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Interestrate

USD/CAD Outlook (26 October 2022)The USDCAD retraces from the recent high to trade at the 1.3660 support level. This move lower is driven by the weakness of the DXY and also respects the downward trendline. Tomorrow, the Bank of Canada is due to release its decision with regards to the interest rates. Markets are expecting an increase of 75bps to take the interest rate to a high of 4.00% The last interest rate hike on the 7th of September saw the USDCAD fall briefly. This is a likely scenario again, with the price likely to fall toward the 1.35 support level.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
US 10 Year Treasury Yield: What's Next?Quick Analysis on 10 Year Treasury Yield on a 1M Linear Chart. 1) The US 10 Year Treasury Yield has been respecting a falling channel for multiple decades going back to the 1980s. 2) It is currently headed to the top trendline of the channel with a possibility to break in the coming months. 3) The measured move of the falling channel would bring it back to Pre-2008 ranges. 4) This may fall in line with the US Dollar strengthening (in the idea section below). 5) If US 10 Year Treasury Yield goes lower, there is not much more room for it to get to 0. What are your opinions on this? If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
TVC:TNX
by MillionaireEconomics
17
US INTERESET RATE! FOMC STATEMENTHello guys! Let's talk about the US interest rate news that will be published tonight. I am not a good fundamentalist but I am a good chartist instead. That's why I put the US interest rate chart in the picture above. The above photo is the most data that has been published about interest rates so far. I see that around 1980 the interest rate went up to 20%. This figure is really strange for the American economy, isn't it? And for the economic crisis of 2008, raising it to 5%. The chart below is for the last 20 years. And the photo on the right is the analysts' forecast for the interest rate, that is, they predict that today the US interest rate will reach 2.5% and after that it will reach up to 3.5%. But if we look at the interest rate chart alone, it is reaching its downward trend line and I see a resistance in the lower time. Which do you think we should be assured? Chart or fundamental analysts?
TVC:DXY
by melikatrader94
1
DXY BUYFundamental: Overall I have a bullish bias for the DXY (USD), given the current recession, it being the federal reserve and the feds current hawkish. Inaddition this week news on the US interest rate will be released, forecasted to increase by 0.75 making the total interest rate at a massive 2.5%. Increasing the interest rate is often used a strategy to reduce inflation. Technical analysis: The white light represents the 50% retracement line, pirce has bounced between the 38 and 50% RL- Healthy pull back The greens lines show the bullish divergence on the rsi, where the price is making lower lows whilst the rsi is making higher lows. The current upsike on the chart has a HIGHER rsi reading then previous prices at similar or higher levels, showing bulls are increasing. The red box represents a resistance zone in which price was unable to breakthrough, if price manages to breakthrough the resistance zone and THEN find support above the resistance zone then a bullish trend (or bullish thesis) can be confirmed. Trades: The pairs I may trade against the dollar: GBPUSD, EURUSD, USDZAR Pairs I may be trade because of dollar bullishness: EURCAD, EURNZD, EURGBP
TVC:DXYLong
by tabbyfatcatx3
Interest rate ( DOLLAR )How high will the Federal Reserve ( FED ) raise interest rates? Here you can see how far. As you can see we still have a long way to go. We are on the verge of breaking a congestion of more than 40 years. The minimum rate hike will be up to 5 points. And that is at least, because we could revisit levels not seen since the 80s. We are in serious trouble, the economy of all citizens will suffer a lot. It is time to be cautious in the markets and not to make hasty decisions, as we may still have a long way to go before we see the end.
ECONOMICS:USINTRLong
by javieralcazarono
S&P500 against Bonds during Rate Hikes.This chart displays the ratio of S&P500 against the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF on the 1W time-frame. The green trend-line represents the Federal Funds Rate. The RSI on the pane below the chart, is illustrated on the 1M time-frame and based on the Channel Down it has been since May 2021, it resembles more the price action of late 2003/2004. Interestingly enough, it was in mid 2004 that the Fed Rate has started to rise following the stock market recovery from the DotCom crash. The Fibonacci Channel with the 0.236, 0.382, 05, 0.618, 0.786 retracement levels is applied on this ratio and since the stock market recovery from the 2007/08 Subprime Mortgage crisis, the Fib 0.618 band was the Resistance. Now it appears that we have moved a level higher on the 0.786 Fib. This model shows that there is no major crash ahead of us and most likely we will trade within those bands for a few years more before a bigger correction/ recession on the stock market. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SP:SPX
by TradingShot
5
Bonds Sell Off on Hawkish Fed MinutesBonds are back to hugging lows, after a brief attempt at higher levels. We found immediate resistance one level above at 121'00. Even the rally to that level encountered serious resistance at every step, confirmed by red triangles on the KRI. We are back to lows again at 120'14. The Kovach OBV is very bearish so we can expect an imminent breakdown to lower levels. Our next target is 119'23, which is significant as we will have given up the 120's all together.
CBOT:ZN1!Short
by quantguy
Part 1) Don't Fight The Fed with 30 Year Interest Rate Target.There's an apparent "reverse head & shoulders pattern" on the Monthly 30 Year Yield Chart. The implication of the broken neckline is a reversal of the previous downtrend. Dow theory teaches us that the minimum upside target is the depth of the neckline to the peak of the "head." I see potential resistance at the downward resistance trendline and then again at the previous swing high. If the trend breaks back below the neckline then the whole pattern is suspect. If the reversal is legit then we can suggest the time frame to reach the target would be the width of the "head & shoulders" along the neckline. In this instance the chart is suggesting we get to the price target in about three years give or take. Thoughts?
TVC:US30Y
by Breakout_Charts
US 10 Yr Treasury: Weekly Chart UpdateQuick Analysis on 10 Year Treasury Yield on a 1W Linear Chart. 1) The US 10 Year Treasury Yield has been respecting a falling channel for multiple decades going back to the 1980s. 2) It is currently headed to the top trendline of the channel with a possibility to break in the coming months. 3) The measured move of the falling channel would bring it back to Pre-2008 ranges. 4) This may fall in line with the US Dollar strengthening (in the idea section below). 5) If US 10 Year Treasury Yield goes lower, there is not much more room for it to get to 0. What are your opinions on this? If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
TVC:TNXLong
by MillionaireEconomics
4
GBPJPY - To break support?GBPJPY consolidating here at a noticeable 4 hour support/resistance zone. JPY appears strong this week and for that reason we may see a drop to the downside from the current consolidation area. By observing the daily timeframe I can also see price has broken the ascending trendline and is holding well beneath. I will be waiting to see how price action develops with this following the result of the Bank of England interest rate decision today, before considering an entry.
Short
by MMQ_FX
9
GBPUSD: possible long scenarioYesterday pound has weakened, after Bank of England governor Mark Carney suggested UK interest rates could soon be cut if the economy doesn't pick up speed. Sterling hit a two-week low and the price almost reached 1.30. Does it mean the uptrend is over and the market has already priced positive Brexit deal? If somebody is still looking for longs, buying from 1.29-1.30 zone and waiting for the target around 1.32-1.33 is decent from the R:R prospective. The market is moving sideways, but if looking on higher time frames GBPUSD is still in uptrend. We can start preparing for short scenarios after the price breaks below 1.29 level. // Follow me to stay updated with my ideas!)
Long
by GIgor_021
ORBEX: With US-China Done, All Eyes on Brexit Now!The US and China signed a partial deal yesterday, putting a temporary stop to global uncertainty! Without that being the end of the trade war, at least we can now wait and see if China respects the signed terms over the next few months... Are emerging markets affected by the fresh rhetoric since China is supported, or should we just focus on monetary policy, particularly in South Africa today? Market participants will now look at the EU and UK for a resolution on the Brexit front. Will the House of Lords prevent a January exit? And how will the EC react about an 11-month transition if they won't? Watch our analyses on euro-pound and the SA rand! Timestamp EURGBP 8H 02:15 USDZAR 8H 04:45 Trade safe Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
6