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Middle East War - Gold Price Increases✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/23/2025 - 06/27/2025 ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering near $3,369 and on track to post a weekly loss of nearly 1.90%, as markets digested US President Donald Trump’s decision to forgo immediate military action against Iran in favor of a diplomatic approach. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.11%. While easing geopolitical tensions helped lift risk sentiment, additional pressure on gold emerged from concerns over potential US restrictions on allies operating semiconductor plants in China, as reported by Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged a risk-on tone, weighing on the appeal of the safe-haven metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Middle East tensions escalate, gold prices continue to recover above 3400, early next week 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3395, $3448 Support: $3302, $3256 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Detailed technical analysis of the ETH/USD chart🧭 General Context (1D, Long-Term): The chart covers the period from approximately September 2023 to June 2025. ETH/USD has gone through a complete cycle: growth → decline → correction → potential consolidation/accumulation. 🔹 Market Structure (Price Action) 🔸 Trends: November 2023 – March 2024: strong uptrend, ETH reaches highs around $4,000+ March 2024 – February 2025: clear downtrend ending with a local low around $1,600 February 2025 – May 2025: dynamic rebound – probable trend change (new higher low + higher high) May – June 2025: currently consolidating between ~$2,400–2,800 📉 Key Support and Resistance Levels Type Level Notes 🔴 Resistance ~2,800 – 2,900 Local high, many candles with shadows rejected from above 🟡 Resistance ~3,200 – 3,400 Beginning of strong declines from 2024 🟢 Support ~2,300 – 2,400 Local lows in June 2025 🟢 Strong support ~1,600 – 1,800 Final market low of March 2025 (possible accumulation phase) 📊 Technical indicators ✅ Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart): Currently in the oversold zone (~0–20) → may signal a potential bottom / buying opportunity Red-blue lines are starting to wrap upwards → possible rebound Recent crossovers of the indicator corresponded to local price movements 🔍 Technical formations ⚠️ Possible formations: Double Bottom: February–March 2025 → classic trend reversal formation Rising Channel: from March 2025 to present – ​​prices are moving in a slightly rising channel Current consolidation may be a bull flag (continuation after the increase) 📌 Summary – scenarios 🟢 Bullish scenario: Breakout of resistance ~2,800 → possible test of levels 3,200 – 3,400 USD Confirmation of a higher low → continuation of the uptrend Stochastic RSI in the oversold zone → potential for an uptrend 🔴 Bearish scenario: Drop below 2,300 USD → possible return to the area of ​​1,800–1,600 USD Breakout of the structure of higher lows Confirmation that the increase was only a correction 🧠 Final conclusions Currently, ETH/USD is in a key decision zone: after a strong rebound, the market is resting. Stochastic RSI suggests a potential upside impulse, but requires confirmation by a breakout of resistance. For traders: 2,800 (resistance) and 2,300 (support) are worth watching. For investors: 1,600–1,800 could be considered a long-term accumulation zone.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BTC continues to accumulate above 103,500Plan BTC today: 19 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Bitcoin (BTC) price edges slightly higher, trading near $104,700 at the time of writing on Thursday, after stabilizing above a key level — the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $103,100. A breach below this level could trigger a sharp fall in BTC. Risk aversion could intensify, as reports indicate that US officials are preparing for a strike on Iran in the coming days. Despite this risk-off sentiment in global markets, institutional demand remains strong, with US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) seeing positive inflows for eight consecutive days personal opinion:!!! btc continues to accumulate above 103,500, the market is no longer sensitive to interest rate information yesterday Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 103.500 \ 101.000 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long
by JJainy
1
Accumulate around 3400, Keep interest rate today⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices slipped below the $3,400 threshold on Tuesday, weighed down by renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD), despite a worsening global risk sentiment. The resilience of the greenback limited gains in the safe-haven asset, though mounting tensions between Israel and Iran continue to offer underlying support. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,380, down 0.05%. Although risk appetite remains subdued, gold has struggled to rally, as the US Dollar regains ground. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the currency against a basket of six major peers, climbed 0.46% to 98.58. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions intensified after US President Donald Trump abruptly departed the G7 summit in Canada on Monday in response to unfolding events in the Middle East. In a stark warning posted to his social platform, he urged, “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran,” signaling a sharp escalation in the conflict that began last Friday. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is moving in accumulation zone below 3400 - 3365. Break and return above 3400, continue to accumulate. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3437- 3439 SL 3444 TP1: $3425 TP2: $3410 TP3: $3395 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3338-$3340 SL $3333 TP1: $3346 TP2: $3355 TP3: $3370 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
Continue the uptrend, gold price returns to 3444⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) slipped for the second consecutive session on Tuesday, retreating from an early uptick during the Asian session that briefly pushed prices above the $3,400 mark. A slight rebound in the US Dollar (USD) continues to weigh on the precious metal, acting as a key drag. However, the downside appears limited amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will initiate further rate cuts in 2025. Meanwhile, the ongoing aerial conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its fifth day, heightening fears of a wider regional escalation. This persistent geopolitical uncertainty is keeping demand for safe-haven assets like gold supported. Investors are also exercising caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) two-day policy meeting, the outcome of which may shape the next directional move for non-yielding bullion. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price takes liquidity from lower supports: completed 3385, 3373. short term downtrend break. Gold price will soon return above 3400. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3443- 3445 SL 3450 TP1: $3435 TP2: $3422 TP3: $3407 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3352-$3350 SL $3345 TP1: $3368 TP2: $3376 TP3: $3390 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
BTC accumulates above 104,300 zonePlan BTC today: 17 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Bitcoin (BTC) price falls to around $106,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday following a mild recovery the previous day. The decline comes as investors continue to digest the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict and after US President Donald Trump highlighted concerns and asked his security advisors to meet in the Situation Room. While institutional interest in Bitcoin remains robust, any further escalation in the Middle East could impact global risk assets. The US steps in to resolve the Iran-Israel war Bitcoin price action remained broadly resilient on Monday despite escalating tensions in the Middle East. The four-day-old war between Israel and Iran, which began on Friday, has so far failed to trigger a sharp correction. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization held above its key psychological threshold of 100,000 despite the initial shock — a contrast to April last year, when BTC fell more than 8% amid similar Iran-Israel turmoil. The New York Times reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump has encouraged Vice President JD Vance and his Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, to offer to meet with the Iranians this week. personal opinion:!!! Gold price continues sideways and accumulates in 2 trend lines, support 104,300 Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 104.300 - 104.100 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long
by JJainy
1
Accumulate, BTC back above 110K💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 16) NOTABLE BITCOIN (BTC) NEWS: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are showing signs of stabilization around key support levels following last week’s correction. BTC is attempting to regain momentum after closing below a critical support zone, while ETH and XRP are hovering near technical thresholds that could determine their next directional move. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OUTLOOK: Bitcoin could decline further if it closes below the 50-day EMA Bitcoin closed below its daily support at $106,406 on Thursday, then bounced back after retesting the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $102,893 on Friday. BTC has since stabilized around the $105,000 level over the weekend. As of Monday, it continues to consolidate, trading near $105,788. If BTC fails to close above the $106,406 resistance level and heads lower, it may extend its decline toward the psychologically significant $100,000 level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is hovering around the neutral 50 mark, signaling indecision among traders. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bearish crossover on the daily chart, indicating selling pressure and a possible downtrend continuation. At this stage, whether you're new or experienced, it's wise to spend more time practicing, deepening your technical analysis knowledge, and exploring educational content shared on the channel. Strengthening your foundation will help you protect your capital in this volatile environment. ==> This analysis is for trend reference only. Wishing all investors successful trades!
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
The FVG was the invitation. The OB was the entryBTC delivered exactly where it needed to. It didn’t break down. It rebalanced. The chart isn’t noisy — it’s speaking. And it’s pointing to 108.3k. The logic: Price printed clean displacement, returned to mitigate a 1H FVG stacked on top of a refined Order Block, then paused. That pause is structure — not indecision. Volume compression confirms it: absorption, not rejection. A deeper OB sits below at 102.5k. If we tap it, it’s not invalidation — it’s refinement. But the primary play is already in motion. The path: Reclaim 105.7k range high Break above intraday liquidity Deliver to 108.3k inefficiency fill Execution: Entry: 104.8k–105.1k (current OB zone) SL: Below 103.9k TP: 108.3k Don’t react to the candles. React to what they represent — engineered displacement followed by precision mitigation. Final thought: “This isn’t a trade setup. It’s a delivery route — and I’m already onboard.”
Long
by SmartFlowst
Can $ALB Triple Without Lithium Prices Hitting All-Time Highs?🧠 TL;DR Albemarle ( NYSE:ALB ), a global lithium heavyweight, has seen its stock price collapse over 70% from its 2022 highs, closely tracking the decline in lithium spot prices. With lithium carbonate plunging from ~$80,000/ton to under $15,000/ton, many investors assume a rebound in the commodity is a precondition for a meaningful recovery in $ALB. But what if that assumption is wrong? This post explores whether Albemarle can stage a powerful comeback even if lithium prices remain far below their peak. Once lithium bottoms—potentially soon—investors can begin extrapolating annual demand growth and embed those expectations into the share price, setting the stage for a valuation rerating. The headline chart tracks the long-term price relationship between Albemarle and lithium carbonate, normalized and plotted on a logarithmic scale. It shows the synchronized peaks of 2022, the ensuing crash, and where that correlation may have decoupled. While the lithium price collapse has been severe, NYSE:ALB has arguably overcorrected — potentially pricing in a long-term depression in lithium that may never materialize. 🏭 Revenue, Net Income, and Lithium This chart juxtaposes Albemarle's trailing revenue and net income against spot lithium prices. Despite a sharp fall in the commodity, the company posted two successive quarters of profitability, and revenue remains well above pre-boom levels. This resilience suggests: Multi-year pricing contracts offer insulation from spot volatility Cost structure remains profitable even at current prices Demand tailwinds (EVs, grid storage) are still pushing through 📊 Negative Forward P/E, Positive Earnings, and Discount to NAV While forward P/E metrics have dipped into negative territory, this doesn’t tell the full story. The company delivered back-to-back profitable quarters, and the current share price reflects a significant discount to estimated net asset value. The market is currently punishing ALB based on trailing pessimism and collapsing sentiment, rather than forward fundamentals. When lithium prices stabilize, even at mid-cycle levels, investors may reprice ALB based on future earnings potential and hard assets—not backward-looking assumptions. 🔍 Key Takeaways 🔋 Demand Remains Strong EVs, grid storage, and electrification trends are not slowing. Lithium demand is projected to more than triple by 2030. Even modest demand growth off the current base will stretch supply chains, especially if new projects are delayed. 🏗️ Albemarle’s Structural Edge With a relatively low cost of production and long-term contracts in place, ALB is positioned to ride through the downturn. The company has already demonstrated profitability at today's prices. 📉 Valuation Compression = Opportunity At current levels, the stock appears to price in a scenario of sustained low lithium prices and declining demand. But the company’s hard assets, cost advantage, and future demand curve suggest a different reality. 🧠 Final Thought Once lithium prices bottom—maybe relatively soon—investors can begin to extrapolate the rate of annual growth and embed those expectations into the share price, potentially triggering a sharp re-rating before spot prices ever return to their highs.
