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LI AUTO EARNINGS CHART HALLOWEEN EDITIONRSI labeled Trends labeled this chart is more short term and I included a projection that you don't want to follow exactly as it's just to show an idea and allow me to check back. Instead follow the price targets and main trend line which is purple. Earnings sees a lot of stocks move a lot over a SHORT time, which makes a move that brings price down and quickly back up and can set it on the next projection, which ultimately would see it go down based on past things seen. Fundamentals not included in this chart analysis This is all ta with an aggressive approach towards earnings, and sometimes highly inaccurate. Good luck traders Make sure to view more charts than just this idea. Per this idea to state it clearly, DROP then BIG up to close price gaps and possibly set a new high, which ultimately takes it down to a lower price and gives it a long term projection of bullish. Again, fundamentals not included. The ??? is a zone where this chart is highly out of date and I have no clue where it should be or could be heading other than that, the projections extended out show the marked area where you might expect to see the "trends" meet up again and allow the entry and exit prices to actually fit within a reasonable time frame. Pumpkin included because spooky day theme. lol, hope all this helps you in your decision with this or at least gives you another view on earnings to consider.
NASDAQ:LI
by nicktussing77
Li Auto Inc. Seeking Stability Amid Intense Market CompetitionLi Auto Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LI ), a leading Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, recently reported a sharp decline in profits for the second quarter of 2024, driven by higher production costs, price cuts, and increased competition. With demand for EVs weakening globally, the company faced substantial challenges that have significantly impacted its financial performance and stock price. This article delves into both the fundamental and technical aspects of Li Auto's current situation, providing a comprehensive outlook on what lies ahead for the company. Rising Costs, Increased Competition, and Profit Pressures Li Auto's financial results for the second quarter of 2024 revealed a year-over-year decline in net income by 52.3% to RMB1.1 billion (USD $151.5 million). The adjusted earnings per American Depository Share (ADS) fell 45% to RMB1.42 (USD $0.20), although both figures managed to exceed analysts' consensus estimates. However, the revenue growth of 10.6% to RMB31.7 billion (USD $4.4 billion) fell short of expectations. The company's CFO, Tie Li, acknowledged the "intense market competition" and high production costs as significant factors behind the declining profits. Vehicle sales, which accounted for the bulk of Li Auto's revenue, increased by 8.4% from RMB28.0 billion in Q2 2023 to RMB30.3 billion in Q2 2024. However, the vehicle margin dropped to 18.7%, down from 21.0% in the same period last year, mainly due to a lower average selling price driven by product mix and pricing strategy changes. The gross margin also declined to 19.5% from 21.8%, reflecting the ongoing cost pressures. Li Auto's operating expenses rose by 23.9% to RMB5.7 billion (USD $785.6 million), mainly due to higher R&D costs and employee compensation to support its expanding product portfolio and technological advancements. These rising costs, coupled with a decrease in gross profit, led to a 71.2% decline in income from operations to RMB468 million (USD $64.4 million). Despite these challenges, Li Auto (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LI ) is cautiously optimistic about the second half of 2024. The company expects the stabilization of its new Li L6 SUV production and the implementation of cost reduction measures to improve its margins and cash flow. Looking ahead to Q3 2024, the company forecasts vehicle deliveries between 145,000 to 155,000 units, with total revenues estimated to be in the range of RMB39.4 billion to RMB42.2 billion, representing an increase of 13.7% to 21.6% compared to Q3 2023. Technical Analysis: Critical Levels and Potential Reversal Zones From a technical perspective, Li Auto's stock has been under significant selling pressure. As of the most recent trading session, the stock fell 16%, with the price hovering around $17.58, reflecting a 17% decline. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 38, indicating an oversold condition that suggests further potential downside. Li Auto's stock is at a critical juncture. A move towards the key support pivot at $12 could trigger a substantial sell-off, pushing the stock price lower and potentially leading to further market panic. On the other hand, if the stock manages to recover and surpass the block structure resistance at $24, it could signal a bullish reversal, encouraging renewed investor interest and potentially propelling the stock toward the next resistance level above $40. The bearish outlook is primarily driven by the current oversold conditions and negative market sentiment. However, if Li Auto can stabilize its production costs, improve margins, and execute its growth strategy effectively, there is a possibility of a rebound. The next few weeks will be crucial as investors closely monitor the company's performance and market dynamics. Conclusion: Li Auto faces a challenging environment characterized by high production costs, intense competition, and fluctuating demand for electric vehicles. While its recent financial performance has been disappointing, the company's efforts to stabilize costs and improve margins in the coming quarters offer a glimmer of hope for a turnaround. From a technical standpoint, the stock remains under pressure but could find support at lower levels, providing an attractive entry point for value-oriented investors. However, caution is advised, as a sustained recovery will depend on several factors, including broader market conditions, competitive positioning, and the successful execution of the company's strategic initiatives. Investors should watch for signs of stabilization in Li Auto's margins and production costs, as well as the potential for a technical bounce if the stock can move above the key resistance level. Until then, the outlook remains mixed, with both risks and opportunities on the horizon.
NASDAQ:LIShort
by DEXWireNews
TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER ? NASDAQ:TSLA TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER Tesla had a challenging first half of 2024, with its stock facing headwinds. However, there are signs that the electric vehicle (EV) maker could be on the path to recovery. Here’s what Wall Street analysts and experts are saying: Q2 Deliveries: Tesla reported second-quarter deliveries of 443,956 vehicles, surpassing analysts’ estimates of 436,000. While this is a decline from previous quarters, it’s better than expected. Investors view this as a positive sign for the company’s future prospects. Energy Storage Boost: Tesla increased its energy storage capacity to an all-time high during Q2. This development is particularly significant because it suggests that Tesla could benefit from increased energy demand driven by the AI boom. As artificial intelligence accelerates, energy demand and electricity generation are expected to rise, potentially benefiting Tesla Energy. AI Developments: Investors are closely watching Tesla’s advancements in artificial intelligence. The company’s Robotaxi and other AI initiatives could be the next growth drivers. Morgan Stanley strategists have even speculated about Tesla getting its mojo back, with clients asking about positive catalysts for the future.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
NIO ? Are traders ready to love it again LONGNIO on the daily is 95% below its ATH Winter of 2021 and 50% lower YTD. In China NIO is competing well with XPEV, LI , BYD and TSLA while it makes further penetrative into the EU market. Its unique concept in action is battery leasing and battery swapping making charging time no longer relevant. Apparently, the battery swapping time from a depleted battery to one carrying a charge is 15-20 minutes. Being a bottom-seeking bargain hunter quite often, I will take a long trade here with a planned duration of two earnings periods.
NYSE:NIOLong
by AwesomeAvani
Li Auto Inc. Reports First Quarter 2024 Financial Results Li Auto Inc, ( NASDAQ:LI ) the Chinese electric vehicle company, has reported a sequential decline in revenue and net income in its first quarter of 2024. However, CEO Xiang Li took a positive tone in the earnings report, despite the sequential decline in revenue and net income in Q1. The company's first quarter saw an increase in vehicle sales by 32.3% from RMB18.3 billion in Q1 2023 and a decrease of 39.9% from RMB40.4 billion in Q4. Vehicle margin was 19.3% in Q1, compared to 19.8% in Q2 2023 and 22.7% in Q4. Total revenues were RMB25.6 billion, an increase of 36.4% from RMB18.8 billion in Q1 2023 and a decrease of 38.6% from RMB41.7 billion in Q4. Gross profit was RMB5.3 billion, an increase of 38.0% from RMB3.8 billion in Q1 2023 and a decrease of 46.0% from RMB9.8 billion in Q4. Gross margin was 20.6% in Q2, compared to 20.4% in Q2 2023 and 23.5% in Q4. Operating expenses were RMB5.9 billion, an increase of 71.4% from RMB3.4 billion in Q1 2023 and 13.1% from RMB6.8 billion in Q4. Loss from operations was RMB584.9 million in Q1 2024, compared with RMB405.2 million income from operations in Q1 2023 and RMB3.0 billion income from operations in Q4 2023. Operating margin was negative 2.3% in Q1 2024. Net income was RMB591.1 million, a decrease of 36.7% from RMB933.8 million in Q1 2023 and 89.7% from RMB5.8 billion in Q4 2023. Non-GAAP net income was RMB1.3 billion, a decrease of 9.7% from RMB1.4 billion in Q1 2023 and 72.2% from RMB4.6 billion in Q4 2023. Diluted net earnings per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB0.56 (US$0.08) in Q1 2024, while non-GAAP diluted net earnings per ADS attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB1.21 (US$0.17) in Q1 2024. Net cash used in operating activities was RMB3.3 billion in Q1 2024, compared to RMB7.8 billion in Q1 2023 and RMB17.3 billion in Q4 2023. Free cash flow was negative RMB5.1 billion in Q1 2024. Li Auto has launched several new models, including the Li MEGA, Li L Series, and Li L6, which offer enhanced product strengths and improved safety features. The company also published its 2023 Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) report on April 12, 2024, outlining its efforts to integrate sustainability and sound governance into its corporate strategies and daily operations. Technical Outlook Li Auto ( NASDAQ:LI ) is down 1% in pre-market trading. Since the second week of March 2024, the stock has been on a falling wedge pattern concurrently gliding reaching new support levels. NASDAQ:LI stock is about to reach the 1-month low pivot a move that will accentuate the bearish thesis.
