contracted 6.5%3. Fast forward through years of deflation, inflation is beginning to trend higher. Inflation triggered by structural labour shortages is forcing companies to raise wages meaningfully and re-think their pricing strategy. So, while the rest of the world is battling inflation fires, Japan is trying to ignite one. However, the most recent inflation print in May showed a surprising slowdown in Tokyo core price gains. Slower inflation is good news for households, which are spending more as the economy re-opens. It also gives further ammunition for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to maintain its stance on ultra loose monetary policy. BOJ governor Kazuo Ueda acknowledges that Japan’s economy continues to require significant stimulus to maintain a goal of stable demand-driven 2% inflation. Owing to which, we have seen the Japanese Yen decline 5.51%4 versus the US dollar. This in turn has made Japanese exports cheaper aiding Japanese export companies. The myth that Japanese companies do not reward shareholders has been dispelled now Japan’s Fiscal Year 31 March 2023 earnings season witnessed results that were resilient overall. What stood out was the large increase in the number of share buyback announcements ¥5Trn. This was not a consequence of profit growth alone but more likely a result of the changes of the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s (TSE) Price/Book (P/B) criteria as discussed here. Share buybacks have attracted foreign investors and is providing an important tailwind for Japanese equities. Corporate governance reform has been a thematic in Japan for seven years. However, this time we are seeing reform make breakthroughs. We got early indications from the mini-March annual shareholder meeting that showed Japanese investors voting more actively at AGMs. The next major catalyst will be the June AGM season. In regard to the potential impact to the new TSE guidelines on Japanese companies, feedback initially was mixed. However, we have seen 15%+ moves on the day of reform announcements by Japanese companies which confirms the market is clearly rewarding companies that are being proactive. Solid earnings results provide a tailwind for Japanese equities Japan’s Fiscal Year 31 March 2023 earnings results were resilient highlighting sales growth 16.4% YoY and 2% in net profits YoY5. The sectors that guided for the highest earnings growth in Fiscal Year 31 March 2024 are the ones that benefit from lower materials prices, namely electric power & gas, pulp & paper, and glass & ceramics. The domestic demand-led sectors are posed to benefit from reopening and inbound tourism, including land transportation, retail, and financial. They also issued the next strongest earnings guidance.
TVC:NI225
by aneekaguptaWTE
$STMX/USDT 1D (#Bybit) Ascending wedge breakdown and retestStormX got rejected on 200EMA resistance then printed an evening star, bearish continuation is in play after a pull-back to 200MA. ⚡️⚡️ #STMX/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (2.7X) Amount: 4.9% Current Price: 0.005235 Entry Targets: 1) 0.005575 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.004305 Stop Targets: 1) 0.006420 Published By: @Zblaba $STMX #STMXUSDT #StormX #DeFi Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 Expected Profit= +61.5% Possible Loss= -40.9% stormx.io
SShort
by TradingOn
$APE/USDT 12h (#Bybit) Descending trendline breakout and retestApeCoin just regained 50MA support and seems to be heading towards 200MA resistance, probably after a last retest of demand zone. ⚡️⚡️ #APE/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (4.2X) Amount: 5.0% Current Price: 4.314 Entry Zone: 4.235 - 4.065 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 4.624 2) 4.980 3) 5.337 Stop Targets: 1) 3.754 Published By: @Zblaba $APE #APEUSDT #ApeCoin #Web3 #NFT #DAO Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +48.0% | +84.0% | +120.1% Possible Loss= -40.1% Estimated Gaintime= 3-4 weeks apecoin.com
Long
by TradingOn
$XCN/USDT 8h (#Bybit) Descending trendline breakout & retestOnyxcoin (a.k.a. Chain) is pulling back to 200MA support after a clear bullish move and just printed an inverted hammer, looks good for more recovery. ⚡️⚡️ #XCN/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (1.2X) Amount: 6.9% Current Price: 0.01463 Entry Targets: 1) 0.01435 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.01953 Stop Targets: 1) 0.01089 Published By: @Zblaba Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 Expected Profit= +43.3% Possible Loss= -28.9% Estimated Gaintime= 3 weeks $XCN #XCNUSDT #Onyxcoin #Chain onyx.org
