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EURUSD 16 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - German CPI/ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Still price is ranging and i'm waiting for a break out of that range. Order flow on 4H is currently bearish within the INT Structure so my expectation is to stay bearish and may target the 15m Swing Low. A formation of Bearish Structure will indicate that the 4H Swing pullback is not yet done and we may have a deep pullback within the 4H Swing. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
Choch Entry & Liquidity Model | Trading StrategyIntroduction: The trading strategy "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" has emerged as an innovative model in the financial domain, focusing on market entry and liquidity. This approach is built upon key principles aimed at maximizing returns and effectively managing risk. Fundamental Principles: The strategy relies on an entry approach known as "Choch Entry," which is presumed to provide precise trading signals based on specific indicators. This method aims to capture significant price movements through a detailed analysis of market data. Liquidity Management: Another distinctive element of this strategy is its focus on liquidity. The "Liquidity Model" seeks to optimize order execution, ensuring that the strategy can enter and exit the market efficiently, minimizing slippage and price impact. Practical Implementation: The practical implementation of this strategy requires a thorough understanding of financial instruments and indicators used in the model. Traders must be able to adapt the strategy to changing market conditions and constantly monitor key variables to make informed decisions. Risks and Challenges: As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to understand the potential risks and challenges associated with the "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" strategy. Market volatility, sudden changes in economic conditions, and other factors can influence outcomes. Conclusions: The "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" trading strategy represents an intriguing approach that combines targeted entry with careful liquidity management. Its effectiveness depends on the trader's proficiency in consistently and flexibly applying key principles, adapting them to the changing dynamics of the market.
Education
by EdgeTradingJourney
EURUSD 15 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : No much development in price since NFP (2 Weeks). Can't see suitable option within that range knowing that it's a big range. But best is always wait for the setups that you are trained on and not to force a setup in current market behavior. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Previous week PA was ranging within the INT Structure EQ. Crossroads now for price. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US PPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed much also yesterday even with CPI news. a whole ranging week and i wish we get out of that range today so we can have better opportunities next week. Wishing everyone a good weekend. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week. 3. After CPI news yesterday, we pushed above range high (NFP High) which enabled me after to mark INT Structure high as we did a CHoCH. Currently we still ranging inside the INT Structure. My Bias still Bullish till we see bearish Structures.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 11 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday too, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI Today. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 10 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysishis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday too, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI on Thursday 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news tomorrow which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 9 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US Trade BalanceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 9 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI on Thursday 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back. 3. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - EUR Retail Sales This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back. 3. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback. 4. Potential demand zone within the Swing extreme.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8-12 Jan 2024 W2 Weekly Analysis - US CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Trading on Holidays: Liquidity and Spreads When trading forex, it's essential to check spreads, especially during holidays. Trading forex during holidays can be a bit more challenging due to reduced liquidity in the market. Liquidity refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in price. During holidays, liquidity can be lower as many traders and financial institutions take time off, leading to fewer participants in the market. Lower liquidity can directly impact the spread, which is the difference between the bid and ask price of a currency pair. In times of reduced liquidity, spreads tend to widen, meaning the difference between the buying and selling price of a currency pair increases. This can lead to higher trading costs for traders, as wider spreads require a larger price movement in the underlying asset before a trade becomes profitable. It's essential for traders to be aware of these potential spread increases during holidays to avoid unexpected trading costs. Additionally, wider spreads can also lead to slippage , where a trade is executed at a different price than expected. This can further impact trading results, especially during fast-moving markets with low liquidity. Therefore, checking spreads during holidays is crucial for forex traders to anticipate potential increases in trading costs and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. On TradingView, you can check the spreads in the top left corner. There you can find bid, ask prices and the spread between them. It's important to factor in the impact of wider spreads on profitability and risk management when trading during these periods. By staying informed about spread changes during holidays, traders can make more informed decisions and better navigate the challenges of lower liquidity in the forex market. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
4
XAUUSD BUY & SELLHello Friends, In this analysis as always i have multiple areas of sell and buy. To begin with currently price is at area 31 which is a buy side level, just below it exist level 26 which is also a potential winner. should price go up level 39 -42 is a supply zone and just above it there is a QM level which price reacted to yesterday and it would be second reaction(risky). * As always make sure you pay attention to the news which is going to be published later this afternoon. * Be honorable
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh
2