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Institutionalbuyers

Ash | 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTCHi traders! 👋 This is Ash, let’s dive straight into today’s analysis! 📊🚀 📌 Wave analysis and our near-term view on Bitcoin We believe we are nearing the end of Wave 1 of Intermediate Wave (3) (in yellow). A dip could be on the horizon in the near future - potentially toward $60k. ~$60k = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛 📌 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTC (even at $100k)! 1. Elliott Wave Analysis We believe we are only on Wave 1 of the 3rd Intermediate Wave. This time could be different~! 😅 2. Halving Cycle Analysis Historically, the upward trend lasted about 1 year 4 months after each Halving event. Since the last Halving was on April 19, 2024, this timeframe points to ~ August 2025. So, we’re still about 8 months away from a correction! 😌 3. Institutional Buying and Government Recognition Major institutions are buying, and many governments (including the incoming Trump administration) are beginning to embrace BTC as a form of reserve asset. Bullish! 📈 4. Hyman Minsky Model All financial systems progress through stages of increasing leverage and speculation (aka, a bubble). But… we don’t think we are there yet. Institutions have only just started buying, with limited participation from retail (i.e., public). BTC has plenty more room to run! 🚀 With this said, always remember to DYOR and protect your capital. (Note: DYOR = Do Your Own Research) 📌 Alternative “sub” Scenario: Highly Unlikely The following scenario is highly unlikely, but “if” BCT is nearing the end of Wave (1) (in yellow), the ensuing correction (Wave (2)) could be quite severe - potentially to ~ $40k or even lower.. For those looking to buy at the current level: be aware that, despite a very low probability, a drop to $40k is possible. Please ask yourself whether you can stomach this fall before going long. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit that boost button and follow me! 🚀🙌 See you soon with more updates! 🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MrMillion_official
4
NTCT: Island Gap PotentialThere is an interesting phenomenon that occurs often: when a gap down of this size occurs, followed by a bottoming action and a large white candle forms, this often becomes an island gap. HFTs that gapped the stock down gap it up again. The fact that the gap down candle is a huge white candle for this chart indicates that the gap down is below fundamental values and Dark Pools were the buyers against the HFT selling. The drop in Accumulation/Distribution at that time was smaller funds dumping which often triggers Dark Pool TWAPs. NASDAQ:NTCT has a high Percentage of Institutional Holdings at this time and it's a lower-priced stock in a pricey market.
NASDAQ:NTCTLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
NFLX Falling into a Dark Pool Buy Zone?While we all wait on the highly anticipated NASDAQ:NFLX earnings report at the close today, let's study the weekly chart to study the downside potential since the stock gapped down today on expectations of a weak report. Netflix’s percentage of shares held by institutions has recovered to a respectable 79%, which is more consistent with a company that is in favor with the Buy Side Institutions. There has been accumulation going on since the lows of 2022. Selling Short is problematic due to the support levels not far down from the current price and the risk of a hidden Dark Pool Buy Zone starting at the highs of the U-shaped bottom formation. The current run down is at a technical support level, which is where pro traders often nudge the price to trigger HFTs. Beware of the risk of an extreme reaction at the open tomorrow. During earnings season with a report at the close, pro traders often take profits either in the final minutes of the day to avoid the risk of a surprise, or shortly after the open to capitalize on the reaction to the report.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Wish Wyckoff showtimeResults were as expected and clearly belong to the previous management team.No no point for the current team to show any improvements. As stated by the newly appointed team the real turnaround results should be visible somewhere in Q2 2022, so for Q1, I expect a Wyckoff accumulation. Retail is so depressed and tired that eventually nobody will be left except me. Points looking forward 1. Cash on hand $1b, plenty of time for a turnaround, 0 debt. 2. New C-level executives must prove themselves+receive stock bonuses, so their serious effort is granted. 3. Logistics revenue up 45% YoY, when ad spending resumes this should rocket because shipping times will fall dramatically = happy customers 4. Bad merchants are cleared away, quality is improving slowly but steady = happy customers 5. New redesign in platform launching soon = happy customers 6. Institutional accumulating more and more 7. Everybody(retail) is getting tired and is at a loss of -50% or more, now it's time for a slow death. If markets go up then other stocks will fly and this one will keep accumulating making everyone nervous and anxious, so in the end, everybody will be gone. My targets for this year Q1 : $3-3.50 Q2 : $5-7.5 Q3 : $9-12 Q4: $15 My targets for 2023,2024,2025 1. $22 2. $32 3. $60 Stay safe and always have a plan.
WLong
by UnknownUnicorn274312
7
Psychological Levels are Easy Market's to Trade! (+400 pips)It's pretty straight forward here, with a 3rd rejection imminent of a key level and psychological level (1), we can use this to our advantage by placing a sell-limit at the rejected daily price of 1 with tight stops. Using this technique may result in being stop hunted (as you see the second test spiked a 4th time), however the 3rd drive into the key level statistically negates his probability severely, making the risk worth the reward. As you can see, the RR in this REAL trade I took was unreal. It was nonetheless, a great example of how to play around with key levels especially concerning the historical significance of this kley level for USD/CHF which will require you to do some backtesting to see (the relevance of 1's backtesting played a factor into my confidence factor while executing). Support and resistance levels are one of the most important technical factors in trading. “Key levels” are certain prices for a currency pair which may support the price below the current market level or a price which may resist above the current market level. Support acts as a floor and resistance acts as a ceiling, both of which are “barriers of price.” Send me a PM for questions, or comment below. I'm happy to help those that are eager to learn how easy this market is to trade if you can see it in a certain detail.
by TayFx
13
Learn to discern institutional demand levels (Example)Is it true that the Forex Market is manipulated and controlled by a handful of banks and market makers? If so, how can we identify when they manipulate the forex markets and is it something that requires access to sophisticated tools and secret contacts? Well, let’s begin by getting a few facts straight. Firstly it is true that the forex markets are manipulated and while you don’t need any sophisticated tools or secret contacts to understand how this happens, identifying when it happens is not easy for the majority of retails traders. What most traders fail to appreciate is what the financial markets truly are and how to trade forex properly. The Forex markets is a place where buyers and sellers come together facilitated by brokers and market makers who look to profit by making a commission for each transaction. Just like any other market, buyers and sellers can only come together if there is a middleman facilitating the transaction. This middleman in the case of Forex is the market maker, and their job is simply to match buy and sell orders for the best price possible and earn the most commission that they can on each transaction. How forex works – Buyer & Seller Counterparties Every trade that is executed in the forex markets has to have a buyer and seller and when this takes place then we have a trade. This normally happens in a fraction of a second electronically but in essence, each time you enter a buy trade you are being matched with someone who is happy to enter a sell position and take the opposite side of your trade. If this doesn’t happen then there wouldn’t be a trade. Why is this so important? Because it highlights the problems that large banks have which small traders don’t. Any retail trader is able to place whatever position size they wish into the market without ever fearing slippage or bad fill. Granted slippage may take place during high impact news items such as central bank announcements but on the whole, most of the executed trades are done instantaneously. Now if you’re a retail trader trading 1 standard Lot then you won’t have any problems with being filled at the price you want. Imagine you’re trading 100 Lots or 500 Lots or 1000 lots, these are larger positions to put into the market at any one time and it’s much more difficult to find someone to take the other side of the trade at the exact price and the exact time that you want and therefore might not be filled at a great price. Well, what could you do in such a situation? You have one of three options: Option 1: You could either bite the bullet and get executed at whatever price you are able to get, the only problem here is that you won’t be getting the best price possible for your trade which eats into your profits. Option 2: You could wait for the price to get to the price level you want so that you get the best execution possible and buy or sell at a much more favorable price – this is great but what if the price doesn’t get to the level you want for you to execute your trade? You will either be forced to walk away without making a trade or be forced to take whatever price you can get if doing the trade is absolutely essential Option 3: You force the price to get to the level at which you want to transact by cleverly manipulating other smaller traders to push the market in the direction you want it to go. Once you get the price to the level you want then you can carry out your transaction. How can you do this? By taking massive positions and exercising your muscle. This is similar to when large companies and conglomerates bully smaller businesses out of the market through aggressive competition. Best Options… Which option do market makers and those with large orders take? Option 3. This is how manipulation works in simplicity. The big players who have the money to move the market in the direction they want, do so on a regular basis. What’s more, they have no option but to do this because unless they can manipulate the market then they won’t be able to execute their large orders. Think about it – what causes the price to move up? An imbalance of buy and sell orders such that there are more buy orders than sell orders which means there is more demand for that particular currency pair than there is supply. Conversely, what causes the price to fall – a larger build up of sell orders than buy orders such that supply outstrips demand thereby resulting in price falling. Now if a market maker comes into the market with a massive order to buy a currency, what will happen to the price? It will start to rise. This means that the market maker is bidding the price higher and so forcing himself to keep buying at higher and higher prices until their order is filled. This hardly sounds attractive or even smart for that matter as the market maker is in the business of maximizing their profits. So what is the alternative? The only alternative is to buy or sell in a hidden way without alerting all the other traders as to what is really happening. How does this take place? By buying into selling pressure or selling into buying pressure. In other words, what a market maker will do is do the opposite of what they intend to do in order to push the price to their desired level. What is a market maker? It is a financial intermediary set up with the sole purpose of matching buyers and sellers together to make a commission in the process. So let’s say a large European conglomerate wants to buy out a US company for $10 Billion. It can’t just go to a money exchange bureau or the bank to change that amount of money. Most likely it will go to a currency broker or a large bank who will complete the transaction by going into the money markets via their brokerage arm. Once the market maker receives the order for the transaction, their job is to convert the conglomerate’s money from Euro’s into USD. They will, therefore, be trading the EUR/USD pair and selling Euro’s and buying USD. Since this transaction of selling Euros and buying USD happens instantaneously, what the market maker needs to do is get the highest exchange rate they can for Euros to USD. The way they do this is very important as it affects the amount of commission they stand to make. In this example, it’s in the market maker’s interest to achieve the highest interest rate they can so they do this by driving the exchange rate higher first and then starting to sell the euros against this higher price. They continue to sell just as everyone else is fooled into thinking that price is going to continue higher until eventually they sell all the euros and convert into USD and complete the transaction. What happens now is that since the selling pressure has become stronger than the buying pressure, price starts to fall rapidly and everyone is left scrambling to get out of the trade once they find out that they are wrong. The reason people are left scrambling is that as a result of giving a false signal of the market starting to move up, the market maker manages to entice other traders to start buying heavily. Once the other traders find out that they were wrong in their assessment of market direction, then the main focus becomes to get out of their positions quickly. This is what we call the trap and it happens on a weekly basis in the Forex market.
by UnknownUnicorn3442968
2
$SHLDQ Soars to New Highs as it Gears up for a Massive RecoveryOne thing is known. SHLDQ Chairman Eddie Lampert and his Hedge Fund ESL held commons, and therefore voting rights. Owning 70%+/- is more than huge, no one could take over the company without their say so. To say that commons will not survive is somewhat ludicrous. Why would Lampert cut his own throat? Commons have voting rights and thus, he controls the company’s actions win or lose. So, bottom-line: 1) Commons are safe. a. They will be exchanged for NEWCO shares b. Should be on a 1-1 ratio, but who knows 2) 375+/- stores will be liquidated to pay down debt. 3) 425 Surviving stores will make up the “New” Sears 4) June POR to be released 5) Debtors will be paid as assets are sold off and revenue comes in This is jmho and how I see things evolving. Sure there can be and will be changes going along the way, but again, the hard part is done…Lampert and ESL survived the biggest holocaust they ever faced. 6) A Hedge Fund, Fairholme, owned by Bruce Berkowitz holds mount beneficially owned: Fairholme Capital Management, L.L.C.: 3,900,408 (3.6%) Bruce R. Berkowitz: 4,578,440 (4.2%) Fairholme Funds, Inc.: 2,774,489(2.5%) www.otcmarkets.com Other institutional shareholders: www.morningstar.com There are about 30 million public float. Here is a comparison study between WMI and SHC Bankruptcies: 1. Both Companies have hired Weil, Gotshal & Manges - experts in protecting the NOLs/ Tax Attributes and in Reorganizations. 2. Both Companies sold substantially all of their Assets in Bankruptcy. WMI sold its Bank WAMU to JPM and SHC just sold all of its Operating Stores to ESL. 3. Both Companies have/had significant NOLs. WMI had $ 7.5 B in NOLs and as of Feb 3, 2018 SHC had $ 5 B in NOLs with an additional $ 1.9 B in Losses in the 9 months following Feb 3, 2018. That would be $ 6.9 B in NOLs as of Nov 3, 2018. 4. In the WMI Bankruptcy over 90 % of the reorganized Common Stock were issued to the Preferred and Common Shareholders. After WMI was emerged from Bankruptcy as WMIH with the limited remaining Assets, the WMIH Stock traded in the .50 range and then eventually increased to about $4.00 5. $WMIH was eventually merged with $COOP to utilize $ 6 B in NOLs which is trading at $14.70 6. It is my opinion that it was the $ 7.5 B in NOLs that saved the WMI Preferred and Commons. And I think that the same event could happen with the SHLDQ Commons.
OTC:SHLDQLong
by StockGuild