Long
by TradingOn
$CRV/USDT 12h (#BinanceFutures) Ascending triangle on supportCurve just pulled back to 50MA and seems to be preparing for another impulse leading to a bullish breakout. ⚡️⚡️ #CRV/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (2.0X) Amount: 8.1% (Risk=3%) Current Price: 1.054 Entry Targets: 1) 1.047 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 1.339 Stop Targets: 1) 0.852 Published By: @Zblaba Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 Expected Profit= +55.8% Possible Loss= -37.2% $CRV #CRVUSDT #Curve #DAO #DeFi
Long
by TradingOn
4
How Governance Affects a Cryptocurrency's Coin Supply and PriceAs of last year, the top 3 most well-known coins - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin - have all become "predictable" in terms of its coin supply. BTC has always had a fixed supply cap, ETH has become aggressively deflationary after its EIP-1559 upgrade started "burning" its supply, and Dogecoin is technically "disinflationary" since the rate at which the protocol issues its coins is set to slow down gradually over time. (People have estimated ~5% going downwards to 1% or less over the course of many years.) What all 3 coins have in common: 1) the supply curves for these coins are fixed and predictable 2) political leverage correlates directly with the ownership of money itself 3) the economic trajectories of each coin are basically unchangeable without some sort of centralized control Bitcoin and Dogecoin's protocol decisions are handled by the mining community (they decide which blocks to continue mining, in case there is a disagreement), and now that Ethereum has moved over to proof-of-stake, most of its major decisions will be decided by the core team itself. With proof-of-work, hash power is political leverage, with proof-of-stake, the coins itself does the same. While maxis focus on the differences between the two, at the end of the day, leverage over the system is measured in terms of how much resources you're willing to spend on your particular "vote" - it just depends on which you prefer - hash-power, or money-power. To be fair, this is how most coins operate right now since it is currently not possible to reliably do a "one person one vote" model (as is typically done in developed democracies) since identifying an anonymous wallet as a "person" is extremely difficult. So as a lesser evil, we use money-invested (aka your "stake") as means of measuring how much influence one should have on an ecosystem as a whole. (In this regard, most cryptocurrencies are similar to corporate shareholder models.) Until we have a better way of identifying people online as being "real", we're likely to be stuck with this model for a while, but not all coin systems are created equal - some will probably have better long-term viability than others. And a lot of that will be determined by how each coin handles its governance procedures. Proof-of-work systems right now have no means of reliably doing voting/governance on-chain - as a result, most coins opt to do their voting through third-party systems or platforms. While this can sometimes work, there is no "receipt" of whether the tally was legitimate or not - you just have to trust that the people conducting the polls were doing it in good faith. BTC/DOGE has never had on-chain governance and likely never will, while ETH currently possesses the potential to do, but seems unlikely now that it has also become deflationary. The "fixed supply" argument is similar to the "buy gold" argument in that there is an inherent distrust of supply curves that are "flexible" - the idea that when there is less of something it's going to be worth more is an intuitive argument that makes sense to a lot of people, at least on the surface. But ideally, you want the price of a coin to go up because there's more demand for it, rather than inflating it artificially by burning your supply - the less there is of something, the more out of reach it becomes for newcomers and people will less money, after all. So when a project puts "fixed supply" as part of its core value proposition, it's basically prioritizing the short-term appeasement of existing holders at the expense of future growth. We see a similar type of scarcity mindset (the "I got mine" syndrome) in assets like real-estate and gold as well, which are also both about to face corrections of their own. An asset starts to "bubble" when prices increase but quality goes down - then "pops" when the demand for it bottoms out as people realize that it's not worth it. Ideally, you want the economy to be flexible enough to handle swings in demand/usage, while keeping incentives aligned between all parties (investors, validators, users) at all times. It requires a very careful balancing act that exists somewhere in between fixed and infinite supply - and even better if these decisions are made through consensus mechanism rather than a unilateral decision made behind closed doors. (Tezos' self-amending protocol, combined with its on-chain governance system stands out as unique in this regard.) -- So what to do if you're an existing HODLer? Well, short to medium term, coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin will probably maintain their price as long as people come see it as a viable alternative to traditional assets as we get further into the recession -- that's the big bet that many are taking right now. But it does come with the understanding that it's probably only likely to happen once or twice more before the market saturates completely and hits its peak. Here crypto is at a disadvantage compared to assets like real-estate or tangible goods, since there's nothing forcing people to use BTC/ETH in particular - there are many other options in the market, after all. For more discussions about coin supply issues, here: www.reddit.com
COINBASE:XTZUSDEducation
by RyanTanaka
XTZ Beats Everything Again: 3 Reasons WhyTezos (XTZ) broke from the pack yet again today, outperforming most major coins despite today's downturn in the overall markets. - Fork-less upgrades and on-chain governance models on XTZ provide tangible solutions to a lot of the issues the crypto industry is going through right now, especially in DAOs. - Recession talks are getting more people into a savings mindset - and Tezos' accessible and competitive rates (4.6%) makes it very appealing for crypto holders to convert to. - The interest in NFTs from artists and art collectors are starting to migrate over to chains like XTZ ever since gas-fees started to get out of control on the ETH ecosystems - time will tell if the Consensys "Merge" in August will have developers and artists return but for now, Tezos and other layer 2s are taking advantage of the lull and pulling ahead. Long-term investors look for projects that seem to thrive during the "tough times", and it seems like XTZ is performing exactly right now. It's a project worth paying attention to, either way. 🚀👨🏻‍🚀🛸
KRAKEN:XTZUSDLong
by RyanTanaka
$ENS/USDT 3h (#BinanceFutures) Falling broadening wedge breakoutEthereumNameService just regained 100EMA support and looks good for short-term recovery, probably after a last dip! Current Price= 12.964 Buy Entry= 12.702 - 11.530 Take Profit= 15.409 | 18.184 | 20.961 Stop Loss= 9.472 Risk/Reward= 1:1.25 | 1:2.3 | 1:3.35 Expected Profit= +27.18% | +50.08% | +73.00% Possible Loss= -21.82% Fib. Retracement= 0.559 | 0.702 | 0.786 Margin Leverage= 1x Estimated Gain-time= 2 weeks Tags: #ENS #ENSUSDT #DNS #Domain #Web3 #DAO #Governance #NFT #DeFi #SolEco Websites: ens.domains ens.mirror.xyz Contracts: #ERC20 0xC18360217D8F7Ab5e7c516566761Ea12Ce7F9D72 #SPL CLQsDGoGibdNPnVCFp8BAsN2unvyvb41Jd5USYwAnzAg
Long
by TradingOn
2
$AAVE/USDT 3D (#BinanceFutures) Falling wedges on supportAave is looking bottomed here on High Time-Frame (HTF) and is very likely to bounce back on historical demand zone. Current Price= 132.77 Buy Entry= 131.50 - 117.30 Take Profit= 169.60 | 220.18 | 275.84 Stop Loss= 93.45 Risk/Reward= 1:1.46 | 1:3.09 | 1:4.89 Expected Profit= +36.33% | +76.99% | +121.74% Possible Loss= -24.88% Fib. Retracement= 0.236 | 0.441 | 0.618 Margin Leverage= 1x Estimated Gain-time= 6 months Tags: #AAVE #AAVEUSDT #Yield #Farming #Lending #Governance #DAO #DeFi #BSC #SolEco Website: aave.com Contracts: #ERC20 0x7Fc66500c84A76Ad7e9c93437bFc5Ac33E2DDaE9 #BEP20 0xfb6115445bff7b52feb98650c87f44907e58f802 #AVAXC 0x8ce2dee54bb9921a2ae0a63dbb2df8ed88b91dd9 #SPL 3vAs4D1WE6Na4tCgt4BApgFfENbm8WY7q4cSPD1yM4Cg #Fantom 0x6a07A792ab2965C72a5B8088d3a069A7aC3a993B #Polygon 0xd6df932a45c0f255f85145f286ea0b292b21c90b
Long
by TradingOn
2
$APE/USDT 1h (#BinanceFutures) Rising wedge breakdownApeCoin looks ready for a local retracement down here after being rejected on supply zone. Current Price= 13.442 Sell Entry= 13.757 - 14.359 Take Profit= 12.406 | 11.300 | 10.195 Stop Loss= 15.440 Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2 | 1:2.8 Expected Profit= +23.50% | +39.24% | +54.96% Possible Loss= -19.66% Fib. Retracement= 0.382 | 0.618 | 0.883 Margin Leverage= 2x Estimated Gain-time= 5 days Tags: #APE #APEUSDT #NFT #Metaverse #Gaming #Creation #Web3 #DAO #Governance #DeFi Website: apecoin.com Contract: #ERC20 0x4d224452801aced8b2f0aebe155379bb5d594381
Short
by TradingOn
3