COIN Breakout Loading: Smart Money Reclaim Underway | WaverVanir🚀 COIN Breakout Loading: Smart Money Reclaim Underway | WaverVanir Alpha Alert
NASDAQ:COIN just tapped a deep discount zone, rebounded from the 0.5–0.618 retracement band, and is now reloading liquidity under the previous high.
⚙️ Technical Breakdown:
✅ Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.618 at $384.67) was respected with strong wick rejections.
🧠 Volume compression hints at algorithmic absorption under $388.
🔴 Red Supply Block @ $393.91–$395.80 is next liquidity target.
🟡 EMA ribbon acting as dynamic support, stabilizing at $381–$382.
🎯 Target Structure:
🚀 Break $388 → blast through $393.91 (1.236) → ignite options gamma toward $400.19
🔥 Your move, institutions. This is the last discount before markup.
💰 Trade Thesis:
Holding 7/11 $387.5C @ 0.71 – Target Sell @ $1,000 per contract.
Time is short. But so is volatility.
One wick above $393.91 can detonate open interest.
🧠 If this reclaims $388 with a strong candle and volume surge, expect FOMO to carry this into the gamma squeeze zone by EOD.
📍 Posted by WaverVanir International LLC – Quant-Fueled Liquidity Engine | VolanX Protocol Alpha Layer
#COIN #Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN #OptionsFlow #GammaSqueeze #LiquidityRaid #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy #SMC #QuantEdge #FibLevel #WaverVanirAlpha #VolanX #BreakoutTrade #VolumeProfile #BuyTheDip #HighConvictionTrade
Harmonic Patterns
Bitcoin’s 486-Day Halving Blueprint: The $200,000 Blowoff?Summary
Bitcoin’s price consistently follows a 3-phase structure after each halving, with ~486 days per phase. If history repeats, we are nearing the end of the parabolic phase, with a potential peak around $200,000, before entering a structured drawdown.
Halving Cycles: The Real Clock Behind Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s monetary policy is pre-programmed.
A halving occurs approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), and market behaviour after each halving follows this repeating pattern:
Phase 1: Parabolic Rally (0 to 70,000 blocks post-halving).
Phase 2: Major Drawdown (70,000 to 140,000 blocks).
Phase 3: Equilibrium Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks).
Each phase lasts approximately 486 days, and this structure has repeated reliably since 2012.
Phase 1: The Parabolic Rally (Current Phase)
We are currently in the growth segment of the cycle:
Price rising rapidly.
Miner profitability at highs.
Hashrate and network security increasing.
MVRV Z-Score steadily climbing, but not yet overextended.
Roughly 700,000 BTC are mined during this period, creating a supply shock as issuance is halved while demand accelerates.
Phase 2: The Drawdown (Expected Next)
Historically begins between block 70,000 to 140,000 post-halving.
Market peaks and begins to correct.
Miner margins compress.
Hashrate may plateau or decline.
Forced selling and miner capitulation drive volatility.
Price retraces significantly from the peak.
This phase resets the market and eliminates unsustainable excess.
Phase 3: The Equilibrium Phase
Occurs between block 140,000 to 210,000 post-halving.
Price enters consolidation.
Realized value and market price converge.
Ideal accumulation period for long-term investors.
Network fundamentals stabilize ahead of the next halving.
This phase is critical in building the base for the next cycle.
MVRV Z-Score: Market Thermometer
The chart includes the MVRV Z-Score, a key metric showing how far price deviates from realized value:
Readings above 6.0 have consistently marked cycle tops.
Readings near or below 0 have marked major bottoms.
Current value is around 2.67 — indicating a rising trend, but not overheated.
This metric reflects market-wide profitability and speculative pressure.
Why $200,000 Is in Sight
The projected resistance curve on the chart suggests that:
$200,000 aligns with the top of the long-term parabolic channel.
It corresponds with the expected end of the parabolic phase (Q1–Q2 2026).
It fits prior extension patterns following each halving.
It is a strong psychological target, likely to trigger heavy profit-taking.
This price level is not arbitrary—it is derived from the same structure that defined previous peaks.
What Comes After
If the historical cycle structure remains intact:
The peak should occur before mid-2026.
A deep correction phase follows, likely into 2027.
True bottoms tend to occur as miner capitulation concludes and difficulty adjusts downward.
This is where conviction and preparation matter most.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin cycles are not random. They are structured around block height, issuance, and miner economics.
