Pound Retreats Despite UK Inflation SurpriseGBP/USD slipped to 1.3390 during Thursday’s session, paring gains as investors await UK labor data. Strong UK inflation figures may support a hawkish BoE stance, though August’s rate decision could be shaped by slowing labor conditions.
On the U.S. side, rising CPI has reinforced expectations for the Fed to hold rates steady. Fed officials Logan and Williams pointed to tariff-related inflation risks, while the Fed’s Beige Book reported solid activity but growing cost pressures.
June PPI came in flat, while core PPI slowed to 2.6% YoY. U.S. retail sales, jobless claims, and the Philly Fed index are next on watch.
Resistance is at 1.3535, while support holds at 1.3380.
Harmonic Patterns
ORCA/USDT NEW VOLUME ENTERYORCA shows for the first time in long time ago a new volume uptrend, which can get confirmed in the next hours to a new volume.
When there are new confirmations or updates, they will be listed here below.
If there is new confirmations coming, we could see this coin soon to targets
$3.17
$4.20
Best target $5
The trend study shows there is new interest in ORCA
BTC 30M BEARISH ANALYSIS It features a series of vertical bars in red and green, representing price movements over time.
- The chart is labeled "btc 30m" at the bottom, indicating that it displays Bitcoin (BTC) price data over a 30-minute interval.
- A white horizontal bar spans the chart, marked with the text "SELL SIGNAL ZONE" in black letters.
- To the right of the candlestick chart, a bar graph is visible.
- The bar graph consists of two rectangular bars: one red and one green.
XAU/USD – Long off Lower Channel + Fundamental Tailwind📌 Bias: Bullish (technical + macro alignment
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry Zone - 3 245 – 3 255
Stop-Loss - 3 240
TP1 - 3 375 (Last Month High)
TP2 - 3 475 (Upper Channel)
🧠 Technical Rationale
- Price is respecting a clean ascending channel
- Confluence at entry: lower trendline + last month’s low + hidden order block
- Liquidity sweep expected below 3 245 before bullish continuation
🌍 Fundamental Tailwinds (July 2025)
🏦 1. US Dollar Collapse
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is down 10.8% YTD, its worst start since 1973
- Driven by:
- Trump’s erratic tariff policies and fiscal expansion
- Loss of confidence in US Treasuries as a safe haven
- Moody’s downgrade of US credit rating
“The dollar has transformed from a safe haven into a symbol of instability.” – ING strategist
🪙 2. Central Bank Gold Demand
- Global central banks continue accumulating gold to hedge against dollar devaluation
- This institutional demand underpins long-term bullish momentum
🔥 3. Geopolitical Risk Premium
- Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Iran–Israel, Gaza) and Russia–Ukraine keep gold attractive as a safe-haven asset
- Even with temporary ceasefires, the risk premium remains embedded in price
📉 4. Fed Dovish Shift
- Fed Governor Waller signals a possible July rate cut, citing weak labor data and easing inflation
- Lower rates = weaker dollar = stronger gold
🧠 Final Thought
This setup isn’t just technically sound—it’s fundamentally explosive. You’re riding a macro wave of dollar weakness, geopolitical hedging, and central bank gold demand. If price reacts cleanly at 3 250, this could be your high-conviction entry of the month.
ETEL - strong fundamentals.EGX:ETEL 1-hour timeframe:
A potential bearish Gartley pattern targets 41.50. If prices reach 41.55 (without breaking 37.00), it becomes a sell point with targets at 39.73 and 38.60. Conversely, if prices continue rising and close above 42.70, rebuy what was sold at 41.50, targeting 52.00. This setup is both strategic and supported by strong fundamentals.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, only our analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before investing.
Tesla Falls 14% in a Week – Manufacturing Woes or AI Bubble BursTesla stock dropped more than 14% over the past week, plunging below $180 after a disappointing Q2 2025 earnings report. The company missed revenue targets and lowered its delivery guidance for the rest of the year, sending shockwaves through the EV and tech investor communities.
Weak Earnings and Slowing Demand
Tesla reported Q2 revenue of $21.2 billion, falling short of the expected $23.1 billion. Net income fell 28% year-over-year, driven largely by slowing sales in China, where competition from BYD and local EV brands intensified.
Elon Musk attributed the shortfall to “temporary logistics issues” and “price-sensitive demand,” but markets interpreted this as a sign of deeper structural issues in Tesla’s global operations.
Musk Shifts Focus to xAI
In a surprising post-earnings move, Elon Musk sold a portion of his Tesla shares and announced he would spend more time on xAI, his generative AI startup. The timing couldn’t have been worse — the announcement raised questions about Musk’s commitment to Tesla and intensified investor concerns about leadership focus.
Many now wonder whether Tesla is becoming an AI play rather than a pure EV company — a shift that could alienate long-term shareholders focused on car production and innovation.
The Bigger Picture: AI Stocks Pull Back
Tesla’s drop came alongside broader weakness in the AI sector. Giants like NVIDIA, AMD, and Broadcom have also seen recent sell-offs, as valuations start to look overstretched. Investors are beginning to question whether the AI rally of 2023–2025 was too much, too fast.
Tesla, caught at the intersection of EVs and AI, is now under pressure from both narratives: declining car demand and a cooling AI market.
What's Next?
From a technical standpoint, Tesla broke key support at $190 and is now testing the $165–170 zone. Whether this correction deepens depends on:
Demand recovery in H2 2025
AI sector stabilization
and Elon Musk’s ability to reassure investors of Tesla’s long-term direction.
For now, analysts advise caution. Tesla remains a volatile stock in a volatile sector, and until visibility improves, many prefer to stay on the sidelines.
WEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMESWEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMES👀
Since the fundamentals didn't influence this asset (I mean yesterdays U.S. PPI report, escalation in the Middle East and Trump's hint on Powell's resignation), let's talk about technicals in gold.
XAUUSD primarily trades sideways since the beginning of June. Main support levels are 3,250.00 and 3,300.00. Main resistant levels are 3,375.00 and 3,450.00. Currently the asset trades within a range of 3,300.00 - 3,375.00. Additionally, bullion has formed a bearish wedge since the beginning of July. Right now the price is heading towards lower border of this wedge, where the SMA50 is situated and may act as an additional support here.
I see 2 main scenarios for a mid-term here:
1) Break below the wedge, rebound from 3,300.00 support, targeting 3,375.00.
2) Rebound from the wedge’s lower border, show a bearish move to 3,375.00, then drop to 3,300.00.
In both cases, I assume the price to stay sideways for a long period of time.
USDJPY – Rejection Pressure Builds, Is a Reversal on the HorizonUSDJPY has been rejected for the third time at the diagonal resistance line, forming a potential lower-high pattern that suggests a reversal could be underway. The RSI is dropping from the overbought zone, clearly indicating weakening bullish momentum. If the price breaks below 146.900, a bearish trend may be confirmed, with a possible move toward the lower support area.
On the news front, U.S. Treasury yields have stalled after a strong rally, and jobless claims have ticked up slightly—dampening expectations for further Fed rate hikes. This puts pressure on the USD while favoring the safe-haven JPY.
Traders should closely monitor the price action around the 149.300 level. Continued rejection could offer a prime shorting opportunity!
ELSH - old player EGX:ELSH timeframe: 1 hour.
A triangle pattern was identified, targeting 8.20. No new entry is recommended for shareholders, but if prices retest the triangle pattern at 7.65–7.60, it could present a low-risk entry opportunity.
This may also form a potential bearish Gartley pattern with targets:
- T1: 7.93
- T2: 8.12
- T3: 8.30 (sell point)
Stop loss: 7.50.
If prices continue rising and close above 8.47, consider rebuying what was sold at 8.30.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, only our analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before investing.
Good luck!
XAUUSD parallel channel Gold is currently holding rising channel.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm looking for Buying towards at 3320-3312 support area if it's sustained
Along H4 remains above then keep buy set targets at 3345 then 3360
-> Moral of Day buy the Dips
Additional TIP:
Below 3310 I will Activate my resell and hold till 3300then 3290
Yen Falls on Weak Trade DataThe Japanese yen weakened to around 148 per dollar on Thursday after disappointing trade data fueled concerns of a technical recession. June’s trade surplus came in at JPY 153.1 billion, well below the JPY 353.9 billion forecast and JPY 221.3 billion from a year earlier. Exports dropped 0.5% YoY, the second straight monthly decline, mainly due to the fallout from U.S. tariffs.
These signs have heightened fears of another quarterly contraction for Japan.
Resistance is at 147.75, with major support at 146.15.
Analysis based on a channel within two cyclesWe have a large descending channel, which appears to be forming a smaller ascending channel as part of a correction.
Once the correction is confirmed and completed, it could provide a good opportunity for a short position.
However, if the lower boundary isn't broken and the price moves higher, we’ll hold off and wait for a new structure to form.
NZDCHF Shows Signs of Weakening Selling Pressure NZDCHF Shows Signs of Weakening Selling Pressure – Potential Reversal Ahead
The NZDCHF pair is exhibiting interesting price action as selling pressure appears to be losing momentum. The latest swing low was formed with strong bearish energy, but the subsequent decline has shown noticeably weaker downside momentum. This divergence suggests that sellers may be exhausting their control, creating an opportunity for buyers to step in.
Key Market Observations:
1. Decline in Bearish Momentum: While the secondary trend remains downward, the weakening selling pressure indicates potential buyer interest at current levels.
2. Possible Trend Reversal: If buyers regain strength, NZDCHF could see a short-term recovery, targeting 0.48800 and 0.49950 in upcoming sessions.
3. Critical Support Level: On the downside, 0.46700 remains a key support zone. A strong bounce from this level could confirm bullish reversal potential.
Trading Strategy:
- Buying Opportunity: Traders may watch for bullish reversal signals (e.g., bullish engulfing patterns, RSI divergence) near 0.46700 for potential long entries.
- Target Levels: A breakout above recent resistance could push price toward 0.48800, with extended gains possible up to 0.49950.
- Risk Management: A stop-loss below 0.46700 would protect against further downside if selling resumes.
Conclusion:
NZDCHF’s recent price action suggests that bears are losing dominance, opening the door for a corrective rally. Traders should monitor price reactions near 0.46700 for confirmation of a bullish reversal. A break above immediate resistance could accelerate gains toward higher targets, while a drop below support would indicate continued bearish control.
#DYM/USDT Dymension's Falling Wedge#DYM
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.2750.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 0.2800, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend of consolidation above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.2920
First target: 0.2958
Second target: 0.3060
Third target: 0.3155
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.