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Gold Rush with AI: Analyzing a Bullish TrendIntroduction G old has always been an intriguing asset for investors, often seen as a store of value and a hedge against economic uncertainty. In this analysis, we take a closer look at a chart showing the price of Gold (OZ) on the Gold-USD market compared to USD ($) to identify trends and potential scenarios for gold's future price movement. So, let's dive into the chart and explore the dynamics of the Gold market. Bullish Momentum T he chart reveals a powerful bullish trend in the Gold market, culminating in a local bullish double top pattern on October 27 and October 31, with the price reaching around $2010. This bullish momentum signals a robust demand for gold, driven by various factors like geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. A Double Top Formation T he double top formation represents a potential turning point in the market. While there are no immediate signs of a bearish reversal, the double top could trigger a consolidation phase. This consolidation might occur within the price range of $1952 (support line) to $2010, forming a support zone indicated by the blue rectangle on the chart. T he consolidation period is depicted by the white arrow on the chart and could extend until December. This consolidation isn't necessarily a sign of weakness but can be seen as a sign of increasing investor interest and strengthened buying power. Investor Opportunity A prolonged consolidation provides an opportunity for both new and existing investors to consider buying into the market. It allows gold to gather sufficient funding, and as long as the investor sentiment remains positive, there's a chance that the price could break the resistance zone (purple rectangle on the chart) between $2002 and $2010. Further Upside Potential E ven if the price breaks through this resistance zone, it doesn't necessarily mark the end of the bullish trend. It could trigger further consolidation or higher resistance zones as potential targets. The next significant resistance zone to watch out for is between $2055 and $2065. Bearish Concerns H owever, if gold falls from the support zone, it raises doubts about the sustainability of the bullish trend. In such a scenario, the next support zone could be around $1904, where a possible bearish reversal might be considered. Volume and Investor Sentiment A part from price and technical indicators, the chart analysis also considers trading volume. In October and November, the volume has been consistently high, suggesting a global need for diversification with gold in portfolios containing indices and other assets. Investors continue to view gold as a valuable precious metal for diversifying complex portfolios, particularly in uncertain economic times. Key Drivers for Gold Investment S everal factors are driving investor sentiment towards gold. These include concerns about high inflation in national currencies, increasing oil prices, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, and the long-standing belief that gold tends to rise during times of war. Conclusion W hile this analysis provides insights into the current gold market trends, it's essential to remember that investing in gold is a long-term strategy. The precious metal serves as a hedge in complex portfolios and aims for long-term appreciation rather than fast gains. P lease note that this analysis is not investment advice, and historic results do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your research and consider various safety measures when making investment decisions. Kind regards, Ely Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an endorsement of any specific investment. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elysian_Mind
15
Double top formed near the ATH is breaking downBy March '23 gold did a strong breakout near the 2000 quote. After that, the prices did not continue to flow and stucked inside a congestion at that level. At 04 May '23 the prices tried to overpass the previous top but failed. This failure gave us a doji candle, at the previous top, a very bearish signal, and besides that, it also gave us a double top formation. The congestion kept going for some more days until a sequence of bearish candles appeared (16 to 18 May '23) breaking down the support of the previous bottom and confirming the double top formation. As I have posted before here , I have started a long term position in gold, and I remain bullish in it. But the chart gave us these bearish signals that are too strong to be ignored, so I decided to hedge via futures contracts and started a short trade at the 1981.60. As the GC is a heavy contract for margin purposes, I'm actually trading the micro gold contract (MGC). This price level is basically the same I did my entry at the spot through GLD, so my resulting position is currently neutral. That is, if prices fall, I profit in MGC and loss in GLD, on the same proportion; if prices go up, I profit in GLD and loss in MGC. And giving up this profit if it goes up, is my cost for this hedge. If I stop the GLD I get short directional, otherwise, if I stop the MCG I get long.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by thessia_
