BTC 4H Structure Break – Long Bias with Conditions🚀 BTC (Bitcoin) has clearly broken bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe.
📈 My bias is to ride the momentum and look for a pullback to enter long.
✅ I follow a specific entry criteria — price must pull back into the imbalance, find support, and then form a bullish break of structure on a 15m chart to trigger an entry.
❌ If that setup doesn't play out, we simply abandon the idea.
⚠️ This is not financial advice.
J-BTC
BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook 20/07/2025📈 BTC Weekly Recap & Outlook
Market Context:
Price continued its bullish momentum, fueled by institutional demand and supportive U.S. policy outlook.
We captured solid profits by following the game plan I shared earlier (see linked chart below).
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ BTC made a strong bullish move, breaking into new all-time highs.
📊 The daily RSI entered overbought territory, which signaled the potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation.
Currently, price is ranging, and RSI is cooling off. That tells me the market is likely building energy for the next leg up — but not before a significant liquidity run.
🎯 Game Plan
I'm watching for one of two potential setups:
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweep to the Downside
- A run of the daily swing low
- Into the most discounted range (0.75 Fib zone)
OR
2️⃣ Tap into the Weekly FVG Zone (marked with the purple line)
Either move would create the liquidity and energy needed to fuel a breakout above the equal highs (EQHs) marked by the black line.
🚀 Target
First Target: EQHs (Black Line)
Second Target: Price Discovery (new ATHs)
💬 Let me know your thoughts or drop your own chart ideas below!
📌 Follow for Weekly Recaps & Game Plans
If you found this useful, make sure to follow for weekly BTC updates, market outlooks, and detailed trade plans based on structure and liquidity.
The Oracle Singularity: CHAINLINK is Inevitable or Cooked?How many marines are tracking this ascending channel?
How many are watching this Fibonacci time sequence unfold?
How many are following the mirrored bar fractal that might just be a crystal ball into the future?
Today you get all three in one TA. The value here is absurdly high . Even though I offloaded most of my LINK a while back it continues to act like a compass for future macro crypto moves.
You really need to look at the TA to understand what I mean
Now look at this
The deviation in the LINK bar pattern seems to be reaching its conclusion around mid October 2025 and if you’ve seen my last Bitcoin TA you know I’ve been targeting that same mid October 2025 window for a potential BTC top. That’s a serious timeline confluence.
But here's the twist
The main chart projects a $200 LINK by April 2026. If that plays out then I have to entertain the possibility that this cycle extends past my original thesis and that my Bitcoin top call may come in earlier than Chainlink's final move.
If Bitcoin does in fact top in mid October then LINK likely won’t have the legs to hit those upper targets.
Back in 2021 when LINK was trading at a similar price it only took 119 days to reach $50 that would put us at November 2025 for a repeat. Something doesn’t quite add up
Now check the main chart again
This Fibonacci time sequence is liquid gold. It’s nailed major tops and bottoms for years (see the blue circles). Every major move has hit right on time except for the 3.618 in October 2022 which was a rare miss.
But here's the kicker
There’s no Fib time event between October and December 2025. The next ones are in August 2025 and then April 2026
So is LINK trying to tell us the cycle extends into 2026?
Maybe. All I’ll say is this
If the cycle doesn’t extend into 2026 then LINK IS COOKED
BTC/USD Short-Term🔷 Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle (Consolidation)
The price is inside the triangle formation (orange lines) and is approaching its completion.
An impending breakout (up or down) is highly probable within the next few hours.
📉 Support Levels (red lines):
117.210 – local horizontal support.
116.324 – 115.050 – strong demand zone (potential target in the event of a downward breakout).
📈 Resistance Levels (green lines):
118.900 – 119.700 – local resistance zone.
121.011 – 121.813 – higher target in the event of an upward breakout from the triangle.
📊 Technical indicators:
✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently: 69.05 – close to overbought levels, but not yet at an extreme.
Potential for a short-term pullback unless a strong breakout occurs.
✅ MACD:
Signal lines are tightly intertwined, histogram flat → no dominant momentum.
Waiting for a breakout signal (bullish or bearish crossover).
✅ SMA:
Price currently below the 50 and 200 SMA for 1 hour → slight downward momentum.
The 50-SMA (red) is turning down, which may signal a continuation of the sideways or downward trend.
📌 Short-term conclusions (1–6 hours):
Scenario 1: Bullish breakout:
Confirmation: H1 candle close above 118,900.
Targets: 119,700 and potentially 121,000–121,800.
Scenario 2: Bearish breakout:
Confirmation: H1 candle close below 117,200.
Targets: 116,300, then 115,000–115,300.
📍 Watch for:
Breakout of the triangle boundaries with volume.
RSI behavior relative to the 70 level.
MACD crossover and histogram.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will rebound from trend line and rise to $123KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see a very clear and long-term bullish structure. The entire uptrend is supported by a major ascending trend line that has acted as a reliable foundation for the price for a significant amount of time. Currently, the price is consolidating above this crucial trend line and is interacting with the key support zone between 117500 and 116700 points. I believe that the most probable scenario here is a brief corrective move downwards for the price to properly retest the main ascending trend line. This type of retest is often a healthy sign in a strong trend, as it allows for the confirmation of support and gathers momentum for the next leg up. A strong rebound from this trend line would serve as a powerful signal that the buyers are still in control. Therefore, once the price confirms its bounce from this dynamic support, the path should be clear for a continuation of the uptrend. For this reason, my primary goal for this trade idea is set at the 123000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin: Genius is on the scene The U.S. House passed the Genius Act on July 17, following Senate approval in June. The bill sets comprehensive federal standards for stablecoins, clearing the way for banks and fintechs to issue them under clear reserve and audit rules. This represents a new milestone for the crypto market, and its leading coin - BTC. During the week, BTC managed to hold steady above the $118K. On Tuesday, there has been one attempt to push the price toward the $116, however, the price swiftly returned to the previous grounds. The highest weekly level reached was at $122,8K, reached on Monday, however, this level was also unsustainable. The majority of trades during the week were around $118,5K.
The RSI modestly moved from the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 65. This could be an indication of a forthcoming price reversal, however, considering strong demand for BTC, such a move could be easily postponed. The MA50 started again to diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross of two lines in the coming period.
BTC managed to hold levels above the $118K, which is an indication that investors are still not ready to sell in higher volumes, in order to take profits. The RSI is indicating potential for a short reversal, however, in the current circumstances, it might be postponed. A move toward the higher grounds is also quite possible, especially taking into account BTCs recent push toward the $122K. At this moment charts are pointing to equal probabilities for a move toward both sides. On one hand, the $116K support was indicated through price during the previous week, as well as the $122K. The start of the week ahead will determine which side will prevail in the week ahead.
Btc triangle burst |. Bullish This chart shows a 15-minute timeframe analysis for BTC/USD (Bitcoin/US Dollar) using Elliott Wave .
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📊 Chart Summary:
Wave Structure:
Labeled with corrective wave A–B–C, indicating the end of a corrective pattern.
Price is currently in the potential reversal zone near Wave B, suggesting a bullish move toward Wave C completion.
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✅ Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around current price levels (≈117,889.74)
Stop Loss (SL): 117,440.13 (marked in red)
Target (TP): 119,818.29 (marked in green)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approx. 1:4, a favorable trade setup
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🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Bullish Projection: A large green zone indicating strong bullish momentum if Wave C plays out.
Invalidation Zone: Price falling below 117,440.13 would invalidate the bullish count.
Volume Marker: Small thunderbolt symbol at the bottom could imply a volume spike or a critical event time.
Chart Title: Published under Greenfireforex branding, timestamped Jul 20, 2025, likely indicating a public or private analysis post.
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📌 Possible Interpretation:
This chart suggests a buy opportunity for BTCUSD if price respects the bottom zone (117,440) and begins to climb toward the projected target (119,818). It uses wave theory logic assuming this is a Wave C rally, and price has completed a corrective move.
I'm ready to answer in comments session
Bitcoin is still bullish (4H)Bitcoin appears to be in a dual bullish structure, currently in the second bullish phase following wave X.
Considering the expansive nature of the correction in the second pattern, it seems we are within an expanding triangle or a diametric structure.
Based on the duration of wave C, it appears that the bullish wave of the second structure is not yet complete.
We expect such fluctuations for Bitcoin in the coming period.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Dominance Rebound???🧭 Market Outlook
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) remains in an uptrend channel → investors still favoring CRYPTOCAP:BTC over alts.
📉 From Jun 28 to Jul 18, BTC.D dropped -7%, fueling a solid rally in ETH & alts.
⚠️ BTC.D may bounce back if it fails to break the key support (breakdown line/golden circle). Next resistance zone: 70.48%–73.82%. If this plays out → alts may lag during BTC pumps & dump harder on corrections.
🌊 Altseason only if BTC.D breaks down decisively.
But not all alts will fly. Be selective — don’t go all-in on a single coin. 🧠
HelenP. I Bitcoin will correct to trend line and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The price has been trading in a strong bullish structure, clearly respecting the ascending trend line since the rebound from the 107500 level. Each time the price touched the trend line, it formed a higher low and continued the upward movement. After breaking through the important Support 1 zone (115500–116500), BTC made a strong impulse upward and reached a local high above 122000 points. Currently, the price is making a pullback and moving closer to the trend line again. This area has previously acted as a major point of interest for buyers, and now it's expected to play a key role once more. The support zone and trend line are converging, which makes this level critical for the next move. I believe BTCUSD will bounce from this area and continue its bullish momentum. My goal is set at 123000 points. Given the market structure, higher lows, and strong reaction from the support zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth from current levels. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
When This Support Breaks, Altcoin Season Becomes Official!Trading Fam,
We have many signs that altcoin season is almost upon us. Solana is breaking important resistance. Eth is nearing its target (both of these posts can be found below). But the most important indicator imo can be found on our BTC.D chart. Dominance has now reached an important support. I was kind of expecting a bounce here. And it still could bounce. But if it doesn't, then I feel like I can officially state that we will be in altcoin season for the rest of the year. Here's what you should be watching. If the body of that daily candle closes below our support today and then a new one opens and also closes below the support, its a wrap.
Let's go!
✌️Stew
BTC/USD – TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT LOADING
We’re coiling up like a spring 🌀 inside this textbook triangle structure — and the breakout is about to go BOOM.
👀 Watch the (E) Wave closely. This is where smart money traps the late sellers.
Once price taps the 117.4K zone, expect a sharp reversal up.
🎯 Target: 121,192
📍 Entry: 117,426
❌ Stop Loss: 116,594
💡 Logic: Classic Elliott Wave triangle → ABCDE complete → final breakout wave incoming.
This setup is cleaner than a fresh fade. Don’t sleep on it 😴
🧠 PATIENCE = POWER
Let the market show its hand — then snipe your entry. 🎯
🕒 Timeframe: 30M
⚙️ Strategy: Elliott Triangle + Breakout Play
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21/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $123,220.24
Last weeks low: $115,718.15
Midpoint: $119,469.19
New BTC ($123,220) & SPX ($6,315) ATH last week! We're really seeing progress being made on all fronts now, bitcoin saw its sixth week of net inflows into BTC ETFs ($2.39B).
The week began strong hitting the new ATH very early and then settled into a tight range to cool off. Altcoins however surged in relation to BTC to break out of HTF downtrends and begin to make up lost ground. One of the beneficiary's of this price movement has been ETH, breaking out from a multi year downtrend against BTC and hitting $3,800 in its USD pair.
For this week I do expect much of the same for BTC as momentum is with altcoins for now. However, as those altcoins reach HTF resistance levels it becomes very important for Bitcoins chop to be accumulation for the next leg up and not distribution for the way down. With so few pullbacks the threat of a sudden correction is present but the probability drops should BTC look to press higher with strong demand.
The ECB Interest rate decision takes place on Thursday but no changes to the 2.15% rate is forecast. In terms of news there are no planned upsets that I can see.
Good luck this week everybody!
#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025
Bitcoin isn’t moving in a textbook symmetrical triangle, but it’s trading in a similar, tight range, mostly bouncing around the highlighted box area in the chart. It’s attempting a new impulsive leg, but $120,000 remains a key resistance level, having rejected price several times already.
As long as $116,500 holds, there's no major risk for Long bias. However, considering the triangle-like structure, the short-term upside is limited to about 2% for now.
A breakout above the upper edge of this structure, particularly if $123,200 is broken with strong volume — would justify a Long position. Until then, I don’t plan on entering any trades.
The last corrective move has completed, and my next major upside target is $127,900. If further correction occurs, watch for potential support around $115,000, $113,000, and the strong base at $112,000 — though I don’t expect price to fall that low.
LTC/USD LITECOIN Adam & Eve Pattern On WeeklyThe Adam and Eve pattern is quite effective and usually signals a trend change to bullish. Once this pattern breaks the neckline I think its straight to $200 before any sort of pullback.
Haven't done a chart in a while cause its been the same old stuff, sideways. We are starting to ignite now. Silver is running which means something is breaking in the background financial system. I see the biggest blow off top you've ever seen coming, its the only way out of this, print print print until it doesn't work anymore.
Also I was reading that Bitcoin is removing its cap for spam in each block in October? This could spell disaster for fees and congestion. Litecoin will skyrocket during that time I believe because the fees will be so high it will price out the little guy trying to send a grand or two. I see an influx of people coming to Litecoin. Good luck , none of this is financial advice just my opinion
Bitcoin Interesting Fractal And Timing! GOING STRAIGHT UP!I noticed that the timing and pattern of how this is playing out in 2025 in Bitcoin is very similar to that of 2017. This fractal is not identical but its damn close. In 2017 there were approximately 15 million people in crypto, very few leverage exchanges, and trading was no where near what it is today. Now we have exchanges everywhere, hundreds of them most with leverage which we didn't really have before. Also not to mention that now we have big players getting in and they aren't buying and selling on the daily, they are buying it all and holding it, hence why we aren't seeing the typical "Alt season". The sloshing effect we had in the early days when traders would rotate out of Bitcoin into alts is not happening as it used to.
In 2017 Trump took office and in the end of March the bull run started in full swing. Something very similar is also happening now that we are in March and these fractals are lining up. Let see how this plays out. I think we are on the cusp of a giant mega bull run like you've seen before.
Crypto traders last year made mega profits cashing out multiple billions in capital gains. Once the selling stops around the end of March and beginning of April from people selling to pay taxes I think its on. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion. Lets see how this chart ages. Thank you for reading.
BTC Double QML Setup: Is Another Drop Loading?Hello guys!
Do you remember the last analysis?
Now this BTC chart shows a textbook example of two consecutive QML (Quasimodo Level) patterns forming (QML1 and QML2), each confirmed by clean engulfed lows.
QML1 caused a strong drop after the high was broken and a new low formed.
Price retraced and created QML2, again with a confirmed engulfed low (engulfed2).
We're now likely to see a reaction at the QML2 supply zone.
If price respects this second QML zone, we could see another bearish move toward the 116k zone, possibly lower.