Every cycle since 2012 has followed this 486-day framework, divided across parabola, crash, and reset. This model has outperformed calendar-based predictions and technical narratives.
Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author holds no responsibility for any losses incurred as a result of using the information presented herein.
TURBO: Next Leg Higher in Progress📈 CRYPTO:TURBOUSD is building momentum after holding key support levels, with Elliott Wave projections pointing toward the equal legs target zone at $0.008–$0.011. The recent bullish structure suggests continuation, especially following its Binance US listing and strong community backing.
Adobe - A gigantic triangle breakout! 🔋Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) will break the triangle:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, for the past five years Adobe has been overall consolidating. But this consolidation was governed by a strong symmetrical triangle pattern. Thus following the underlying uptrend, there is already a higher chance that we will see a bullish breakout, followed by a strong rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$400, $700
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Bitcoin Ascends into the Clear Sky: Structural Break Confirmed.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1D) - (Jul 14, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $121,662.29.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D):
▦ EMA9 - ($115,313.08):
∴ The EMA9 is aggressively sloped upward, serving as dynamic support during the latest expansion phase.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish control confirmed; momentum is guided tightly by the EMA9 anchor.
⊣
▦ EMA21 - ($111,636.30):
∴ EMA21 remains positively inclined, acting as a structural trend base beneath price and volume clusters.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains structurally sound as long as price stays above the 21-day mean.
⊣
▦ Volume + EMA21 - (Volume: 497.79 BTC - EMA21: 262 BTC):
∴ Volume surge surpasses the rolling average, confirming institutional participation and breakout legitimacy.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume expansion validates price movement - no signs of divergence or exhaustion detected.
⊣
▦ RSI + EMA9 - (RSI: 77.99 - EMA9: 68.49):
∴ RSI has entered overbought territory, yet its trajectory remains upward and wide above its smoothing band.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish momentum sustained; overbought conditions not yet reversing.
⊣
▦ MACD - (9, 21, 9) + EMA's smoothing:
∴ MACD: 3,271.60 | Signal: 2,013.81 | Divergence: +1,257.79;
∴ The MACD line is expanding positively over its signal, confirming momentum acceleration.
✴️ Conclusion: Technical conviction favors bullish continuation; signal remains clean and unsaturated.
⊣
▦ Ichimoku Cloud - (9, 26, 52, 26):
∴ Price is decisively above the Kumo cloud - “Clear Sky” territory;
∴ Senkou Span A = 121,653.30 | Senkou Span B = 112,486.54;
∴ Tenkan and Kijun lines are sharply elevated, confirming trend authority.
✴️ Conclusion: Zero resistance above; cloud projection supports further upward development.
⊣
🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle:
∴ All indicators are aligned in a rare harmonic convergence, signaling trend expansion with no current topping structure;
∴ Market shows the behavior of an advanced impulse wave entering Phase II expansion;
∴ Strategic play remains bullish - pullbacks, if any, should be shallow and fast.
⊣
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Advancing
⊢
⧉
Cryptorvm Dominvs · ⚜️ MAGISTER ARCANVM ⚜️ · Vox Primordialis
⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬
⧉
⊢
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
Gold has successfully broken above its descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure and growing bullish momentum.
A pullback toward the broken trendline is now likely, as price may retest the breakout zone.
Once the pullback is completed, we anticipate a bullish continuation and a move toward higher levels.
As long as price holds above the identified support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Will gold resume its rally after the pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Can Bitcoin reach new highs?Bitcoin reached around 121722, close to the expected target of 130,000. There are two current expectations:
1. Black line: 5-wave rising structure, currently in the 3rd wave rising, and there will be a 5th wave rising after the correction.
2. Purple line: abc rising structure, currently in the last wave c rising, will end the rise ahead of time.
The rise is not yet complete. If it falls below the lower track of the channel, the rise will end.
BABA – Dollar Cost Averaging Opportunityhi Traders,
Let's have a look at BABA.
Alibaba (BABA) appears to be approaching the end of its correction phase within a well-defined ascending channel. Based on the current price action and technical setup, we believe now is a good time to begin dollar cost averaging into this stock.
Our identified buy zone lies between $108 and $100, where price intersects the lower trendline support and key EMAs (20/50/100/200). This area offers a strong risk-reward setup for medium- and long-term investors.
The mid-term target for this trade is $160, which aligns with the upper channel resistance and previous price structure. However, from a long-term perspective, we anticipate that BABA will resume its growth trajectory and eventually surpass its previous all-time highs.
