XAUUSD LONG 7/7/25Looking to target 3,450 price level. This is based on:
1. Price has been on a range since April 22 when the high was formed, the low of the move
that formed the high was taken out. Looking to aim to taking out the high.
2. On the weekly timeframe, last week took out the low of the week before and closed bullish
within the candle of the prior week. This provides a signal for a potential sweep of the high
of that week. Minimum 3,365 price level.
Ict
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 10/07/2025Last week, we saw a textbook Judas Swing play out on OANDA:NZDUSD and this one checked every single box on our trading checklist. Let’s walk through the trade step by step
After a slow Asian session, NYO brought the kind of liquidity grab we look for. Price swept the low of our Judas swing zone, trapping early sellers and triggering stop hunts classic Judas behavior. As always, our first thought wasn’t to jump in it was to observe.
Once we spotted that liquidity sweep, our next confirmation came quickly: a clean break of structure to the upside. That shift in market sentiment was the green light to start prepping our entry. But, as we’ve learned from experience, patience is a trader’s superpower.
Instead of chasing the move, we waited for price to retrace into our Fair Value Gap (FVG) a key element in our Judas Swing checklist. No FVG touch, no trade. This time, price dipped right into our FVG zone. The moment the candle that entered the FVG closed, we executed with confidence.
Risk: 1%
Reward: 2%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
After executing the trade, there was a minor drawdown nothing major, just about 4 pips. Price never came close to our stop loss. Then came the move we were waiting for. OANDA:NZDUSD moved in our direction, and in an hour and 40 minutes, we hit our full target. A clean +2% gain added to the week’s tally.
This trade is a perfect example of how the Judas Swing strategy thrives especially after false moves into liquidity zones.
It was a clean setup:
- Sweep of liquidity
- Break of structure
- Retrace into FVG
- Controlled risk, solid R:R
If you’re still taking trades without a structured plan, now’s the time to consider building one. Strategies like this don’t just work because of entries they work because of discipline, timing, and consistency. We don’t trade everything. We trade the setups that check every box.
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,327.26 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37.832 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.762..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
ETHEREUM WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅ETHEREUM is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the coin
Broke the important horizontal level
Of 3000$ which is now a support
And we are very bullish biased
And we think that ETH will
Reach at least the previous ATH
Of just short of 5000$ but the
First target is to reach and break
A resistance level of 4100$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF made a retest of
The wide horizontal resistance
Of 1.0780 and we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback
So as the pair is trading in a
Downtrend we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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Bitcoin - Reversal Setup or Just a Trap Reset?Price faked below the 1H support zone around 115,800, triggering a clean run through resting sell stops. This classic liquidity sweep flushed out early long positions before immediately reclaiming the range. The move aggressively filled a prior imbalance and flipped sentiment just when it seemed the trend might break lower. The quick rejection and recovery from this level suggests smart money accumulation beneath support.
Formation of a 1H Inversion Fair Value Gap
The rebound from the liquidity grab printed a bullish 1H inversion FVG, now acting as a potential launchpad for continuation. This FVG coincides with the same zone that was previously support, now carrying added confluence. As long as price remains above this gap, the reaction shows bullish intent, with buyers reclaiming initiative after a shakeout.
Trend Shift Trigger and Invalidation Level
The current structure remains technically bearish until we break above the marked 1H high at 118,400. That level is the structure shift trigger. A decisive close above it would confirm a market structure shift and open the door to a broader bullish continuation. However, failure to close above this high would invalidate the setup and suggest that the move from support was just a temporary retracement rather than a full reversal.
Upside Targets and Continuation Outlook
If we get the bullish break above 118,400, I’m looking for price to reach Target 1 near 120,400, followed by Target 2 around the unmitigated FVG at 122,200. These levels align with clean inefficiencies that are likely to get filled if the market gains momentum. With enough volume behind the breakout, BTC could push into ATH territory above 123K as part of a larger macro expansion.
Volume and Higher Timeframe Context
Volume is the final key piece. We need strong follow-through above 118,400 for the setup to remain valid. Weak rejection or consolidation below that red line would signal distribution and potential failure. On the higher timeframes, BTC still looks constructive, but the 1H structure must confirm by breaking higher, or the broader bullish case will need to be re-evaluated.
Conclusion
BTC swept 1H support, ran stops, and printed a bullish inversion FVG. A break and close above 118,400 would confirm trend reversal and initiate a move toward 120,400 and 122,200. If we fail to close above that level, this setup is invalidated and the range could continue or break lower.
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NZD_CAD LOCAL LONG|
✅NZD_CAD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 0.8114
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 0.8145
LONG🚀
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NZD-JPY Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY keeps trading in
An uptrend along the rising
Support line and the pair made
A quick retest and we are seeing
A rejection so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3.324.79 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,317.96..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,193.45 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,258.97 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.15850 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37.873 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.962..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 Bearish IdeaAs we can see this is a anticipation of us being in a quarterly shift in the markets and having an assumption that we had a retracement up to collect more orders for smart money to go short. We have relative strength with US30 against both NASDAQ and the SP500. We have seen resistance in our premium arrays of our weekly FVG and daily order block
* Fundamental analysis:
We are are having a shift in our bond yields which could potentially effect the dollar giving it strength and you add the fact that dollar is under valued when we have a stronger dollar rate than the rest of the basket currencies we could see it negatively effect the Dow this quarter. The Dow is very over valued and we have had consistent quantitative easing from the Fed and the Fed balance sheet has been still consistently decreasing. The commercial interest have also seen a great rise of buying dollar and if dollar is being bought up then something would need to be sold.
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
GOLD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GOLD is trading in an uptrend
Which makes me bullish biased
And the price is retesting the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 3,350$
LONG🚀
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EURJPY POSSIBLE EXPECTED MOVEIn this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame. Today I'm looking for a potential buy move from my marked key levels. This is a higher time frame analysis. Let's analyze more deeply into smaller timeframe and potential outcomes. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is my analysis.
#EURJPY 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
XAUUSD ANALYSISOn gold currently we're analyzing 2H time frame. As we know that current trend was bullish. At this stage, I'm anticipating a retracement towards my Point of Interest (POI), where I’ll be looking for a clear bullish confirmation, ideally through candlestick structure or solid price action. Only upon receiving that confirmation will I consider entering a buy position.
This outlook is based on the higher time frame structure. For now, I'm observing patiently to see how price unfolds. Until the market sweeps the SSL liquidity, I will remain on the sidelines no entries until that key liquidity level has been taken. Confirmation is key.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GBPAUD: Weekly Reversal | COT & Seasonality Support Bullish📊 Technical Outlook
Price strongly reacted from a key weekly demand zone between 2.0400 and 2.0500, showing clear absorption of bearish pressure. The RSI is rebounding from the 30 area, signaling early reversal potential.
The next technical target lies between 2.08900 and 2.10000, within a well-defined supply zone.
An early bullish reversal is in progress, with potential for a swing move toward the red zone.
🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT Report – 08/07/2025)
GBP: Non-commercial traders are net long, with positioning growing across the board: +869 longs / -926 shorts. Commercials reduce shorts and increase longs → Bullish bias.
AUD: Non-commercials are clearly short (-2,267 longs / +1,957 shorts). Commercials are increasing long exposure (+2,629), but still in the minority → Bearish bias.
➡️ The COT spread confirms a GBP long vs AUD short bias.
📅 Seasonality (July)
GBP: Historically strong in July, with average monthly gains across all timeframes (especially the 2Y window).
AUD: Less favorable seasonal profile in July; flat to slightly negative across all time horizons.
➡️ Seasonality supports GBP strength.
📉 Retail Sentiment
58% Long / 42% Short on GBPAUD
➡️ Retail traders are still heavily long → a shakeout of weak long hands is possible before the real rally begins.
🎯 Strategic Conclusion
GBP shows bullish convergence across technical, COT, and seasonal factors. AUD presents clear weakness.
The current price zone offers a clean entry point for longs, targeting the 2.08900–2.10000 supply zone.
SILVER Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is going down now
But the price is trading in a
Long-term uptrend so we are
Bullish biased and after the
Price retests of the horizontal
Support support below
Around 37.20$ we will be
Expecting a bullish rebound
Buy!
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EUR_USD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD was trading along
The rising support line but
Now we are seeing a strong bearish
Breakout and the breakout is
Confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
After the potential pullback
SHORT🔥
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CAD-JPY Strong Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY keeps trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Made a strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 108.299 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.