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Impeachment

S&P500 Fall Time (Over Bought)Hi as we ca see we have a Bearish Divergence between Price and MACD which is a sign of trend reversal and retracement . we have Price Action analysis with FIbots and Divergences which is having Confluences with each other and it can be used as some certain levels and Targeting areas we have specified some levels as our targets and a time speculation indicator and it can be even earlier to the specified time in the time forecasted. there are lots of fundamental reasoning behind this market correction too we can point at some USA's political havocs and Biden's Impeachment and probably China's market war on US... please comment you ideas
UShort
by BitonGroup
2
ridethepig | DXY Market Commentary 2019.12.18A timely update to the Dollar chart in time for the NY session, with most of G10 FX trading at the bottom of the short term range markets are preparing for the final flush in USD before killing the year off on the FX board. Lets start by reviewing our long-term map: Here we are tracking the Monthly chart in Dollar from an Elliot Wave perspective; after 15 years of the previous bullish USD cycle we are reaching the end of the road. For those tracking the USD devaluation you will know we are trading the final leg in the 5 wave sequence: On the technical chart the channel support is holding on by a thread: Best of luck all those looking for cheaper entry levels in the Dollar short leg, uncertainty around US growth is not going away. Even if the impeachment expectations fall we should see USD coming under significant pressure. Thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, questions and etc! And as usual jump into the conversations in the comments with your views.
TVC:DXYShort
by ridethepig
ORBEX: Investors Brush-Off USMCA Headlines! Softening Dollar?JGB yields brushed off USMCA headlines yesterday and took a positive turn above the zero mark! JGB's haven't been positive since March 2019! Is this hinting that investors turn optimistic on global economies? Or just a shot-lived surge own to auction? Supported by impeachment uncertainty and poor US data yen rose against the greenback yesterday, however, the pound continued sliding on the back of no-deal risks. Will the US and UK GDP figures change the short-term outlook? Canadian retails are also due and they could be causing some short-term moves. Will they help loonie strengthen further? Timestamps USDJPY 1H 01:30 GBPUSD 1H 04:00 USDCAD 1H 05:40 Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
2
AUDEURDespite the RBA setting a dovish when it comes to all things $AUD this spike in price action has caught my eye, enough for me to justify a pre-emptive move in the name of $AUD strength. Trump's impeachment at the house will not have an impact because the senate where Republicans hold the majority will not vote against their own political leader (well at least that is what the general consensus is); however this does not make Trump look good in the public eye and with elections around the corner this threatens his re-election prospects. Which is enough to garner a few smiles across the pacific in China, where a scenario of Trump not in office would surely improve Chinas seat at the table of negotiations.
Long
by AtacamaFund
Trump Impeachment, infernal sanctions, BoE & BoJUS President Donald Trump has been impeached by the Democratic-led House of Representatives for obstruction of Congress and abuse of power related to his dealings with Ukraine. The votes made Trump only the third president in United States history to be impeached and set the stage for a likely trial in the Republican-led Senate in January. This event has already been included in current prices and moods in the financial markets. Note, the fate of Trump is in the hands of the Senate, and there are 2/3 of the Republicans, so, Trump is not in danger. Nevertheless, we cannot but note that our already strong desire to sell the dollar after such news only intensified. After a volatile market on Tuesday, Wednesday became a respite day. But today there is a possibility of the return of strong movements in pound pairs in the foreign exchange market. It is about the announcement of the results of the Bank of England. Experts expect the parameters of monetary policy in the country to remain unchanged. In general, this will be in line with the current mood of the leading Central banks in the world, which have taken a break and are following the development of events. So, surprises should be expected only from Mark Carney’s comments. Our expectations and a trading plan for today. As the pound sales dwindled yesterday. The markets have calmed down. So you can not be afraid of a crazy panic wave, which will be able to absorb our position beneath. Therefore, today we are returning to the idea of buying a pound both on the intraday and in the medium-term positions. The EU and Johnson’s comments could provoke local outbursts of volatility, and the direction of the price dynamics of the pound will be determined by the nature of information injections. But if you sit and wait for this kind of information, then you can freeze trading activity at all. So do not be afraid of opening the trade - the only restriction taking into account current realities is setting up the stops for each of the trade. Recall that we believe that the pound’s real value is 500, or even 1000 pips more expensive, which means buying is a promising trading idea. Among other trading ideas, we note simply excellent points for the sale of the Russian ruble. The fact is that yesterday the relevant committee of the US Senate approved sanctions against Russia for interfering in the elections. We are talking about the so-called "hellish sanctions." Of course, the bill still needs to be voted on and given to Trump for signature, so it is still a long way from implementation. The fact that the process is in progress cannot but put pressure on the ruble. That is why its current price is a gift that is simply a sin to refuse from. But in order to make this position more balanced, we recommend using oil purchases as a hedge. Actually, the ruble is growing because of oil growth. Even after the announcement of the OPEC + decision to increase production cuts, we recommend buying oil. So far, the dynamics of the asset fully justify this recommendation, which testifies in favour of our correct understanding of the situation. The Bank of Japan has already announced its decision. The expected monetary policy parameters remained unchanged. Therefore we purchase the Japanese yen. Low volatility, coupled with the USDJPY near to the top of the medium-term range, makes the deal quite profitable on the other hand with very limited risks. That is, sales of the USDJPY from 109.60 with stops above 109.90 and minimum profits of about 108.50 (or even 107.30) make the deal extremely interesting.
by Trade24Fx
The glass broke 2 days agoAccording to the CICO report and Cashflow indicator, the selloff began two days ago. Hello friends, its been a minute. I try not to overwhelm you with daily noise. My intent is to give only important information. Trust me, if you heard from me everyday you would be annoyed. According to the CICO 13 MA on the daily chart, we had our first red day in about a month. What this means is the running sum of new money is leaving the SPY. More people are selling than buying; they want their cash. When a sell off begins the only certainty is nobody knows when it will end. I am a self proclaimed bear. What this means is I naturally prepare for results to be the worst case scenario and then I peel back layers of the emotional onion. Meaning, I think of the worst possible scenario and then question the reasoning. My goal is to uncover as much information as possible and then make a decision. I try to look at the good and the bad in totality. Being thorough in a decision is very important to me. However, the unique thing about the stock market is it has no feelings. Computer programs literally ignore emotion. Machine learning and AI are currently trading against you and they don't care about the impeachment or a trade war. I want our politicians to work together and solve problems. I think our present circumstances present a unique opportunity for unity. I'd suggest that border security is both digital and physical. Democrats want digital security from the Kremlin. Republicans want physical security on all borders. I suggest a comprise that all Americans want, complete security. Please focus on making life better for all Americans, not just half of us. I'd love to hear your feedback on the indicators listed. Leave them a like if they help you in anyway. I hope you take your money back today.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Johnny_Nickles
4
ORBEX: Risk Aversion & Poor Data Move USDCHF & USDCADIn today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about trade war uncertainty and Trump's impeachment and how has safe-haven Franc reacted to the latest headlines! I also talk about Canada's poor GDP figures, a bit more certain given the numerical value, and analyse USDCAD's rise. With Fed flows still weighing on markets, #NFP hours ahead and #ISM closing the session it's going to be a very interesting weekly conclusion. Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
Is EURUSD about to reverse??Today is important. So is tomorrow. This market has been in a steady downtrend for some time now, with regular oscillations indicative of healthy profit taking activity. Both the US and European markets are going through turbulent times manifesting in US/China trade talks, calls for impeachment over alleged improper presidential activities and last minute negotiations over Britain's departure from the European Union. Today, the EURUSD market ascended into a cluster of potentially strong price/time barriers. This could certainly be another interim high leading to a continuation of the downtrend. Let's go through some of the key features of this chart with our standard series of Analysis Points (APs). AP1) The first indication that the market could be about to reverse is its proximity to the 0.5 retracement level. This comes from the Fibonacci levels, shown in yellow, which are obtained by dividing the range from the point labelled C and the point labelled D. The letters are in pink. AP2) Observe the downward sloping solid lines of red and cyan. They are the product of a pitchfork using points A,B and C in its construction. The market has been responsive to these trendlines , including the median line often enough to place some degree of confidence in them as price barriers. Notice that the cyan trendline extending from point C in the pitchfork coincided with the 0.5 level from AP1 at the current time in the yellow circle. Now we're starting to see some confluence in signals. AP3) This is a simple one. The green line which is generally falling throughout this chart shows a 100 day moving average. It too coincides with the barriers from AP1 and AP2 in the yellow circle. This moving average has potential to act as resistance as the market rises into it. It has provided support and resistance on a number of occasions in this chart. AP4) Finally, consider the stochastic oscillator shown at the bottom of the chart. It is set to highlight points where the oscillator exceeds a reading of 90 or is below a reading of 10. Today, it is at the highest level shown in this chart. The stochastic has only been close to this level twice before in this chart and on both occasions, the market's uptrend became exhausted and reversed. These are shown by the white dashed vertical lines. This cn be considered another bearish signal. There are a number of significant barriers for this market at the current price and time. Remember that this market is in a downtrend so the bearish bias of these signals coincide with the trend sentiment. Today's close price could be a significant indicator of how the market will respond to this cluster. However, be aware that Monday could open with a gap following what may be a shocking weekend for investors, particularly surrounding Brexit. If the market powers through this barrier and breaks to the upside, it could be a sign of bullish strength or of a market that is adjusting to new information. The next few days of price action will be very interesting.
Short
by Quantium_Research
$0 commissions are a scamWe have signals of recession with inverted yield curves. Our president is being considered for impeachment. Our largest employee base (China) and us are not getting along and I do not think a trade deal will every come of these talks. Greedy people want you to buy artificially inflated stocks at $0 commission. I appreciate how much they think they can take us for granted. We are in the information age, we know what is going on and what you are trying to do to us. We will not stand for this corruption. I recommend using the CICO Report in the public indicators on Tradingview. CICO measures new money into and out of the market you are watching. CICO does not consider the manipulated emotions of trade deals and impeachment. CICO uses logic. Ignore the noise of the 1% and watch their actions. CICO shows how much money is leaving or entering the market and is a much better representation to the market than somebody's expert opinion.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Johnny_Nickles
SPY continues to sell off, amid BS news headlines :DI like how news headlines blame the trade war and impeachment every day. Maybe people don't trust the stock market and want their money. Also, I recommend using the CICO Report for a logical view of the stock market. I suggest trading with a logical frame of mind and ignore the BS emotionally triggering news. If you are emotionally triggered after reading a news story, you are probably reading lies. The CICO Report tallies a running sum of new money into and out of the stock market and has nothing to do with impeachment or the trade war. Ignore the noise and trade smart.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Johnny_Nickles
4
ORBEX: USDTRY Makes A Difference! EURGBP How Much More Down?In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #EURGBP and #USDRY #EURO and #POUND pressured from Stronger DOLLAR: - Following Trump transcript release - Partial deal with Japan - Close US-Sino deal Trump comment - ECB's Germans board member quitting #EURO also pressured from: - Spanish PPI - US-EU tensions - EU-UK tensions #POUND also pressured from: - BoJo's comment to leave whatever it takes #TurksishLira supported by: - Weaker oil - Positive sentiment after IMF report Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
THE FORCE BEHIND BRAZIL'S RECENT BULLISHNESS (ANALYSIS ON EWZ) If you've been paying attention to headlines about Brazil recently, the term "impeachment" seems to be all over the place. But what's really driving prices upwards in the country's stock market? Is it the daily swaying impeachment probability or something else? Today's instrument to be analysed is EWZ, the ETF that seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Brazil 25/50 Index. The fund generally invests at least 95% of its assets in the securities of its underlying index and in depositary receipts ("DRs") representing securities in its underlying index. The index, which consists of stocks traded primarily on the BM&FBOVESPA, is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index with a capping methodology applied to issuer weights so that no single issuer of a component exceeds 25% of the underlying index weight, and all issuers with weight above 5% do not cumulatively exceed 50% of the underlying index weight. The fund is non-diversified. (source: finance.yahoo.com) The chart's left side is late October 2014, when president Dilma Rousseff got re-elected. As can be seen, EWZ price has since then maintained a close correlation with the price of other Emerging Market ETFs and Indexes 2015 was a perfect storm for Emerging Markets. With China's slowdown, a commodity crash, the strong dollar, a Fed rate hike, the light at the end of the tunnel was nowhere to be seen. Commodities Many emerging markets depend on commodities like oil, iron and copper in order for their economies to do well. Commodity prices tumbled in 2015, with Crude Oil hitting a 7-year low in December. Oil and other commodities are not set to boom in 2016, but they likely won't tumble as much as they did last year, specially if OPEC agrees on setting production quotas again. China's Slowdown China is transitioning to a consumer-led economy from one led by manufacturing and construction, meaning its demand for all those commodities has plummeted. China has been cutting rates, weakening the currency and pumping money into the economy to counteract the slowdown. Many experts believe China's growth may slow down more in 2016, but not at a faster pace. A more stable China should help the countries that depend on it. Strong Dollar and Rate Hike The good news is that a weak currency lets emerging markets sell products abroad more cheaply, making them more attractive to foreign buyers. That eventually boosts exports and, in turn, economic growth. The bad news is that emerging markets have to pay off some debt in U.S. dollars. In total, there's $3 trillion of emerging market debt denominated in dollars, according to Wells Fargo. As the dollar rallies, that debt gets more expensive to pay back. The rate hike makes the US Bonds more attractive and attract foreign money to the US. This money has to be exchanged into US Dollars and ends up boosting the currency. Many leaders in emerging markets are actually glad the Fed finally raised rates. So much uncertainty surrounded the first rate hike, and now that it's done, that gives emerging markets more clarity. With all this in mind, it's silly to say Dilma's possible impeachment is the main responsible for the upwards drive in Brazil's stock market prices...
AMEX:EWZ
by geraldelli