JPY - But With a new ApproachInstead of just saying "Go in!" let's try a little watch and wait. We're in a downtrend overall from the 4hr, but also at a key level from the 4hr as support. I see it tried to reverse before all the news happened last week, But dropped one more level. Buy the level, if some reasons present themselves around the 130.5, with a hedge sell below at 130.3 if the buy is taken. Target the next level. Simple Just looking for a reaction and retest for entry criteria
Long
by ForexStoryteller
GBP - Solve the HedgeAfter some major dissection from a few different angles, I see a bit of chaos mostly. I imagine for the open of the week, we may see some spikes and just general up and down. Overall, we look to be finishing up by going into a down trend, or at least going a bit lower, maybe as low as the 1.18 range. It is rather balanced right now, with a lot of long and short looks, but the major picture of the 4hr says we made a major double top, with the most recent top just slightly lower,(Red dashed line) and very strong reaction from that area, so more downward action can be expected, still a ways to go for reaching a major bottom level. Current positions open: 1 Buy @ 1.23015 1 Buy @ 1.22895 2 Buys @ 1.22254 4 Sells @ 1.22165 Overall spread/drawdown in positions: 184-206 pips (variable spread, working spread is average of 188) Current trade equity: + 76 pips (not sure how I got 62 pips before, double checked is 76.0 pips net positive. Garbage in garbage out on calculators I guess) Current available pips: 601 (Free margin) + 1250 in reserve (9% drawdown, 25% will make me uncomfortable, so plenty of room to work in) Plan #1 Looking to see price move up, and into one of the red circles around the A point on the left chart. The leftmost, and lowest red point is the breakeven point for the buys. The uppermost right red circle is the 4hr level, and we have a lot of interest coming together at this point. This would be a good entry point for Sells, but to keep my position weight down, I will pass on selling this level, and just place a 4x buy hedge above the 1.231 mark, with a little flexibility on the exact price to allow volatility at the time price is near that level. Depending on how price reacts, I may even hold the Buys until the 1.228 level at the second red circle, but staying strong to hedge orders above. The safest play would be to liquidate them immediately as price crosses breakeven, and allow the sells to gain some ground. Once price leaves the A areas, I will be looking to target the B areas for places to liquidate the sells with small profit, and trail a buy hedge down just incase we get one more push up, but I don't see much possibility for it to reach back above the 4hr level(yellow top line) again. Once sells liquidate, I will be looking for re-entry at another B point on retest to sell down, but in a new idea, as this trade will be closed and solved. (Fairly High Probability, Most likely if we don't gap down on open) Plan #2 Price tries to move up, but just doesn't make it for some reason. It struggles but the selling interest finally overwhelms all the buyers still holding out for the trend to push up longer, and we start to fall. Once Price reaches the B levels, I will look to liquidate the sell orders, and take account of it's value. I will then close an opposite buy trade of equal or lesser value (times ) to remove the highest order(s). I will then add 2 buy positions from this level, and look for breakeven right around the C point to end the buys even, and overall trade even with small or no gain, but covering all losses from other positions. Objective net 0 in this situation. (Low probability, not much lines up with this idea, but could happen due to the extreme balance right now of buyers and sellers in the market) Plan #3 Price just straight out takes a nose dive. If this should happen, for example we just gap way down on open, or the day opens and then just runs away without ever looking back, then I will continue to hold all positions, and wait for price to find something to show any sign of support. I still think the 1.204 level could be where that happens, even though we did not get the triple tap top. It is the next most major level that is very clear across most timeframes, even weekly. If the open and initial reaction goes below the B level, I will be looking to close the sell the same way as before in plan #2. Because of the equal positions in spread value, one or two buys will remain. I will enter a buy or possibly 2 from a lower level(1.204 most likely in this case), The amount will need to be determined by how many get closed, with an objective of trying to line up a buy breakeven on the B level point. This will also return a minimal gain, as the focus will be on closing out with net 0, or small gain on closing prices at key levels, not just because, should the opportunity be there. (Moderate probability, Extreme Sell Pressure is present, bulls are ready to push, but they don't have the numbers the way we closed out Friday, and not enough movement/momentum to get an exciting rally on their side, it will be rather difficult to get up from this point as well if this is how we open)
Short
by ForexStoryteller
4