Supporting this idea, the RSI is stabilizing in neutral territory, suggesting that momentum is resetting and may shift bullish as price finds support.
Summary:
🔁 Strategy: Dollar cost averaging
🟩 Buy zone: $108 – $100
🎯 Mid-term target: $160
🚀 Long-term view: Return to growth and new ATH
📉 Correction nearing completion; bullish structure remains intact
This setup offers an attractive entry point for patient investors aiming to ride the next major upside cycle in Alibaba.
NIO – Breakout Approaching from Apexhi Traders
How are you today? Do you like NIO stock today?
The price of NIO is currently sitting right at the apex of a narrowing wedge, indicating that a decisive breakout is likely imminent. This technical formation has been building for months, and the price has now tightened into a point where volatility and direction are expected to return soon.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is showing bullish signs, with an upsloping structure despite the sideways price action, which suggests growing bullish momentum under the surface. This hidden strength adds confidence to a potential bullish breakout.
We’ve identified two key upside targets for the bulls:
🎯 Target 1: $5.24 — a 45% move from current levels
🎯 Target 2: $7.70 — previous resistance and a major psychological level
However, on the flip side, if the price breaks down from this pattern instead of up, we could see NIO revisit levels as low as $2.20, which would delay the bullish scenario significantly and potentially extend the consolidation phase.
Summary:
🔺 At apex of wedge pattern — breakout expected soon
📈 RSI is bullish and rising, indicating potential strength
🎯 Bullish targets: $5.24 and $7.70
⚠️ Bearish breakdown risk: Downside to $2.20
Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before entering, as momentum can accelerate quickly once direction is established.
ALGOUSDT - One of the Best Altcoin Setups Right This chart of ALGO/USDT presents one of the cleanest and most promising bottom formations in the entire altcoin market.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Clear Rounded Bottoms: ALGO has formed multiple rounded bottoms over a long accumulation period, signaling strong base building and exhaustion of sellers.
Descending Wedge Breakout: A breakout from the falling wedge pattern has occurred, further validating the bullish reversal.
RSI Divergence: On the RSI, we see a bullish divergence, suggesting momentum is shifting to the upside.
📈 Market Outlook
ALGO looks ready to begin a parabolic move, breaking out from months of consolidation.
This setup combines long-term support, bullish structure, and momentum reversal.
Based on this structure and previous behavior, we expect a powerful move over the next 1–2 months.
🎯 Targets
First target: $0.6773 — long-term trendline resistance.
Final target: $0.8138 — previous key resistance zone and measured move potential.
🛡️ Conclusion
This is a high-potential setup that stands out in the current altcoin landscape. The structure, volume compression, and technical signals strongly suggest ALGO is preparing for a major breakout. If the move plays out as expected, we could see the price reach both targets within the next 60 days.
One to watch very closely!
TOTAL3 – Breakout Targethi traders
The TOTAL3 chart shows a strong breakout from a falling wedge pattern, followed by a bullish push that has reclaimed key Fibonacci levels. Currently sitting around the $961B mark, the market has cleared the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels and is approaching a significant technical milestone.
In the short term, the next major resistance lies at the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which aligns near $1.35 trillion. This is a reasonable first target if the bullish momentum continues and would represent a solid recovery of altcoin market cap from the recent lows.
However, the mid-term projection is even more ambitious. If this rally continues and mirrors previous cycle expansions, we could see TOTAL3 reaching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, targeting a $2 trillion market cap. This would indicate a powerful altcoin cycle is underway, with broad market participation beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.
The technical structure supports this outlook, especially after a long consolidation phase and a breakout above descending resistance. As long as TOTAL3 holds above $850B–$900B, this bullish thesis remains intact.
Gold Trade Plan 14/07/2025Dear Traders,
On the 4H chart, gold (XAUUSD) is forming a symmetrical triangle, with price approaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in red) around 3375 - 3385, which aligns with the descending trendline.
📍 Two possible scenarios:
Pullback scenario (more likely short-term):
Price gets rejected from the red box and pulls back to the ascending trendline below (~3300-3320).
Bullish breakout scenario:
If price breaks and holds above the red resistance and descending trendline, the next bullish target could be 3450 - 3470.
For now, the best strategy: Wait for price reaction at resistance before entering a trade.
Regards,
Alireza!
#ZIL/USDT Descending channel ?#ZIL
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.01022, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 0.01010.
Entry price: 0.01034
First target: 0.01061
Second target: 0.01097
Third target: 0.01135
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.