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Initiativeanalysis

Gold. 3310 reaction & will Buyers reach their remaining targets?Hi traders and investors! The 3310 level worked out perfectly. We can see a familiar buy pattern forming. If the buyer fails to push the price higher and the seller returns to the 3310 level, it's likely that the price will continue to decline on the daily timeframe toward the next nearest targets — 3244, or more likely, 3154. For now, however, we still expect the buyer to pursue the remaining unmet targets at 3393 and 3403. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Gold. Where to look for buy setupsHi traders and investors! The price is currently in a sideways range, with the boundaries marked by black lines. Sellers defended the buyer's first attempt to break through the 3366 level — the key volume in the candle that touched this level was accumulated exactly at that point. Now, it would be ideal to symmetrically expand the range downward by 11.230 points, which would bring the price right to the 3310 level. From the 3310 level, it makes sense to look for potential buy patterns. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
OPUSDT: Buyers try to regain control inside the rangeHi traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, OPUSDT is trading in a sideways range. The price has repeatedly dipped below the lower boundary at 0.545, but each time, buyers managed to bring it back. Now, we’re seeing another attempt to return into the consolidation zone — a possible sign of renewed buyer initiative. If the price secures above 0.545, the path opens toward the next targets at 0.844 and 0.954. However, a short-term dip below 0.52 may occur within this bullish scenario. Therefore, buying becomes a priority once the price is firmly back above 0.545. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Final move by the bears? Bulls lining up for ATHHi traders and investors! Buyers have reached the first target at 108,952. On Binance spot, BTC missed the second target (110,530.17) by just 99 cents. Is this a setup for a breakout and a run toward a new ATH? So far, the price action looks like a level manipulation around 108,952: volume in all 3 bars interacting with this level is concentrated above it. Just below lies a buyer zone (107,500 – 105,100). I am watching for buyer reaction once the price reaches this area. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Silver - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! Hourly Timeframe 📍 Context The hourly chart is in a sideways range.   Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.55. 📊 Key Actions The 35.30 level on the hourly timeframe has worked well. This level marks the correction extreme within the dominant buyer initiative (i.e., an initiative where the correction is less than 50%). A seller attack bar (IKC) targeting the lower boundary of the sideways range was absorbed by the buyer, and this absorption led to a renewed buyer. Targets visible on the chart - Hourly and daily timeframe: 36.55 and 36.89 Daily Timeframe 📍 Context Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.89. 📊 Key Actions On the daily timeframe, there was also a seller IKC bar attacking the lower boundary of the buyer's initiative, which was bought back by the buyer. 🎯 Trade Idea Potential buying patterns can now be monitored at: 36.20, 36.05, 35.67, 35.458 With targets set at: 36.55, 36.89, 37.32. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range. The boundaries are marked with black lines. Buyer initiative is currently active. Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980. 📊 Key Actions The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary. 🎯 Trade Idea 🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone. There is no context for short trades at the moment. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD. Daily Timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Market phase : sideways. Seller's initiative. Boundaries marked with black lines. Gold followed an alternative scenario from the previous review toward 3435. The buyer played out the 8-9 vector of the range on the daily timeframe, and now the initiative has shifted to the seller. The seller's targets are 3245 and 3201 — areas to watch for potential buy patterns aiming for a new ATH. The price might get stuck in the 3293–3271 zone. If a strong buyer reaction occurs, a reversal may happen in this range. The ideal area to look for buy patterns is around 3201. Selling is risky. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Initiative Analysis Market OverviewHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the daily and 4H timeframes, the market is in a sideways range (Black lines = range boundaries). Buyer initiative is active on 4H. The target initiative is 108,952. However, on the daily timeframe, the seller initiative is in control, and a seller zone has formed. The seller zone is the red rectangle on the chart. 