BTC BEARISH TRADE SETUP DEVELOPING CHART PAATERNBearish Trade Setup Developing
The market is currently trading near 119,000, facing a strong resistance zone at 121,500. If the price fails to break and hold above this resistance, a downward move is expected.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 121,500
First Support / Setup Area: 116,000
Target Level: 112,000
A rejection from resistance followed by confirmation of lower highs could initiate a strong bearish trend. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely for confirmation before entering short positions.
Note: Risk management is essential Always trade with a defined stop-loss
Longsetup
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is:
What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here?
Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure
May–June Range:
BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C:
✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE)
✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE)
Full Bull Market TBFE:
➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected
➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone
Pitchfork (log scale):
➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting.
Previous Bear Market Fib Extension:
➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit.
2018–2022 Cycle TBFE:
➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped.
Macro Fibonacci Channel:
➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) →
1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K.
✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance.
Daily Timeframe
➡️ FVG / Imbalance:
Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low.
BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely.
Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook
We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting.
The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C.
➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K
➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326
➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry: $120,300–$121,000
Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300)
Target: $113,500
R:R ≈ 1:2.3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000
Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500)
Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes
When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools.
Here’s why:
➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings.
➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves.
➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone.
In short:
When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry.
That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase.
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SOL ANALYSIS🔮 #SOL Analysis 💰💰
📊 #SOL is making perfect and huge rounding bottom pattern in daily time frame, indicating a potential bullish move. If #SOL retests little bit and breakout the pattern with high volume then we will get a bullish move📈
🔖 Current Price: $173.75
⏳ Target Price: $204.00
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#SOL #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
BTC sideways above 115k💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (July 17)
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC Recovers as Trump Steps In to Revive Crypto Legislation Momentum
Bitcoin (BTC) saw a mild recovery, trading around $119,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after falling nearly 2% the previous day. This rebound followed an announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday morning, stating that the GENIUS Act is ready to be passed by the House during the legislative “Crypto Week”, sparking optimism in the crypto market. Furthermore, institutional demand continues to grow, with spot Bitcoin ETFs recording over $400 million in inflows on Tuesday, extending the growth streak since July 2.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🧠 Pattern Overview:
The chart clearly displays an Elliott Wave pattern (1) → (2) → (3) → (4) → (5) along with Fibonacci Retracement and Extension levels, helping to identify potential support and resistance zones.
1. Elliott Waves:
Wave (3) was completed around the $122,144 zone and the market is currently in the corrective wave (4).
Wave (5) is expected to move upward with targets at:
• 1.618 Fibonacci Extension: ~$127,404
• Or further: ~$130,747
2. Support Zone (grey area below):
Located around $115,000 – $116,000, which is:
• The 0.5 – 0.618 retracement of Wave (3)
• Aligned with the EMA200 and dotted black trendline support.
If the price falls into this area, it’s highly likely to bounce back and form Wave (5).
3. Danger Zone if Broken:
If this support fails, price may fall deeper to:
• $113,200 (0.786 retracement),
• Or even lower: $111,600 – $111,800
4. Potential Scenarios:
Two main outcomes:
• Continued Uptrend: Price bounces from the support zone and heads toward $127,000 – $130,000
• Breakdown: If the support breaks, a deeper decline may occur, breaking the wave structure.
Follow the channel for continuous and up-to-date analysis on XAUUSD, CURRENCIES, and BTC.
Gold Bulls Loading Up – Our Short Squeeze Trigger is Set!🚨 Gold Bulls Loading Up – Our Short Squeeze Trigger is Set!
We’re flipping the script on COMEX_MINI:MGC1! After a prolonged downtrend and textbook wedge compression, our breakout long is LIVE – but not without trapping the late shorts first.
💥 Entry: $3,312.1
🛑 Stop: $3,288.4
🎯 Target: $3,458.9
🧮 Risk/Reward: 6.19
Price just bounced at the retest of the wedge apex, and volume is confirming the move. If this holds, we’re riding momentum all the way up – and letting short pressure fuel the breakout.
📈 Trendline breached.
⏳ Time compression converging.
⚠️ If you’re still short, watch your stops!
$NU : 30% CAGR for your portfolio for the next 3-5 years!- NYSE:NU is a big name in the LATAM.
- LATAM is expected to grow significantly in next decade with digitalization as the strongest theme.
- Let's talk about fundamentals:
Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028
EPS | 0.56 | 0.77 | 1.05 | 1.45
EPS growth% | 31.99% | 37.71% | 36.05% | 38.58%
For a company growing EPS at 30%+ deserves a forward p/e of 30
Base Case Stock Value ( Forward p/e = 30 ):
Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028
fair value | $16.8 | $23 | $31 | $43
Bear Case ( Forward p/e = 20 )
Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028
fair value | $11.2 | $15.4 | $21 | $29
Bull Case ( Forward p/e = 35 )
Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028
fair value | $19.6 | $26.95 | $36.75 | $50
EURUSD – Weakness emerges at descending channel resistanceEURUSD remains within a well-defined descending channel and was recently rejected at the upper trendline – a key dynamic resistance zone. Price action shows the recovery is limited around 1.16600, with multiple FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones reinforcing the potential for further downside.
On the news front, the euro remains under pressure as Eurozone inflation data brought no surprises, while the US dollar is supported by June’s PPI rising exactly as expected at 0.2%. This combination leaves EURUSD with little momentum to break higher, making a move back toward the 1.15300 support area a scenario to watch.
If the price fails to break above 1.16600 and forms a lower high, the bearish trend will be further confirmed. Keep an eye on price behavior around the FVG zones to identify optimal entry points.
XAUUSDDear traders,
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that gold could extend its short-term decline after being rejected from the range boundary. However, that bearish structure was quickly invalidated following a sharp upside move, signaling a potential trend reversal. If this momentum continues, I anticipate that price may soon reach the levels of 3,355 and 3,365.
Feel free to leave a comment if you have any thoughts to add. Good luck!
$GTLB undervalued, Potential 2X, AI assisted coding tailwind- NASDAQ:GTLB is likely one of the play for Agentic AI. When other companies like Windsurf, Codium, Cursor are in a goldrush. NASDAQ:GTLB is selling shovels.
- AI assisted coding is now a theme and is happening at a fast pace. I'm certain NASDAQ:GTLB will be a beneficiary of this trend.
- NASDAQ:GTLB has launched various AI based features on its platform which will get adoption and it will be easier for the company to upsell these features.
- P/S for NASDAQ:GTLB is depressed. If they even execute on their fiscal goals, re-rating should lift the stock up.
- NASDAQ:GTLB should be a 2X in less than 3 years in my opinion given secular shift and macro as a tailwind.
Fair value for NASDAQ:GTLB as of now is $68-72
USDJPY – Rejection Pressure Builds, Is a Reversal on the HorizonUSDJPY has been rejected for the third time at the diagonal resistance line, forming a potential lower-high pattern that suggests a reversal could be underway. The RSI is dropping from the overbought zone, clearly indicating weakening bullish momentum. If the price breaks below 146.900, a bearish trend may be confirmed, with a possible move toward the lower support area.
On the news front, U.S. Treasury yields have stalled after a strong rally, and jobless claims have ticked up slightly—dampening expectations for further Fed rate hikes. This puts pressure on the USD while favoring the safe-haven JPY.
Traders should closely monitor the price action around the 149.300 level. Continued rejection could offer a prime shorting opportunity!
GBPJPY set for breakoutGBPJPY is currently trading in a sideways pattern within an ascending channel. The support zone around 197.900 has been respected multiple times, while price repeatedly fails to break above the 199.800 resistance – signaling that built-up pressure may soon erupt.
Recent data shows that UK inflation remains high, and the Bank of England may maintain its hawkish stance, supporting the GBP. Meanwhile, global risk-off sentiment continues to weaken the JPY.
If price breaks through the current resistance, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend, with a target toward the upper boundary of the red channel. However, if rejection persists, buying from support remains a valid strategy.
xauusd – is gold coiling up for a breakout?After multiple retests of the ascending trendline since March, gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold a solid bullish structure. While it hasn’t decisively broken through the 3,366 resistance, price action suggests that buyers are still in control. The repeated appearance of FVG zones signals smart money accumulation beneath the surface.
On the news front, U.S. PPI data came in at a 0.2% increase — exactly in line with expectations. This neutral result hasn’t given the USD a strong push, which may allow gold to maintain or even inch higher in the short term.
As long as the 3,265 support zone holds, the path remains open for a move toward the 3,449 target area. This might be the final consolidation before a powerful breakout. The question is: are you ready to ride the next leg up?
GBPJPY – Eyeing new highs as bullish structure holdsGBPJPY continues to trade within a steady ascending channel and has recently bounced from short-term support around 198.200. If price breaks above 199.400, bullish momentum could strengthen, targeting the previous high near 200.800 — a key resistance zone that has been rejected before.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations that the Bank of England will maintain high interest rates to combat inflation are supporting the pound. Meanwhile, investor sentiment remains cautious toward the yen following dovish signals from the Bank of Japan. If upcoming UK economic data is positive, GBPJPY may continue climbing in the sessions ahead.
AUDUSD – Mild rebound, downside risk aheadAUDUSD is approaching a key trendline resistance after a short-term recovery. However, repeated rejections at this level in the past suggest a potential reversal is forming. The current structure mirrors previous setups – a mild rally into the trendline followed by weakness.
On the news front, recent U.S. economic data has supported the dollar, particularly stable job numbers and consumer confidence. Meanwhile, the market is awaiting the upcoming FOMC meeting minutes and Australia’s CPI report. Without a surprise boost from AUD fundamentals, the pair could face renewed downward pressure in the coming sessions.
Gold set to surge? XAUUSD is holding firmly within a clear ascending channel on the H1 chart. After a strong rally, price is showing signs of a minor pullback toward the trendline support – potentially the last chance for buyers before gold accelerates toward the upper resistance zone.
On the news front, lower-than-expected U.S. producer inflation data has weakened the dollar, increasing gold’s appeal as a safe haven. In the coming days, key economic events like retail sales and comments from the Fed could serve as catalysts for the next bullish leg.
EURUSD – Bullish Momentum ReturnsEURUSD is gradually breaking free from downward pressure as it breaches the short-term accumulation structure, aiming for the resistance zone around 1.1720. On the chart, a clear bullish trend is emerging, supported by FVG signals reinforcing the recovery.
On the news front, expectations are rising that the European Central Bank will maintain a tighter policy stance for longer, as core inflation in the Eurozone remains elevated. Meanwhile, the USD is under corrective pressure following last week’s lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data. Upcoming statements from ECB and Fed officials today will be key in determining the next move for this currency pair.
Unless a surprise arises from the U.S. side, EURUSD is likely to sustain its short-term upward momentum and test the next technical resistance area.