NASDAQ:LIShort
by DEXWireNews
NIO Long on Disappointing EarningsNIO's disappointing earnings were not a surprise. Given the context of China's recession, NIO did better than many expected. TSLA is down as well. NIO is doing as well as most of its peers. On the 120 minute chart, NIO is down 60% from the end of the year highs. The RSI indicator confirms that NIO is in oversold undervalued territory. NIO is at the bottom of the high volume area of the profile and has been trending down with the first lower VWAP line as resistance. I see NIO as likely to trend up as the China economy improves and for that to be reflected in the next earnings report. NIO's innovative battery swapping program where the car owner buys a car without a battery and is able to swap out an energy depleted battery for a freshly charged one in 3 minutes at any of the NIO owned battery stations as a way for NIO to excel no matter competition from the others in China including TSLA. NIO is now selling cars in Scandinavia which should serve as steeping stone to further expansion in Europe.
NYSE:NIOLong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA to NIO market cap comparisonOn a down market day I decided to look at the comparision of market cap between TSLA and NIO by a share price ratio basis. On the daily chart, albeit with fluctuations, TSLA is continuously gaining market cap compared with NIO. This ratio allows for a tool to help decide whether to buy TSLA or NIO. In short, TSLA is a buy at the low pivots of the ratio, while NIO is the buy at the high pivots which is right now. Conversely, TSLA is a sell or short at the high pivots while NIO is a sell at the low pivots. The trade right now is sell TSLA to decrease the position and use the proceeds to buy NIO either in bulk or in increments to average in.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AwesomeAvani
Li Auto ($LI) Racing Higher.Li Auto ( NASDAQ:LI ) reported strong fourth-quarter earnings early Monday. The Chinese EV maker guided somewhat lower on Q1, but LI stock raced higher. Li Auto Earnings Li Auto earned 60 cents per ADS, up from 4 cents a year earlier. Revenue soared 130% to $5.88 billion. Analysts expected Li Auto earnings per ADS of 44 cents on revenue of $5.5 billion. Li Auto already reported on Jan. 1 that it delivered a record 131,805 vehicles, with its cheapest EV, the L7, accounting for 52,552, or 40%. Li Auto Outlook The EV maker forecast Q1 revenue of $4.4 billion to $4.53 billion, up 66%-71% vs. a year earlier in local currency terms, though that's below analyst forecasts. Deliveries are expected to be 100,000-103,000, up 90%-96% vs. a year earlier but down from Q4's record 131,805. That's also under Wall Street targets. Li ( NASDAQ:LI ) delivered 31,365 EVs in January, up 106% vs. a year earlier but down 38% vs. December. That implies February-March sales of 68,635-71,635. China auto sales are typically weak in January-February. Sales tend to peak at year-end, while the extended China New Year holiday has a big impact on production and sales. Li Auto ( NASDAQ:LI ) will report February sales on Friday, March 1, along with XPeng (XPEV), Nio (NIO) and several other China EV makers. EV and battery giant BYD (BYDDF) will report on March 1 or 2. Li Auto Upcoming Models Li Auto currently sells three premium SUVs, the L7, L8 and L9. All are extended range electric vehicles (EREVs), essentially a form of plug-in hybrid. On March 1, Li Auto ( NASDAQ:LI ) will formally launch the Mega MPV, or minivan, its first fully battery electric vehicle (BEV). That had been pushed back from early in the year. The electric MPV, or minivan, segment is getting crowded, with the Li Mega joining the less expensive, but still premium, XPeng X9 and BYD's Denza D9. Li also will unveil the 2024 versions of the L7, L8 and L9 on March 1. The automaker also plans to launch three more BEV models in the second half of 2024. Li Auto Stock Li Auto stock jumped 19% to 41.44 in Monday market trading. Shares are down 7% in 2024 of Feb. 23, but have rebounded strongly since hitting a seven-month low of 26.43 on Jan. 22.
NASDAQ:LILong
by DEXWireNews
UCAR a penny China stock now at bottom 300X upside LONGUCAR, a NASDAQ penny stock and a Chinese auto dealership enterprise is experiencing a huge relative volume spike. UCAR had a great week in very active trading. Now priced at about 0.07 per share, my near term target is 1.58 representing a consolidation pivot on the chart. The all time high is the is 300X upside more or less. This is a risky play. It could get delisted although NASDAQ will give it some more quarterly reports to make a case for regulatory compliance and stock price stability I will take a small position here given the risk. Warren Buffet got in on the cheap with BYD over the counter, he has been massively rewarded for his very large position. Retail traders can make good profits with undervalued penny stocks. I think that this right now is one of them. I will use a zig zag strategy to take profits at high pivots and add into the position at low pivots along the way.
NASDAQ:UCARLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
LI Auto Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Top on LI: or ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LI Auto prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2023-11-24, for a premium of approximately $2.93. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:LILong
by TopgOptions
PSNY: First buy signal. With Supertrend Indicator1. First buy signal with supertrend indicator 2. Gap to fill around $3.00 to $3.12 (Thanks to Barclays downgrade :S ) 3. Second gap to fill (Wall Street dropped the stock after last earnings/results) Before buying a few hundred or thousand shares, I'll wait for a consolidation of about 5-10 days, and especially for the EMA 9/20 to cross on the daily chart. Too many times we've been caught buying too early or not waiting long enough. And if, by any chance, Wall Street decides to push the price up by +50%, I'm already on the train with thousands and thousands of shares... lol 🚀💰
NASDAQ:PSNY
by Maximus20000
NIO finishing a Fib Retracement Ready to Continue LONGNIO on the 4H chart was on an uptrend into a double top in late July and Early Augus. This was confluent with the second upper deviation line above the mean anchored VWAP line which is thick black. Now on the retracement price has hit the mid-Fibonacci levels of 0.38-0.5-0.62. The MACD is sowing an early buy signal with a line cross under the histogram. I see this as a long trade on continuation with some early bullish divergence with a the potential upside of 20% back to the VWAP lines whose resistance forced the double top. I will put this on my China watchlist watching for the pivot low from which to enter.
NYSE:NIOLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
LI Auto Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold LI when they reduced the delivery outlook: Or on this Earnings Release: Then Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LI Auto prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 20usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2024-5-17, for a premium of approximately $0.60. I think there is still some upside momentum left, followed by a big selloff by the end of the year. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:LIShort
by TopgOptions
XPEVXPEV a few weeks back had the hype and excitement of the VW deal marked on the 1H chart as a head and shoulders from which it has falled onto a thick support and demand zone at the present. The ZL MACD indicator shows a line cross under the histogram which has went red to green. On the dual TF RS indicator the greenlower TF has crossed above the black higher TF and they are both rising reflecting two green candles marking a reversal. I will get in this long trade early an plan to get 16-18% out of it.
NYSE:XPEVLong
by AwesomeAvani
XPEV collaborating with VW = China EV on fire !XPEV is trending up. It is Chinese in the biggest EV market on the planet. No import duties. Low-interest rates on debt and consumer auto loans here as the government is doing the opposite as the US fed. Now the collaboration with VW which has legacy excellence in manufacturing with XPEV whose forte may be technology and autonomous driving innovation. On the 2H chart, the stock price jumped fast and hard on the news catalyst. The MACD launched signals over the histogram and the Volume Price Trend screamed higher. This all spells momentum. While there is a risk of a downfall reversal and drop as they saying goes make hay while the sun shines. There may be shadows of short selling squeezing here. Time will tell. For sure being late to the party is sometimes a waste of time. The real show will be watching XPEV/ VW competing with both NIO and TSLA in China. To the victor goes the spoils. Hold on as the ride will have some bumps.
NYSE:XPEVLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
LI , a Chinese EV manufacturer LONGLI has seen a 60% price rise since significantly beating the earnings estimates of the analysts. LI competes with TSLA and NIO primarily in Chinese and perhaps a little in Scandinavia. It does not import to North America. The 2H chart shows price rising consistently in a channel between the first and second standard deviation lines above the mean anchored VWAP demonstrating trend persistence and momentum. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross at the zero horizontal line and rising as confirmation of bullish momentum. I see $40 as a reasonable target at the level of the 3rd upper standard deviation lines. With the next earnings report due August 21st, I will take a long trade of ten call options striking $38.00 expiring 8/18/23. On the last trading day, this option had a low of $1.75 and a high of $1.90 for an intraday rise of about 8%. The contracts will cost about $1900. I am expecting about a 3% average rise compounded over 30 trading days or 250% return on the trade.
NASDAQ:LILong
by AwesomeAvani
NIO longs for an earnings playNIO has earnings coming up at a good time when the China ecomony is recovering from the lockdown and holding interest rates down to support economic expansion. NIO is also very busy selling their EVs in Scandinavia. On the one-hour chart, NIO has risen above the demand/ support zone and seems to be retracing the recent downtrend. The indicator shows momentum and RSI to have crossed the 50 line but money flow is lagging. Volume is picking up in the last few weeks and price has now crossed over the POC line of the volume profile as another sign of bullish buying pressure and dominance. I will trade a long trade in NIO now before the earnings expecting good price action and volatility will yield decent profit in the trade. The stop loss will be below the support zone and the first TP at $8.00 being the top of the high volume area of the profile while the 2nd TP will be $8.50 and final at $9.00.
NYSE:NIOLong
by AwesomeAvani
Li Auto is about to manipulate the highs it made a year ago!I annotated this chart so hard this time and I know its annoying to look at...but you have your own clean screens to look at it... This should atleast explain what I see and help those who don't know, what to look for. I accidentally came across this chart because I was trying to type bili bili but when i saw the chart with my ESVO lines on it I was like I have to play it. So for me this is just an update to this play that I got into a week ago. Obviously it looks a lot better now that we are here. And I never once thought my bias was wrong as you can tell it didn't want to dump. Because if it did want to it would have. The price was always withing a dollar or a dollar and change to the entry. Now that it has come back to this area I broke down everything the lines are telling me plus everything I see with the amount of space that I have to work with. I could go into about 5 other kinds of trading styles and break those down but I figure I will just leave it at this. Its bullish! All the other stocks in the group are moving with it. So that tells me that big money has been fostering this group of stocks to get it to this point over the last year or less. Since the last highest high. So that should tell you there is a pile of shorts up there that need to be covered for them to continue this move up above that. unless there is a massive surge of volume it might take a while to consolidate all of them. I will be looking for a trend line that this will be tapping into over the duration of this move. And also a trend change which shows that liquidation of shares has begone and that we should be looking for an exit. I do think this could take another 3-6 months to complete. all of the hot areas for this stock are marked on this chart with the exception of the three just below our current price. And Current Price of HKEX:26 this weeks highest volume area $24 Automatic, Session, Daily, Highest High HKEX:23 Daily. Weekly HKEX:22 Highest Low all great supports as they are all stacked under us. If nothing else I think we should hit HKEX:30 however, HKEX:38 and $41.50 are also huge areas of untapped stop losses and pockets of retailers waiting. by iCantw84it 04.17.23
NASDAQ:LILong
by iCantw84it
5
NIO REVERSES within descending parallel channelOn the 30-minute chart, I have drawn the upper (red) and lower (green) trendlines of the descending parallel channel. While it had been riding the upper edge of the Fibonacci/ EMA channel, it has reversed and headed toward the base EMA with the candles green to red. The zero-lag MACD indicator lines crossed above the histogram while the True Strength Index oscillator has had a line cross in the supply / resistance zone for further information. I conclude it is time to close long positions in profit and cross the aisle into short positions. I will take a put option trade for the expirations of 5/19 @ $ 9.50 but a less risky trade would be a longer exiration by 1-2 weeks ( while at the same time decreasing the reward potential.)
NYSE:NIOShort
by AwesomeAvani
ENPH has been great, lets squeeze some more trades out of itENPH has been very busy dropping from $320 to 190ish. Called the bounce last week before the weekend from $210 to 187-190s. Obviously in a downward trend but man this thing can move. If you didn't know you can see one of the institutionals' dumped their shares over the last couple months. Check the chart at the bottom see the ramp up of volume. That's the supply taking on inventory at an over excessive rate. which starts the downward plunge from the $320s. Now as it approaches phase C (the part of the trade where smart money decides to pick this back up or let it go) At this price it might need to dump more to be more attractive. I used ChatGPT to make my own indicators and the ESVO is a way of looking at price and volume normalized. This opened my eyes to some things happening on the chart, I Never noticed before. But you can actually see the profits being taken, stop losses being hit, fomo kick in... watch supply and demand spike while the price action is unfolding. Using Higher and lower time frames you can get great idea of whats happening in the market. when demand is spiking or when supply is oversaturated. Key areas where stop losses are being broke you get a massive spike on the chart with the indicator, which sheds light on what you need to focus on at that moment. If its spiking 5x larger than normal, it means shares are being bought and sold at a rate extremely larger than normal. Meaning, if price action is bullish, and this happens: 1. if Price action continues to move up at a 45 degree angle durring this surge of shares, your stock is very bullish and its about to pop once it clears out all the shares. 2. If price action starts to look weak, it will take a dip and do a mini re-accumulation depending on time frame it could be 5-17 candles. 3. if Price action was already weak and it spikes (basically consolidating or long range consolidation) Price will most likely go right into distribution mode and drop to the next control box or node. Another way to use this is just like you would an EMA, if price crosses it, it will most likely be very aggressive as it goes across and continue or pull back to bounce off the ESVO before continuing its new trend. When the lines are flat it means everything is avg or balanced which doesn't happen very often. Its not uncommon for Price to have to attempt to cross one of these three times before succeeding. If it fails while trying to cross it will most likely pull back and try with more volume. At this point pay attention to if the volume continues or dies off. Sometimes Crossing is the catalyst that sends it moving higher or lower. A lot of the time your highest area of volume and price is where these lines will oscillate or go flat across. There is literally an indefinite amount of ways you can use the ESVO. I set one to a certain setting and based on what price action is doing around the ESVO I can wait for an indecision and know its going up or down on higher time frames. Which is great for finding trade setups. Anyways, let me know if you have any questions. If any of these ideas peak your interest pls like/ follow/ sub/ and most of all pls Boost so we can all enjoy watching it prove me right or wrong. Thanks again. by iCantw84it 03.30.23
NASDAQ:ENPHShort
by iCantw84it
11