Correlation – Crude Oil & CPIStudies indicated Crude Oil is the best indicator to track the current inflation. It is also a leading indicator to inflation numbers? If that is true, we will have to track the crude oil prices very closely. Content: i. The most inline commodity with CPI ii. Can the Crude Oil track CPI? iii. Direction of Crude Oil Crude Oil Futures Minimum fluctuation 0.01 = $10 0.10 = $100 1.00 = $1,000 10.00 = $10,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
7
Signs before Tesla crashContent: i. Early signs before its crash ii. These signals are applicable to others markets iii. How to hedge Tesla? This method can be applied to any other markets. In segment 2, I demonstrated how you do that in the Nasdaq index. You can email me your case study on other markets with similar behaviour, we can check with each other. E-Mini Nasdaq Minimum fluctuation 0.25 points = $5 1 point = $20 10 points = $200 100 points = $2,000 1,000 points = $20,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by konhow
1
XAUUSD DECISIVE AREA This pair is on a decisive area now. Such area is very volatile to trade but at the same time it could be an opportunity also for traders. As per DOW its making LL LH and in order to break this it has to give closing above the previous LH which is around 1790 at the same time it could retrace back to 1763 and then targeting towards 1750 for new LL. The Ichimoku red cloud is still above while lagging span below which is favoring the bears . However as per Renko strategy with traditional settings it indicates a bullish move along with breaking a parallel bearish channel towards upward, one brick already formed above the channel. On Daryl Guppy both investors and short term traders have merged in between which again means a decisive area as both the long and short MA's are colliding. For hardcore traders it could potentially be a nice hedging setup and they can scalp as well. New comers kindly avoid this area. On daily- kinda inverse double top is formed also On weekly bullish flag is formed On monthly Cup and handle is formed For those who missed last week trades they could follow both the trade plans i have shared . Trade with discipline and without emotions. Get yourself numb of the gossips :) For $1000 account use 0.02 - 0.5 lots and make sure to trail the SL always to recover losses and maximize the gains. Have a safe trade ;)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MilestoneInvestments
2
The price channels never lie.I’m a dumb ape, me no trade advice. We’ve got some resolved overbought RSI, and price channel signals to boot. Entry would be good around this range for shorts. Although if it does retest the bull channel, a short position could have a higher entry. But, that isn’t necessarily the case, we work with what we know, and for now, it looks as though this entry would be great for an 11% ROI, or 1375%+++ for my scalp homies. Profit take - throughout the trade depending on trend angles and MA’s (primarily the 200ma on any chart) watch to see weather we’re at the top or bottom half of the regression and as long as sellers are strong, feel free to average back in. Stop losses - should be adjusted throughout if you profit take (we all have our own strategies for this) I use Hedge mode on Binance. Stop losses on this should be tight, and we’re still in a questionable time frame, with 6mo CME puts expiring and new investors joining all the time. I also use hedging for this to smooth large price fluctuations but, if you must, use your risk management strategy to determine. Hope y’all see something in there that is useful. ☺️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwayzePunkz
What is Hedging ?🔵 Hedging Investment banks and other institutions use call options as hedging instruments. Just like insurance, hedging with an option opposite your position helps to limit the amount of losses on the underlying instrument should an unforeseen event occur. Call options can be bought and used to hedge short stock portfolios, or sold to hedge against a pullback in long stock portfolios. When an asset reaches a higher price, it usually attracts more attention from traders and investors, which pushes the market price even higher. This continues until a large number of sellers enter the market – for example, when an unforeseen event causes them to rethink the asset’s price. Once enough sellers are in the market, the momentum changes direction and will force an asset’s price lower. ━━━━━━━━━━
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by dsp21486
2
Nasdaq Daily Reversal — Arbitrage & Sectorial RotationAmidst a financial market strongly distorted by the thirst of control from the central banks & their monetary policy craze headed exclusively toward supporting inflating assets valuation, it's become more & more obvious prices no longer represent neither economic reality nor actual asset value (assuming they ever did). Therefore, in such a climate of financial & speculative assets hyperinflation, it's highly interesting not to be too directional, on major indexes as an exemple, and rather seek arbitrage trading between different sectors. Today i'm proposing a Daily Nasdaq reversal short, within the aforementioned framework of arbitrage, as a hedge-trade against the Dow Jones, Tech vs Industrials . Let's have a look at the Nasdaq/Dow Daily spread-chart FX:NAS100/FX:US30*100 (the *100 in the mnemonic was added to obtain more detailed «Volume profile» data / rows) : As you can see, the spread between the two sectors has been ranging since summer of last year, showcasing clear arbitrage strategies being put in place between the two assets / indexes. Strategies that were most likely triggered as a result of widespread doubt amongst market professionals about global assets' valuation and their direction. Now addressing the technicalities of our spread, it should be noted that, on that specific timeframe, we've already broken the range' support during early of March. The spread reaching its upper pitchfork/canal boundary in conjunction with a 76,4% Fibonacci retracement right after breaking its range' support, points out toward a pretty good timing to start taking action on the components of spread itself. We can also witness a few enticing overload signals on the momentum/sinewave indicators, but signals on spread-charts are never to be taken too seriously as they're not extremely reliable. To end with the spread-chart and contextualise a little bit more in-depth, this year long recent hedge trade on the two major U.S indexes becomes even more obvious when you switch to the Monthly timeframe, just to realize that NDX/DOW is a monthly range as well. You can also easily notice that the Daily hedge-trade strategies that have been put in place since summer 2020 coincidently happened to be taken on prices very close from the 2000 highs of the spread-chart (the year 2000 which happened to mark the end of the .com tech crazed bubble). Hesitation on a monthly top, heh. So we've got short term timing & technical elements aligning with the broader decade long context, good. Now let's take a look specifically at our Nasdaq chart to outline more relevant technical elements that are going to lead to our trade. Starting with the context : on the Monthly timeframe we can see that our beloved tech sector is no less than a bubble : a parabolic structure perpetually accelerating with increasingly ascending support trendlines, and not materializing any kind of consolidation whatsoever. It should also be mentioned that we havent finished a Monthly momentum cycle since 2012 (2010 for the Quarterly timeframe). Bubble meaning no cycle, consequently meaning a market structure' maturity excruciatingly harder to discern — that is besides the volatility burst & the chaotic range that precedes the final excess leading to the market top. A context to handle with care, to say the least. Now that we know the broader direction the market is currently taking, we can start to look at our timeframe of reference, the Daily one : Here are the different technical elements i could outline from that chart : Prices Reaching the upper boundary of both the Schiff Pitchfork & the Regular Trend Canal 88.6% Fibonacci extension hit & showing short term price slowdown 138.2% Fibonacci retracement from the last downward consolidating move, supposing a potential running or expanded flat Signals Cycle Alignement of both Sinewave & Momentum Momentum about to print an overload signal (will confirm or not depending on the next Daily closes) Momentum pointing at a possible triple divergence Would appreciate an engulfing bearish candle close on the Daily timeframe within the next few days Risk Management The invalidation on this Nasdaq Short costs 3%, therefore i won't expose more than half of my capital on this position, that way i'm risking no more than 1.5% of my capital as a speculative loss on this trade (and even less with the Dow long part incoming). Validation levels are showcased on the chart based on «footprints» (historical low volume areas found using volume profile), lower boundaries of channels / pitchfork and Fibonacci retracements. TP 2 means at most a total of 50% profits taken on the original position. The rest will be held for lower targets on the Weekly / Monthly timeframes. I'll further update this analysis as soon as the Dow Jones reaches its next supports areas (if it does so), especially since those same areas will allow me to start executing the opposite part of this hedge-trade (the long one). But that's it for now Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Go easy on leverage and don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) Kindly, J.M.K
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by John_Maynard_Keynes
1
My long-term outlook on Silver SLVThe chart is pretty much self explanatory and very simple to understand. I pretty much see silver as a good investment whether if you buy shares or you own the commodity out right. This would be my ideal scenario for silver to climb to all time highs by 2022. Break and hold over $27 would open up a climb to $50. This could also happen much faster based on global requirement to hedge the falling value of fiat. Silver is also a material that is used in some of the fastest growing emerging markets of solar power, electric vehicles, smartphones, green energy and much more. This move in silver could be similar to what you saw in GameStop. Be sure to do your own research and see if what I say make sense to you!
