US30 POSSIBLE "SELL/SHORT" AND/OR "BUY/LONG" PLEASE READ!!!!Alright folks, just bare with me on this analysis as I think we are at such a pivotal point in the current state of our markets and economy. So lets begin, this idea at the moment will be posted as neutral.
From a Technicals standpoint, I am a trader that follows some ICT methods, along with Wyckoff and others work and combined it into my own Strategy. I play price as almost as if it is hunting for a play.
So on the Higher time frames I'm Recognizing:
SELLING SCENARIO:
FOLLOW BIG RED ARROW FOR SELLER SCENARIO
- An ICT SELL Model
- Price Broke Structure and is Retesting a Bearish Order blocl
- Reversal Candle on the weekly
- Every time Price Breaks a Higher high it is followed by severe distribution (A sign institutions are selling)
- We are also at the equilibrium of our last weeks range
IF PRICE SELLS/ Rejects on the 1-4hr TIME FRAME AT OUR BEARISH ORDER BLOCK:
- I will be looking to short to the imbalance between 34485 and 34285
BUYER SCENARIO:
FOLLOW BIG GREEN ARROW FOR BUYER SCENARIO
- Price Retested a very strong liquidity zone
- The Weekly close occurred above the area of liquidity Acting as a strong Base of demand that will move price bullish
- Really strong demand for price at a 34840 levels
- Price is still creating higher highs on the daily time frame
IF PRICE BUYS AT OUR Point of interest:
- I will be looking for the price to test this block as breaker block for buy entry to 35364
As always a look into fundamentals is very crucial while trading in confluence with your technicals:
Lets look at some previous weeks news/ Macro Economics price fluctuations:
- FED announced the tapering of bonds
- Gold has dropped over 1000 points (giving signs of deflationary period in our economy)
- COVID DELTA Variant is back, cases are rising
- High inflation in grocery prices and Gas
- Deflation occurring in some commodities
- Infrastructure Bill Passed
- Consumer spending reports show a decrease in consumer spending
- Retail sales down
All in all,its a must to keep everything in mind MY Personal "OPINION" is the markets will sell this week HOWEVER, MY BIAS WILL STAY NEUTRAL. AS HUNTERS, we might want 17 pointer but sometimes you get 12 pointer or baby deer. So As always stay blessed happy trading week Follow for more in depth analysis!!
Murtzaa Out
Ictorderblock
AUD/NZD - Will it hit the 62??In this vid I point out that we could see a breach of the most relevant low at some point, which is quite near the 62% retracement area of the larger timeframe parent structure. It's interesting that the low and the 62% area are about 20 pips apart, which seem to meet the pip grade concept that ICT so eloquently fleshed out.
AUD/JPY Forex Analysis and ProjectionThe AUD/JPY has been falling for some time now, there has been a massive push to the downside which means the overall trend is bearish. Price trades lower and retraced back up creating liquidity, took liquidity it created, which makes it suitable for a sell opportunity to at least the liquidities below and on it's way to take out that liquidity, fair value gap is there to be filled.
(NZD/USD) Potential Long Term Move Down V2An alternative situation - we have a very well-respected Trendline that has a high chance of getting manipulated. The green area marked above also has a lot of orders laying above so we could see those highs get taken out as well as mitigate a bit more of that Orderblock
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(From my previous post)
This is a Daily Timeframe perspective.
The Market has just tested a strong Bearish Ordeblockwhich is supposed to hold the market down. We also made a deceleration, going from a bullish market which is now a bearish market.
The black lines that are drawn on the chart, is Sell Side Liquidity which are attractive targets where the majority of Orders lay in the market,
The yellow areas are imbalances, where the market has moved too fast, creating inefficiency, so the market should fill a lot of these yellow areas. Another attractive area which the market wants to mitigate.
The blue area marked up all the way down is a bullish Orderblock, which could be a potential reaction point.
I don't know how far the market will drop, but I do expect a lot of these areas to get filled.
GOLD Breakout, What's next?
Dollar Falls as Fed's Chairman Powell Maintains Dovish Message.
U.S. Treasury yields fell after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday maintained his view that strong inflation will be temporary, even after data showed for the second day that price pressures rose more than expected in June.
Gold jumped on Wednesday after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reassured investors that the central bank would continue its accommodative monetary policy despite a spike in inflation readings.
Likely market pullback before upside continuation? Leave your thoughts on the comment section below.
Order blockPrice has gotten to our POI meaning we reading to go short cause our order block has been activated