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recovery, towards 3400, gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their gains to around $3,365 during the early Asian session on Monday, as investors flocked to safe-haven assets in response to an escalation in global trade tensions. The move comes after US President Donald Trump intensified the trade war over the weekend, announcing a 30% tariff on imports from the European Union and Mexico, effective August 1. This followed last week’s declarations of a 35% duty on Canadian goods and a sweeping 15%–20% tariff proposal on most trading partners, in addition to a 50% tariff on copper imports. Mounting concerns over the economic fallout from these aggressive trade measures have fueled demand for gold, a traditional refuge during times of uncertainty. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Continued price increase, tariff pressure helps gold to be positive again ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3384- 3386 SL 3391 TP1: $3376 TP2: $3364 TP3: $3352 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3308-$3310 SL $3303 TP1: $3319 TP2: $3328 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
Trade Idea: Long XAUUSD (BUY STOP)1️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Structure • 1 Hour (Macro): • Trend: Bullish. 20 SMA is riding above the 50 SMA . • Price has broken above the prior resistance at 3374.50 and is now retesting it as support. • 15 Minute (Tactical): • After a clear push down into 3340.37, price rallied back above 3374.50. • SMAs have flipped back bullish, and volume during the retest shows absorption of selling pressure. • 3 Minute (Entry Precision): • Micro-green candle wicks show a small scratch of buyers stepping in just above 3374.50. • Momentum is picking up to the upside, but we want confirmation of strength before committing. ⸻ 2️⃣ Trade Execution ▶️ Entry: Buy Stop at 3379.50 • Wait for a clean 3 m/15 m push above the short-term swing high (~3379) to confirm buyers are in control. ✂️ Stop Loss: 3374.50 • Just below the broken resistance-turned-support level. • True structural invalidation of this bullish thesis. 🎯 Take Profit: 3394.50 • Targets the next logical resistance cluster (round number area and prior swing highs) for ~15 pt gain. Risk-Reward ≈ 1:3 (SL = 5 pts, TP = 15 pts) ⸻ 3️⃣ Invalidation & Expiry ❌ Cancel the pending Buy Stop at 3379.50 if either: 1. A full 15 m candle closes below 3374.50 before entry. 2. It’s not triggered by 8:30 AM PST.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY STOP)Direction: Long Order Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3366.50 (above recent local resistance and reclaiming structure) Stop Loss: 3352.00 (below M15/M3 structure and recent low) Take Profit: 3402.00 (previous swing high zone and just under H4 resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.57R ⸻ 🧠 Trade Rationale H4 • Price bounced from a higher low around 3320–3330, still respecting the long-term uptrend. • Price is now reclaiming the 20/50 SMA cluster, which could act as dynamic support. • Momentum is neutral-to-positive with MACD poised for a bullish crossover. M15 • Price reclaimed 20 SMA and is now curling back above the 50 SMA. • Clean bullish engulfing structure forming, indicating buyer re-entry. • RSI is mid-50s with room to expand upward. M3 • Strong, steady micro uptrend forming higher lows and consolidating under resistance near 3366. • Increasing volume on upward moves, suggesting healthy interest from buyers. ⸻ 🛡️ Risk Management & Execution • Entry confirmation: Only enter if price breaks above 3366.50 on strength — avoid premature triggers. • Invalidation Window: Trade becomes invalid if price closes below 3350 on a 15-minute candle. This would break both M3 and M15 structure. • SL to BE: Move SL to break-even after price reaches 3377 and forms a micro higher low on M3 or support-resistance flip. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
1
Trade Idea:XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT )📉 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔹 H4 Chart (Macro Bias) • Trend Context: Price is still broadly in an uptrend on the H4, but it’s testing the 50 SMA from above. • MACD: Bearish crossover below the signal line suggests waning bullish momentum. • Volume: Slight uptick in bearish volume as price pulls back from the recent highs. • Bias: Neutral to Bearish Short-Term (H4 trend remains up, but weakening). 🔹 M15 Chart (Setup Zone) • Structure: A sharp selloff broke both the 20 SMA and 50 SMA. • Momentum: RSI ~16, oversold—but that can persist in strong trends. • Volume: Large spike on the breakdown candle = strong bearish interest. • ATR: 7.97 = elevated volatility. • Bias: Bearish momentum, potential pullback retest opportunity. 🔹 M3 Chart (Execution Focus) • Price Action: Freefall with clean rejections at the 20 SMA. • Volume Spike: Bears in control, RSI also confirms momentum exhaustion but no reversal confirmation yet. • Bias: Bearish with potential for bounce/pullback retest entry. ⸻ ✅ Primary Trade Setup Type: 🟥 Sell Limit Rationale: Let price retrace into resistance before fading it, using structure for confirmation. Entry Zone: 3270–3276 area (prior support becomes resistance near 20 SMA on M15 and 50 SMA on M3). Stop Loss: Above structure high → 3283 Take Profit: Next key support zone ~3245–3250 (measured move + demand zone on M15/M3). 📌 Sell Limit Order • Sell Limit @ 3273 • SL @ 3283 • TP @ 3248 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )✅ Bias: Long (Buy) Rationale: • 4H Chart shows price reclaiming the 20/50 SMA zone after the recent pullback — a bullish reset after a shallow correction. • 15M Chart confirms trend resumption — clean higher highs and higher lows, with strong price support above the 20/50 SMA crossover. • 3M Chart shows a breakout with higher volume and sustained move above recent consolidation. White 20 SMA is holding price well. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Setup: Buy XAUUSD • Entry: 3345.00 (wait for a small pullback or price base just above current level for better RR) • Stop-Loss: 3332.00 (below last intraday swing low and the SMA base) • Take-Profit: 3371.00 (near previous resistance zone) Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 2:1 ⸻ 📍 Move SL to Breakeven When: Price reaches 3358.00 (midway point = 1:1 RR) and: • 3M chart shows no strong bearish engulfing or reversal candle. • Volume on the move is rising or stable (not collapsing). This protects capital without choking the trade. ⸻ 🧠 Confluence Summary: • Trend Alignment across all timeframes. • 20/50 SMA bullish stack on 15M and 4H. • Volume Expansion on breakout leg. • RSI (15M) near 67 — strong but not overbought yet (room to run). ⸻ ⚠️ Fundamental Notes: • Gold has been rising with Fed pivot expectations and equity uncertainty — momentum is on the bulls’ side unless sharp risk-on news appears. • Caution near major US data releases tomorrow or speeches from Fed members. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)✅ Trade Bias: Long (Buy) ⸻ 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary 📈 Daily Chart • Trend: Strong uptrend with recent consolidation after an extended move higher. • MACD: Bullish momentum cooling but still positive — histogram declining slightly. • RSI: Neutral zone at 55.90, indicating room to the upside before overbought levels. ⏱ 15-Minute Chart • Trend: Pullback followed by a strong bullish continuation. Price is making higher highs and higher lows. • MACD: Strong bullish crossover; histogram expanding upward. • RSI: 62.34 — not yet overbought, signaling continuation potential. ⏱ 3-Minute Chart • Price Action: Bullish structure holding above short-term moving average. • MACD: Bullish crossover in early stages with histogram turning positive. • RSI: 66.22 — nearing overbought but not signaling immediate reversal. ⸻ 🌐 Fundamental Context • Gold is supported by: • Persisting inflation concerns. • Geopolitical risk premium. • Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed in the coming quarters. There are no immediate bearish catalysts. The macro backdrop favors gold strength, especially as the USD shows some weakness. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Setup: Long XAU/USD • Entry (Buy): 3320.00 • Slight pullback toward previous resistance-turned-support and short-term MA confluence. • Stop Loss (SL): 3295.00 • Below recent intraday swing low and support zone; protects against false breakout. • Take Profit (TP): 3370.00 • Previous high extension zone, aligning with momentum continuation projection. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: BTCUSD (SELL STOP)BTCUSD Trade Setup Analysis FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD 1. Trend Analysis - Price Action: BTC is in a strong uptrend, with recent highs near **105,819.00**. - RSI (14): 72.88** (approaching overbought, but no divergence yet). - MACD: Bullish but showing potential slowing momentum (histogram decreasing). - **Key Levels:** - Support: 82,447.57 (previous resistance turned support). - Resistance: 105,819.00 (current high). 2. Entry Precision - Price Action: Recent rejection from **108,104.70** (lower high) with a drop to **104,834.80**. - RSI (14): 58.39 (neutral, slight bearish bias). - MACD: Bearish crossover (249.955 → 241.911). - **Key Levels:** - Resistance:108,104.70 (recent high). - Support: 104,834.80 (immediate level). 3. Confluence - Price Action: Downtrend in shorter timeframe, with price below **106,237.30**. - RSI (14): 50.6 (neutral, leaning bearish). - MACD: Positive but weakening (41.156). - **Key Levels**: - Resistance: 106,237.30 (recent high). - Support: 102,928.15 (next key level). --- **Trade Idea: Short-Term Bearish Pullback** Entry: - Short near 105,820.00 (daily resistance confluence with 15M rejection). Stop Loss (SL): - 106,300.00 (above recent 3M high) Take Profit (TP): - TP1: 104,834.80 (15M support, 1:2 RRR). - TP2: 102,928.15 (3M support, 1:4 RRR). (IDEAL)