AMEX:SLVLong
by krobby
Dec Hedge: VXX Puts - 18 Dec expiryDecember's Hedge Trade This trade hedges OLLI my secondary trade which is riskier as it was strategically structured to be the opposite of the border market movement. Hence if OLLI surges this should mitigate the loss. It is 15% ($827.42 with comms) of the premium from Dec's Primary and Secondary trade. If things go well I should not need to cash this at all. Bought 95 Puts @ 0.08, Strike 14 It requires an est -26% drop to reach the strike
CBOE:VXXShort
by Ronin_trader
CORRELATION,DIVERSIFYING & HEDGING: An elementary viewGreetings In the world of forex trading or trading of any financial instrument for that matter, many complex, technical and convoluted words are thrown around in conversations. Such jargon, though is relevant, tends to result in many blank stares especially among some of my peers, many of whom are not finance, economics or statistic fundi's. Many of them with basic education, yearn to be part of these conversations and also contribute their own opinions. This leads to many of them simply offering that awkward nod, wide smile and occasional laugh when everyone else does. they are relegated to conversation observers who's feet seem stuck to the floor. I've been there and that feeling is gut-wrenching, degrading and leads you to view the rest of the crowd as snobs, elitists or braggarts. this then creates apathy toward the subject matter. Well i will try, through this article, to open one of the many back doors to this world. I will attempt to unwrap and "break it down" to bite size chunks so that maybe one day when you are in the midst of the so called "esteemed highbrows", you will also throw in your "two cents". This article will explore the concept of correlation trading. Correlation can also be viewed as the interconnection, interdependence, association or link between. So correlation trading (especially in forex), is basically a statistical measure of the relationship (or association or interdependence) of currency pairs. A simplified example would be if you take the AUDJPY pair. This pair is an association or link-between the AUDUSD and the USDJPY . It would stand to argue that the AUDJPY pair is "correlated" to the AUDUSD and USDJPY. A negative correlation implies that the currency pairs will move in opposing directions while positive correlations tend to move in the same direction. Negative correlated pairs are usually used for hedging purposes. Correlation coefficients range from-1 to +1. A correlation of -1 implies that the two currency pairs will move in opposite directions every time and vice versa if the coefficient is +1. In the past, at this stage of the conversation, I would have switched off looking for how to exit the group, but read further as we further dissect this further. What i have come to appreciate is that you don't have to fully get it the first time, but it will make sense as you progress. So correlations are usually tabulated and presented in different date ranges, namely daily, weekly, monthly, 6 monthly and yearly. A simple example of the EURUSD against USDJPY pair would look like: DAILY +0.44 WEEKLY -0.42 MONTHLY -0.34 6 MONTHLY -0.55 YEARLY -0.85 interpretation Over a period of one year the EURUSD had a strong negative correlation against the USDJPY , meaning that 85% of the time when the EURUSD went up the USDJPY went down. Conversely over the daily time period these pairs were positively correlated. This example was also deliberately drawn up to show the correlations do not always remain the same over time. From the example the effects BREXIT might cause the temporary positive correlation on the daily time range among many other economic factors taking place in Japan. SHOW ME HOW TO MAKE FROM THIS!!! Now we have some understanding of correlation in forex pairs, here's how the "mashed potatoes mixes with the gravy". We know that the EURZAR and the USDZAR have a very strong positive correlation(I am biased on ZAR: South African Rand since i'm the mother continent), so trading trading on both pairs might not be advisable as it simply doubles your exposure. For instance you buy 1 lot of EURZAR and the same on USDZAR , knowing that these pairs are likely to move in the same direction, will simply double the chances of you losing more if the trade goes against you and vice versa. Lets say you try to get a "one up" on the market like what i tried to do when I started trading by going long on EURZAR and short on USDZAR at the same time. Well my friend that is a contra-trade (a trade that cancels the other) and most of the time you will end in a loss. You might be asking how you will end in a loss if the trades cancel out each other, well firstly these pairs don't always move in the same exact pip range (because they are not 100% correlated) and they have different pip values. Trust me the math doesn't lie, I won't go into it i might lose you at this point. However pairs that are negatively correlated to the EURZAR like the ZARJPY should not take an opposite position. Since we know that when the EURZAR goes up the ZARJPY goes down. So buying (or going long on) EURZAR and selling (or going short on) ZARJPY is the same as buying two position of EURZAR . In other words we have doubled our risk. Some people might say well that the disadvantages stated above can also be utilised to our benefit if we know how to hedge our trades and also bring in diversification. Now this conversation is the one where we graduate to the master class of the inner circle of trading pro's. a friend approached me and enlightened me to the fact you can also diversify your trading portfolio, especially if you have a directional bias on a particular pair. Say, for example, you believe that the ZAR is entering a bullish season, you can diversify by putting a buy(going long) on EURZAR and USDZAR knowing fully well that the American economy has a different bias than the European monetary authorities, therefore by spreading risk between EURZAR and USDZAR will lower losses if the USD goes in the opposite direction quickly, allowing you to adjust your portfolio. This learned friend of mine went on to explain that for pairs that are negatively correlated, like the EURZAR and the ZARJPY can be used for hedging purposes through the use of the different pip values ( PIP is the smallest move in the price of a currency pair). Hedging is the opening of a position with the purpose of offsetting any gain or loss on the other transaction. Assume the value of the pip move in EURZAR is $10 for a lot of 100,000 and the value of a pip move in ZARJPY is $8 or a lot of 100,000. Knowing this can help us hedge our exposure to EURZAR . (Please be aware that certain countries do not allow hedging) Let say i open a position of 1 short EURZAR lot of 100,000 units and 1 short ZARJPY lot of 100,000 units. When the EURZAR increases by 10 pips, the 1 would in a loss of $100 (number of PIPs X Value per PIP). However, since ZARJPY moves opposite to the EURZAR , the short ZARJPY position would be profitable, nearly up to $80 (this is due to the strong negative correlation). This would turn the net loss of the portfolio into just -$20 instead of the full $100. On the flip side this hedge also means smaller profits in the event of a rally down in EURZAR . However, in the worst-case scenario, losses become relatively lower. CONCLUSION All traders regardless at which stage you are, from novice to grand-master, there is need to have an appreciation of correlations and how they affect your portfolio. work towards: 1.Eliminating contra-trades (Trades that cancel each other out) 2.Diversify Risk. By not putting your eggs in one basket. By taking advantage of the imperfect correlations, one can open two positions in the same direction knowing that you limit your exposure to one pair. 3. Potentially double up on profits. In our example above, the high correlation between EURZAR and USDZAR , would mean that if you open a position one of the pairs you can open a similar position on the other pairs thus potentially doubling profits and vice versa. 4. Hedging. This usually results in lower profits, but it also minimises your losses. 5. Confirm break outs and avoid fake outs. Although I did not discuss this aspect in this article, it is the very topic that will be in my next article that i will be releasing next and will sure be topic that will result in all those finance and economics gurus offering you a 2 minute attentive silence, as they nod their heads to your insightful analysis of the markets. You might even get a "let's chat later privately and explore this in depth, or that's exactly what i was about to say". This will leave you walking a little taller, with a bounce in your step, calling shots. All i am saying is if i can do this, surely you can too. Takunda Mudenge is a market analyst based out of Zimbabwe, Africa. He writes in his personal capacity and the information is purely for educational and entertainment purposes and should not be construed or assumed to be investment advice. The information above was collected from various investment websites and literature and all attempts were made to make it into contemporary English.
Education
by takundamudenge
1
my hedged trade on FacebookHi everyone, This is another trade taken today: Long Facebook vs Short JC DECAUX. Facebook has lost about 20% from its august top. Fundamentals are still strong (ROE, revenues, margin, cash flow), the management is strong as well. I choose to hedge it with JC DECAUX, traditional advertising industry, with weakening fundamentals (debt and cash flow are bad), Moody's outlook is negative, and the management is not that good (actually they are the heirs of the founder, compare with Facebook that is run by its founder...). This is implemented with barrier options maturing in 90 days. Comments are welcome!
FLong
by fb_fabien
SIlver - ShortOANDA:XAGUSD As per the previous analysis, I am looking to play this down, SO if I am looking to play an overall swing down, and theres a 600+pip gap to where I would look for sells, taking the long hedge position makes sense! So played this really nice order trade 3.3% move up, to now anchor me if I want to look at sells. If I now take sells, but we keep pushing up, then I am covered as I will still hold longs from the bottom so I have zero risk to my capital! If you are ever looking for big moves but want to see it reach your target entry first, hedge that position, anything can happen at anytime, expose yourself to whatever the market wants to do!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AaronSLuce
Hedge against synthetic ' long' stock options Oil Search ... I've been scaling into this daily chart, with an average price of 1.3207. I expect it will get back up to 1.3307 in the next week or so. It seems to correlate with a stockmarket correction of reasonable magnitude so i will be out of stocks coming up to the election. I use the USDCAD as a hedge trade against stock position because OIL is speculative etc I usually try getting into this kind of 'hedge' against my stock positions when I am in a fairly good profit ( I don't own the stocks, I have synthetic options positions such as bull put spreads etc - so close to options expiry 15 OCT, if i am in profit well and place this kind of hedge to 'lock in' profits without getting stung with options brokerage until expires....)
Long
by Aussie-scalper