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Harmonic Patterns

BTC TRADE PLAN 11/07/2025 - Diamond PatternDear traders, Technical Analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin/USDT) – July 11, 2025 🕐 Timeframe: 4H Price has broken above the major resistance at $110,000 and is now trading around $118,000, forming a Diamond Top pattern — a classic reversal formation that may signal an upcoming downtrend or correction. 🔻 Key Highlights: Major Resistance: $118,000 – current top and potential reversal point. Key Support: $110,000 – if broken, next targets may lie around $95,000–$100,000. Diamond Pattern: Typically a bearish reversal signal after a strong uptrend. RSI Indicator: Currently in overbought territory (above 85), suggesting buyer exhaustion. 📉 Possible Scenario: Price may reverse from $118,000 -120,000 and test the $110,000 support. A break below that could lead to a deeper correction in the coming weeks. Regards, Alireza!
Short
by alirezak
Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Analysis for July 16Support Zone: The market has found support around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 3,333.58. This could be a potential entry point for a long trade if the price bounces here. Resistance Zone: The price action is approaching the 3,345.18 level, with a strong resistance around that zone. If the price breaks above this resistance, we could see further upward movement. Price Action: We can observe an initial bullish movement followed by a correction. The price is currently in an uptrend, forming a series of higher lows and higher highs. Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 level at 3,333.58 has already acted as a support zone, and if the price retraces back here, this could be a good opportunity to enter long positions. The 0.618 level at 3,336.32 serves as a key resistance point. If price breaks above this level, it could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. Bullish Scenario (Long Entry): If the price retraces back to the 3,333.58 area (0.5 Fibonacci level) and shows signs of support (such as bullish candlestick patterns), consider entering long with a target at 3,345.18. Bearish Scenario (Short Entry): If the price fails to break above 3,345.18 and forms a reversal pattern, you could consider shorting with a target near 3,320. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below 3,330, allowing for a small margin of error in case the price breaks through the support level. Take Profit: Consider setting a take-profit at 3,345.18 for short-term moves or look for further price action if you're aiming for a longer-term trend. Reminder: Always monitor the price action closely and adjust stop losses accordingly. The market is subject to volatility, especially during high-impact news events, so make sure to stay updated.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
Where Could Bitcoin Make Its Cycle Top? Model and ABCD AlignedWith the breakout above resistance around 110,000, Bitcoin’s rally appears to be back on track. If you've been following our crypto analysis, either here or on our website, you’ll know our target range for this bull cycle is between 135,000 and 150,000, with the top of the range possibly extending further depending on the strength of the final wave. Now, a possible ABCD pattern is forming, with point D potentially landing at either 135,000 or 150,000. A coincidence? Maybe, maybe not. How Did We Arrive at the 135K–150K Target? We based this range on historical halving cycle returns: Halving Year - Return to Cycle Top 2012 - 9,076% 2016 - 2,122% (↓ 4.27x) 2020 - 541% (↓ 3.92x) Two things stand out: Each cycle has shown diminishing returns. The rate of decline appears roughly consistent, dropping by around 4x each time—but slightly less with each cycle. So depending on the multiplier used: If returns fall by 4.27x again → target: 135K If reduced by 4x → target: 140K If reduced by 3.92x → target: 142K If the rate of reduction itself slows (difference of 0.35 between 4.27 and 3.92) → target: 150K While the sample size is too small, we believe the model holds reasonable logic with fundamental backing from various metrics. The chart now shows a possible ABCD pattern: If it becomes a classic AB = CD structure, point D could form near 135K. If it becomes an extended ABCD (with CD = AB × 1.272), then point D could reach just above 150K. These technical targets align closely with our halving model projections, increasing our confidence in the 135K–150K range as a likely top zone for this cycle. Also, please check our earlier post for possible altseason start. A correlation between BTC/ETH and Gold/Silver might give some tips about possible Ether surge.
Long
by ftdsystem
BTCUSDT 1 Day – Breakout and Retest Completed | Next TargetBTC has officially broken out of the descending parallel channel that dominated price action from mid-May to early July. After a successful breakout, price pulled back for a clean retest of the channel resistance, which has now flipped to support — a classic bullish continuation signal. 🔹 Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Breakout from descending channel structure ✅ Retest of breakout zone confirmed with strong bullish candles 🔼 Current Price: ~$118,971 (as of chart time) 📈 Short-Term Structure: Following a clean higher-low formation with ascending trendline support 🎯 Target Zone: $128,000–$130,000 (next key resistance area) As long as BTC maintains this ascending support line, the momentum remains with the bulls. Any dips toward the trendline may offer good long opportunities with proper risk management. 📌 Watch for: Rejection near the target zone Bullish continuation patterns like flag/pennant on lower timeframes Volume confirmation during breakout attempts Let the trend be your friend. Trade safe! ⚡
Long
by MangoMan4
BITCOIN Should we still trust the Stock to Flow model??It sure worked perfectly during Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) first Cycles, but the Stock-to-Flow model has greatly diverged from the current price action since March 2024. Right now the model sits at around $750000, which is vastly above the current market price of $119000. It's been trading sideways actually since June 2024 and all of the times that it was ranging, Bitcoin eventually caught up and closed the gap. It has always been a 'story' of divergence and convergence but it sure seems unrealistic to catch up this time, especially during if this Cycle continues to follow the 4-year model. So what do you think? Should we still trust what seems more and more like an 'obsolete' model as mass adoption kicks in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
8
#HOT/USDT#HOT The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.000840. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 0.000852 First target: 0.000862 Second target: 0.000875 Third target: 0.000890
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Lingrid | Gold ready to Make BoostOANDA:XAUUSD maintains a solid bullish structure with a clear series of higher lows (HLs) forming along the ascending trendline. After strong impulsive waves labeled A and B, price has repeatedly tested the resistance zone around 3450–3460, creating a double-top-like structure with equal tests. A confirmed close above 3460 would unlock the next leg higher in this ongoing uptrend. 📉 Key Levels 🔼 Buy trigger: Break and close above 3460 🟢 Buy zone: 3320–3340 (near HL and trendline) 🎯 Target: 3650–3700 (long-term breakout objective) 🚫 Invalidation: Drop below 3275 and trendline failure 💡 Risks -Potential fakeout above 3460 without volume support -Broadening consolidation range if breakout fails -Macroeconomic catalysts (FOMC, CPI, geopolitical tensions) If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
18
1INCHUSDT - fear zone, return to the channel, growth potential1inch - is a decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator that combines multiple DEXs into a single platform, aiming to provide users with the most efficient routes for swaps across all platforms. 📍 CoinMarketCap : #160 📍 Twitter(X) : 1.3M The coin has already been listed on exchanges during the distribution phase of the cycle and was partially sold off in waves. Then, in line with the overall market, it declined to more reasonable accumulation prices, shaking out small investors and those who entered positions on positive news. The price has been moving within a horizontal channel for a couple of years, and the channel’s percentage range reflects the coin’s liquidity. Currently, the coin is in a fear zone, at its lowest price levels. In moments like this, very few people have funds left to accumulate positions, as they’ve already been trapped by optimistic bloggers and a positive news background earlier. Many were wiped out recently due to a breakdown and consolidation below the previous support of the inner channel, and now there's emptiness and fear below. What’s happening now is an attempt to return back into the inner channel. If this zone holds, the channel targets may be realized. Resistance zones where the price may react are marked on the chart. Potential final downside wicks are also indicated. It’s important to allocate funds wisely for position building and use proper percentage distribution, according to your own experience! ______ 📌 Not financial advice. Observing structure and recurring phases. Operate within your strategy and with an awareness of risks.
Long
by KECapital
#VET/USDT#VET The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading towards a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.02086. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are heading towards stability above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.02160 First target: 0.02226 Second target: 0.02274 Third target: 0.02344
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Gold Trade Plan 16/07/2025Dear Traders, Date: July 16, 2025 📉 Overview: The chart shows price action at a key confluence zone: The long-term ascending trendline (black) still holds as strong support. The blue demand zone aligns with the trendline and the bottom of the descending channel. A downward-sloping channel indicates short-term bearish correction. 🔍 Likely Scenarios: A short-term pullback to the 3310–3320 support zone (confluence of trendline and demand). If this support holds, we may see a bullish rebound toward 3375 and a potential breakout above the channel (toward 3380+). If the support fails, further downside toward 3280 is possible. 📌 Conclusion: The 3310–3320 zone is critical. Watch for price action signals in this area to decide on long or short positions. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
8
NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME TRADING IDEA UPDATE - NATURAL GAS - STILL IN THE GAME🔥 The XNGUSD goes quite well, as predicted. It held the trendline and moving upwards slowly, but surely. Short-term support here is the EMA20 on 4h timeframe. The asset is just below 3.600 resistance level and sma200. Since the July 10, the asset seems to be moving within the ascending channel (pic 2). I expect that the price will break the 3.6000 resistance level, will go towards upper channel border and then, after quick retest, move towards 3.8000. Not a trading advice! Trade cautiously!
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
#LDO PUMP TO $ 0.794 ?#LDO The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.703. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 0.695, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.730 First target: 0.744 Second target: 0.767 Third target: 0.794 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
#AUCTION/USDT ready to pump ?#AUCTION The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 10.68. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 10.31, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 11.25 First target: 11.60 Second target: 12.00 Third target: 12.51 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
CVX/USDT – Is the scenario repeating? Continuing to work.The previous trading idea has played out with 3 out of 4 marked zones reached. We saw a false breakout from the descending channel, followed by a pullback in line with the overall market—returning to the channel’s support zone. I’ve noticed a potential formation of either a diamond pattern or an expanding triangle, but we’ll see how it plays out further. Regarding declines and support zones: -10.71% drop to the support of the descending channel. -26.27% drop to the anticipated support of the expanding triangle. -50% drop, likely as a squeeze under extremely negative news. Regarding growth and resistance zones: +65% rise to the resistance of the internal channel. +110% rise to the resistance of the external channel (and if a diamond pattern forms, then its boundary). +246% rise as a second attempt to break out of the descending channel. +440% rise as a potential realization of diamond pattern pricing (if it forms). All of this should be factored into your trading strategy, even the less likely scenarios. I'll share the execution of the previous trading idea in my TG. I've also marked it on the chart.
Long
by KECapital
2
GBPJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 198.65, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fib retracement. Our take profit will be at 199.54, which is a swing high resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 197.98, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
LINK‑USDT | 4H / 1H Confluence Play – “Gap Rebalance or Flush?” LINK‑USDT | 4H / 1H Confluence Play – “Gap Rebalance or Flush?” LINK is drifting up into a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at 16.48 – 16.65 USDT, created by: 4H + 1H Fair‑Value Gap (bearish displacement candle of 22 May) TPO single‑print strip on both Binance LINKUSDT perp and spot – un‑auctioned prices from 16.48 to 16.60 0.764 / 0.786 fib retrace of the current downswing Minor composite LVN just above at 16.70‑16.75 – ideal liquidity sweep level Historically, 70 % of crypto FVGs of this height (≤ 0.8 %) get at least a midpoint tag within 5 sessions. The mean reversal clock is 10‑15 minutes once price first pokes the gap; if we churn inside for > 3× M5 bars without rejection, odds flip to acceptance. What I’m watching inside the zone M5 structure break – lower‑high or close below last M5 swing low. OI stall or roll‑over – no new longs piling in. CVD flip ≤ 0 – aggressive sellers absorb bids. When all three align, I’ll size up; otherwise this is just a magnet, not a wall. Blind‑limit ladder (probe only) 16.535 (gap midpoint) – 25 % size 16.590 (single‑print top) – 35 % 16.665 (liquidity sweep under LVN) – 40 % Unified stop: 16.78 (above LVN cluster, 0.9 % risk) Trade thesis: This zone is “unfinished business.” If order‑flow confirms rejection, expect a swift mean reversion; if price converts single prints into value (multiple prints + rising OI), abandon the short bias and look for acceptance > 16.80.
KRAKEN:LINKUSD.PMShort
by Alireza_ITS
1