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )🔍 Technical Summary 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong long-term uptrend, recent retracement. • MACD: Still above zero but showing a decline in momentum—suggesting a pullback within a bullish structure. • RSI (14): Neutral at ~50, signaling consolidation, not overbought or oversold. • Price: Holding above major moving average, bullish structure intact. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: Consolidation after downtrend, forming higher lows. • MACD: Positive crossover forming, upward momentum building. • RSI: ~60, showing moderate bullish momentum. • Price Action: Consolidation potentially forming a base at support near 3240. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Trend: Clear short-term bullish breakout structure. • MACD: Bullish crossover active. • RSI: Trending upward but not overbought (~60), indicating room for upside. • Price Action: Small breakout underway above short-term resistance. ⸻ 🧠 Fundamental Backdrop (Gold): • Inflation & Rate Cut Expectations: Potential for Fed rate cuts continues to support gold. • Geopolitical Risk: Any flare-ups (e.g., Middle East or economic instability) tend to favor gold. • USD Weakness: If the USD weakens due to dovish Fed tone, it benefits XAUUSD. ⸻ 🏁 Trade Plan ✅ Trade Idea: LONG XAUUSD • Entry: 3250.00 • Enter slightly below current price for a minor pullback. • Stop Loss (SL): 3225.00 • Below recent local support and consolidation zone. • Take Profit (TP): 3300.00 • Just below recent swing highs for a conservative but strong target. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Justification: Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Strong bullish reversal from recent lows. • MACD is crossing up sharply, showing fresh bullish momentum. • RSI at 62.33 — rising but not yet overbought (room to run). • Price reclaiming key moving averages. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Clear uptrend continuation. • MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum. • Price consolidating at recent highs — potential breakout formation. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Short-term consolidation near highs with low RSI (38.84) — possible dip-buy opportunity. • MACD near zero — primed for a new short-term wave. Fundamental Analysis (as of early May 2025 context): • Likely market optimism surrounding softer inflation data and potential rate cuts. • Dow components (industrials, financials) benefit from economic soft-landing expectations. • VIX (if tracked) remains subdued, confirming risk-on sentiment. ⸻ Trade Plan (Long): • Entry: 42,360 Near current consolidation zone on lower timeframes. • Stop Loss (SL): 41,850 Below recent swing lows and key moving average support (approx. 510 pts risk). • Take Profit (TP): 43,380 Targeting previous resistance area on the Daily chart (approx. 1020 pts reward). FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: BTCUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )1. Trade Direction: Long • Trend Alignment: • Daily: Strong uptrend resumption with higher highs, higher lows, and price reclaiming above key moving average. RSI > 70 indicates strong momentum. • 15-Min: Bullish breakout from consolidation, steep EMA slope, MACD rising, momentum increasing. • 3-Min: Intraday momentum continuation pattern. Clean bullish price structure. • MACD (All Timeframes): Strong bullish crossover, rising histogram — confirming trend strength. • RSI (All Timeframes): RSI not yet overextended on lower timeframes, suggesting room for more upside. • Price Action: Recent breakout with healthy retracement structure and no major bearish divergence. • Fundamentals (Contextual): • BTC crossing $100K is a psychological milestone likely to invite more inflows. • Macro environment remains supportive for digital assets (inflation hedge, fiat debasement narrative). • Strong market sentiment and volume suggest continuation potential. ⸻ 2. Trade Setup Entry: • Entry Zone: $102,800 • Price is consolidating above previous resistance (~$102,000), now acting as support. Stop Loss: • SL: $101,200 • Below most recent intraday swing low and EMA on lower timeframes, giving it enough room. Take Profit: • TP: $106,800 • Near the next psychological level and extension target from recent measured moves. FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade idea: XAGUSD long (BUY LIMIT)1. Technical Analysis Summary: Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend) • Trend: Strong bullish structure, recent consolidation after breakout above $30. • MACD: Histogram tapering but still positive — momentum cooling but bullish bias intact. • RSI (48.70): Neutral zone, not overbought or oversold — room for upside continuation. • Price Action: Holding near previous resistance-turned-support around $32.40. 15-Min Chart (Intraday Context) • Trend: Pullback from recent highs, but signs of base forming near $32.40. • MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is flattening — suggesting downside momentum weakening. • RSI (42.98): Near oversold territory — early sign of bounce potential. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing) • MACD: Just flipped bullish (signal line crossover), bullish divergence spotted. • RSI (61.34): Rebounding strongly — confirmation of short-term bullish momentum. • Price Action: Higher lows forming; reclaiming the 20 EMA. ⸻ 2. Fundamental Backdrop (as of May 2025): • Dovish Fed stance and expectations of interest rate cuts continue to support metals. • Global macro uncertainty (inflation, geopolitical tensions) keeps demand for silver intact. • Industrial demand for silver remains strong due to green energy initiatives. ⸻ 3. Trade Setup (Long Position): Bias: LONG XAGUSD • Entry: 32.43 (current price, confirming breakout on 3M chart) • Stop Loss (SL): 31.90 (below recent intraday low and structure support) • Take Profit (TP): 33.80 (previous swing high from April, daily resistance zone) FUSIONMARKETS:XAGUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAGUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: BTCUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis: Daily Chart • Trend: Strong uptrend with a recent bullish recovery from a pullback. • MACD: Bullish crossover, MACD line above Signal line, histogram positive. • RSI (14): 66.21 — momentum is strong but not overbought. 15-Minute Chart • MACD: Positive histogram and crossover confirming short-term bullish momentum. • RSI (14): 53.89 — mid-range, confirming no immediate exhaustion. • Price Action: Higher lows and higher highs indicate short-term trend alignment with the Daily. 3-Minute Chart • MACD: Bearish divergence, indicating a possible short-term pullback. • RSI (14): 43.43 — recent dip offering a better long entry on minor weakness. • Price: Currently consolidating near $97,000 after rejecting a local high. ⸻ Fundamental Context: • Macro: Institutional inflows into BTC ETFs and upcoming monetary easing expectations are long-term bullish drivers. • Market Sentiment: Risk-on behavior across equities is spilling into crypto. ⸻ Trade Setup (Long Position) • Entry: $96,800 • Minor pullback support zone on M15/M3, aligns with moving average and volume node. • Stop Loss (SL): $95,400 • Below recent swing low and structural support. • Take Profit (TP): $100,200 • Near Daily resistance and psychological round number FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Overview Daily Chart (Macro View): • Trend: Recent bounce from major support near ~37,600 after a sharp selloff. • MACD: Still bearish but showing early signs of momentum reversal (histogram rising). • RSI: Neutral (~53.8), coming up from oversold territory—indicative of potential recovery. • Price: Holding above 41,000, a key psychological level and previous consolidation zone. 15-Minute Chart (Swing/Short-Term View): • Price: Forming higher lows after a significant bounce. • MACD: Nearing a bullish crossover. • RSI: Moderately bullish at ~56.87. 3-Minute Chart (Entry Precision): • Price: Recently broke above short-term moving average. • MACD: Bullish with strong histogram momentum. • RSI: Slightly overbought (~52.90), but not extreme. ⸻ Fundamental Context (as of May 2025): • Market sentiment is cautiously bullish after Fed pause hints and solid tech earnings. • Inflation pressures are easing slightly, supporting risk-on sentiment. • Recent volatility due to rate expectations and macro data; however, markets are recovering from sharp selloffs. ⸻ Bias: Long Position US30 shows a strong recovery setup with macro support, bullish lower-timeframe confirmation, and neutral-to-bullish momentum indicators. Entry (Buy Limit): 40,960 – small retracement near the short-term EMA and previous breakout on the 3-min chart. Stop Loss (SL): 40,700 – below the recent swing low and psychological round level. Take Profit (TP): 41,560 – retest of minor resistance from earlier consolidation area, offering a solid risk-reward. FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: Long (MARKET)Technical Confluence: Daily Chart: • Strong bullish engulfing recovery from recent support (~37,700). • MACD starting to curl back up from deeply negative levels — possible trend reversal. • RSI recovering above 50 (currently 52.49), suggesting bullish strength resuming. 15-Min Chart: • Sustained uptrend with pullbacks respecting the moving average. • MACD crossing positive territory. • RSI at 64.77 with room to move higher before hitting overbought levels. 3-Min Chart: • Tight consolidation after a sharp breakout to 40,766 — forming a potential bull flag. • RSI at 58.89 — mid-level with upward momentum potential. • MACD histogram shrinking — possible continuation breakout imminent. ⸻ Fundamental Context: • Market Sentiment: U.S. markets are generally supported due to strong earnings reports and decreasing recession fears. Treasury yields have stabilized, and risk appetite is returning. • Upcoming Events: FOMC rate decision is key — bullish bias if they hold or soften tone. ⸻ Trade Details: • Entry: 40,770 • Price is consolidating just under this resistance. Enter on breakout with volume confirmation. • Stop Loss (SL): 40,350 • Below recent support on the 15M chart and under the moving average. Conservative SL with volatility in mind. • Take Profit (TP): 41,450 • Measured move from the flag pattern and aligns with Fibonacci extension and historical resistance. FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis Summary Daily Chart (Macro View) • Price has bounced off a key support near 37,700 and reclaimed the psychological level 40,000. • MACD is starting to reverse higher from oversold conditions, showing early bullish divergence. • RSI is recovering from below 30, now near 49, indicating a potential trend reversal. • Trend: Medium-term recovery from a correction; possible continuation to recent highs around 44,000. 15-Minute Chart (Tactical Entry Zone) • Price has broken a downtrend and is now consolidating above previous resistance at 40,000. • MACD is bullish (histogram rising), and signal lines are above zero. • RSI at 62.6, suggesting bullish momentum but not yet overbought. • White MA shows clear upward curvature. 3-Minute Chart (Precision Entry) • Recent pullback retested the MA and bounced. • RSI at 66, nearing overbought, but price is in clear short-term uptrend. • MACD just crossed bullish again after a small consolidation. ⸻ Fundamental Context • Recent Fed signals suggest potential rate pause or cuts, which is bullish for indices. • Earnings season has generally surprised to the upside, especially among large caps. • Macro backdrop: Slowing inflation + strong labor market = supportive of equities. • Risk appetite is increasing, as seen in tech and industrials rebounding. ⸻ Trade Setup • Position: Long US30 Entry • Buy: 40,200 (current price action confirms upward momentum) Stop Loss (SL) • SL: 39,700 (below recent 15-min swing low & psychological level) Take Profit (TP) • TP1: 41,200 (recent intraday high and near resistance) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Justification: 1. Daily Chart: • Price has recently bounced strongly from a significant support zone around 37,675, confirming a bullish rejection. • RSI is rising from oversold levels (currently around 48), showing momentum is shifting upwards. • MACD is still negative but starting to converge, signaling a potential reversal in the mid-term. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Strong bullish move, breaking through previous structure highs. • MACD and RSI are both in bullish territory, RSI ~63, not yet overbought. • Price consolidating around 40,090, suggesting possible continuation. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Micro trend is clearly bullish. • Minor consolidation after a push upward — ideal for breakout or pullback entry. • RSI at ~49, healthy for continuation, MACD slightly bullish. ⸻ Fundamental Backdrop (as of now): • Earnings season in the US is ongoing with strong reports from major companies. • Rate cut expectations later in the year are improving market sentiment. • Recent data suggests soft landing scenario, supporting risk-on assets like equities. ⸻ Trade Setup: • Direction: Long (Buy) • Entry: 40,050 (pullback entry) • Stop Loss (SL): 39,750 (below recent breakout base) • Take Profit (TP): 40,650 FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl