IP – Coiled Triangle with a $10 STORY to Tell?COINBASE:IPUSD / COINBASE:IPUSDC
We’ve got a clean symmetrical triangle forming post-initial listing volatility, and price is nearing the apex. Volume’s dropping off, just like you'd expect in the final stages of compression—classic pre-breakout behavior.
What caught my eye here is how this triangle lines up with a Fibonacci extension target up near $10. Yeah, sounds bold, but zoom out on a log chart and it actually looks pretty reasonable. The measured move from the initial impulse, paired with the triangle breakout structure, gives a clear path to that 1.618 extension level. Throw in the fact that the volume profile starts thinning out above $6, and there’s potential for a swift move if it catches a bid.
Triangle Compression and Breakout Setup
We’re in the late innings of this triangle consolidation. Lower highs, higher lows, volume fading—textbook stuff. If price can get through the $6 zone with conviction, the structure says we could see an aggressive breakout. If not, we’re probably looking at one more fakeout or shakeout before direction resolves.
Fibonacci Extension and Log Chart Math
Using Fib extensions on a log scale paints a pretty compelling picture. $10 sits right at the 161.8% extension off the initial run, and log charts smooth out the scale enough to show how that level isn’t just hopium—it’s structured speculation. The triangle adds context: this isn’t about chasing highs, it’s about waiting for the breakout confirmation from a pattern that’s been compressing for weeks.
Volume Profile and Context
VPVR shows strong acceptance around $5 and fading resistance above. If bulls can flip that region into support, the path to higher prices opens up fast. A breakout from this triangle above $6.25 or so, ideally on volume, could be the signal that this thing is ready to move.
Curious if anyone else is watching this chart. We’ve got a clear triangle, confluence with Fib levels, and log-scale structure supporting a much higher target. Could be a breakout worth watching—or just another consolidation that needs more time to cook.
Not financial advice. Just tracking setups, patterns, and potential. Let’s see if the STORY plays out.
