UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t exited UAL before the recent selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 92.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $5.12.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Indicators
BRIEFING Week #29-30 : BTC stalling, ETH & then Alts ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
Arbitrage Opportunity!I believe I’ve identified an arbitrage opportunity involving the DEFI cryptocurrency: it trades at $0.003200 on Bybit, compared to only $0.002390 on MEXC.
I recall encountering a similar situation with Shiba Inu, when the price gap between Binance and Coinbase was as high as 8X. Feel free to play the chart below to see the outcome:
I also remember the 2016–2017 period, when such arbitrage opportunities existed even with Bitcoin, due to price discrepancies between Asian exchanges and those available to European traders.
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SCHW before the sell-off:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 92.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $7.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBKR before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBKR Interactive Brokers prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $3.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BAC Bank of America Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BAC before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BAC Bank of America Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 48usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-7-18,
for a premium of approximately $0.34.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NFLX before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1260usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $71.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DEFI the Next Crypto Sleeper? Trump Jr. & O’Leary Back on Stage!Fundamental Bullish Case:
1. Huge Names Are Paying Attention
Earlier this year, De.Fi held a high-profile event attended by Donald Trump Jr. and Kevin O’Leary. Regardless of political views, this kind of exposure brings:
Mainstream visibility to a previously overlooked microcap.
Credibility among non-crypto retail investors.
The possibility of future partnerships or integrations with major capital players.
When figures like O’Leary (a former FTX critic turned crypto backer) show up, it means the project is on the radar.
2. De.Fi = A Web3 Security & Aggregator Suite
The DEFI token powers the De.Fi “super app”, which combines:
Smart contract security auditing (via their Scanner tool).
Cross-chain asset dashboard — track DeFi investments in one place.
Swap and bridge functionality — a unified DeFi experience.
In a post-FTX world, security + simplicity is the future of Web3 adoption — and De.Fi is positioning itself at that intersection.
3. Microcap with Moonshot Potential
Market cap under $3 million, fully diluted cap still under $30 million.
Token has already proven it can reach $1.00 — and even a partial recovery gives 100x potential from current prices.
Strong upside asymmetry compared to overbought majors.
4. 2025 = Altcoin Season Potential
As Bitcoin cools and liquidity rotates, microcaps historically outperform in the late-stage bull cycle. DEFI could ride this wave as attention flows from BTC to altcoins with good narratives and active dev teams.
Technical Analysis: Reversal in Progress?
All-Time Low was just 2 days ago ($0.0016).
Since then, price has jumped over 57%, showing early-stage accumulation and short-squeeze activity.
A move above $0.0030 could confirm a breakout from this capitulation bottom.
If momentum sustains, initial resistance targets are $0.006, $0.01, and $0.025 — still just a fraction of ATH.
Price Target Scenarios:
Target % Upside from $0.0026 Reasoning
$0.006 +130% Technical breakout level
$0.01 +280% Psychological + chart level
$0.10 +3,700% Mid-tier recovery, low float
$1.00 (ATH) +38,000% Full retrace (moonshot)
Final Thoughts:
DEFI is not a sure thing - it’s volatile, it’s tiny, and it was forgotten for months. But with renewed attention from major names, an actual working product in the DeFi space, and a chart that just bounced 50% off its lows, it may be gearing up for a new chapter.
If you're looking for an early-stage altcoin with real upside potential in this cycle, DEFI is one to watch.
API3 ANALYSIS🚀#API3 Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #API3 that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a daily timeframe #API3 broke out the pattern. Expecting a bullish move in few days if #API3 retest the levels
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #API3 price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#API3 #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JPM befor the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 290usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $20.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
What Are Bollinger Bands? How to use it.✅ What Are Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands are a volatility-based technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger. They consist of three lines:
1. Middle Band: 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA)
2. Upper Band: Middle Band + 2 standard deviations
3. Lower Band: Middle Band - 2 standard deviations
The bands expand and contract based on price volatility.
📊 What Bollinger Bands Tell You
Contraction (Squeeze): Low volatility, possible breakout coming
Expansion: High volatility, breakout in progress or exhausted
Price Touches Band: Doesn’t mean reversal—it's a sign of strength or weakness
🎯 Mastering Strategies with Bollinger Bands
1. Bollinger Band Squeeze (Breakout Strategy)
Setup: Bands are very close together (low volatility)
Signal: Wait for breakout and volume spike
Action: Enter in direction of breakout
Tip: Combine with MACD or RSI for confirmation
> 🔍 Example: If the price breaks above the upper band with strong volume after a squeeze → potential long entry.
2. Mean Reversion (Reversal Strategy)
Setup: Price touches or exceeds upper/lower band
Signal: Look for RSI divergence, candlestick reversal patterns
Action: Fade the move back to the 20 SMA (mean reversion)
Tip: Works best in ranging markets
> ⚠️ Warning: Don’t short just because price touches the upper band. Look for confluence.
3. Trend Riding with Bands
Setup: Price rides upper/lower band
Signal: Pullbacks to the 20 SMA in a strong trend
Action: Enter on bounce near SMA if the trend is strong
Tip: Use higher timeframes to confirm the trend
> 🟢 In an uptrend, buy near the 20 SMA when price pulls back but doesn’t break lower band.
📌 Key Tips for Mastery
1. Adjust settings for asset/timeframe (e.g., crypto might need a 10 or 14 SMA)
2. Never use Bollinger Bands alone – combine with:
RSI (for overbought/oversold confirmation)
MACD (trend confirmation)
Volume (for breakout confirmation)
3. Use multiple timeframes – e.g., 4H for trend, 15m for entry
4. Avoid chasing band breakouts without confirmation
5. Backtest strategies with your preferred asset
🧠 Advanced Concepts
Double Bottoms Outside Band: When price forms a W-bottom with the second low outside the lower band bullish reversal setup.
Walking the Band: In strong trends, price can "walk" along the band don’t fade too early.
Band Width: Track the width of bands to detect upcoming breakouts.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This guide is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Mastering the Bollinger Bands- How to use it in trading?What is the Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands is a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s. It is designed to measure market volatility and provide signals for potential price reversals or trend continuations. The Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: a simple moving average in the middle, usually calculated over 20 periods, and two outer bands that are placed a set number of standard deviations above and below the moving average. These outer bands automatically adjust to market conditions, expanding and contracting based on price volatility. The indicator is widely used by traders to understand the relative highs and lows of a financial instrument in relation to recent price action.
What will be discussed?
- How does it work with the lower band and upper band?
- What does the narrowing mean?
- What does the widening mean?
- How to trade with the Bollingers Bands?
-------------------------
How does it work with the lower band and upper band?
The upper band and the lower band serve as dynamic levels of resistance and support. When the price of an asset touches or exceeds the upper band, it may be considered overbought, suggesting that a reversal or pullback could be near. Conversely, when the price approaches or breaks below the lower band, the asset may be viewed as oversold, indicating a potential rebound. These bands do not generate definitive buy or sell signals on their own but instead help traders assess market conditions. The interaction of price with the upper and lower bands often provides visual cues about the momentum and direction of the market, allowing for more informed decision-making.
-------------------------
What does the narrowing mean?
The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands occurs when the price becomes less volatile over time. This contraction indicates a period of consolidation or low market activity, where the price is trading in a tighter range. Narrowing bands are often interpreted as a signal that a significant price movement may be coming soon, as low volatility tends to precede high volatility. This phase is sometimes referred to as the "squeeze," and traders closely monitor it to anticipate breakout opportunities. The direction of the breakout, whether upward or downward, is not predicted by the narrowing itself but usually follows shortly after the bands have contracted.
-------------------------
What does the widening mean?
The widening of the Bollinger Bands reflects increasing market volatility. When the price starts to move rapidly either up or down, the bands spread further apart to accommodate this movement. This expansion typically confirms that a new trend is underway or that a breakout has occurred. The wider the bands become, the greater the degree of price fluctuation. During these times, traders may observe stronger momentum in the market, and the continuation of the move may be supported by the growing distance between the bands. However, extremely wide bands may also suggest that a reversal could be nearing, as the market can become overstretched in either direction.
-------------------------
How to trade with the Bollinger Bands?
Trading with Bollinger Bands involves using the bands to identify entry and exit points based on the behavior of price in relation to the upper and lower bands. One common approach is to buy when the price touches or breaks below the lower band and shows signs of bouncing back, and to sell when the price reaches or moves above the upper band and begins to retreat. Another strategy involves waiting for the bands to narrow significantly and then entering a trade in the direction of the breakout that follows. Traders often use Bollinger Bands in combination with other indicators such as RSI, MACD, or volume to confirm signals and reduce the risk of false breakouts. It is important to remember that Bollinger Bands are not predictive on their own but are most effective when used as part of a broader technical analysis framework.
-------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High: What’s Next?Bitcoin (BTC) has once again captured the world’s attention by smashing through its previous all-time high (ATH). This milestone has sparked excitement and speculation across the crypto community and beyond. But the key question remains: Will BTC continue its upward trajectory, or is a correction on the horizon?
Long-Term Outlook: The Bullish Case
In the long run, the fundamentals for Bitcoin remain strong. Several factors support a positive outlook:
Institutional Adoption: More institutional investors are entering the market, providing greater liquidity and legitimacy.
Scarcity and Halving Cycles: Bitcoin’s fixed supply and periodic halving events historically drive long-term price appreciation.
Macro Trends: Ongoing concerns about inflation and fiat currency devaluation continue to make BTC an attractive hedge.
Given these dynamics, we believe Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains upward.
Short-Term Caution: A Correction May Be Coming
While the long-term view is optimistic, the short-term picture may be less rosy:
Overheated Market Indicators: Rapid price surges often lead to overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
Profit-Taking: After breaking ATH, some investors may lock in gains, adding selling pressure.
Technical Resistance: Historical patterns suggest that corrections often follow major breakouts.
We anticipate a potential correction, possibly pulling BTC back to the $90,000 range. This adjustment could unfold in the coming week or weeks as the market digests recent gains.
What Should Investors Do?
Stay Calm: Volatility is part of the crypto landscape. Corrections are healthy for sustainable growth.
Focus on Fundamentals: Remember why you invested in BTC in the first place.
Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging: Spreading out purchases can help mitigate the impact of short-term swings.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s break above its all-time high is a testament to its enduring appeal and the growing confidence of investors. While a short-term correction may be likely, the long-term case for BTC remains compelling. As always, prudent risk management and a focus on fundamentals are key to navigating the exciting—and sometimes turbulent—world of crypto.
Do not consider it as investment advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #analysis
BRIEFING Week #27-28 : Distancing from US MarketsHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\
\ This article explores the foundation, key tools, and practical insights of Smart Money Concepts — and why it’s worth your attention.\
In today's fast-changing financial landscape, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) has become a popular strategy among modern traders. But what is SMC exactly, and how can it improve your trading decisions? This article breaks it down in a simple, professional way for traders at all levels.
---
\ What Are Smart Money Concepts?\
SMC is a trading approach based on the belief that large institutions ("smart money") like banks and hedge funds control most of the market's movements. These institutions often move the market in ways that confuse or trap retail traders. The goal of SMC is to understand and follow the footsteps of these big players.
Instead of relying on simple patterns or indicators, SMC focuses on:
\ - Market structure\
\ - Supply and demand zones\
\ - Liquidity pools\
By aligning your trades with the behavior of smart money, you can position yourself more strategically in the market.
---
\ Key SMC Concepts Explained\
\ Order Blocks\
Order blocks are zones on the chart where large institutions have placed significant buy or sell orders. These zones often lead to strong price reactions and act as hidden support or resistance levels. Order blocks are considered more precise than traditional supply and demand areas.
Example: ()
\ Fair Value Gap (FVG)\
A Fair Value Gap occurs when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving a gap or imbalance in the price action. These areas often get filled later and can act as magnets for price.
In a bearish move, the FVG is the gap between the low of the previous candle and the high of the next one. In a bullish move, it's the reverse.
Example: ()
\ Timeframe Consideration\
If you can’t monitor charts during the day, avoid relying on 5–30 minute setups. Consider 4H or daily timeframes for clearer signals and more manageable trading decisions.
\ Liquidity\
Liquidity refers to price zones where lots of pending orders exist. These are usually at obvious highs, lows, or trendlines. Smart money often targets these areas to trigger stop-losses and generate movement.
One common tool to identify liquidity is a "pivot point," which is a candle with a lower low or higher high than its neighbors.
Example: ()
\ Break of Structure (BOS)\
BOS occurs when price breaks above or below a previous high or low, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Example: ()
\ Change of Character (ChoCH)\
ChoCH happens when the market changes direction. For example, if price breaks a higher low in an uptrend, it may signal a reversal.
Example: ()
Combined with BOS: ()
---
\ How SMC Compares to Wyckoff\
The idea of "smart money" isn't new. Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in technical analysis, laid the foundation for understanding market cycles driven by institutions. His price cycle theory includes four phases:
\ 1. Accumulation\
Smart money buys while the public is unaware.
\ 2. Markup\
Price rises as smart money pushes the market.
\ 3. Distribution\
Smart money sells into public buying.
\ 4. Markdown\
Price falls as the cycle completes.
SMC borrows from this logic but focuses more on structure and liquidity zones. Still, the core idea is the same: understand what big players are doing, and follow them.
\ For deeper insights into Wyckoff, explore additional resources focused on accumulation/distribution cycles.\
---
\ Summary\
Smart Money Concepts give traders a deeper look into market mechanics. By focusing on order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity, and structure breaks, SMC helps identify high-probability trade setups based on institutional behavior.
It may seem complex at first, but once you understand the basics, SMC can become a powerful tool in your trading strategy. Whether you’re new or experienced, aligning with smart money can improve your edge in the market.
Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Toward Target Zone Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Analysis 🚀🟢
The chart illustrates a strong bullish breakout from a consolidation zone, signaling upward momentum:
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Support Zone: The price respected the support area around 3,325 – 3,330 USD, forming a solid base for reversal.
Bullish Structure: Series of higher lows and higher highs indicate a bullish trend formation.
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke above short-term resistance with a strong bullish candle, indicating buying pressure.
Trendline Support: The ascending trendline has held well, confirming trend continuation.
Target Point 🎯: Projected target is near 3,365 USD, which aligns with a previous resistance and Fibonacci confluence zone.
✅ Conclusion:
The breakout above resistance, supported by a bullish structure and momentum, suggests further upside potential toward the 3,365 USD target zone. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish bias remains valid.
🛑 Watch for invalidation if price falls back
LCID: Could a Saudi Buyout Send This EV Stock Back to $10?If you haven`t sold LCID before the previous earnings:
Now you need to know that Lucid Motors (LCID) is one of the most polarizing EV stocks in the market — but it’s also one of the most interesting speculative turnarounds. Yes, the company faces production challenges, cash burn, and fierce competition from Tesla, BYD, and legacy automakers. But it has some unique wildcards that most other EV startups don’t:
1) The “Musk Factor”
Musk’s public comments about Lucid being “basically controlled by the Saudis” and that they make better-looking cars than Tesla might sound like trolling, but they highlight a real truth: Lucid isn’t just another budget EV player — it’s positioned as a luxury rival with design appeal that matters to high-end buyers.
2) Saudi PIF Is Deep In — Valuation Floor
The Saudi sovereign wealth fund has put billions into LCID already — and now owns around 60%+ of the shares. They’ve made no secret of their plans to expand the kingdom’s domestic EV production and see Lucid as a flagship partner.
Rumors have swirled for years about a possible full buyout to bring Lucid fully under the PIF umbrella — or merge it with other Middle East EV initiatives like the Ceer brand. Any credible news here could double or triple the stock overnight from these depressed levels.
3) Gravity SUV & Product Pipeline
The Lucid Air remains one of the few luxury EVs that truly competes with Tesla’s Model S in both design and range. The upcoming Gravity SUV could be the next big catalyst, especially as the luxury SUV segment has fatter margins and huge global demand.
Meanwhile, the new AMP-2 factory in Saudi Arabia will help Lucid localize production, get tax incentives, and serve the Middle East and Europe more cost-effectively.
4) Technical Setup: Double Bottom Pattern
Here’s what really makes this setup tradable: LCID is showing a clear double bottom on the daily chart around the $2–$2.20 zone. The stock tested that level twice and bounced, forming a W-shaped base that can signal a reversal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CRSP Could Crack the Holy Grails of Medicine: Cancer & AlzheimerWhen Tesla (TSLA) started, few believed a scrappy EV startup could transform the entire auto industry and ignite a green energy revolution. But it did.
Today, CRISPR Therapeutics (NASDAQ: CRSP) is quietly doing something similar for medicine — and if you squint, its upside might be even bigger than Tesla’s.
Gene Editing: The Next Industrial Revolution — For Your Cells
CRISPR/Cas9 gene editing is like biological software. It gives scientists the power to cut, delete, or rewrite genes — the source code of life — with surgical precision.
CRISPR Therapeutics was co-founded by Dr. Emmanuelle Charpentier, a Nobel Prize winner who helped pioneer this breakthrough. The company’s lead therapy, exa-cel — just FDA approved in the U.S. — is the first-ever CRISPR-based gene-editing treatment to hit the market.
First up: curing devastating blood disorders like sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia — a $10 billion+ opportunity. But that’s only the start.
Aging: The Ultimate Disease
What if we treated aging itself as a disease?
Many scientists now argue that growing old is the result of accumulated genetic errors, cellular damage, and mutations — processes that can be slowed or even reversed.
Gene editing holds the promise to repair DNA damage, reprogram cells, and treat the root causes of age-related decline. If successful, it could extend healthy human lifespan by decades.
Think about that: Tesla made cars last longer and burn cleaner. CRSP could make you last longer and live healthier.
The Two Holy Grails: Cancer and Alzheimer’s
Beyond blood disorders, CRISPR Therapeutics is working on a pipeline targeting solid tumors, diabetes, and more. But the real game-changers are cancer and Alzheimer’s disease — the twin mountains every biotech company dreams of conquering.
With gene editing, we could one day rewrite the genetic mutations that fuel cancer growth or remove the faulty proteins that clog the brain in Alzheimer’s. These are trillion-dollar problems — and the company that cracks them will reshape human history.
Built for Scale — Like Tesla
CRSP isn’t going at it alone. Partnerships with Vertex, Bayer, and ViaCyte help spread risk and amplify impact. With over $2 billion in cash, it has the runway to execute — just as Tesla used capital to build factories and charging networks at scale.
The market still underestimates that this is a platform company — not a single-drug biotech. If Tesla went from cars to batteries, solar, and AI, CRSP could go from blood disorders to rewriting the code for life itself.
Bottom Line
Aging. Cancer. Alzheimer’s. These are the holy grails of medicine.
If you missed Tesla at $20 a share, CRISPR Therapeutics could be your second chance — the TSLA of Gene Editing.
Because the greatest disruption of all is not electric cars. It’s the chance that, one day, growing old will be optional.
Tesla Bullish Breakout Setup: Entry at $295.54 Targeting $488.87Entry Point (Buy Zone): Around $295.54
Stop Loss: Between $272.94 – $295.54 (lower purple support zone)
Target (TP): $488.87
Current Price: $315.33 (as of the latest candle)
📈 Strategy Summary:
Setup Type: Long (Buy)
Risk-Reward Setup:
Reward: ~$193.33 per share (from $295.54 to $488.87)
Risk: ~$22.60 per share (from $295.54 to $272.94)
Reward:Risk Ratio ≈ 8.6:1 — a high potential payoff if the trade works out.
📊 Technical Context:
Support Zone: Price recently bounced off the support region (marked in purple).
Moving Averages:
Red Line (Short-Term MA): Price just crossed back above.
Blue Line (Long-Term MA): Price reclaimed this level — bullish signal.
Price Action: After a corrective phase, a possible reversal is forming at support, confirming bullish interest.
✅ Bullish Signals:
Bounce from support zone with a strong bullish candle.
Price closing above the 200-day MA (bullish trend resumption).
High reward-to-risk trade setup with clear stop loss.
⚠️ Considerations:
Confirmation with volume or a second bullish candle would add confidence.
Watch for earnings or macro events that could disrupt the trend.
Tight stop is essential to avoid drawdowns if the setup fails.
🔚 Conclusion
This is a well-structured long setup with a high potential reward. If price maintains above the entry zone and breaks recent highs, a push toward the $488.87 target is plausible.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ:
Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally.
From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index.
While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
AAPL Poised for Continued GrowthIf you haven`t bought AAPL before the rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI-Driven iPhone Upgrade CycleApple’s integration of Apple Intelligence, its proprietary AI platform, is set to catalyze a significant iPhone replacement cycle. Posts on X highlight positive sentiment around AI-driven demand, with estimates suggesting a 40% year-over-year surge in iPhone shipments in China during May 2024, signaling strong consumer interest. New AI features, such as on-device processing for enhanced privacy and functionality, are expected to drive accelerated hardware upgrades. Analysts, including Bernstein, project these features could boost upgrade rates, with even a 1% increase in upgrades driving meaningful revenue growth. With the iPhone 15 and future iterations leveraging AI, Apple is likely to capture pent-up demand, as noted by industry observers who see long-term revenue growth from its 7% year-over-year increase in active installed base.
2. Strong Ecosystem and Services GrowthApple’s ecosystem—spanning iPhones, iPads, Macs, and wearables—continues to drive customer loyalty and recurring revenue. The company reported record services growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching $95.4 billion, up 5% year-over-year. Services like Apple Music, iCloud, and Apple TV+ benefit from the growing active device base, which ensures sticky, high-margin revenue streams. This ecosystem strength mitigates concerns about short-term iPhone sales fluctuations, as Apple captures upgrade revenue over time. The seamless integration of hardware and services creates a moat that competitors struggle to replicate, reinforcing AAPL’s long-term growth potential.
3. Technical Bullish MomentumFrom a technical perspective, AAPL exhibits strong bullish patterns across multiple timeframes. TradingView analyses point to a rising bullish channel, with higher highs and higher lows signaling sustained upward momentum. Key bullish patterns, such as an ascending wedge and triangle, are forming around current price levels, suggesting potential breakouts. For instance, if AAPL clears $203.21 with volume, it could target $204.98 or higher, with some analyses eyeing $240 as a near-term resistance. Technical indicators like a rising RSI and MACD convergence further support short-term bullish momentum. Despite recent consolidation, reduced volatility and a strong setup pattern indicate AAPL is primed for a breakout.
4. Analyst Optimism and Market SentimentAnalyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and a 12-month price target of $228.85, implying a 14.05% upside from the current price of $200.66 as of June 2025. Hedge funds like Third Point see “significant” upside, driven by AI features that could meaningfully boost earnings. Bernstein’s raised price target to $240 reflects confidence in Apple’s ability to monetize AI through hardware and services. Posts on X also highlight investor optimism, with AAPL’s $350 billion market cap increase in a single day underscoring strong market confidence in its AI-driven growth chapter.
5. Global Expansion and Emerging MarketsApple’s growth in emerging markets, particularly India and China, bolsters its bullish case. Improved guidance for December 2023, driven by iPhone 15 adoption and India’s market potential, signals untapped opportunities. Apple’s ability to penetrate these high-growth regions, combined with its premium brand appeal, positions it to capture a larger share of global smartphone and tech markets.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BRIEFING Week #26 : Are we going for a Bubble ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Sharing the advanced Bollinger Bands strategyHere are the Bollinger Band trading tips: *
📌 If you break above the upper band and then drop back down through it, confirm a short signal!
📌 If you drop below the lower band and then move back up through it, confirm a long signal!
📌 If you continue to drop below the middle band, add to your short position; if you break above the middle band, add to your long position!
Pretty straightforward, right? This means you won’t be waiting for the middle band to signal before acting; you’ll be ahead of the game, capturing market turning points!
Let’s break it down with some examples:
1. When Bitcoin breaks above the upper Bollinger Band, it looks strong, but quickly drops back below:
➡️ That’s a “bull trap”—time to go short!
2. If Bitcoin crashes below the lower band and then pops back up:
➡️ Bears are running out of steam—time to go long and grab that rebound!
3. If the price keeps moving above the middle band:
➡️ Add to your long or short positions to ride the trend without being greedy or hesitant.
Why is this method powerful?
It combines “edge recognition + trend confirmation” for double protection:
1. Edge Recognition—spot the turning point and act early.
2. Trend Confirmation—wait for the middle band breakout and then confidently add positions!
You won’t be reacting after the fact; you’ll be ahead of the curve, increasing your positions in the trend’s middle and locking in profits at the end. This is the rhythm of professional traders and the core logic of systematic profits!
Who is this method for?
- You want precise entry and exit points.
- You’re tired of “chasing highs and cutting losses.”
- You want a clear, executable trading system.
- You want to go from “I see the chart but don’t act” to “I see the signal and take action.”
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