COMEX:LTH1!Long
by quickshiftinn
Despite ongoing supply restrictions PPLT trendsAs uncertainty in US equity and job future rises a trend appears in precious metals and bonds. The demand for natural resources continues to grow despite tariff concerns. Trumps PGM policies threatened to shake the market, however, majority of platinum is mined in countries with less strict tariff restrictions and even in the US.; infact, South Africa is the largest producer of platinum with Zimbabwe holding significant reserves, Russia is also a leading force. In addition to Canada- where an independent researcher Jayanth Chennamangalam is exploring the legalities of an exploration to mine platinum in space from craters on the moon. Both PPLT and PLTM have seen resent up growth, trying to push back to their highs of the early 2020s. I have taken the mean of 7 angles representing our highest and lowest points at approx 50°or greater and attached it to our new low- the cross section of this angle and the resistance point drawn from our all time high estimate we are ahead of schedule for reaching our all time high in Sept 2025. "Within our updated palladium forecasts to 2029f, we expect market deficits to last until 2027f (previously 2025f) before market surpluses gradually build from 2028f. Given ongoing uncertainties, this report does not fully capture the impact of Trump’s policies on PGM demand, but we do not expect them to be of sufficient magnitude to materially change the platinum and palladium deficits laid out herein. " (platinuminvestment.com) We could have anticipated this upcoming growth by paying close attention to the K line cross and divergence on our Stochastic oscillator (14,3,3). "C:\Users\ChrisPC\Downloads\PPLT_2025-06-12_15-47-20.png"
AMEX:PPLTLong
by ChrisKaitlynTV
1
Ethereum is deciding where it wants to live.This is not a trade idea, this is a long term concept, most of my portfolio is swing when bull market comes (monthly/yearly) not trade (daily/weekly). This is a solid question that will have to be played out in the upcoming years, Ethereum keeps changing its monetary policy and right now has less supply increase than BTC (due to burning mechanisms), will that stay forever? What will happen in the future to the policy? What it will mean for price? Right now we can clearly see this is a bull case for future months.
Long
by Teqnkka
Can gold price maintain the uptrend above 3400?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices advanced by approximately 0.97% on Wednesday, buoyed by signs of easing inflation in the United States (US), which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could resume rate cuts as early as September. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,363. The May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a slowdown in price pressures compared to April, prompting a surge in demand for the yellow metal. In response, gold briefly rallied to an intraday high near $3,360 before paring back some of those gains, as investors recalibrated their outlook on the Fed’s policy path. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Middle East concerns, along with information about influential high tariffs on countries without trade agreements. Gold prices have recovered, but there is no long-term stability. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3428- 3430 SL 3435 TP1: $3410 TP2: $3395 TP3: $3382 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3345-$3343 SL $3338 TP1: $3355 TP2: $3367 TP3: $3380 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
5
doge buy long term "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
$BTC/USDT MAJOR PUMP? or MAJOR DUMP?BTC, the worlds biggest and fastest growing coin. With a market cap in the Trillions, we are facing a major moment. Will price dump? or will it pump and go above and beyond. Lets find out in this analysis! 1. Trend Overview HTF Bullish: Price remains above the long-term bullish trendline, showing strong macro support. Recent price action is consolidating within a major supply zone and liquidity cluster — signaling indecision before a breakout or breakdown. 📈 2. OBV (On-Balance Volume) Analysis OBV is coiling in a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This tightening range typically precedes a major breakout or breakdown, matching the price consolidation near resistance. 🔄 Market Structure Price has formed a potential top just under the supply/liquidity zone (~$110,000–$112,000). Swing High is defined just below $112K. Key structure zones are: Resistance zone at current levels. Support zones: 1D FVG ($97K) and Weekly FVG ($87K–$93K) 🟪 Supply & Demand Zones Supply Zone: $100k - $112k — multiple rejections here indicate this is a key short-term ceiling. Demand Zone: Deep support between $50-$57K, aligns with trendline and historical value area. 🔵 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) 1D FVG: $97K area — may act as magnet if price breaks below resistance. 1W FVG: $87K–$93K — stronger structural level to watch. If both are filled, price may meet the bullish trendline around $90K. 🧠 Liquidity Zones Above current price: ~$112K is marked as a liquidity grab area — stop hunts may occur before major reversal. Below: FVG zones could trigger a liquidity sweep downwards before reversal. 🔴 Volume Profile Strong high-volume node (HVN) around $80K–$97K: acceptance zone, likely to act as magnetic support. Above $110K is a low-volume node (LVN): if broken cleanly, price may accelerate quickly toward $120K+. ✅ Bullish Scenario Break above $112K → sweep liquidity → continuation toward $120K–$125K. (Price Discovery) OBV breakout upwards would confirm. Hold above FVG 1D if retested = healthy bullish continuation structure. ❌ Bearish Scenario Rejection at supply → drop to FVG 1D ($97K), then potentially Weekly FVG (~$93K). If OBV breaks downward, it confirms bearish volume divergence. Breakdown below trendline could target deeper into demand zone (~$70K+). 📌 Summary Bias: Neutral-bullish short term, bullish macro (above trendline). Key Breakout Level: $112K. Critical Support: $91K–$97K (FVG cluster). Confirmation: OBV breakout + clean structure break. Invalidation: Weekly close below long-term trendline and FVG zones.
by King_BennyBag
5
sand buy spot "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
Delta Airlines - Long Term FlyerHey, all. Pretty intense idea here, but I am a buyer of NYSE:DAL at these levels. Obviously, the chart looks awful from a recent performance perspective. However, if you take a long term view, we could actually be rebalancing after an initial range expansion to the upside. Just like NASDAQ:RIVN , airlines are/have been a pretty brutal investment. I guess I have a thing for pain. Ha. I am certainly a believer that airlines are undervalued here and can reverse back to the upside. Of course, it goes against the current narrative that the economy is showing signs of weakness. But I am just willing to take the risk on this one. I believe the consumer and culture shift in the US to have more experiences in life will continue to hold. Are we going to come in for a hard landing, or take off to cruising altitude? We'll see what kind of lift the market will give us. Right now the turbulence is pretty intense.
NYSE:DALLong
by redykhouse
USDCHF: weekly overviewHello Traders, In long-term, we anticipate a bearish move to 0.76500 for this pair. but for this week, our most important zone is the 0.81911 ********************************************************** The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
by AliSignals
Warren Buffett's Approach to Long-Term Wealth BuildingUnderstanding Value Investing: Warren Buffett's Educational Approach to Long-Term Wealth Building Learn the educational principles behind value investing and dollar-cost averaging strategies, based on historical market data and Warren Buffett's documented investment philosophy. --- Introduction: The Million-Dollar Question Every Investor Asks Warren Buffett—the Oracle of Omaha—has consistently advocated that index fund investing provides a simple, educational approach to long-term wealth building for most investors. His famous 2007 bet against hedge funds proved this principle in dramatic fashion: Buffett wagered $1 million that a basic S&P 500 index fund would outperform a collection of hedge funds over 10 years. He crushed them. The S&P 500 returned 7.1% annually while the hedge funds averaged just 2.2%. Today, we'll explore the educational principles behind this approach—examining historical data, mathematical concepts, and implementation strategies for learning purposes. --- Part 1: Understanding Value Investing for Modern Markets Value investing isn't about finding the next GameStop or Tesla. It's about buying quality assets at attractive prices and holding them for compound growth . For beginners, this translates to: Broad Market Exposure: Own a cross-section of businesses through low-cost index funds Long-term Perspective: Think decades, not months Disciplined Approach: Systematic investing regardless of market noise "Time is the friend of the wonderful business, the enemy of the mediocre." - Warren Buffett Real-World Application: Instead of trying to pick between NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NASDAQ:GOOGL , you simply buy AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and own pieces of all 500 companies automatically. --- Part 2: Dollar-Cost Averaging - Your Secret Weapon Against Market Timing The Problem: Everyone tries to time the market. Studies show that even professional investors get this wrong 70% of the time. The Solution: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) eliminates timing risk entirely. How DCA Works: Decide on your total investment amount (e.g., $24,000) Split it into equal parts (e.g., 12 months = $2,000/month) Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market fluctuations completely DCA in Action - Real Example: Let's say you started DCA into AMEX:SPY in January 2022 (right before the bear market): January 2022: AMEX:SPY at $450 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.22 shares) June 2022: AMEX:SPY at $380 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.63 shares) December 2022: AMEX:SPY at $385 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.60 shares) Result: Your average cost per share was $405, significantly better than the $450 you would have paid with a lump sum in January. --- Part 3: The Mathematics of Wealth Creation Here's where value investing gets exciting. Let's run the actual numbers using historical S&P 500 returns: Historical Performance: - Average Annual Return: 10.3% (1957-2023) - Inflation-Adjusted: ~6-7% real returns - Conservative Estimate: 8% for planning purposes Scenario 1: The $24K Start Initial Investment: $24,000 | Annual Addition: $2,400 | Return: 8% Calculation Summary: - Initial