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ETHUSD: Double Top into A Bearish 5-0 Breakdown (Extended)Updated Commentary: ETH has extended a bit further than projected as the Pattern Completed at the 0.618 but ETH gapped into the 0.786 instead. The gap up aligned with an upside gap fill on the CME futures as well as a gap fill on the grayscale ETH futures ETF $ETHE. The easier move from here to simply add to the ETH shorts and adjust the stop to be above the previous highs while sizing up at the 0.786 and playing off this gap higher as an anomaly. Beyond this, my view on ETH at the current 0.786 retrace remains the same as the original Idea posted as ETH rose into the initial 0.618 PCZ the details of which I will also include once again below as it still remains relevant. ETH for the last 5 years has been developing a Double Topping pattern which has put in a series of lower highs during the most recent 2nd run up. As we've confirmed these lower highs we've broken down below trendline and are finding resistance at the trendline which happens to have confluence with the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 wave formation near a 0.786 retrace. As we begin to find weakness and Bearish price action begins I suspect price will make it's way towards the neckline of the double top aligning with the $880 price level if ETH breaks below that level there will be no significant support until it reaches the all-time 0.382 retrace down at around $92.10. In short it seems ETH is in the early stages of a macro breakdown which could result in value declines greater than 80%. I also suspect that we will see many of the assets that ran up significantly going into this week to sharply reverse those run-ups as this week comes to a close and the new week begins mainly due to the effects of OpEx, this includes: Bitcoin, MSTR, SOL, XLC, META, and BTBT. Long-dated Put accumulation on these assets at these levels is far easier to manage than naked short positions and that's how I will go about positioning here.
INDEX:ETHUSDShort
by RizeSenpai
Need a trading strategy to avoid FOMO Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- 1D chart is the standard chart for all time frame charts. In other words, if you trade according to the trend of the 1D chart, you can make profits while minimizing losses. This can also be seen from the fact that most indicators are created based on the 1D chart. In that sense, the M-Signal indicators of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are suitable indicators for confirming trends. If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue in the medium to long term, so it is recommended to take note of this advantage especially when trading spot. The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart shows the medium-term and short-term trends. The M-Signal indicator uses the MACD indicator formula, but it can be seen as a price moving average. You can trade with just the price moving average, but it is difficult to select support and resistance points, and it is not very useful in actual trading because it cannot cope with volatility. However, it is a useful indicator when analyzing charts or checking general trends. Therefore, what we can know with the M-Signal indicator (price moving average) is the interrelationship between the M-Signal indicators. You can predict the trend by checking how far apart and close the M-Signal indicators are, and then checking the direction. - If you have confirmed the trend with the M-Signal indicator, you need support and resistance points for actual trading. Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. The order of the roles of support and resistance points is 1M > 1W > 1D charts. However, the strength of the role of support and resistance points can be seen depending on how long the horizontal line is. Usually, in order to perform the role of support and resistance points, at least 3 candles or more form a horizontal line. Therefore, caution is required when trading when the number of candles is less than 3. The indicators created considering this point are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and indicate when the Heikin-Ashi candle turns upward or downward. Therefore, the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that there is a high possibility of an upward turn. In other words, if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is a time to buy. However, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this. The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn. In other words, if there is resistance from the HA-High indicator, it is a time to sell. However, if it rises from the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward turn, so you should also consider a countermeasure for this. This is where a dilemma arises. What I mean is that the fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, so you know that there is a high possibility of a downward turn, but if it receives support and rises, you think that you can make a large profit through a stepwise upward turn, so you fall into a dilemma. This is caused by greed that arises from falling into FOMO due to price volatility. The actual purchase time should have been when it showed support near the HA-Low indicator, but when it showed a downward turn, it ended up suffering a large loss due to the psychology of wanting to buy, which became the trigger for leaving the investment. Therefore, if you failed to buy at the purchase time, you should also know how to wait until the purchase time comes. - It seems that you can trade depending on whether the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are supported, but the task of checking whether it is supported is quite difficult and tiring. Therefore, to complement the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, the DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators were added. The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end of the low point. Therefore, if it shows support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is the purchase time. If it falls below the DOM(-60) indicator, it means that a stepwise downtrend is likely to begin. The DOM(60) indicator indicates the end of the high point. Therefore, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it means that a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin. If it is resisted and falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely that a downtrend will begin. With this, the basic trading strategy is complete. This is the basic trading strategy of buying when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and selling when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. For this, the trading method must adopt a split trading method. Although not necessarily, if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it will show a sharp decline, and if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it will show a sharp rise. Due to this volatility, psychological turmoil causes people to start trading based on the price, which increases their distrust in the investment market and eventually leads them to leave the investment market. - When looking at the movement of the 1D chart, it can be seen that it is not possible to proceed with trading at the moment because it is already showing a stepwise upward trend. However, since there is a SHORT position in futures trading, trading is possible at any time. In any case, it is difficult to select a time to buy because the 1D chart shows a stepwise upward trend. However, looking at the time frame chart below the 1D chart can help you select a time to buy. The basic trading strategy is always the same. Buy when it rises in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and sell when it falls in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. Currently, since the 1D chart is continuing a stepwise upward trend, the main position is to eventually proceed with a long position. Therefore, if possible, you should focus on finding the right time to buy. However, if it falls below the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart, the possibility of a downtrend increases, so at that time, you should focus on finding the right time to sell. In other words, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1D chart is generated at the 115845.8 point, you should think of different response methods depending on whether the price is above or below the 115845.8 point. Therefore, when trading futures, increase the investment ratio when trading with the main position (a position that matches the trend of the 1D chart), and decrease the investment ratio when trading with the secondary position (a position that is different from the trend of the 1D chart) and respond quickly and quickly. When trading in the spot market, you have no choice but to trade in the direction of the 1D chart trend, so you should buy and then sell in installments whenever it shows signs of turning downward to secure profits. In other words, buy near the HA-Low indicator on the 30m chart, and if the price rises and the HA-High indicator is created, sell in installments near that area. - You should determine your trading strategy, trading method, and profit realization method by considering these interrelationships, and then trade mechanically accordingly. If you trade only with fragmentary movements, you will likely end up suffering losses. This is because you do not cut your losses. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Comparing BTC 2024 with ETH 2025 - Perfect Match- If compare the chart pattern of BTC from 2024 with the current 2025 ETH pattern, wee see exactly similar chart patterns being formed here. - Price started consolidating then it had fake breakout towards both the sides and finally the real breakout. - BTC breakout push the price towards the new all time high above 69K, if we ETH follows similar trend then we can expect new all time high on ETH. Let's see how it plays out. Stay tuned for more updates. Cheers GreenCrypto
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
Bitcoin may exit of pennant and then rebound up of support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was moving inside an upward channel, respecting both the resistance and support boundaries. After reaching the buyer zone (110200–109500 points), BTC made a strong impulse up, breaking out of the channel and entering a new phase of growth. This breakout led to the formation of a bullish pennant, which often signals a continuation of the uptrend. Right now, the price is testing the support area between 117000 and 117800, which previously acted as a breakout zone and now serves as a current support level (117000). The structure shows that this level has already worked as a rebound zone multiple times. In my opinion, BTC may continue the correction toward this support area, potentially exiting the pennant to the downside for a short-term pull-back. After that, I expect a new upward movement, targeting the next local high. That’s why I set my TP at 122500 points, which is just below the recent ATH. Given the impulse move, strong support zone, breakout from the channel, and the bullish pennant pattern, I remain bullish and expect BTC to resume its upward trend soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
17
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is: What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here? Let’s dive into the technicals. 🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure May–June Range: BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C: ✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE) ✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE) Full Bull Market TBFE: ➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected ➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone Pitchfork (log scale): ➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting. Previous Bear Market Fib Extension: ➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit. 2018–2022 Cycle TBFE: ➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped. Macro Fibonacci Channel: ➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) → 1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K. ✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance. Daily Timeframe ➡️ FVG / Imbalance: Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low. BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely. Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting. The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C. ➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K ➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326 ➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup: Entry: $120,300–$121,000 Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300) Target: $113,500 R:R ≈ 1:2.3 🟢 Long Setup: Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000 Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500) Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation. 🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools. Here’s why: ➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings. ➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves. ➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone. In short: When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry. That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes. ⚡ Final Thoughts Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
4
Market Trends from 2020 to 2025How Bitcoin, NASDAQ, Gold, and Silver Really Performed Since 2020 It’s been a wild few years in the markets. From early 2020 to mid-2025, investors have had to navigate uncertainty, changing interest rates, tech booms, and the rise of digital assets. Looking back, it’s clear that some assets took off while others just quietly held their ground. So, what happened if you had invested in Bitcoin, the NASDAQ, gold, or silver five years ago? Bitcoin (BTC): +1,297.87% No surprise here. Bitcoin absolutely stole the show. Despite all the ups and downs (and there were plenty), BTC ended up with nearly 1,300% gains. It had a huge surge in late 2020 and 2021, crashed hard, and then climbed even higher starting in 2023. This kind of return doesn’t come without risk. Bitcoin was by far the most volatile of the group. But for those who held on, the reward was massive. It also marked a big shift in how people think about money and investing. "Crypto is no longer just a fringe idea." NASDAQ: +175.26% Tech stocks had a strong run, too. The NASDAQ gained around 175%, driven by innovation, digital expansion, and eventually, the AI boom. While there were some bumps along the way (especially when interest rates went up), the general trend was up and to the right. Unlike Bitcoin, the NASDAQ was more predictable, less explosive. Gold: +127.39% Gold did what gold usually does. It held its value and slowly moved higher. Over five years, it returned about 127%, which is pretty solid for a “safe haven” asset. It didn’t grab headlines like crypto or tech stocks, but it stayed reliable through the chaos. Silver: +124.50% Silver had a similar story to gold, but with a bit more fluctuation. It benefited from both investor demand and industrial use, and it ended up with just over 124% in gains. Not bad for a metal that often gets overshadowed by its shinier cousin ;). What It All Means If you were in Bitcoin, you saw huge gains, but also had to stomach major volatility. Tech investors did well too, especially those who stayed in through the dips. Meanwhile, gold and silver offered steadier, more defensive returns. One big takeaway: the investment landscape is changing. Traditional assets still matter, but new ones like crypto are reshaping what portfolios can look like. In the end, it’s about balancing risk and reward! and figuring out what kind of investor you are.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
12
Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%. Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market. It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point. The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern. Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements. The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%. At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A. From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A. Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern. Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
5
BITCOIN Should we still trust the Stock to Flow model??It sure worked perfectly during Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) first Cycles, but the Stock-to-Flow model has greatly diverged from the current price action since March 2024. Right now the model sits at around $750000, which is vastly above the current market price of $119000. It's been trading sideways actually since June 2024 and all of the times that it was ranging, Bitcoin eventually caught up and closed the gap. It has always been a 'story' of divergence and convergence but it sure seems unrealistic to catch up this time, especially during if this Cycle continues to follow the 4-year model. So what do you think? Should we still trust what seems more and more like an 'obsolete' model as mass adoption kicks in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
BTC Bottom & New ATH..... when ?!!! Hello Guys There are some notes of BTC weekly Chart: 1. We have a new ATH every 4 years ( 1428-1477 ) days.. 2. After the ATH we take about ( 52-59 ) weeks to make a new bottom then we go up a little ... 3. Every time we reach a new ATH we drop down in a same angle (-55) before the new bull run starting .... look at my chart ( Red angles and curves ): ****** We dropped from ATH 2013 to Bottom 2015 by an angle ( -55 ) . ****** We dropped from ATH 2017 to Bottom 2018 by an angle ( -55 ) . ****** Same (24 July 2019) we dropped from local top to the local bottom by Angle ( -56 ) . ****** Will we drop from ATH 2021 to Bottom (2022 - 2023) by the same angle ( -55 or -56 )?? 4. In my opinion , I expect we will reach the final bottom between ( 26 December 2022 : 6 march 2023 ). 5. I don't care what will be the price of BTC then , but I care only for when will be the possible bottom !!. But if we can try to expect the price it will be in a range of ( 11900 : 9000$) ... Note:( 10K - 10500$) is very very strong demand area for BTC . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Finally , I think the new ATH will not be before Nov 2025 ( 150k $ ). It is not a financial advice , I am only share my thoughts with u :) Thank u and good luck.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by KarimMohsen
8
Support and resistance zones: 115854.56-116868.0 Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This decline created a new trend line. This added a period of volatility around July 31st. If the HA-High indicator is generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around that point. If it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a downward trend. Therefore, it is necessary to look at which support and resistance points the price is maintained at as it passes the volatility period around July 18 (July 17-19). - Since the StochRSI 80 indicator is formed at the 116868.0 point, it is important to be able to maintain the price above 116868.0 if possible. Therefore, assuming that the HA-High indicator will be generated at the 115854.56 point, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0. Next, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising above 116696.20, we need to check if it is supported by the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or around 116696.21. - So far, we have talked about how to maintain an upward trend by breaking through a certain point or section. That is, - The K of the StochRSI indicator should be below the overbought section and should show an upward trend with K > D. - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be above the 0 point.) - The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show an upward trend. (If possible, it should be maintained by rising above the High Line.) I said that when the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the upward trend will continue. On the other hand, in order to change to a downward trend, - The DOM (60) indicator should be created and show resistance near the DOM (60) indicator. - When the HA-High indicator is generated, it should show resistance near the HA-High indicator. - When the K of the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone, it should switch to a state where K < D and show a downward trend. (However, caution is required as volatility may occur when K reaches around the 50 point.) - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator should show a downward trend. (If possible, it is better if it is located below the 0 point.) - The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel should show a downward trend. (However, it should show a downward trend in the state where OBV < OBV EMA is present.) When the above conditions are satisfied, there is a high possibility of a downward trend. Among these, the most intuitive thing to know is whether the DOM (60) indicator and the HA-High indicator are generated. This is because, in order to first switch to a downward trend, a signal that the current price position is a high point must appear. The DOM(60) indicator is an indicator that indicates the end of the high point. Therefore, if the DOM(60) indicator is generated, it is likely to be a high point. However, since it can be supported and rise near the HA-High indicator, you should check whether there is support in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and respond accordingly. The HA-High indicator is an indicator created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart, and if it falls below the HA-High indicator, it is likely to be a point where a downtrend will begin. - Since the same principle applies to any time frame chart you trade, it is easier to understand the chart and determine the timing of the start and end of the transaction. However, the basic trading method must be a split trading method. The reason is that if it rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend. This basic trading method, that is, buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator, will eventually make you familiar with day trading, which will have an effective influence on finding a buying point when making mid- to long-term investments. It is wrong to say that you are good at mid- to long-term investments when you are not good at day trading. You were just lucky. Unfortunately, this kind of luck cannot last. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto