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Nifty Closes Below 25,000 — What Lies Ahead?The Indian market's recent uptrend appears to be losing momentum, as the benchmark Nifty index extended its decline for the third consecutive week, ending just below the important 25,000 mark. This pullback has been largely driven by weakness in the Financial and IT sectors, with major players like NSE:TCS , NSE:HCLTECH , and NSE:AXISBANK posting disappointing earnings. From a technical perspective, the index is now approaching a key support zone near 24,900. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a further slide towards 24,500. Open Interest (OI) data reinforces this view, with the 25,000–24,900 zone seeing the highest put writing, marking it as an immediate support area. On the upside, strong call writing at 25,100 and 25,200 on Friday suggests these levels will act as immediate resistance. Given the current structure, the outlook for the coming week remains neutral to bearish. Traders are advised to stay cautious, manage risk effectively, and keep a close watch on these crucial levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
DXY Chart Outlook: Trend, Support, and Price Objectives**DXY Chart Outlook: Trend, Support, and Price Objectives (Reworded Analysis)** **Trend Overview** * The DXY chart reflects a **clear upward trajectory**, characterized by a sequence of **ascending highs and higher lows** — a classic sign of bullish momentum. * Currently, the price is **retracing toward the 50-day EMA**, which appears to be holding as **dynamic support**. * Two important **horizontal support zones** are marked: * **Support 1 (S1):** \~97.400 (aligned with EMA-50) * **Support 2 (S2):** \~96.800 (a deeper correction level) **Projected Price Zones** * **Near-Term Objective:** **98.800 to 99.000** * A rebound from the EMA or S1 could send price higher toward this zone, continuing the current bullish structure. * **Mid-Term Target:** **99.200 to 99.400** * If the price successfully clears the 99.000 resistance, further bullish continuation could aim for this intermediate target range. * **Extended Target:** **100.000+** * A sustained breakout beyond 99.400 could open the path toward **psychological resistance at 100.000**, possibly higher on strong momentum. **Support Zones to Watch** * **S1 (97.400):** This level coincides with the 50-day EMA and represents a **first line of defense**. * **S2 (96.800):** Should the price fall below S1, this secondary level could provide **stronger support** and potential bounce opportunity. **Risk Management** * Consider placing a **protective stop** just below S2 — around **96.500** — to safeguard against a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. **Summary** * The DXY remains **technically bullish**, with potential upside targets at **98.800**, **99.400**, and eventually **100.000+**. * Traders can monitor **S1 and S2** for potential entries or trend confirmation. * A **breakdown below 96.500** would invalidate the bullish setup and warrant caution.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Harry_Megat
NQ, Short setupJust before market Open price dropped lower, I expect price to travel back up into the 15 m Gap and then sell off. This is the only setup I am interested in today. The 15m level will be a resistance level for price. This level is derived from the last reversal. Since NQ was lagging, i expect price to use his level to squeeze the shorts out and start a new down trend. If this does not happen and the highs get taken out, I will be flat today Goodluck, Good trading. F
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TIMETRADERNL
2
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Rises to a 2024 High (June/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY June/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK rose to 3.6% in June, the highest since January 2024, up from 3.4% in May and above expectations that it would remain unchanged. The main upward pressure came from transport prices, mostly motor fuel costs, airfares, rail fares and maintenance and repair of personal transport equipment. On the other hand, services inflation remained steady at 4.7%. Meanwhile, core inflation also accelerated, with the annual rate reaching 3.7%.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Market Mood Sours as Inflation Surprises AgainU.S. stock markets were under pressure on Tuesday after new inflation data came in higher than expected. This has made investors rethink how soon the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates. What Happened? ● The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded its biggest monthly rise in 5 months. ● Core inflation (which excludes food and energy) jumped by 2.9% compared to last year — more than the Fed's 2% target. What It Means ● Investors had expected the Fed to cut interest rates multiple times in 2025. ● After the inflation report, they now think the Fed will cut less than expected. ● The chances of a rate cut in September also dropped sharply. Market Impact ● Bond yields went up — the 10-year U.S. government bond yield rose to 4.49%, making borrowing more expensive. ● Stock futures fell (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq), as higher yields tend to hurt company profits and stock prices. S&P 500 and Dow Struggle at Resistance ● Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones faced resistance near all-time highs. ● This rejection suggests potential for further short-term pullback, especially if macro pressures like inflation and rate uncertainty persist. Near-Term Outlook With inflation running hotter than expected, hopes for early Fed rate cuts have cooled. Traders and investors should remain cautious, manage risk actively, and prepare for continued volatility in the coming weeks.
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital
US30 Bearish IdeaAs we can see this is a anticipation of us being in a quarterly shift in the markets and having an assumption that we had a retracement up to collect more orders for smart money to go short. We have relative strength with US30 against both NASDAQ and the SP500. We have seen resistance in our premium arrays of our weekly FVG and daily order block * Fundamental analysis: We are are having a shift in our bond yields which could potentially effect the dollar giving it strength and you add the fact that dollar is under valued when we have a stronger dollar rate than the rest of the basket currencies we could see it negatively effect the Dow this quarter. The Dow is very over valued and we have had consistent quantitative easing from the Fed and the Fed balance sheet has been still consistently decreasing. The commercial interest have also seen a great rise of buying dollar and if dollar is being bought up then something would need to be sold.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by That_Guy_Trades
5
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory with BTC/USDIntroduction to Elliott Wave Theory: Elliott Wave Theory is a popular method of technical analysis that seeks to predict the future price movement of financial markets. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, the theory is based on the idea that market movements follow a repetitive pattern, driven by investor psychology. At the core of Elliott’s theory is the idea that markets move in a 5-wave pattern in the direction of the trend, followed by a 3-wave corrective pattern. These waves can be seen on all timeframes and help traders identify potential entry and exit points in the market. Key Concepts of Elliott Wave Theory: 1. Impulse Waves (The Trend) 2. These are the waves that move in the direction of the overall trend. They are labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and represent the price movement in the main direction of the market. * Wave 1: The initial move up (or down in a bearish market). I like to mark up the first wave how I do my Fibs, from the point where price showed a major impulse. * Wave 2: A correction of Wave 1 (it doesn’t go lower than the starting point of Wave 1). * Wave 3: The longest and most powerful wave in the trend. * Wave 4: A smaller correction in the direction of the trend. * Wave 5: The final push in the direction of the trend, which can be shorter and weaker than Wave 3. 3. Corrective Waves (The Pullbacks) 4. After the five-wave impulse, the market enters a corrective phase, moving against the trend. This corrective phase is generally a 3-wave pattern, labeled A, B, C: * Wave A: The initial correction, typically smaller than Wave 3. * Wave B: A temporary move against the correction (it often confuses traders who think the trend has resumed). * Wave C: The final move against the trend, usually the strongest and most aggressive. How to Implement Elliott Wave on BTC/USD: Let’s break down how you can apply the Elliott Wave Theory to BTC/USD using a simple example. 1. Identify the Trend 2. Start by identifying the current market trend for BTC/USD. Are we in an uptrend or downtrend? This will determine whether you’re looking for a 5-wave impulse up (bullish) or down (bearish). 3. Locate the Waves 4. Look for the five-wave structure in the trend direction. Once you identify a potential impulse move, label the waves accordingly: * Wave 1: A new uptrend starts. * Wave 2: A small pullback (usually less than the size of Wave 1). * Wave 3: A significant surge in price, often the most volatile. * Wave 4: A smaller pullback or consolidation. * Wave 5: The final push higher, which might show signs of exhaustion. 5. Corrective Phase 6. After completing the 5-wave impulse, expect a corrective 3-wave pattern (A, B, C). These corrections typically last longer than expected and can often confuse traders. * Wave A: Price starts to reverse. * Wave B: A retracement that may confuse traders into thinking the trend is resuming. * Wave C: A strong pullback that brings the price even lower. 7. Use Fibonacci Levels as confluence 8. One of the most powerful tools in Elliott Wave analysis is Fibonacci retracement levels. You can use these to predict potential levels where Wave 2 and Wave 4 could end, or where Wave C might complete the correction. Common retracement levels are 38.2%-50% for Wave 4, and 50-61.8% For Waves 2 and B but keep in mind, these wave can retrace up to 100% before the wave analysis becomes invalid. But ideally these points are where you look to make an entry. Wave 2 Example: This one hit the golden spot (0.5-0.618) perfectly and continued to push upward. Wave B and C Example: This example hit closer to the 0.786 level which is also a key level for retracement. Wave 4 Example: This one hit the golden spot (0.382-0.5) for Wave 4 perfectly before continue the bullish momentum. I try to use the RED levels below (1.1 and 1.2) as my invalidation (Stop Loss) levels and the GREEN levels (-0.27 and -0.618) as my Take Profit levels. Depending on your goals you can also use Fib Levels 0.236 and 0 as partial Take Profit levels. 9. Confirm with Indicators 10. To validate your Elliott Wave counts, use other indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD, or Moving Averages. For example, a Wave 3 might occur when the RSI is above 50, indicating strength in the trend. In this example you can see the RSI cross the 50 threshold and the 3rd Wave form. Continuation after the Wave is complete: Tips for Trading with Elliott Wave Theory: * Stay Flexible: Elliott Wave Theory is not set in stone. If the market doesn’t follow the expected pattern, adjust your wave counts accordingly. * Don’t Rely on One Timeframe: A 5-wave structure on one timeframe may be part of a larger wave pattern on a higher timeframe. Always analyze multiple timeframes. * Wave Personality: Waves don’t always look the same as stated earlier. Wave 2 can retrace up to 100% of Wave 1 and Wave 4 should generally not overlap Wave 1 or this may invalidate the Wave structure. * Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques. No theory is perfect, so make sure you have a stop-loss in place to manage your risk. Conclusion: Using Elliott Wave Theory on BTC/USD: The Elliott Wave Theory can be a powerful tool for analyzing and forecasting price movements. By identifying the 5-wave impulse and 3-wave corrective patterns, you can gain insights into potential market direction. Just remember to use it alongside other tools and indicators for confirmation, and don’t forget to manage your risk. As you apply it to BTC/USD or any other asset, remember that the market doesn’t always follow the "ideal" patterns, and flexibility is key. Practice on different timeframes, refine your skills, and use the theory as a part of your overall trading strategy. Final Thoughts: If you're just starting, don't get discouraged if you miss a wave or two. Trading is a journey, and with patience and practice, you'll begin to spot these patterns more naturally. Whether you’re analyzing Bitcoin's price action or any other asset, Elliott Wave Theory can give you a deeper understanding of market psychology. Good Luck and Happy Trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
43
"DXY Bullish Setup – High Probability Trade!"🚨 "DXY DOLLAR BANK HEIST" – THIEF TRADING STYLE MASTER PLAN (HIGH-IMPACT TRADE ALERT!) 🔥 "Steal the Market Like a Pro – This DXY Heist Could Print Serious Cash!" 🔥 🌍 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌍 🤑 "Money isn’t made… it’s TAKEN!" 💰💸 Based on the 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥 (a lethal mix of technical + fundamental + psychological warfare), we're executing a DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist—a high-stakes robbery where YOU get to keep the loot! 📜 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT (TRADE PLAN) 🎯 ENTRY ZONE – "BREAK THE VAULT DOOR!" 📍Key Trigger: Wait for price to SMASH through the Moving Average Wall (97.700) – then STRIKE! 🔪 Thief’s Entry Trick: Buy Stop Orders above MA (aggressive) Buy Limit Orders near recent swing low (smart pullback play) DCA/Layering Strategy for max profit extraction (real robbers scale in!) 🚨 ALERT SETUP: "Don’t miss the breakout – set an ALARM!" ⏰ 🛑 STOP LOSS – "DON’T GET CAUGHT!" "Yo, rookie! If you’re entering on a breakout, WAIT for confirmation before placing SL!" 📍Thief’s SL Zone: 97.400 (30min swing low – adjust based on your risk appetite!) ⚠️ WARNING: "Place it wrong, and the cops (market) will lock YOU up!" 🚔 🎯 TARGET – "ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT!" 🏆 Primary Target: 98.350 (Take profits before the resistance police show up!) 🔄 Scalper’s Bonus: "Trail your SL, squeeze every pip!" 💡 Pro Tip: "If you’re underfunded, ride with the swing traders – teamwork makes the dream work!" 💣 WHY THIS HEIST WILL WORK (MARKET DYNAMICS) ✅ Bullish Momentum Building (DXY showing strength!) ✅ Overbought? Maybe… but thieves don’t wait for permission! ✅ Trend Reversal Potential (Big money shifting!) ✅ Police (Resistance) Trap Ahead (Escape before they catch you!) 📡 NEWS & RISK MANAGEMENT (DON’T GET BUSTED!) 🚨 High-Impact News? AVOID new trades! (Use trailing stops to lock profits!) 📊 Check COT Reports, Macro Data, Geopolitics (Smart thieves do their homework!) 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST – LET’S GET RICH TOGETHER! 👊 "Hit the LIKE & BOOST button to fuel our next heist!" 💖 "More boosts = More robberies = More FREE money for YOU!" 🚀 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER (LEGAL SPEAK) "This ain’t financial advice – just a damn good robbery plan. Trade at your own risk, and don’t cry if you ignore the SL!" 😎 🔔 Stay tuned for the next heist… The market’s our playground! 🏴‍☠️💰 🚀 "See you at the next breakout, thief!" 🚀 🔥 #DXY #Forex #Trading #BankHeist #ThiefTrading #ProfitPirates #MakeMoney #TradingView #SmartMoney 🔥
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Is the Fear & Greed Index Becoming a Victim of Its Own Success?I’ve noticed something about the Fear & Greed Index that rarely gets discussed: Its reputation as a “contrarian indicator” may actually dampen market declines. When everyone sees “Extreme Fear” and believes it’s time to buy, the panic doesn’t deepen as it might have in the past—potentially muting major market lows. This creates a feedback loop: The index signals “buy the fear,” Enough traders pile in, The market stabilizes before real capitulation sets in. When a widely-followed counter-indicator becomes common knowledge, it can lose its edge. In today’s markets, these signals may serve more as social safety nets than as true predictors of sentiment extremes. Bottom line: If the “fear” signal stops working, or stops triggering buying, it could be a warning that the market’s safety net is gone. I wonder, is the VIX subject to the same mitigating effect? The Fear & Greed Index has never been truly tested during a long term bear market. But then it may partly be why we have not had one in so long. Would love to hear your thoughts—has anyone else noticed this effect?
by TradeTitan120
$EUIRYY - Europe CPI (June/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY 2% June/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Eurozone consumer price inflation rose slightly to 2.0% year-on-year in June 2025, up from May’s eight-month low of 1.9% and in line with market expectations, according to a preliminary estimate. The figure aligns with the European Central Bank’s official target. Among major economies, inflation in Germany unexpectedly declined, while France and Spain saw modest increases and Italy’s rate held steady.
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx