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Ichimoku Cloud

Bitcoin Barely Touches SupportSome interesting news developments have transpired related to Bitcoin this week. On Monday, The SEC sued Binance with 13 charges. On Tuesday, The SEC sued Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN . The regulators have been busy this week going after the biggest crypto exchanges. It's almost as if we need a monetary system outside of government interference... What does this mean for traders and investors right now? In the context of 2023’s price action the fallout from these announcements is insignificant and completely in line with technical analysis. I have been watching for this pullback in theory since the last buying opportunity in March to see where and when the rally off the Banking Crisis FUD did its first major Retracement. The financial media focused on Bitcoin attributed the rise from early March to people putting faith in Bitcoin above the US Dollar system. The salient point that they all miss was that in the event of a market risk shock Bitcoin fell as a risk asset. I’ve had the level 25280 marked since the high at the top of the FOMO hype rally following Balaji Srinivasan’s Twitter “bet” that Bitcoin was going to $1,000,000 in 3 months. It would have been more profitable for people if he had made this buy call in March (as I did with less narrative flare) but it really came in the moment of the 5th Eliot wave when the latecomers are looking for a reason to chase and make such fluff go viral. Srinivasan still has 24 days to be correct… who knows? This week’s news dip missed my marked level (and alert) by $51. It could still hit but because it was so close I am making this update post. I must stress how key this Support level is to the 2023 trend. Just as a breakout from the Ichimoku cloud followed by momentum confirmation signaled the year’s bull run… the opposite signal should be taken as its end. At this point in time and price should that level 25280 be breached by closing a few days below the 2023 trend would be over. However, as the reaction is currently bullish, the price is still likely to climb to retest the 30k range. Trade wisely.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by norok
30
The End of the Trend for Bitcoin in 2023Following up on my coverage of the Bitcoin 2023 trend it has now officially ended the same way it began: with price and momentum confirming a trend change on the Daily Ichimoku cloud. History: One of the major signals I use to identify trend changes and trading opportunities is when price and momentum clears the Ichimoku cloud. It was important to point this out to my readers in January as not only a textbook example but also to wake Bitcoin traders up following the FTX collapse FUD and following malaise of price. Many were excited to jump in on this opportunity. Just as this signal identified the rally for 2023 we must also acknowledge that the opposite signal has occurred to end it. Where price may go: The next support is not far; the 50% Retracement of the entire 2023 move is at 23227. Price could find support here and I will evaluate it there. FUNdamentals This is the result of the non-change in interest rates which the market was expecting. However, JPow's talked of the Fed continuing to raise rates later in the year. So while stocks rallied to close even Bitcoin and all crypto suffered. It can now be seen that Bitcoin is more interest rate sensitive than other risk markets. This is an interesting but unsurprising divergence. I have come to realize that what moves crypto is only cash inflows. Crypto projects, despite their hopes, still do not generate wealth in the form of increase productivity of goods nor services. Ergo, the only way price goes up is if cash is coming in. If money printer goes less 'brrrr' then that just cannot happen.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by norok
8
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week, Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source. Trend: Kumo has been red for 26 days and is 4.2% wide. The various lines confirm a downtrend situation and we are below the Kumo, going towards the Tenkan Weekly. The already bearish momentum has been further exacerbated by the lawsuit to Binance by the SEC. The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for short positions, now since May 9, 2023 Heikin-Ashi: Instead, the Heikin-Ashi is communicating uncertainty to us, as we are still inside the Kumo and certainly today's day pushed the price towards the lower end of the Kumo. Supports and resistances: - 28900.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan - 27800.00-27900.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 25000.00 Fibonacci - 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan - 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame. For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term). Conclusions: For the past month the situation is bearish, today after the announcement that the SEC has sued Binance, it has led to fear in the markets, generating a candle at the moment of about -5.5%. There are several allegations: first of all about the fact that some coins are considered as securities(e.g. BNB, BUSD, SOL, SAND, FIL, ADA, MATIC, COTI, ALGO, ATOM, MANA, since they can be staked to generate annuity) and therefore need a license to be managed, non-compliance with the ban towards US users and some suspicious transactions carried out by CZ and on the management of clients' funds. In contrast, Binance has defended itself by rejecting allegations that it maneuvered customer funds and that it has always cooperated--from the creation of binance.us--with the SEC and thus points to the allegations as unjustified. It is possible to find a sideways/rebass ABC pattern indicating the following levels: NT 29230, N 26655, E 24080, V 23296. It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures: - Bullish: 27100.00-28700.00 - Bearish/Lateral: 24800.00-28155.00 Altcoin Cycle: For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation: - Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased. - Dominance of BTC: Decreased. - Price of BTC: Decreased. - Alt cycle expectation: Stable. Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community. Indicators used: Analysis Tool Kijun Trend Indicator Ichimoku Support and Resistance Chikou Support and Resistance
by TheSocialCryptoClub
EUR/CHF - LONG - ANALYSIS + EXPLANATIONThe "EUR/CHF" has been in a downtrend since March – 2021, and it is obvious that we can expect a trend reversal if necessary. > The EUR is the base currency of the pair and has suffered greatly from the USD (DXY) appreciation. > The CHF is generally seen as a security, which is why the EUR is losing out to them. --> Once the USD (DXY) shows signs of corrective behavior, I personally expect a significant upswing. = What this upswing might look like, I'll let you know in the following lines. Table of contents - 1st part = CURRENT STATE - 2nd part = TARGET ZONE PROPERTIES - 3rd part = CONCLUSION PART ONE Since the end of July until today, a formation has formed, which is also known as the "Head&Shoulders - pattern". --> This is formed in the EUR/CHF "OVERCOME", which is usually ended with a "Bullish" breakout. --> The neckline (breakout line) of the pattern, is located at the resistance line (gold-spiked), which has formed since March / 2020. Thus, it can be concluded that if the pattern breaks out "successfully", we will also break the resistance line. After the break of this resistance line, the following sequence of events would be possible: 1. SHORT-TERM TARGET = 1.618 FIB -> 0.98977 2. TEST = of the broken resistance -> conversion into support 3. TARGET = TARGET ZONE 1 SECOND PART "TARGET ZONES" are drawn on the chart, all of which have "concentrated" resistance characteristics. 1. | TARGET ZONE | 0.99718 - 1.00000 | points RESISTANCE - CHARACTERISTICS - "MSB" (Market Structure Break) | March/2022 LL. - "FIB" (Fibonacci) = 0.328s | Created March/2021 - September/2022 - "POI" (Point of interest) = 1.00000 | Psychologically important resistance level - "MA" (Simple Moving Average) = 8-long | Monthly chart - "ICHIMOKU CLOUD" = Conversion line | Weekly chart + Baseline | Monthly chart - "VP" (Volume Profile) = GAP in the zone | Not much volume traded = little resistance. 2. | TARGET ZONE | 1.00879 - 1.01526 | points RESISTANCE - CHARACTERISTICS - "MSB" (market structure break) | HL of April/2022 - "FIB" (Fibonacci) = 0.618s + 0.65s | Created = May/2022 - September/2022 - "FIB" (Fibonacci) = 1.618s | Originated = 02/09/2022 - 26/09/2022 - "POI" (Point of interest) = 1.01000 | Psychologically important resistance - "MA" (Simple Moving Average) = 50-length | weekly chart + 200-length | daily chart - "ICHIMOKU CLOUD" = no resistance in the HTF (Higher time frame) time levels T / W / M - "VP" (Volume Profile) = small volume | not much past traded volume = little resistance to the upside . 3. | TARGET ZONE | 1.02391 - 1.02791 | points RESISTANCE - CHARACTERISTICS - "RESISTANCE LINE" | Created September/2021 (4x touches). - "FIB" (Fibonacci) = 0.75s + 0.786s | Created = May/2022 - September/2022 - "POI" (Point of interest) = 1.02500 | Psychologically important resistance level - "SUPPLY ZONE" = | Monthly chart - "ICHIMOKU CLOUD" = Cloud resistance | Weekly chart + Conversion line | Monthly chart - "VP" (Volume Profile) = Strong Volume | Much Past Traded Volume = Major Resistance. X. | POI ZONE | 1.03736 - 1.03936 | Points RESISTANCE - CHARACTERISTICS - "FIB" (Fibonacci) = 0.88s | Originated = May/2022 - September/2022 - "POI" (Point of interest) = 1,04000 | Psychologically important resistance - "SUPPLY ZONES" = | Daily + Weekly chart - "VP" (Volume Profile) = Strongest volume | Highest past traded volume concentration = Very large resistance. - "MA" (Simple Moving Average) = 50-length | monthly chart. - "ICHIMOKU CLOUD" = no resistance in HTF (Higher time frame) time levels T / W / M 4th | TARGET ZONE | 1.04839 - 1.05398 | points RESISTANCE PROPERTIES - "FIB" (Fibonacci) = 0.618s + 0.65s | Created March/2021 - September/2022 - "POI" (Point of interest) = 1.05000 | Psychologically important resistance level - "MA" (Simple Moving Average) = 100-length | weekly chart + 50-length | monthly chart - SUPPLY ZONES" = daily + weekly + monthly chart - "VP" (Volume Profile) = GAP in the zone | Not much past traded volume = little resistance to the upside. CONCLUSION You now know what the scenario for "EUR/CHF" could look like. The following conditions must be met: - DXY (USD) starts to CORRECT = pressure way fall for the EUR -> EUR more dominant than CHF - BREAKOUT of the H&S pattern -> OVERCOME the resistance line + successful back-test = transformation into a support line. - DEVELOPMENT of the individual ZONES and their relevant resistance properties. PS: + I have once taken the liberty to draw a possible "course", so you can see how it could run. + Many of the indicators described are not visible in the chart, so that a clear view remains. -> Feel free to discuss it in the comments and share our perspectives, I'd be "burning" to hear your take on the whole thing. If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of it. Thank you and happy trading! For anyone who would still enjoy the other HTF and want to hide all the "noise" - following the weekly and monthly chart.
Long
by ZielIstDieAutarkie