The Dollar Index has reversed upward.Hey everyone!
Looks like a solid entry for a DXY long and a good time to start ditching EUR and Gold (yes, I do think gold is heading down).
On the daily chart, we can see that we've completed five waves down and are now forming a reversal.
EUR/USD and GOLD/USD have already started reacting, Index Dollar (DXY) hitting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Now the climb begins, with the first target around 125 for the Dollar Index.
The potential peak?
144, though we’ll likely see corrections along the way.
Buckle up—volatile times ahead... 🧐🧐🧐
J-DXY
DXY in 1 H timeframeDXY Analysis on RTM Style
Here’s an analysis of the **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1H timeframe** based on the **RTM (Read The Market) style** and your drawn arrows:
Previous Trend & Break of Structure (BoS)**
- The market has been in a strong downtrend, forming **Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH)**.
- After breaking the **105.485 level (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)**, the bearish momentum continued down to the **103.5 support zone**.
Liquidity Zones & Potential Reversal**
- The price is currently consolidating around **103.5**, indicating a possible reaction from buyers.
- A **Higher High (HH)** is marked, suggesting a potential shift in market structure.
Possible Scenario Based on the Arrows**
- A short-term **accumulation phase** is expected between **103.5 - 104**.
- If the price breaks above **103.998**, bullish momentum may drive it toward the **105.5 - 106.7 zone (Fibonacci 0.5 & 0.786 retracement levels)**.
- If this resistance is broken, the final target could be **107.27**, a strong resistance level.
- The market is at a **key support level** and may form a bullish structure.
- Confirmation of a **Higher High** and a break above **103.998** could trigger an upward move.
- **Re-Accumulation** is expected before a strong bullish continuation.
- **Bearish Alternative**: If the **103.5 support** fails, the price may drop further to **102.1**.
This analysis is suitable for publishing, but I recommend adding an alternative scenario in case the support fails, giving a more well-rounded outlook.
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 103.479.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 103.100 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Eur/Usd (Mar/12) Weekly Analyzehello everyone.
a you can see price touched weekly cloud res ( same as monthly cloud ) so i expect price go down from here.
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( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
DXY Dollar Index at Key Support: Is a Major Retrace Coming? 💹📉
In this video, we dive deep into the DXY and analyze the current market conditions. 📊 At the moment, the pair is overextended and trading into a critical weekly support level. 🔄 Join me as we break down the trend, price action, and market structure, and explore a potential trade idea based on these insights. 🧠💡 Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this analysis will give you valuable perspectives on how to approach key levels in the market. ⚠️ This is not financial advice—always trade responsibly! ⚠️ Don't forget to comment, and boost my video if you find value in the content! 👍📈✨
EurUsd ShortEUR/USD Short Idea
The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 resistance level, which aligns with a significant supply zone and a potential area for bearish reversal.
Key Analysis:
Resistance Zone:
The 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 levels marks a critical resistance where selling pressure has previously emerged.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is approaching overbought conditions, indicating limited upside potential.
Bearish divergence may form if momentum weakens near this level.
Fundamental Context:
A stronger USD due to hawkish Fed sentiment or economic data could pressure EUR/USD downward.
Eurozone economic uncertainties may add to bearish bias.
Entry: Short positions around 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204
This setup offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity in a high-probability reversal zone.
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & PredictioDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis – Daily Chart
🔹 Recent Downtrend:
The DXY has been in a strong decline ⬇️ after breaking key support around 104.5 📉.
The price dropped sharply, showing bearish momentum 🚨.
🔹 Key Zones Identified:
Resistance Zone (104.0 – 105.0) ❌📊 (Previously support, now acting as resistance)
Support Zone (100.5 – 101.0) ✅📉 (Potential target for further downside)
🔹 Expected Price Movement:
A possible short-term bounce 🔄 back toward the 104.0 - 104.5 resistance ⚠️.
If rejected ❌, the downtrend may continue toward the 100.5 – 101.0 level 🎯📉.
🔎 Conclusion:
✅ Bearish Bias – Trend favors further downside unless the price reclaims 105.0.
📌 Watch for a retracement before another drop 📉.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 104.0 – 105.0 🚧
Support: 100.5 – 101.0 🛑
Dollar Index(DXY) Rebounds from Key Support–Is a New High Cominghello guys.
Let's see what happened for us index and what will happen:
Uptrend Support:
The price has been respecting a long-term ascending trendline since 2011, indicating a strong bullish structure.
Recent price action suggests that the index retested this trendline and bounced off it.
Key Resistance & Breakout Potential:
The index is in a consolidation phase after reaching a local high.
If the price holds above the trendline and breaks the previous high (~13,250-13,400), it could trigger further upside movement.
The next potential target is near 13,500-13,800 based on historical price action and Fibonacci extensions.
-------------------------------------------------
Possible Scenario:
Bullish Case: If the price holds above the trendline and breaks the current range resistance, it could continue toward new highs.
Bearish Case: A breakdown below the 12,800 support level could lead to a deeper correction toward 12,400-12,000.
-------------------------------------------------
Consequences of This Move:
For USD Strength:
A bullish continuation in the Dollar Index means a stronger USD, which could negatively impact commodities (gold, oil) and emerging market currencies.
Forex pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD could decline as the USD gains strength.
For Global Markets:
A weaker DXY (if the support breaks) would typically support equity markets and commodities like gold and Bitcoin, as a weaker dollar makes them more attractive.
-------------------------------------------------
Conclusion:
The chart suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation is needed with a breakout above 13,250-13,400.
As long as the price respects the trendline and Fibonacci support, the uptrend remains intact.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed rate decisions, inflation data), as they can impact this movement significantly.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Technical Levels & Market OutlookU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Monthly Chart Analysis 📊💵
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently navigating a critical price structure, with key supply and demand zones influencing market direction. Here’s a professional breakdown of the chart’s technical outlook:
📍 Key Technical Insights
✅ Supply & Demand Zones
Supply Zone (Resistance): 109 - 114 📈 – A key area where selling pressure has historically emerged. A decisive breakout above this level could signal further upside potential.
Demand Zone (Support): 100 - 103 📉 – A strong accumulation zone where buyers have stepped in previously. A breakdown below could indicate a shift in market sentiment.
✅ Market Structure & Momentum
A Break of Structure (BOSS) has been identified, signaling a shift in trend dynamics.
The market is currently ranging between major resistance (~109) and support (~100).
✅ 200-Month Moving Average 📊
The long-term moving average (red line) is acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias unless decisively breached.
📊 Potential Scenarios
🔹 Bullish Outlook: If DXY maintains support above 100-103 and breaks past 109, the index could aim for 114+ in the coming months. 🚀
🔹 Bearish Risk: A sustained drop below 100 may open the door for further downside towards 95-89, signaling a broader correction. ⚠️
📌 Conclusion
The DXY remains in a consolidation phase, with key inflection points around 103 (support) and 109 (resistance). A breakout or breakdown from this range will determine the next major trend. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential trading opportunities.
ADA on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on ADA on high time frames, the candle formations suggest a zone that may entice many to buy. However, as a holder, I believe it's prudent to await further price information. I will continue to monitor the situation and update my analysis accordingly."
If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, please feel free to let me know!
GBP/USD Double Top (11.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Double Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2784
2nd Support – 1.2724
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DXY Breakdown: Major Support in Play or More Downside Ahead?Welcome back, guys! 👋
I'm Skeptic , and let's kick off the week with a unique and exciting analysis of DXY.
🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Starting with the daily time frame, DXY recently hit a significant peak at 109.655 , followed by a sharp decline, breaking below the critical support zone at 107.405 . This breakdown resulted in forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure. Afterward, DXY retraced sharply to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of its major uptrend, signaling a potential corrective phase.
Although the sentiment remains bearish for now, we must consider the possibility of a price reversal from this crucial support zone.
⏳ 4H Time Frame Analysis
Now, moving to the 4-hour time frame, as discussed in the previous analysis, we anticipated a breakdown of 104.235 , which indeed played out, hitting our target of 103.398 . Currently, the 104.235 level serves as a 4H resistance, while 103.303 acts as a daily support.
These two levels form our main triggers:
💚 Long Trigger: Above 104.259 (confirming a potential reversal)
🔴 Short Trigger: Below 103.303 (aligned with the short-term downtrend)
The short trigger has a higher win rate and risk-to-reward ratio since it aligns with the ongoing bearish trend.
💡 Final Thoughts
Thanks for sticking with me through this analysis! I hope your week ahead is profitable and insightful.
Remember, planning and executing trades with clarity is the key to long-term success.
Catch you on the next breakdown! 🚀
Gold looks ready for a sell off toward 2860Currently, the price of gold is at the Point of Control (POC) level, which suggests that we may see some weakness in the market. Based on my analysis, I expect a pullback towards the 2860 level. This is supported by a Wyckoff distribution pattern that indicates sellers are gaining strength, especially since we've observed a lower high around the 2906 level.
Stay tuned for more updates!
GBPUSD Holds Below 0.618 Fibonacci RetracementFollowing the DXY's decline, the British pound surged back above the trendline connecting lower highs between 2014 to 2021, aligning with a key resistance at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the downtrend between the September 2024 high (1.3434) and the January 2025 low (1.2099) at 1.2945.
Current Market Setup:
RSI on the 3-day time frame is now overbought, aligning with the inverted head and shoulders target formed by the RSI trend near oversold levels, reinforcing reversal potential.
Further downside risks persist, with market sentiment hinging on growth data, trade war developments, and US inflation figures.
Key Levels to Watch:
A decisive close above 1.2850 could pave the way toward 1.3020, 1.3160, and 1.34.
Failure to hold gains could trigger a pullback toward key support zones at 1.28, 1.27, and 1.2570.
Key Events This Week:
US CPI
UK GDP
Trade War Developments
- Razan Hilal, CMT
SHORT ON GBPUSDGBPUSD has reached a key supply area and has given a change of character from up to down on the hour timeframe.
There is plenty imbalance/fvgs to the downside that I expect price to go and fill.
The Dollar Index is currently shifting to up from down, this should aid in this pair falling.
I will be selling GBPUSD to the next demand level for 300 pips.
Will the stock market turn positive again?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the resistance range and the channel ceiling will also cause the Nasdaq to continue its short-term upward trend.
In February 2025, the U.S. labor market grew at a slower pace than anticipated. According to published data, non-farm employment increased by 151,000 jobs in January, while expectations were set at 160,000.This indicates that while job growth continues, its momentum has been weaker than projected.
The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in February, slightly above the expected 4%. Meanwhile, labor force participation declined by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%. Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% during the month, aligning with forecasts. On an annual basis, wage growth reached 4%, slightly below the estimated 4.1%.
Among various sectors, the highest job gains were recorded in healthcare (52,000 jobs), finance (21,000 jobs), and local government (20,000 jobs). Employment also rose in construction, transportation, social assistance, and manufacturing.
Conversely, some industries experienced job losses. The hospitality sector shed 16,000 jobs, retail lost 6,000, and the federal government reduced employment by 10,000 positions. Additionally, temporary jobs declined by 12,000, signaling a potential slowdown in economic growth.
Overall, the report suggests that while the U.S. labor market remains stable, certain indicators, such as rising unemployment and a decline in full-time jobs, may point to a deceleration in economic expansion. Following the report’s release, the U.S. dollar weakened slightly, but the market reaction was muted due to prior concerns over a more significant decline.
Hassett, the White House economic advisor, stated that future reports are likely to show further reductions in government employment. He emphasized the administration’s plan to cut government jobs and spending while boosting employment in the manufacturing sector. He also confirmed that tariffs are inevitable, arguing that such measures will support the expected 3% to 4% economic growth. Hassett expressed doubt that President Trump would grant exemptions for steel tariffs.
As investors try to adjust to Trump’s evolving trade policies, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February is set to be released on Wednesday. Given the recent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index data from January, it is possible that CPI could be entering a new downward trend.
The Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation remains challenging, and the recent rise in price pressures has undoubtedly been frustrating for policymakers. However, signs indicate that U.S. inflation may be shifting course, with expectations of a decline in the coming months.
One major uncertainty remains: tariffs. Trump’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and a 20% increase on Chinese goods, along with additional sector-specific and retaliatory tariffs still under discussion, could undermine the Fed’s efforts to bring inflation down to 2%.
In January, the overall CPI climbed to 3%, marking its highest level since June 2024. Core inflation also reached 3.3%. However, February’s data is expected to ease months of concern about inflationary resurgence, with projections indicating a decline in overall CPI to 2.9% and core inflation to 3.1%. Monthly estimates for both indices stand at 0.3%.
Later in the week, Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for February will provide further insights into inflationary pressures, while on Friday, investors will closely monitor the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey for March. Last month’s survey raised alarms, as consumer inflation expectations climbed to their highest level in 30 years.