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JWN

Nordstrom is close to its all time support (back from 1985). ^^^Nordstrom's been hit really hard - and rightfully so. It's a department store in the era of specialized stores. As a sector, department stores are commodity brands with minimal appeal. That said, out of all the department stores, there's really only one store that has made a brand for itself - Nordstrom. Of all the stores out there, I believe it has the least chance of going under. The Nordstrom family in the past has tried to repurchase the company and take it private. At the time, their bid was too low. Today, any bid is almost a steal. But.. look back at every major recession in our history. $JWN has hit this bottom support line. And what happens soon after that, a dramatic rise. The biggest difference between today and 2008, the last time JWN hit the support line is that in 2008, you could still physically go to the store + you had a need for dressing nicely. Today, most people are wearing lounge / comfort clothes, and even if they wanted to go out, most people can't or won't go indoors due to COVID-19. You can assume that JWN has a high chance of going bankrupt. You can also assume that if it doesn't (protect your downside), then based on history, it will climb. Those who have still have any discretionary money available to them will be looking to spend as soon as they can - whether its due to COVID-19 fatigue or a COVID-19 vaccine. The idea here is something similar to a strangle. - Put options around $7.50 that expire before May of 2021. COVID will likely lock people in until spring of 2021. This is going to be the riskiest time for JWN - especially since they will likely lose a lot of holiday revenue. - Call options around anywhere between $15-$30 that expire end of 2021. If JWN makes it past Spring of 2021, then they should be resilient enough to enjoy a return of customers (assuming there's not another massive event).
JLong
by lets_daft
Options Idea: Buy The Oct '20 JWN Call Calendar Spread @ $2.35Nordstrom has been a big loser since COVID-19 and is on a long-term downtrend. However, it's been on a short-term uptrend since late August and just blew through its July highs. The next objective will be the early August highs around $17.50. Our goal is to ride the short-term trend for as long as it lasts during September and October. We don’t want to own this stock long-term, but we’ll hitch a ride on this short-term trend with a long-call. Since we’re not long-term owners of JWN we’re buying an Oct. 16 2020 call and we will sell weekly out of the money calls against it to lower cost basis. Look at the yellow trend line for a reference as to where JWN might be and that’s the area to sell weekly out of the money calls against this long call. Make sure your weekly short calls don't run up against the trendline. Here’s how we set-up the trade: Sold the September 11, 2020 $17.5 Call @ 0.25 Bought the October 16, 2020 $15 Call @ 2.60 Our objectives for short call income generation against this position are as follows: Initial Objective: $1.23 (Extrinsic Value of Long Call) Stretch Objective: $2.60 ($0 capital outlay) We on the way toward meeting our initial objective by selling the Sep 11, 2020 call at $0.25 and next week we’ll sell another weekly out of the money call to get closer to our initial objective. 20-JWN-01 Opening Date: Sep 8, 2020 Expiration Date: October 16, 2020 DTE: 38 IV: 93% IV Percentile: 56% Odds of Winning: 36.60% (before selling more short calls) Odds of Losing: 63.40% (before selling more short calls) Win: > 17.35 @ Expiration (before selling more short calls) Loss: < 17.35 @ Expiration (before selling more short calls) Cash Requirements: $235 Chart Legend Green Area: 100% Win Zone. If we finish above or in the green area, we’ve made a profit on our trade. Since our position has a long call that means our potential gain is unlimited after Sep 11, 2020. Up to Sep 11, we are limited in our gain by our short call. Red Area: If we finish in this area we have a loss. The size of the red area is the size of our maximum loss. Since we have no uncovered options, our loss is limited on this trade to the price of our long call minus the credit taking in on our short calls. 1 standard deviation, 2 standard deviation, 3 standard deviation projections from Opening Date to Expiration Date are included. Make sure to follow us on Tradingview for updates on this idea as we continue to reduce our cost basis in this trade.
JLong
by OptionsCoach
Could push past ResistanceHey guys, been watching since last week as nordstrom started to beak out from recent lows and seems to be following the trend pictured. Based on a 30 day close RSI I believe that the price can continue to follow this trend to $21, more conservative amount $19, if it is able to pass the resistance at $17.82. MACD is also cycling back into the green, price should continue to go up for time being. I am fairly new to this, please let me know your thoughts. :) Still learning and as always this is not Financial Advice.
JLong
by fz3a2bf2ag
JWN broke through with Head and Shoulders| Strong support @ $12?After breaking through he last support structure shown in my last analysis, JWN has also confirmed a heads and shoulders, we expect JWN to continue falling into the next fib retracement level, if it breaks that, there are a few more support level with the strongest at around $13 where the recent low was before it started making the run up past $20. Head and shoulders suggest that it will drop to $7 but something bad will need to happen before that happens. A new floor needs to be found first. A good time to take profit on SOME of your puts if you're the risk adverse type. Risky investors can choose to ride their puts to a certain bounce before taking profit. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice, just my opinon. Consult a investment advisor for professional advice. I do carry JWN puts
J
by medcore
Retail Rally Comes to A Screeching HaltToys R Us refuses to die. The hedge funds that own the debt of the bankrupt toy retailer decided to cancel an auction of assets and instead plan to revive the brand and even open new retail outlets. The prospects of another Toys R Us revival could become symbolic: the timing coincided with what looks like a top in retail stocks as represented by the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT). XRT fell 3.3% on high trading volume to close at a 2-month low. The move confirmed the previous day’s 50DMA breakdown. The resulting reversal of XRT’s last breakout gives the index a very toppy technical pattern. While XRT is back to the consolidation pattern that preceded the breakout, a test of 200DMA support seems highly likely given the intensity of selling. XRT last closed below its 200DMA last November. A 200DMA breakdown would confirm XRT’s top. If I were still playing my 2018 retail recovery thesis, I would have just sold everything here to lock in profits. I would next resolve to wait until holiday season headlines picked up steam for deciding next sector-wide moves. For now, I went scrambling for headlines trying to assess whether fundamental events agreed with the bearish technicals. Two other events stand out. First, Amazon (AMZN) raised its minimum wage to $15/hour and lobbied Congress to raise the national minimum wage from a paltry $7.25/hour. Wall Street hates sharing profits and wage hikes shift a small amount of the loot from shareholders to workers. Moreover, wage increases translate into cost pressures and margin compression – anathema for stock prices. Second, Stitch Fix (SFIX), an online retailer which sells customized clothing, was absolutely clobbered after its earnings report completely failed to satisfy investors hopped up on high expectations. The stock closed with a 35.2% loss that is still just a 2-month low. SFIX is a surprisingly sizable component of XRT with a 1% share. The largest holding has a 2.1% share (more on that later). I have been fascinated by the SFIX story ever since I heard the CEO tell her story. Now I am even more fascinated given the current volatility and a float which is sold 24% short. Carvana (CVNA) is the largest holding in XRT with a 2.1% share. This company sells used cars online and delivers them from multi-story vending machines. CVNA dropped 5.2% on the day and broke down below its 50DMA. This 2017 IPO is on a tear and is up 185% year-to-date. CVNA traded almost down to $8 in 2017. The stock now looks like a short, but short interest is extremely high. I took particular interest in the news events surrounding what looks like a topping pattern in the making around all-time highs: a large owner dumped a significant number of shares, an important competitor made a noteworthy financial deal (I first learned about Shift 2 1/2 years ago in an intriguing talk by the CEO Minnie Ingersoll at Stanford University’s eCorner: “A Drive to Disrupt“), and an analyst upgraded CVNA to outperform right into the teeth of the selling with no effect. A complete reversal of post-earnings gains would confirm the top. Surprisingly, Best Buy (BBY) does not show up in the top 10 holdings for XRT (cut-off at 1.4% share of assets). Still, the stock’s 4.8% drop and 50DMA breakdown confirmed the weakness in the retail sector. BBY is extremely important to watch here because a test of 200DMA support is in play. BBY last tested its 200DMA in September, 2017. BBY last closed below this support in July, 2016! Finally, I checked out one of my favorite retail plays: Nordstrom (JWN). JWN sold off with the sector to close right at 50DMA support. The price is still too high for me, but I am a buyer if it manages to return to the extended consolidation period that preceded the impressive August post-earnings breakout. Now retail has joined forces with other indices like small caps and financials to add weight to the anchor loading down the stock market. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above 40DMAs, dropped to a 6-month low at 37.2% even as the S&P 500 (SPY) closed flat (still near all-time highs) and the volatility index, the VIX, also closed flat. Losing retailers to a fresh sell-off like the one in 2017 would make me doubt the underlying health of the consumer and the stock market as a whole given home builders have struggled for most of 2018. Stay tuned… Be careful out there! Full disclosure: long SPY calls, long UVXY puts {Look me up at Dr. Duru on StockTwits or Twitter or my blog!}
AMEX:XRTShort
by drduru
2
ASNA most likely to mirror back to $8 and then $15 in ~12 monthsArticle Link: aicody.com ASNA is a long-established ecommerce and store retailer, which appears to be solidly back in the competition in such a highly competitive space wherein companies often face operational challenges such as Sears, forced to be merged or acquired such as Versace, or go out of business. However, ASNA's recent financial statements, 57 years of operations, sales concentration on fashion-forward women, geographical center of attention in the U.S., Canada, and Puerto Rico, and recent rent reduction plans for its unnecessary stores are the fundamental forces for cost reduction, which is the sole key to profitability and scalability in this sector. Thus, we hold reasons to believe that ASNA's stocks currently project plus buy and double plus hold ratings suitable for both trade and investment purposes. Company Summary Ascena Retail Group, Inc. (ASNA) is an ecommerce and store retailer in the US, Canada and Puerto Rico, offering apparel, shoes, and accessories for women via the Premium Fashion segment (Ann Taylor, LOFT, and Lou & Grey), Value Fashion segment (maurices and dressbarn), Plus Fashion segment (Lane Bryant, Catherines and Cacique), and for tween girls via the Kids Fashion segment (Justice). ASNA operates ~4,600 stores and the following domains: AnnTaylor.com ascenaretail.com Catherines.com dressbarn.com factory.anntaylor.com lanebryant.com LOFT.com louandgrey.com maurices.com outlet.loft.com shopjustice.com Institutional Shareholders BlackRock Fund Advisors: 22.7M (11.57%) reported on 06/30/18 Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc.: 6.1M (3.1%) reported on 06/30/18 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP: 16.4M (8.37%) reported on 06/30/18 Nomura Securities Co., Ltd. (Private Banking): 17M 8.67% reported on 06/30/18 PRIMECAP Management Co.: 9.2M (4.67%) reported on 06/30/18 Renaissance Technologies LLC: 4.7M (2.38%) reported on 06/30/18 Sapience Investments LLC: 4.1M (2.08%) reported on 06/30/18 SSgA Funds Management, Inc.: 4.8M (2.45%) reported on 06/30/18 Stadium Capital Management LLC: 19.2M (9.8%) reported on 06/30/18 The Vanguard Group, Inc.: 15.7M (8.02%) reported on 06/30/18 Mutual Funds Shareholders DFA US Small Cap Value Portfolio: 5.02M (2.56%) reported on 04/30/18 iShares Core S&P Small Cap ETF: 9.58M (4.88%) reported on 09/6/18 iShares Russell 2000 ETF: 3.67M (1.87%) reported on 09/6/18 iShares S&P Small Cap 600 Value ETF: 2.72M (1.39%) reported on 09/6/18 PRIMECAP Odyssey Stock Fund: 4.1M (2.09%) reported on 06/30/18 Schwab Fundamental US Small Company Index ETF: 3.46M (1.76%) reported on 09/6/18 Vanguard Extended Market Index Fund: 2.27M (1.16%) reported on 08/31/18 Vanguard Small Cap Index Fund: 4.21M (2.15%) reported on 08/31/18 Vanguard Small Cap Value Index Fund: 2.63M (1.34%) reported on 08/31/18 Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund: 4.15M (2.11%) reported on 08/31/18 Financial Summary For the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018, ASNA reported GAAP income of $0.17 per diluted share compared to a GAAP loss of $0.08 per diluted share in the year-ago period, based on a 4% comparable sales increase and the benefit of an additional week related to ASNA's fiscal calendar. For the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018, ASNA reported adjusted earnings of $0.07 per diluted share compared to adjusted earnings of $0.05 per diluted share in the year-ago period. For full year Fiscal 2018, ASNA reported a GAAP loss of $0.20 per diluted share reflecting a comparable sales decline of 2% and costs associated with ASNA's Change for Growth transformation program, partially offset by the benefit of the additional week. ASNA reported a GAAP loss of $5.48 per diluted share in the year-ago period which included a non-cash pre-tax impairment charge of $1.324B to write down a portion of ASNA's intangible assets. Adjusted earnings for 2018 were a loss of $0.02 per diluted share compared to adjusted earnings of $0.22 per diluted share in the year-ago period. Sales Net sales for the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 were $1,766M compared to $1,658M in the year-ago period, with the increase caused by a 4% increase in comparable sales and ~$88M of sales associated with the additional week. Growth Margin Gross margin increased to $1.01B, or 57.5% of sales, for the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 compared to $0.95B, or 57.4% of sales in the year-ago period. Gross margin increased from the year-ago period due to increased comparable sales and ~$50M associated with the additional week. Gross margin rate increased 10 basis points, with strong rate improvement at our Premium Fashion and Kids Fashion segments mostly offset by declines at our Plus Fashion and Value Fashion segments. In our Plus Fashion segment, merchandise margin increased from the year-ago period, reflecting improving assortment performance and disciplined inventory management, with the offset caused primarily by higher freight expense resulting from increased digital penetration. The decline in our Value Fashion segment was caused primarily by lower clearance price points at dressbarn. Distributions Buying, distribution, and occupancy (“BD&O”) expenses for the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 increased to $324M, which represented 18.4% of sales, compared to $320M, or 19.3% of sales in the year-ago period and included ~$3M of expense associated with the additional week. In terms of dollars, lower occupancy expenses resulting from our fleet optimization program were more than offset by higher variable distribution costs related to the increased penetration of our direct channel business and the expenses associated with the additional week. General and Administrative Selling, general, and administrative (“SG&A”) expenses for the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 increased 5% to $527M, or 29.8% of sales, compared to $500M, or 30.1% of sales in the year-ago period. The increase in SG&A expenses was primarily due to $18M of expense associated with the additional week, inflationary increases and higher performance-based compensation, offset in part by ~$30M in synergies and cost reduction initiatives. Operating Loss Operating income for the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 was $53M compared to an operating loss of $9M in the year-ago period. The increase in the current year primarily reflects the impact of the additional week, which generated ~$30M, lower costs associated with the Change for Growth transformation program as well as lower acquisition-related costs. On a non-GAAP adjusted basis, operating income was $43M in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018, compared to $44M in the year ago period as the growth from the comparable sales increase and the impact of the cost savings initiatives were offset by inflationary increases and higher performance-based compensation. Net Income ASNA reported Net income of $33M, or $0.17 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018, compared to a net loss of $16M, or $0.08 per diluted share, in the year-ago period. 2018 Q1 Financial Highlights ASNA ended the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 with Cash and cash equivalents of $239M. ASNA ended the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 with inventory of $623M, down 3% from the year-ago period. Capital expenditures totaled $54M in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018, primarily to support new capabilities and strategic initiatives. Full year Fiscal 2018 capital expenditures totaled $181M. ASNA ended the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 with total debt of $1,372M, which represents the balance remaining on the term loan. There were no borrowings outstanding under ASNA's revolving credit facility at the end of the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018. In addition, ASNA had $473M of borrowing availability under its revolving credit facility. During the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018, ASNA repaid $203M of its term loan and its next scheduled repayment is in November of calendar year 2020. Store and Rent Reductions ASNA closed a net 185 stores during Fiscal 2018 which primarily reflects its continuing fleet optimization program. Under the program, ASNA has decreased ~$50M in annualized rent reductions through landlord negotiations. ASNA's number of stores on a brand-by-brand basis from quarter third to fourth is as follows: Ann Taylor: 306 - 2 = 304 LOFT: 674 - 2 = 672 maurices: 986 - 14 = 972 dressbarn: 739 - 9 = 730 Lane Bryant: 752 - 3 = 749 (4 Closed - 1 Opened = 3) Catherines: 351 - 3 = 348 Justice: 855 - 8 = 847 Total: 4,663 - 41 = 4,622 Forward-Looking Statements for 2019 ASNA is re-instituting full year guidance and expects Fiscal 2019 full year non-GAAP earnings per share ranging from $0.00 to $0.10, supported by the following assumptions: Net sales of $6.45 to $6.55B Comparable sales up low single digits; Gross margin rate of 57.6% to 58.1%; Operating expense growth of ~1%; Depreciation and amortization of $327 to $332M; Operating income of $120 to $140M; Interest expense of ~$112M; Income taxes ~$8M reflecting a 21% tax rate and minimum taxes; and Diluted share count of 200M. Full year capital expenditures are expected in the range of $180 to $210M, and ASNA expects to close ~5% of its Fiscal 2018 year-end fleet, with store count dropping into the range of 4,375 to 4,425 by July 2019. Forward-Looking Statements for 2019 Q1 Fiscal year 2019 first quarter non-GAAP earnings per share is estimated in the range of $(0.04) to $0.06, reflecting a collective unfavorable timing impact of ~$0.10 related to the additional week in Fiscal 2018, which shifted the peak Justice back-to-school week from week 1 of Fiscal 2019 to week 52, and timing related to the adoption of the revenue recognition accounting pronouncement, Accounting Standards Update 2014-19, "Revenue from Contracts with Customers." ASNA's estimated Fiscal 2019 first quarter earnings per share outlook is supported by the following assumptions: Net sales of $1.54 to $1.56B; Comparable sales flat to up 2%; Gross margin rate of 60.0% to 60.5%; Operating expense growth of 1% to 2%; Depreciation and amortization expense of ~$84M; Operating income of $22 to $42M; Interest expense of ~$27M; Income taxes of ~$3M reflecting a 21% tax rate and minimum taxes; and Diluted share count of 200M. CEO's Comments Mr. David Jaffe commented that “Our fourth quarter reflected sequential comp improvement across all our brands, and the first enterprise-level positive comp quarter for ascena since the second quarter of Fiscal 2015. Comparable sales increased 4%, and excluding dressbarn, all brands delivered positive comps. Specific to dressbarn, we delivered a 9 percentage point sequential comparable sales improvement from our third quarter, and have fully reset the brand’s inventory position heading into Fiscal 2019. Adjusted earnings per share of 7 cents came in above our guide, and while we were pleased with progress for the quarter, it represents only the first step in our road back to realizing ascena’s full earnings potential.” Mr. Jaffe states that “We continue to make good progress across the three pillars of our Change for Growth transformation program. We remain on track to achieve $300M in annual run rate savings by July 2019, and are currently implementing the two remaining large capability-building components of our transformation program - localized planning and our customer experience management ecosystem. And as we enter Fiscal 2019, we are leveraging the foundation we’ve built over the past two years to pivot the organization toward the most critical pillar of our transformation program - reinvigorating growth from our core.” Mr. Jaffe believes that “We remain committed to realizing the full value of our brand portfolio and platform capability. At the core of future shareholder value creation is the promise of a highly differentiated and growing group of leading brands, supported by a cost efficient infrastructure. We entered Fiscal 2019 with good base momentum, and key growth initiatives beginning to gain traction across our brands. We are making headway with stabilization of our dressbarn brand, and will continue to explore opportunities across our brand portfolio to create shareholder value." Statistics Shares Outstanding: 0.2B Avg Daily Vol: 2.5M Market Cap: ~1B 52-Week High: $5.29 52-Week Low: $1.69 Forward PE: 203.4 Annual Div/Dividend Yield: 0.00% / 2.5% Annual Rev: ~7B Inst Own: 82.5% 1-Month Return: 10.9% 3-Month Return: 5.1% Next Earnings Report Date: 12/03/2018 Earnings ESP: $0.05 Revenue Per Employee: $98,759 Money Flow Ratio: 0.94 % Profitability Revenue Growth: 1.3% (Sector Average 5.2%) Gross Margin: 57.5% (Sector Average 31.9%) Return on Equity: 24.6% (Sector Average 19.8%) Net Margin: 2.0% (Sector Average 2.9%) Debt Current Ratio: 1.1 (Sector Average 1.4) Debt-to-Capital: 60.1% (Sector Average 51.0%) Interest Funding: 18.3% (Sector Average 7.5%) Interest Coverage: 0.1 (Sector Average 3.7) Dividend Dividend Growth: NA (Sector Average 1.0%) Dividend Payout: NA (Sector Average 45.7%) Dividend Coverage: NA (Sector Average 4.5) Dividend Yield: NA (Sector Average 0.0%) Top Peer Companies Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN) American Eagle Outfitters, Inc (AEO) Ascena Retail Group, Inc (ASNA) Buckle Inc (BKE) Cato Corporation (CATO) Citi Trends, Inc (CTRN) Dillard's Inc (DDS) DSW Inc (DSW) Etsy Inc (ETSY) Express Inc (EXPR) Five Below Inc (FIVE) Francesca's Holding Corp (FRAN) Gap Inc (GPS) Genesco Inc (GCO) J C Penney Company Inc (JCP) Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Lands End Inc (LE) Macy's Inc (M) Marks And Spencer Group PLC (MAKSY) Marui Group Co LTD (MAURY) Neiman Marcus Group, Inc (NMG) New York & Company Inc (NWY) Nordstrom Inc (JWN) Qurate Retail Inc (QRTEA) Ross Stores Inc (ROST) Sears Holdings Corp (SHLD) Sears Hometown and Outlet (SHOS) Target Corporation (TGT) Tillys Inc (TLYS) Walmart Inc (WMT) Wayfair Inc (W) Guidance 2019 Q1 Total Sales: $1.54-$1.56B Gross Margin: 60.0%-60.5% Depreciation and amortization: ~$84M Operating Income: $22-$42M Interest Expense: ~$27M Diluted Share Count: 200M EPS: $0.04-$0.06 Guidance 2019 Total Sales: $6.45-$6.55B Gross Margin: 57.6%-58.1% Depreciation and amortization: $327-$332M Operating Income: $120-$140M Interest Expense: ~$112M Diluted Share Count: 200M EPS: $0.00-$0.10 Stores: 4,375-4,425 12 Month Price Target Mean: $8.33 High: $15.01 Low: $2.18 Earnings Surprise Positive (+6.7%) Trade and Investment Ratings Ratings from strongest (+++) to weakest (---) are as follows: 60-Month Investment: +++ 36-Month Investment: ++ 12-Month Investment: + 3-Month Investment: Neutral 1-Month Investment: Neutral Single Day-Trade: Neutral Multi Day-Trade: Neutral Single Short-Term Short-Sell: Neutral Multi Short-Term Short-Sell: - Long-Term Short-Sell: --
ALong
by aicody
Taking a stab at JCPShares of JCP are back to their lows, setting a marginally lower low than before. Even so, I think this is a zone to buy against. The blue line represents its previous low. The lines of various shades of pink are extensions of previous swings, all of which suggest downside targets that are similar, thereby strengthening the area/levels. The green shaded box area is the "buy zone" (from $2.30-2.44). I'm a buyer for a speculative position. (Please note that this is a weekly chart, so this may take time to pan out.)
JLong
by EchoAlphaBravo
NEXT WEEK'S EARNINGS TO WATCH: LC, VRX, M, JWN, NVDAWith broad market volatility ebbing, the place to sell premium is with earnings plays for now. Next week, look to put on options plays shortly before the earnings announcement to capitalize on post-announcement volatility contraction. This little fellahs currently look best for plays: LC: 5/9 (Monday) after market close. Due to the price of the underlying, short straddle it, if anything. Neither a short strangle or iron condor will be productive unless you go with a larger number of contracts. VRX: 5/11 (Wednesday). I don't show it as before or after market right now. M: 5/11 (Wednesday) before market open. JWN: 5/12 (Thursday) after market close. NVDA: 5/12 (Thursday) after market close. I also looked at a couple of others, but decided that they were problematic for one reason or another: TEVA ... is scheduled to announce on Monday, is an ADR. I'm not a huge fan of ADR's, since they're basically free to tentatively schedule an earnings announcement and then move it back a week or two. For a volatility contraction play, which I want to put on immediately before the announcement, this does me no good ... . Moreover, the spreads are wide on the options; if they're wide going in, they're going to be wide trying to get out ... . SCTY ... will announce on 5/9 after close. I would love to play this little fellow, as it's plenty full of premium given its relatively modest price. That being said, it's another "spread wide" situation ... . AGN ... announces on 5/10 before market open. You would think an underlying that trades 4.9 million shares on a daily basis would have fairly decent spreads on their options. Nunh-unh ... . RAX ... 5/9 after market close is the announcement. You guessed it -- illiquid options. I'll post actual setups as we get closer to earnings ... .
NYSE:LC
by NaughtyPines