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Jade Lizard on PLTR - My 53DTE Summer Theta PlayMany of you — and yes, I see you in my DMs 😄 — are trading PLTR, whether using LEAPS, wheeling, or covered calls. I took a closer look. And guess what? 📈 After a strong move higher, PLTR was rejected right at the $143 call wall — pretty much all cumulative expiries cluster resistance there Using the GEX Profile indicator, scanning all expirations: After a brief dip, the market is repositioning bullish Squeeze zone extends up to 150 The most distant GEX level is sitting at 160 On the downside, 130 is firm support, with some presence even at 120 — the market isn’t pricing in much risk below that 📉 From a technical standpoint: We’re near all-time highs 125 (previous ATH) and 100 are key support levels The OTM delta curve through August is wide, and the call side is paying well — with a current call pricing skew 🔬 IVx is at 57, trending lower + call pricing skew📉 IV Rank isn't particularly high, but the directional IVx matters more here 💡 Summer Theta Play: Jade Lizard on PLTR Since I’ll be traveling this summer and don’t want to micromanage trades, I looked for something low-touch and high-confidence — and revisited an old favorite: the Jade Lizard. If you're not familiar with the strategy, I recommend checking out Tastytrade's links and videos on Jade Lizards. 🔹 Why this setup? Breakeven sits near $100, even with no management On TastyTrade margin:~$1800 initial margin ~$830 max profit 53 DTE — plenty of time for theta to work Earnings hit in August — I plan to close before then Covers all bullish GEX resistance zones Quickly turns profitable if IV doesn’t spike Highly adjustable if needed My conclusion: this strategy covers a much broader range than what the current GEX Profile shows across all expirations — so by my standards, I consider this to be a relatively lower-risk setup compared to most other symbols right now with similar theta strategies. 🔧 How would I adjust if needed? If price moves up: I’d roll the short put up to collect additional credit Hold the call vertical as long as the curve supports it If price drops: Transition into a put ratio spread Either extend or remove the call vertical depending on conditions 🛑 What’s the cut loss plan? I have about 20% wiggle room on the upside, so I’m not too worried — but if price rips through 160 quickly, I’ll have to consider early closure. If that happens, the decision depends on time: If late in the cycle with low DTE:→ Take a small loss & roll out to next month for credit If early with lots of DTE remaining:→ Consider converting to a butterfly, pushing out the call vertical for a small debit→ Offset this with credit from rolling the put upward As always — stay sharp, manage your risk, and may the profit be with you. See you next week!– Greg @ TanukiTrade
NASDAQ:PLTR
by TanukiTrade
2
06/02 Weekly GEX Analysis - 6000 Looks EasyThe biggest event last week was undoubtedly the court ruling involving Trump. The market responded with optimism, and on Thursday premarket, SPX surged toward the 6000 level — only to get instantly rejected. That strong rejection suggests this is a firm resistance zone. From the GEX expiry matrix, it's clear that the market is hedging upward for this week, but downward for next week. To me, this indicates that while the near-term GEX sentiment remains slightly bullish, the market may be preparing for a pullback or retest in the medium term. This week, SPX has already entered a GEX zone surrounded by positive strikes — up to around the 6000 level. That makes 6000 an “easy target” for bulls, and we’ll likely see profit-taking here, just like we did last Thursday premarket. ⚠️ However, if we look more closely at the weekly net open interest: ...we can see a strong bullish net OI build-up starting to emerge around the 6100 level — a price zone that currently feels distant and even unreachable. But if the 6000 resistance breaks, we could see a fast gamma-driven squeeze up to 6050 and possibly 6100 before the next wave of profit-taking kicks in. As is often the case during bullish moves, the market seems blind to the bigger picture — no one’s looking down, only up. The mood is greedy, and momentum favors the bulls... for now. Never underestimate FOMO — but also never underestimate Trump. He’s unlikely to accept the court’s decision on tariffs quietly. Any new negative headline could shake the market, no matter where price is sitting…
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2
04/28 Weekly GEX AnalysisDETAILED IMAGE: Here’s what the charts and indicators are showing right now until Friday. We are approaching a key breakout zone. 🐂 🟢 IF the market breaks above the white bearish daily trendline, the next bullish target could be between 5515–5680. 🟦 ⚖️ The chop area is between 5435–5515. Expect more back-and-forth moves here if the breakout fails. 🐻🔴 Watch out: if the price drops below 5435 or 5425, there’s little support left. This could trigger a sharp sell-off ("Bearish Armageddon" scenario). GEX profiles remain positive 🟢 across all near expirations — for now — suggesting that underlying support still exists, but we need to monitor any changes closely. IVRank is still relatively high (30.9), meaning options are priced with a decent amount of implied volatility. 🟢Short-term sentiment is currently bullish, with some speculative activity picking up. This suggests that traders are expecting less volatility over the next month compared to what we saw in the past week. However, if we look at institutional positions focused on longer-term expirations (especially beyond 30 days on SPX/AM maturities), the picture remains bearish 🔴 or at least highly volatile. These players are still strongly hedging against downside risks. This confirms the broader point: Even though price action managed to recover to pre-tariff-announcement levels — with very low trading volume — we’re not out of the woods yet. Until we can break and hold above the key resistance bearish trend with HIGH BUY VOLUME (aka. momentum), we shouldn't expect a strong, stable GEX profile across all expirations like we had in the past.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by TanukiTrade
[02/03] AAPL GEX Outlook for February expirationWhile iPhone sales faced some challenges, Apple’s diversified revenue streams and high-margin services business continue to showcase the company’s resilience. The stock initially reacted positively after earnings, but the broader market disagreed during open hours, leading to a sell-off on Friday. Now, let’s analyze the GEX chart together. For NASDAQ:AAPL , I’ve chosen the First Monthly Expiration (Febr 21), as multiple high gamma exposure expirations align with this date. Since we trade stocks and ETFs over a broader timeframe, rather than day trading, this is the most relevant perspective. Key GEX Levels & Market Implications 📌 Uncertainty Below 250 Friday’s sell-off and today’s premarket action have weakened the outlook. GAMMA FLIP ZONE: AAPL is currently in the 230-237.5 Transition Zone, meaning price action can shift quickly in either direction. 📌 Break Below 230? A move below 230 would open the door to 220. 📌 Put Support at 220 Implied volatility (IV) remains high, making this an attractive setup for a potential neutral post-earnings trade. With a 220-250 range, we remain well inside the OTM 16-delta zone for March expiration, which is ideal for premium selling strategies for high IV. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TanukiTrade
$BABA volatility pricing skew on CALL side before earningsThe high vertical CALL pricing skew on the options chain shows that the CALL options for the September expiration are already much more expensive than the PUT options at the same expected move distance. This suggests that market participants are pricing in an upward move. Let's take a closer look at the probability curve formed by the options chain. I'm very curious to see whether the 8/8 to +1/8 quadrant line will hold the price for BABA, or if it will continue to surge into the Upper Extreme quadrant, heading towards +4/8 until $100. If everything stays the same, something like this could be an interesting lottery ticket for me. I'm thinking about an OTM call butterfly with a short expiration before earnings. I have to admit, I’m not a big fan of risking on this red/black roulette type of play, but if things stay as they are, I might consider combining it with a 40 or 68DTE credit put ratio below and the call butterfly above before earnings. But we'll see how things look on the day before earnings!
NYSE:BABA
by TanukiTrade
$MSFT iron condor for 33% profit, 83% PoP #tradingHigh IVR, I'm not leaving money on the table. Max profit: $250 Probability of 50%Profit: 83% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $755 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 80 (ultra high for Microsoft) Expiry: 50 days SETUP: IC for $MSFT, because IVR ultra high, collecting 2.5cr * Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 290 Put * Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 300 Put * Sell 1 MSFT Jan21' 360 Call * Buy 1 MSFT Jan21' 370 Call SAFETY ZONES: : Prev. resistance could act as support at ~$306, prev.ATH could act as resistance at $338. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~$200. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.25db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TanukiTrade
$ARKF SHORT PUT for Jan21, high PoP 20% profit #ark #optionsAny kind of ETF naked PUTs are my favorite at high IVR. My choice for today: ARK Fintech Innovation ETF Reasons: - high reward for Jan21 monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit - RSI is already oversold - breakeven point is far - PUT strike at 0.618 fib Max profit: $210 Probability of Profit: 89% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20% Req. Buy Power: $1035 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 73 (very high) Expiry: 38 days SETUP : NAKED PUT for $ARKF, because IVR is high, for 0.7cr * Sell 3 $ARKF JAN21'35 PUT Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE. Take profit strategy : 70% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.2db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
CBOE:ARKFLong
by TanukiTrade
$DAL 16% Profit for 16 days? Not bad. #nakedput #daytradingDealta Airlines correction, playing out with naked put option. Reasons: - high reward for next monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit - breakeven point is far - RSI is oversold. Max profit: $92 Probability of 50%Profit: 78% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 16% Req. Buy Power: $558 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 96 (very high) Expiry: 16 days SETUP: NAKED PUT for $DAL, because IVR is high, for 0.92cr * Sell 1 DAL DEC17'32 PUT Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.46db Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:DALLong
by TanukiTrade
S&P500 Iron Condor 60% profit 76% PoP50, high IVR for #optionsI just can't resist the very high IVR for large ETFs, like SPY. My most common strategies these at corrections are the Iron Condors, neutral or negative delta. SAFETY ZONES: 200MA could act as support, ATH could act as resistance. Max profit: $375 Probability of 50%Profit: 76% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 60% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $625 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 49 (ultra high for S&P500) Expiry: 56 days SETUP : IC for , because IVR ultra high, for 3.75cr * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 420 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 430 Put * Buy 1 SPY Jan21' 480 Call * Sell 1 SPY Jan21' 490 Call SETUP: IC for SPY, because IVR ultra high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing out of the the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be ~150$. Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 1.88db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
88% PoP #ironcondor for $BABA in chinese crash #option #optionsChinese crash credit play, because of high IVRank. My Iron Condor Hunter script have signaled a safe entry here. REASONS: 1) Confirmed bear trend This is the safe playground of IC for credit. The backtested 3 years of bullish trend changed. 2) My automatic Iron Condor Hunter script My Iron Condor Hunter script gave a reliable signal to opening IC position. To subscibe for free trial of it: please follow and requeast access for free. Max profit: $188 Probability of 50%Profit: 88% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 23% Max loss with my risk management: ~$200 Req. Buy Power: $812 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 81 (very high) Expiry: 53 days Buy 1 BABA Sep17' 140 Put Sell 1 BABA Sep17' 150 Put Sell 1 BABA Sep17' 220 Call Buy 1 BABA Sep17' 230 Call Bearish IronCondor for 1.88cr, Tasty IVRank is extreme high (81 IVR). Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing OUTSIDE the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 100$. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto debit order for 0.66db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:BABAShort
by TanukiTrade
2
$SPY BULL short put spread 90% PoP, 20% profit #options #option After a beartrap switched back to bullish view with large ETF-s. First of all: SPY Max profit: $204 Probability for 50% of Profit: %90 Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20% Req. Buy Power: $996 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Expiry: 22 days Buy 3 SPY Jul16' 420 Put Sell 3 SPY Jul16' 416 Put Credit Put spread for 0.68cr each. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 350$. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.24db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
AMEX:SPYLong
by TanukiTrade
$TAL is oversold, bullish spread with 72% PoP 33% profit #optionLong time waiting for a pullback at this territory.... Today RSI breaking up, volume arrived, but IVR is still very high. Optimal for some credit put spread. Max profit: $250 Probability for 50% of Profit: 72% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33% Req. Buy Power: $750 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 80 Expiry: 22 days Sell 2 TAL Jul16' 22.5 Put Buy 2 TAL Jul16' 17.5 Put Credit Put spread for 1.25cr each Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.44db. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:TALLong
by TanukiTrade
1
$NKE 8% profit in one day with Iron Condor #nike #options$NKE 8% profit in one day with Iron Condor #nike #options 8% profit in one day at event? Let's see! Max profit: $45 Probability of Profit: %75 Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 8% Req. Buy Power: $554 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 24 Expiry: 1 days Buy 1 NKE Jun25' 120 Put Sell 1 NKE Jun25' 126 Put Sell 1 NKE Jun25' 145 Call Buy 1 NKE Jun25' 150 Call Iron Condor spread for 554cr, because IVR is relative high because event. If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:NKE
by TanukiTrade
Prepared for S&P500 correction with Buying PUT optionI've closed every other position, staying in cash and playing for SPX correction because: 1/ SP500 RSI falling down 2/ Strong trendline broken 3/ Selling Volume increased My strategy is simple: BUY SPY Jun30' 415 PUT for 3.85db, because VIX is realive low SIZING: only a little of my CAP is used for this binary play. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing ABOVE the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 50% of position. Take profit strategy: selling about ~38cr (x10). Of course I'll not wait until expiry...! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by TanukiTrade
2
$EDU short put vertical 73% PoP for credit at support$EDU short put vertical 73% PoP for credit at support New Oriental Education & Tech Group had a big move and a big correction. It's time to playing some bullish move. Weekly timeframe: Oversold on weeky and on daily too, sitting on the bullish trendline. Daily timeframe: Oversold too, bullish divergence. Playing short put vertical here, because IVR is relative high: 60. Max profit: $236 PoP50: 73% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 30% Max loss with my risk management: ~$150 Req. Buy Power: $764 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 60 (relative high) Expiry: 24 days Buy 4 EDU Jul16' 5 PUT Sell 4 EDU Jul16' 7.5 PUT Short put spread for 0.6cr each, because IVR is relative high. COMMENT: Because of very low RSI and daily divergence it could be a good choice into my investment bag/portfolio too. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 150$. Probability of loss in this way: ~27% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.20db. Probability of profit this way: ~73%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NYSE:EDULong
by TanukiTrade
$IVR - Quick High Risk TradePersonally, I am very concerned with what will happen in the real estate market come July when people are expected to start being foreclosed on... Due to COVID this has been delayed for months... It could keep being delayed, but I have been hearing July is when it will start. This is what makes this trade HIGH RISK. Based on my TA I have given trend lines, entry points, and the highest price target I see in the next 2 months. This is a short term swing trade, not a long hold, IMO.
NYSE:IVRLong
by ObiWanJacoby93
COINBASE 72% PoP 30% Profit with short put vertical strategy TA at 1HR TF (because this stock is new, no daily history) Quick Coinbase play at high IVR, reasons: - trend changed: higher high , lower lows - divergence at bottom - my strike is last bottom as support- $260 - I have very plenty safety zone - Buying power arrieved as volume Max profit: $220 Probability of Profit: 72% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 28% Max loss with my risk management: ~$290 Req. Buy Power: $780 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 93 (ultra high) Expiry: 38 days Buy 1 COIN Jun18' 250 Put Sell 1 COIN Jun18' 260 Put Credit Put spread for 2.2cr, because IVR is very high. Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 290$. Probability of loss in this way: ~10% . Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.77db. Probability of profit this way: ~90%. Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case! If you liked this article, check my other ideas. Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
NASDAQ:COINLong
by TanukiTrade