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Longoil

USO / UCO a play on barrel oil shock LONGUCO is shown here as a one month trend - It is sitting on the rising support tendline about 2% below the recent high. Oil prices contribute to inflation. Anyone in the USA is aware of gasoline prices at the pump. Geopolitics plays into price. At present, US Navy warships are consuming refined oil and heading to the Middle East. Iran and Russia are sanctioned and must sell oil on the global market ( primarily India and China ) at artificially low prices. If Iran retaliates against Isreal, its oil infrastructure will be bombed back into the Stone Age in less than a day or two by the US. Global oil prices will spike nearly instantly from spot oil to futures. US Domestic producers will benefit ; the insane net cash flow to them will dramatically increase quickly. Russia will sell more oil to make up for Iran being taken off supply but will not capitalize so much given the sanctions. The price of oil will likely go north of $100 USD / barrel and potentially higher. Iran could go nuclear and any residual oil infrastructure would be turned into a quagmire of scrap metal in another day of work for the US Navy bombers and the fighter jets that escort them into strategic missions. Defense contractor stocks will spike as well. This could be a black swan event. My trading dictates that I add to my positions and average in until price goes against my idea. I am increasing my positions in gold and silver along with ETFs inversing the indices banks and financial stocks until the dust is settled. This includes any plays on VIX. I will also look at individual domestic oil stocks as well as junior precious metal miners.
AMEX:USOLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
USOUSD Spot Oil Jumps on Geopolitical Escalation LONGSpot Oil on 30-minute chart had a slow rise in the past 24 hours followed by a pause and then a jump on the Israeli retaliation strikes into Iran. Middle East oil shipping in the Red Sea and Persian Gulf are at risk and shipping insurance for ongoing shipments is likely to experience heavy rate increases if shipping does occur. Houthi rebels may resume proxy attacks on the behalf of Iran. New sanctions contemplated against Iran may include increased action on oil exports and the Israelis could target oil infrastructure. Overall, spot oil now has a bullish bias. I see good cause to increase oil based positions at this time. My target for spot oil based on VWAP lines currently on the chart is 87.5 about 4% upside without leveraging. The volume indicator shows increased buying volumes relative to selling. The PVT shows a quick burst of trend momentum while the TTM indictor triggered and has an upgoing histogram.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
USDUSD Oil Prices react to Middle EastOn Thursday January 11th ( earlier today) WTI Crude prices gyrated widely likely in reaction to US /UK intervention on the terrorists who seized a tanker on the behalf of Iraq in the Red Sea / Suez Canal area putting shipping and supply concerns into the oil industry to offset any weak demand. The 15 minute chart shows a megaphone pattern as a demonstration of waves of relative volatility in price action. I have a position shorting oil and will now close that position as I see a long entry developing here. US companies that use rail and pipeline matching domestic production to consumption are less impacted by this oceanic shipping issue. I will focus on them especially. OXY is at the top of the list and then MRO.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
6
CVX drops and then starts to recover LONGCVX today dropped suddenly for unclear reasons. The possibility of a Israeli - Hamas War cease-fire may have led to expectations that oil prices would fall as the shipping quagmire in the Red Sea might stabilize. Later in the day OPEC+ announced a raised target of $ 1.00 per barrel higher which on balance seems to be an offset maneuver. CVS in the drop lost 2% printed a bear flag in about 90 minutes. i will use this opportunity to buy some all options for September after the height of the summer driving seasons to add to my positions in the futures ETF USO and OXY.
NYSE:CVXLong
by AwesomeAvani
USO ( Oil Futures ETF) Swing Trade Review LONGThe idea was that while US Oil is not directly affected by the tensions in the Middle East as most of it is domestic consumption, what portion of it that is exported does not go through the Suez Canal but rather across the Pacific to Asia mostly. The idea was expanded by no matter that, the Middle East quagmire affects global oil prices all intertwined. The China recession is a drag on oil prices as is Russian sales below market but no matter the shipping costs have gone up and so also the price of what is being shipped. The 30-minute chart shows the trades based on the premise of a volume profile with the evolving high volume area between the blue lines and price simply a black line. As the price is supported by the lower black line and resisted by the upper black line and the price is expected to rise, the trade plan was to "buy low" when the price dropped to the lower black line with two lots of shares. When the price rose to the upper black line sell one of those lots and run the other to gradually acquire more shares and average up. A high-volume area breakout 3 days ago was also used as a buy signal. As of the present, the trade is carrying five lots of 10 shares each. Profit has been pulled out in partials each time a lot has been sold at a red down arrow. The trade close signal will be from the RSI indicator when the fast RSI line in green goes under the slower red RSI line. Upon closure, the profits will be redeployed by shorting USO using a similar strategy: short selling at the top of the high volume area two lots of shares and buying to cover one lot at the bottom of the high-volume area. Although this trade is a slow-moving swing trade used for disciplined and deliberate trading, it is very low risk with moderate profit and for the most part is risk-free because the entry points are relatively precise especially if using a shorter time frame than the 30 minutes here.
AMEX:USOLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
MRO US Oil LongThe US Energy Department has announced open bids for oil contracts to replenish the national strategic reserve which was depleted during the prior run up on global oil prices. This is a sure sign that the feds think that spot oil has but in a bottom especially in the context of shipping disruptions and higher insurance costs due to terrorism /piracy in the area of the Red Sea and Suez Canal. In the meanwhile two South American countries are having sovereignty disputes over oil fields and the British Navy is offshore to buttress the interests of Guyana. MRO is a domestic oil producer that is independent of Middle East issues. Its oil is consumed mostly in the US with a little shipping to Asia only. On the 50 minute chart, price downtrended from January 3th through and then below the high volume area of the volume profile. Price has reversed back up and reapproached the evolving high volume area. The dual TF MACD ( by Chris Moody) shows moving average divergence. Chris Moody's dual TF RSI indicator shows the faster TF RSI rising over the slower TF RSI as a sign of bullish momentum. I have taken both a stock and call options position in MRO having zoomed into the 15 minute TF for a good entry. Given the level of challenges current geopolitics presents to smooth flowing and inexpensive shipping of crude oil, I am expectant of significant gains in these positions. I have also looked into a position in OXY and CVE, which is a Canadian crude producer.
MLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
UCO a crude oil ETF LONGUCO popped in April and then dropped into a consolidation in May and June where it set up a base shown by the POC line on the volume profile. Once over the POC on July 6th on the daily chart coinciding with a golden cross on the HMA 56/210 combination the bull trend began. The dual time frame RS lines in the 60s suggest more to come. I am trading UCO and similar oil-based instruments including USOUSD or forex in the near term until I see signals of a topping that are not yet evident.
AMEX:UCOLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
IMPP a volatile penny oil/energy LONG pre-earningsIMPP is rising from its lows of July after falling from a triple top in June at 3.8 which is the target for a long trade. Price is now above the POC line of an intermediate term volume profile having crossed the mean VWAP line anchored at the share split (purple and thick black lines respectively). Price bounced off the first negative standard deviation line making this a VWAP band bounce. The MACD lines are upgoing and so diverging. I see a stop loss of 0.2 as compared with a profit target of 0.6 making this setup a r:R ratio of 1:3. I will go long here also knowing of the rising energy sector supporting this ticker. This stock is a retail trader favorite when energy is" hot". With earnings in the morning, for me this is a no brainer to buy in the premarket and if rising complement with a call option. If you want my idea of a good call option, please ask in a comment.
NASDAQ:IMPPLong
by AwesomeAvani
USOUSD rises on reversal USOUSD today on the 15-minute chart dropped on a downtrend outside the Bollinger (lower) Band (49, ohlc,2) hit a Doji candle and then started the upward retracement. The RSI indicator shows relative strength hitting a bottom and bouncing up. RSI is about to go over 50. Price is currently below the high volume area with the POC line aligned with the basis center line of the Bollinger Bands. The ECHO indicator, a predictive algo tool is for a 2.5 % upward trend over the next 2-3 days. I see this as a good entry point for a long leveraged forex trade.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
VET is pumping profits LONGVET like OXY is showing a great chart with consistent price action. Fundamentally, it has had great earnings reports in the past year. It rates an 8/8 on the Minervini Trend scale showing strength and duration of trend as very high. Vermillon Energy has been strong in the general market downturn. I see this as a Swing long setup with a good expectant reward for the risk assumed. I am considering the call strike $30 option for September 16th.
NYSE:VETLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
WTI Crude Oil - The crossroad you need to know about !18.4 1) The breakout above the down trend-line starting from the highest high , when the price went above 101, marked the beginning of the movement we've seen so far (+$8). 2) There's 2 technical scenario playouts: *Break above 108.20 with a 4h/1d close - 113.40 to 114.64 may be reached in the very short-term *Break below 104.50 with a 4h/1d close - 97.90 to 93.20 may be reached in the very short-term 3) The circles on the chart mark the horizontal levels of support/resistance which play a very important role in price action. 4) Converging lows and highs are so far in the shape of a 'rising wedge" which could mean there's a higher potential for reversal down. 5) Fundamentally, oil is currently acting within an 'emotional' investor phase , which means in simple terms, there's no real shortage of oil so far - And reality may hit the price hard at any given time. OPEC, Aramco, SHELL, USA all have capability to supply the entire world with oil if necessary. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you liked my analysis please like and follow , it would mean a lot to me :D If there's any questions please don't hesitate to ask me I would also like to hear suggestions of what you guys would like to see more of I thank you for reading this far and wish all of you successful trading <3 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLACKBULL:WTI
by Exactus
1
cvx/tsla and tsla/spxLooking at oil v tsla and tsla v spx Just an observation, CVX/TLSA (top) had a double bottom at .10 - during this time, tsla made new highs relative to SPX(bottom) Interestingly tslaspx is headed towards new highs it looks like while CVX/TSLA is hovering around 0.15 The fact TSLA was 9% higher due to a stock split is laughable, and shows just how absurd these markets are. I think the trend of CVX/TSLA is just getting started...from a longterm perspective it really cant get much more exhausted and finally people are waking up to how important oil still is in context of global energy.
NYSE:CVXLong
by cornbread32
5
BRENT CRUDE OIL BULISH PATTERNBRENT Crude Oil opened with a bullish gap yesterday after the weekend, but it managed to cover it during the trading day and to revert back in long direction, although not managing to reach the levels of yesterday's open. The Upper and the Lower Band of the Bollinger Bands are moving closer together, which is an indicator that the BRENT had lost some of it's initial volatility, which may present a good point of entry due to shrinking spread. The 9 day Moving Average has crossed the 20 day Moving average, and the histogram of the MACD is increasing, which is an indicator for bullish traders to enter. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by legacyFXofficial