Investment: $24,000 - Annual Contribution: $2,400 ($200/month) - Expected Return: 8% - Time Period: 20 years Results: - Year 10 Balance: $86,581 - Year 20 Balance: $221,692 - Total Contributed: $72,000 - Investment Gains: $149,692 Scenario 2: The Aggressive Investor Initial Investment: $60,000 | Annual Addition: $6,000 | Return: 10% Historical example after 20 years: $747,300 - Total Contributed: $180,000 - Calculated Investment Gains: $567,300 Educational Insight on Compound Returns: This historical example illustrates how 2% higher returns (10% vs 8%) could dramatically impact long-term outcomes. This is why even small differences in return rates can create life-changing wealth over decades. The mathematics of compound growth are both simple and incredibly powerful. --- Part 4: Investing vs. Savings - The Shocking Truth Let's compare the same contributions invested in stocks vs. a high-yield savings account: 20-Year Comparison: - Stock Investment (8% return): $221,692 - High-Yield Savings (5% return): $143,037 - Difference: $78,655 (55% more wealth!) "Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it... he who doesn't, pays it." - Often attributed to Einstein Key Insight: That extra 3% annual return created an additional $78,655 over 20 years. Over 30-40 years, this difference becomes truly life-changing. 📍 Global Savings Reality - The Investment Advantage Worldwide: The power of index fund investing becomes even more dramatic when we examine savings rates around the world. Here's how the same $24K initial + $2,400 annual investment compares globally: 🇯🇵 Japan (0.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $76,868 - Advantage: $144,824 (188% more wealth) 🇪🇺 Western Europe Average (3% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $107,834 - Advantage: $113,858 (106% more wealth) 🇬🇷 Greece/Southern Europe (2% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $93,975 - Advantage: $127,717 (136% more wealth) 🇰🇷 South Korea (2.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $100,634 - Advantage: $121,058 (120% more wealth) 💡 The Global Lesson: The lower your country's savings rates, the MORE dramatic the advantage of global index fund investing becomes. For investors in countries with minimal savings returns, staying in cash is essentially guaranteed wealth destruction when compared to broad market investing. This is exactly why Warren Buffett's advice transcends borders - mathematical principles of compound growth work the same whether you're in New York, London, or Athens. Note: Savings rates shown are approximate regional averages and may vary by institution and current market conditions. Always check current rates in your specific market for precise calculations. --- Part 5: Building Your Value Investing Portfolio Core Holdings (80% of portfolio): AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 ETF (Large-cap US stocks) AMEX:VTI - Total Stock Market ETF (Broader US exposure) LSE:VUAA - S&P 500 UCITS Accumulating (Tax-efficient for international investors) Satellite Holdings (20% of portfolio): NASDAQ:QQQ - Technology-focused (Higher growth potential) AMEX:VYM - Dividend-focused (Income generation) NYSE:BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway (Value investing & diversification) --- Part 6: Implementation Strategy - Your Action Plan Month 1: Foundation Open a brokerage account (research low-cost brokers available in your region) Set up automatic transfers from your bank Buy your first AMEX:SPY shares 💡 Broker Selection Considerations: Traditional Brokers: Interactive Brokers, Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab Digital Platforms: Revolut, Trading 212, eToro (check availability in your country) Key Factors: Low fees, ETF access, automatic investing features, regulatory protection Research: Compare costs and features for your specific location/needs Month 2-12: Execution Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market news and volatility Track your progress in a simple spreadsheet Year 2+: Optimization Increase contributions with salary increases Consider additional core holdings like LSE:VUAA for tax efficiency Consider tax-loss harvesting opportunities Visualizing Your DCA Strategy Understanding DCA concepts is easier when you can visualize the results. TradingView offers various tools to help you understand investment strategies, including DCA tracking indicators like the DCA Investment Tracker Pro which help visualize long-term investment concepts. 🎯 Key Visualization Features: These types of tools typically help visualize: Historical Analysis: How your strategy would have performed using real market data Growth Projections: Educational scenarios showing potential long-term outcomes Performance Comparison: Comparing actual vs theoretical DCA performance Volatility Understanding: How different stocks behave with DCA over time 📊 Real-World Examples from Live Users: Stable Index Investing Success: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500) Example: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking. Value Investing Approach: NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway): Warren Buffett's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality value companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility = standard CAGR calculations used. High-Volatility Stock Management: NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Shows smart volatility detection in action. NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger automatic switch to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates. Tech Stock Long-Term Analysis: NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms): Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Standard CAGR calculations demonstrate stable long-term growth. ⚡ Educational Application: When using visualization tools on TradingView: Select Your Asset: Choose the stock/ETF you want to analyze (like AMEX:SPY ) Input Parameters: Enter your investment amounts and time periods Study Historical Data: See how your strategy would have performed in real markets Understand Projections: Learn from educational growth scenarios 🎓 Educational Benefits: This tool helps you understand: - How compound growth actually works in real markets - The difference between volatile and stable investment returns - Why consistent DCA often outperforms timing strategies - How your current performance compares to historical market patterns - The visual power of long-term wealth building As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time through actual market data and educational projections. --- Part 7: Common Mistakes to Avoid The "Perfect Timing" Trap Waiting for the "perfect" entry point often means missing years of compound growth. Time in the market beats timing the market. The "Hot Stock" Temptation Chasing individual stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA or NASDAQ:TSLA might seem exciting, but it introduces unnecessary risk for beginners. The "Market Crash" Panic Every bear market feels like "this time is different." Historical data shows that patient investors who continued their DCA through 2008, 2020, and other crashes were handsomely rewarded. --- Conclusion: Your Path to Financial Freedom Value investing through broad index funds and dollar-cost averaging isn't glamorous. You won't get rich overnight, and you won't have exciting stories about your latest trade. But here's what you will have: Proven strategy backed by decades of data Peace of mind during market volatility Compound growth working in your favor 24/7 A realistic path to serious wealth creation The Bottom Line: Warren Buffett's approach works because it's simple, sustainable, and based on fundamental economic principles. Start today, stay consistent, and let compound growth do the heavy lifting. "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." - Warren Buffett Educational Summary: Understanding these principles provides a foundation for informed decision-making. As Warren Buffett noted: "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now" - emphasizing the educational value of understanding long-term investment principles early. --- 🙏 Personal Note & Acknowledgment This article was not entirely my own work, but the result of artificial intelligence in-depth research and information gathering. I fine-tuned and brought it to my own vision and ideas. While working with AI, I found this research so valuable for myself that I could not avoid sharing it with all of you. I hope this perspective gives you a different approach to long-term investing. It completely changed my style of thinking and my approach to the markets. As a father of 3 kids, I'm always seeking the best investment strategies for our future. While I was aware of the power of compound interest, I could never truly visualize its actual power. That's exactly why I also created the open-source DCA Investment Tracker Pro indicator - so everyone can see and visualize the benefits of choosing a long, steady investment approach. Being able to see compound growth in action makes all the difference in staying committed to a strategy. As someone truly said: compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. --- Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by TradeVizion