📊 Key actions The buyer attempted to break out of the range on the daily timeframe twice, but both times the seller pushed the price back inside. The price is currently interacting with the seller zone. Watching for the reaction. 🎯 Trade Idea 🔸 Long positions — with caution. Only valid if the price holds above 105,336, aiming for the target at 108,952. 🔸 Until that happens, the priority is on further downside, in line with the current seller initiative on the daily. It’s reasonable to look for short setups if the seller defends 105,336. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Ethereum. Daily Timeframe. Seller initiativeHey traders and investors! 📍 Context • Market phase: Sideways range • Current control: Seller initiative 📊 Key Price Action: The price broke above the upper boundary of the range (2738) with a buyer KC candle, touching the 50% retracement level (2874) of the last weekly seller initiative (1). However, the seller absorbed the buyer’s candle and pushed the price back inside the range (2), forming an IKC candle (3) — the highest volume candle within the seller’s initiative. This sequence presents three bearish signals that support a potential continuation to the downside. 🎯 Trade Idea Likely scenario: price tests the lower boundary of the range at 3,323. 🔸 In the meantime, it’s reasonable to look for short setups on lower timeframes within the current seller initiative. 🔸 If price reaches 3,323 and valid buyer patterns appear, this zone may offer a good opportunity for long entries. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
DXY. Midterm Analysis of the US Dollar IndexHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the monthly timeframe, the market was in a range. The price broke above the upper boundary and was long supported around the 101.080 level. This level was repeatedly tested by sellers and now appears to have been broken. 📊 Monthly targets: 89.20 and 88.300. 🔎 Analysis Why might the downward movement continue? Daily TF On the daily chart, we can see that on the day buyers returned to the 101.080 level, the main volume was accumulated in a buyer candle right at and slightly above the level. This suggests the level was defended by sellers. This indicates they are currently in control, and the decline may continue. Let’s look at the nearest potential buyer activity levels. 11-day TF The price has once again broken downward out of the range. Below, there is a small consolidation area formed during the previous upward movement. Its boundaries are: upper boundary — 97.385, lower boundary — 94.589. 🎯 Trade Idea: Rebounds from the upper boundary at 97.385 are possible, but overall the priority remains with a move into this range and towards the 95.00–94.589 zone. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD 4HLocal range near top of broader sideways (gray lines = local range). Seller broke down from it. Price now in buyer zone — possible buyer reaction. Just below: a gap. Seller targets: 3271, 3245. Conservative shorts: watch for buyer activity + seller defending local range breakout (3333). Note: buyer initiative still active on daily TF (!). For longs, better to wait near 3245–3271 and look for bullish patterns. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD — Daily & 4H Timeframes📍 GOLD — Daily & 4H Timeframes On the daily timeframe, gold is targeting the 3435 level. On the 4-hour chart, buyers attempted to break out of the sideways range, but the price was pulled back inside. A second attempt also failed — only the wick extended beyond the range, where the key volume is located. It’s likely that the price will test the buyer zone again (blue rectangle on the chart), which also contains a price gap. The boundaries of the sideways ranges are marked with black lines. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
EURUSD — Daily & 4H TimeframesThe correction continues on EURUSD. Both the daily and 4H timeframes show sideways ranges, with seller initiative in control. The boundaries of the sideways ranges are marked with black lines. However, sellers appear weak — the price has been stuck for several hours inside a buyer attack bar near the upper boundary of the range. Now, sellers are attempting to absorb this buyer bar. If considering long setups, it's safer to look for patterns near the daily level of 1.13126, or from the lower boundary of the 4H range. Another option is to wait for a confirmed breakout above the range. Searching for buys in the upper part of the current range is risky. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
2
WTI Crude: Bears Target 60.549 USDHey traders and investors! 🔹 Crude Oil — 1D / 4H 📍 Context Daily (1D): clear short trend; price capped below 65.40 USD. 4-Hour (4H): sideways range — its boundaries are marked by black lines on the chart — with seller initiative in control. Higher-time-frame levels reinforce the bearish bias. 🔎 Analysis Sellers keep the upper hand on 4H. The daily shows no strong buyer bars, sustaining downward pressure. If price retests the IKC zone and prints bearish confirmation (high-volume seller bar or buyer absorption), the odds of breaking 60.549 USD increase. 🎯 Trade Idea Setup: hunt for short patterns inside the IKC range. Target: 60.549 USD (range low). Confirmation: pattern on M15–H1 + seller-side volume. 📌 Takeaway Bears remain in control. Wait for a trigger inside the IKC zone and lower-TF confirmation before joining the move toward 60.549 USD. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Watching 3265 — The Key Level for Gold BuyersHey traders and investors! 📊 GOLD / W + D 📍 Context On the weekly timeframe: a seller candle with increased volume but no result — the close is above 3201. This gives buyers a chance to take over the initiative. On the daily timeframe: the buyer has brought the price back into the range (lower boundary at 3201), which also keeps the door open for bullish scenarios. 🎯 Trade Idea Consider long positions after the price holds above 3265 Potential targets: 3435 and 3500 📌 Conclusion Bulls have a chance — it's important to watch the price behavior around 3265 and look for long setups on lower timeframes. For example, a retest of 3265 after a breakout and absorption of the retest candle by the buyer, similar to what happened at the 3167 level on the hourly timeframe.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Ethereum: +80% in a Month — What’s Next?Hey traders and investors! The price of ETH has surged by more than 80% over the past 30 days, but the momentum is starting to slow. To understand the current position, we’re using the magic of timeframe switching and focusing on the 15-day chart. Key Observations 1️⃣ A sideways range (consolidation) has formed on the 15D chart, with anchor points 1–6 (see chart). 2️⃣ The last major initiative came from sellers (move from point 5 to 6), and it includes some key features: The initiative pushed below the lower boundary of the range — $2111. The highest volume occurred on the last bar of this move (IKC bar). The IKC bar absorbed liquidity not only below point 4 of the range but also below point 0 — the origin of the price move that preceded the formation of the range. 3️⃣ Buyers began developing their initiative by absorbing the sellers’ IKC bar, pushing price back into the range, and forming a buyer zone (blue rectangle on the chart, with the upper boundary at $1957). 4️⃣ Buyers have already reached the first target — $2717 (point 1 level). What Does It Mean? The rapid rally may slow down — the market likely needs some consolidation or a pullback. A correction toward $2111 or even $1957 is possible. Both zones are attractive for medium-term long setups. The medium-term bullish scenario remains valid as long as price stays above $2111. Trade Outlook 📈 Long zones: $2111, $1957, or after a breakout and hold above $2717 🎯 Targets: $3744, then $4100 📉 Shorts are currently not justified — sellers show no real strength Be ready for a potential “pause” in the rally and watch buyer activity — they currently hold the initiative (!). This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin: Sellers Still Holding Their GroundHey traders and investors! On the daily and weekly timeframes – sideways ranges (boundaries marked in black on the chart). The current initiative is from the seller. 📌 Yesterday, the seller made an effort to push the price down — this shouldn't be ignored. 📊 Targets on the chart: Weekly TF: 96,500 Daily TF: 89,256 10-day TF: 99,475 (upper boundary of the buyer zone) Although I expect the price to continue moving up, it's not advisable to look for buy setups until clear signs of buyer strength appear. 🚨 Selling is risky (details in the post about the 10-day TF). 👀 Observing. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors! On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding. Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed. Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes. Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475. Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure). Now, the main question: 💡 How far up? +30,000? This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Ripple: Potential for Growth!Hey traders and investors! 🚀 Many crypto assets have reached their local targets. I can’t predict what will happen next, but I can track how new candles shift the probability of continued growth or decline. Ripple has strong growth potential. Both the weekly and daily timeframes show sideways ranges (marked by black lines), with the buyer’s initiative active. Decision candles (IKC)* on both timeframes interacted with the lower boundary of the buyer’s initiative. A buyer zone has formed on the weekly timeframe near the lower boundary — marked by a blue rectangle on the chart. With targets aligning on both timeframes, there’s 25% to first target. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). * Decision candles — candles with increased volume inside initiatives. IKC — the highest-volume candle within initiatives inside a sideways range Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf