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Hyperinflation

Insane volatility imminent conspiracyI've seen one other TA notice this parabolic base forming (pink area) which I believe we'll be exiting over the next few years. Maybe it will happen this bull cycle. However, I think it's also possible that this bull cycle will be somewhat lackluster, not exceeding $150k, before correcting down to the 80's with wild volatility. I think this will shake out A LOT of investors and now that we have the likes of Black Rock et al in the mix, it's my theory that they don't want us in at the bottoms they want us in as their exit liquidity. When BTC does exit this formation and is supported above it very briefly, we're going to see the proverbial 'god' candle with absolute vertical movement. This will likely be nation states and corporations finally having the eureka moment. And it will occur during the 'usual' bear market. As the title states, this is a conspiracy but it seems like a very plausible scenario. Of course there's fundamental theory laced in with TA which I shouldn't do here but we're living in wild times. Am I stupid? Let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by stoneycrick
When Do Breaking ATMs Signal More Than Just Technical Failure?In a fascinating twist of economic irony, Turkey's banking system faces a crisis not from a shortage of money, but from an overwhelming abundance of near-worthless banknotes. This peculiar situation, where ATMs physically break down from dispensing too many low-value bills, serves as a powerful metaphor for the broader economic challenges facing emerging markets in an era of hyperinflation. The numbers tell an extraordinary tale: a 700% currency depreciation since 2018, 80% of circulating notes being the highest denomination available, and a stark disparity between official inflation rates of 49% and independent estimates of 89%. Yet perhaps most intriguing is the government's reluctance to print larger denominations – a psychological barrier rooted in the traumatic memory of million-lira notes from the 1990s. This resistance to adaptation, despite the obvious operational strain on the banking system, raises profound questions about the role of political psychology in economic policy-making. What emerges is a complex narrative about the intersection of technological capacity, monetary policy, and human psychology. As Turkish banks spend entire days counting money for simple transactions and regulators continuously delay implementing hyperinflationary accounting standards, we witness a unique case study of how modern financial systems can be overwhelmed not by sophisticated cyber threats or market crashes, but by the sheer physical weight of devalued currency. This situation challenges our traditional understanding of banking crises and forces us to reconsider the practical limits of monetary policy in an increasingly digital age.
Long
by MorMedia
2
Satoshi ReserveCheck this out. "Satoshi" mined 1M BTC before everyone else started mining. "He" is blue. Since then, his balance remained intact. Red are the biggest mining pools; as you can see, they sold almost everything. They have 150k BTC. Green are all the other miners. And they currently own 650k BTC. Everything else is distributed (traded or lost) to the retail. This makes "Satoshi" the owner of the single largest quantity of BTC 12 years after "he" stopped mining. That is what I call "well-armed." Now, let's look at when BTC was "born." At the time when 2008. the financial crisis was taking its toll; alternative value storage was created, mined, and released into the world. Which currency has been hyper-inflated for decades, and which country is trying to regulate the entire crypto world? Who would want to pull sufficient quantities of money from the market without giving valuable resources, thus increasing the underlying value of the said currency? Why are banks going down and BTC going up? And how much manipulation can be done with 1M BTC in the future? Point? If this scenario is correct, BTC can fix the difference between money's value and the number on the bill. We will see a lot more bull and bear markets. Everything that will be done so that most of BTC ends up in the hands of governments. And after that, everything will be done to create scarcity so that the price will increase. There are 15-20 years more until the last is mined. And the single largest quantity remains intact. Think about it. It's fun. And scary.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by RockinHood
End of the DXY dominance - Hyperinflation Soviet USA breakdown.How to take over world dominance as bricks in simple steps. Begin the foreign print and CCP force all business in China to purchase western assets (2010) Step 1 hoard US / Western assets Step 2 hoard US / Western bonds Step 3 hoard US / Western Real-estate ( Yes even Canada / Australia / New Zealand step 4 hoard US / Western Forex currency step 5 create new BRICS currency with a new global alliance lets call it the (BRICS DOLLAR) step 6 execute a mass coordinated market sell off of everything in all US and allied countries assets, bonds, real estate, forex reserves step 7 what happens now with all these new USD/CAD/AUD/NZD dollar holdings? could be over 60 trillion at this point with western markets forced to QE to backstop this and lower rates begging foreign countries to take debt (yes those countries all joining BRICS step 8 start dumping the USD holdings through thousands of entities for the new foreign (BRICS DOLLAR) forcing 60+ trillion of dollars back into western markets and buying up the (BRICS DOLLAR and BONDS) yes Jerome Powell has did QE to over 100 trillion at this point and the United states has collapsed states separating into new countries / regions due to the social panic. Who knows the CNY could be used as the BRICS DOLLAR? all can be certain is if the US Government goes into panic mode and goes communist and disables free markets this will be considered an act of war. Pretty funny watching Japan even realizing this and making the call to start siding with the BRICS countries. China and Russia's plan was so simple since 2000 yet so affective every broker, every real estate agent, every fund setting up those Cayman funds accepting corrupt Chinese money to purchase local assets and outbid local populations causing inflation > lower population growth > stalled GDP growth adjusted for inflation, if they knew the cost of that easy Chinese money they would have regulated it overnight. Too late now. -- Foreign holdings of U.S. securities ESTIMATED -- China 58.58 Trillion through various shell companies and repurchases. Foreign Currency Reserves (USD billions) Here are the 10 countries with the largest foreign currency reserve assets. All figures are as of June 2022. 1 China $ 3,480 2 Japan $ 1,376 3 Switzerland $ 1,379 4 Russia $ 630 5 India $ 599 6 Taiwan $ 548 7 Hong Kong $ 504 8 Saudi Arabia $ 451 9 South Korea $ 449 10 Singapore $ 365 Major foreign holders of United States treasury securities as of November 2023 (in billion U.S. dollars) Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Country 2023 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 2022 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Japan 1104.4 1076.3 1082.3 1064.4 1116.4 1196.0 1230.7 1232.7 1219.9 1215.0 1229.0 1303.0 1299.9 China, Mainland 859.4 867.1 870.2 877.9 901.7 938.6 939.2 938.8 951.8 976.0 1013.2 1028.7 1033.8 United Kingdom 668.3 654.5 645.8 641.3 664.8 646.5 636.6 617.3 636.5 614.3 636.5 627.0 610.7 Belgium 331.1 354.3 332.9 327.2 325.0 287.8 285.4 273.5 268.2 255.6 264.5 258.4 243.0 Luxembourg 318.2 329.4 311.1 298.4 299.9 308.4 306.5 309.3 296.5 296.2 303.2 316.4 313.0 Switzerland 290.5 269.7 266.5 258.4 273.3 290.6 283.1 291.5 287.1 268.0 270.7 278.0 295.4 Cayman Islands 285.3 283.8 283.5 291.7 301.5 308.6 293.4 302.3 295.4 292.5 293.9 275.9 272.1 Canada 254.1 215.1 228.7 218.2 199.9 228.2 227.9 206.2 225.5 234.7 236.5 224.1 217.6 Ireland 253.4 254.8 250.3 245.1 265.4 275.6 277.5 285.6 288.8 309.7 315.9 314.9 308.6 Taiwan 234.6 225.5 223.9 214.6 215.3 231.5 238.2 232.3 229.1 226.9 236.9 247.0 247.1 India 232.0 224.1 219.0 213.0 212.6 221.2 212.0 208.8 203.7 199.0 199.8 199.8 198.6 Hong Kong 226.8 221.0 201.0 185.0 178.7 189.8 192.8 187.3 185.6 195.0 207.7 205.4 225.6 Brazil 214.0 217.4 225.9 220.1 221.8 227.3 232.9 226.1 228.4 229.2 233.3 237.4 236.1 Singapore 187.6 182.9 186.2 175.8 176.4 188.3 187.2 180.9 177.1 182.1 190.9 192.0 191.6 France 183.9 189.0 203.6 217.4 206.7 232.7 231.8 236.3 242.5 242.9 246.0 238.7 232.9 Saudi Arabia 111.0 119.7 121.4 120.7 121.0 122.1 121.6 119.2 114.7 115.7 115.5 116.7 119.4
TVC:DXY
by FederalXBT
Tama tamadoge H&S and why we cashed outHello everyone, We decided to cash out yesterday at 0.018 because of the hype and the mcap. 📍Yes I made a lot of profits on this cryptocurrency. And thank-you Tama team for setting up something nice with a good idea (no inflation, but instead deflationary aspect) Probably good working game too.. But one thing we shouldn't forget: it's simple. Simple game. Simple nfts. It's fun. But top 100-200 cryptocoins fun. Not top 40. Mcap at that moment was 175 Million. For this project to reach 1 Billion, it will "only" go x6 more. So +- 1 dollar where everyone is aiming for. Maybe this project indeed goes top 40. Look at doge, shib.. these hype coins in the same category without much utility went far too. But the past is never a given for the future. Let's not forget that. Anyway, since this idea the coin went down by 25%.. If I would reinvest, I'd wait for this H&S to develop first & see if it indeed reaches 0.08. That would be an ideal re-entry imo (for only 30% of the funds, so 0 risk).
TShort
by Bitcoinleverage
1
Inflation Update. Possible first wave?CPI-U is reported at 8.5%. The alternate CPI-U from 1990 has inflation around 12%. The alternate CPI-U 1980 has inflation around 16.5%. This has triggered the markets sentiment that inflation is over to go hog wild on it's Goldilocks targets and head higher on the SPX. To bring inflation down to the target of the FED now becomes the discussion. The market is seeking the fastest way to get the tightening cycle to stop. Like an addict searching for their next hit the question is how thick will the sugar coating get before the sun rays from the new recession and its implications dissolve the deep snow pack. Boy is it a blizzard coming down. The two paths from here are #1 does the market whine that inflation is coming down fast enough now so the FED over did it tightening rates and this recession is bad so please print me some dopamine. Or #2 is inflation going to come down fast enough for growth to bottom out and rebound higher so the FED can stop and print me some dopamine to stimulate the bottom of the trend to have the downturn be as short as possible. Either way the next 6 months will be the market trying to cajole the FED into please print some more money. The wider trend after that is the classic hyperinflation trend. A small inflation wave that wakes up the public to inflation. Followed by a small deflation wave to catch market participants off guard and make money. Followed by an over correction and printing of currency resulting in a bigger second inflation wave. Followed by a second larger deflation wave with further over correction and printing. Finally causing a rollercoaster crash into hyperinflation where inflation jumps from 20% to 700% in a month. This takes years to play out and is by no means guaranteed but definitely a model to keep in mind. If such a rollercoaster crash plays out hard assets are the name of the long game while volatile assets are the name of the short game. Real estate, and gold, with Bitcoin and ETH as insurance purchased at the bottom of deflation waves just as the FED pivots. Short term moves into and out of energy and food commodities for 3-6 month positions during inflation waves depending on market information. Stay safe out there. See you on the moon.
SP:SPXShort
by GreatScottTheMoon
1
Hyperinflationary event: stock to FOMO Roaring 20sWhat did Elon Musk mean when he tweeted: "Let's make the Roaring 20s happen" back in January 2022. twitter.com www.youtube.com In the event of a hyperinflationary event, what would stock to fomo look like? It wouldn't happen overnight, that's for sure We don't know what currency wars are going to look like or what they'll lead to, but it does feel like a gigantic reset is coming possibly even a financial collapse. However, what if there are plot twists like the launch of a CBDCs. If this is Bitcoin's last cycle, how much would too much be in the event of a hyperinflationary event that can't be stopped. www.nasdaq.com
by axelrodd
11
Back in the Saddle AgainRussian Ruble tumbling leaving bitcoin as the logical choice to move money for Russians and Russia asset holders. Bond yields dropping as speculation points to the Fed and ECB postponing rate hikes in the face of a lengthly conflict in Ukraine. Risk-on is back in the saddle again. Expect to see consolidation around the 21W EMA as Bitcoin caught a bid. Yesterdays move opens up retracements higher. Next stop UT - Upward Thrust @ 74k? Maybe... Russia still needs to open their stock market. Whats next.. HyperInflation... Some interesting times are upon us the next 15 days to the next FOMC.
by SPYvsGME
21
The Gold Odyssey continues... an old but Gold storyBack in 2019, April 29th was the date that Donald Trump tweeted his launch of a trade war with China. This was significant because this was the first time ever, ANY politician took to social media directly to make announcements. Furthermore, it threw markets into a swirl that took a couple of weeks to work out what it wanted. Gold was the first to recover and move in early May 2019. This was a time when I started looking particularly close at Gold charts, having tracking it since October 2018 on a friend's query. The ride paid off and exited >90% Gold related holdings on 11 August 2020; after taking some off just as the pandemic started in Feb 2020 and repositioning in mid-June 2020. Since then, as Gold prices hit 2K, I often got questions about would Gold prices go further, people were piling into Gold positions as media fanned the Gold rush. I kept telling those who asked that I exited, and yes, Gold will reach back to 2K and more, but it can take years. Today, those years seemed to have passed. You see... in the bigger perspective of things, ie. the Monthly chart, there was a Cup forming midway, and when D Trump started tweeting about the trade war, he triggered the closing formation of the Cup. That ended with a blow off top at almost 2100... almost. Since then, the handle was forming... throughout the latter part of the pandemic to date, Gold was ranging in a wide band to form the Handle. Again, I wondered what would trigger the closing formation of the Handle... For those who are (not) familiar... this is the formation of a Cup & Handle Pattern; and one of a very large scale of years. This means to me that the pattern should be more reliable, more explosive (relative to Gold), and takes time to position while having to monitor over months being patient. It appears that last week's Russia-Ukraine stand-off, with Biden (current POTUS) drumming the war beats spurred Gold into an awakening. The weekly Gold chart on the left shows the point where I started tracking closely (and positioned) since 2019. Very nice breakout patterns formed since then until August 2020. The vertical timelines are projected dates btw... So, we can see that Gold clearly broke out last week, and with a nice Gap Up, ending the week with a beautiful bullish candle. MACD supporting the breakout and this came after bouncing off the Gann Fan support line (white up trend support line) that has been in play since 2019. Time line projections put a retest over the next 5 weeks into April, before a potential launch point. Now, I will leave it to you for further discussions what this might mean for global events... because, the next flight up to 2100 is fast and furious into end-June. The Monthly chart of Gold (on the right) shows the Cup & Handle Pattern, albeit not completed yet. Projections from completion of the C&H pattern puts a 2500 target within the year, and 3100 target some time 2024 and 2025. The MACD is turning bullish again after receding to baseline, and this bullish cross in the next couple of months can push Gold prices to projected target. A similar technical occurrence like this happened in Jan-May 2019, so it is not impossible there. Again, what global events would push Gold this high... remains a good discussion topic. Now... I can understand and accept that there are many other perspective and opinions about Gold. BAck in 2019, when I spoke of increasing volatility in markets, and rising inflation, and Gold prices targeting 2K, very few took notice, let alone believed it possible. So far, over the last (almost) 3 years, Gold prices have played out as projected; even within a 2 week period of topping out $100 excess off target. Perhaps it is time we relook and revisit Gold... for what value it is worth in weight (not digital, you see... pun intended). Enjoy! See you all along the way and perhaps in 2025. :)
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Auguraltrader
6
XLE to hit $130 by Jan 2025 a 300% gain from 2020 lowsCheck out the two trends prior to this. Clearly, you can see the run of over 300% that was 6 years long and then another 5-year trend at 142% gain. I believe we have entered commodities run and companies that produce oil and sell gasoline or diesel are going to benefit hugely. I am making a call that by January of 2025 we will see XLE at $130. Even if it doesn't, WTI Crude will hit that $130 mark. Two calls right there I think are very realistic repeating that 5-6 year trend which also matches the first 300% gain although the climb may be steeper. I think that climb coincides with how much inflation we have so I believe it's still a fair analysis overall. If you have not watched my recent video on hyperinflation, I suggest you do. At least go compare a 1month chart of the M2 money supply (M2SL) to the SPX. Hand a hand increases and parabolic running back to 1960. It looks to be sometime around 2025 we hit our first level of lift-off, straight up as the curve stops and begins to head to the moon. This happens to land around my chart here with XLE being at $130 by 2025. After 2025 all bets are off. WE could be heading into a massive inflationary person and it could be a billion per share or something crazy. That number won't matter anymore of course as it's only nominal.
AMEX:XLELong
by DefyingFinance
Hyperinflation coming by 2030 in the US. Can it be true? Who does it benefit? Check out the M2 money supply vs the S&P 500. Clearly, the more that is printed the more assets increase. Owning assets is your best bet of financial survival. The poor will be crushed but being wealthy in that time is not pretty either. This has been talked about for years by people like Robert Kiyosaki, Peter Schiff, Mike Maloney, and so many more. Milton Friedmans Free To Choose on YT has a great explanation about inflation I recommend everyone look at. This chart is monthly and if we are truly looking at a long-term time horizon, it looks clear this trend is not changing. Usually, these don't change until it implodes on a government. Be watching commodities over the next decade if you are a long-term player. I will be stacking those chips along with crypto in the Defi world and other dividend-paying stocks with cash flow real estate as a backup. This market we are heading into is going to test everyone's asset allocations to the extreme. #crash #inflation #depression #marketcollapse # hyperinflation
FRED:M2SLLong
by DefyingFinance
1