Loonie
USDCAD - Dont Blink or you'll miss itLast one for the night.
USDCAD has had me fooled with this incredible climb it did for about a month straight. Spotted the channel it was in and realized that it to has reached the top. It is currently now consolidating but it won't be long now until it drops back to the lower trend line.
The beginning of a new uptrend? Hello Traders,
The previous week offered a decent intra-week opportunity for me to short oil for a 2 day hold on the short (covered on Friday at daily 200 MA).
Now on to longer time-frame opportunities with oil and oil related assets. Overlaid on the chart is an area chart of WTI Crude Oil (ticker: /CL). With the potential for further weakness in the black gold we can see the Canadian Dollar trade lower thus pushing USD/CAD above 1.3600 opening the way for the currency pair to trade back up to 1.400 - 1.4500 continuing the trend higher.
Keep an eye on crude breaking/bouncing on the ascending trend-line and daily 200 MA.
The trade:
No position until we get Daily close above 1.3600.
Upon a break I'm committing 1% risk to the position.
Stop placement will be determined upon a break above 1.3600.
Moving Averages:
We remain bullish on the bullish 10EMA/50MA crossover.
Trading well above Weekly 200 MA.
"A man does note have to marry one side of the market till death do them part." - Edwin Lefèvre
Monthly Bar Chart:
Daily Bar Chart:
AUD/CAD possible double top - go shortLooks like a possible double top on the Ozzie vs Loonie. Price tested the initial close high at about 1.0065 twice. There is a strong bearish divergence on the RSI, so let's see if the bears can hold and drive the price lower.
Stop-loss at 1.0110 - this is 10 pips higher than the 1.0100 level.
First take profit level at 0.9850
Hoping for second take profit level at 0.9650
NZDCAD Bullish Flag confirm, waiting 4 correction to enter LONGNZD is in steady up-trend against loonie. Recently pair has drawn bullish flag and giving confirmation by taken out .9632 resistance. Next minor resistance is @ .9666. A corrective move may produce excellent buying opportunity from .9450 handle, Wait for a reversal signal before you enter LONG.
As I mentioned in recent published NZDUSD idea that kiwi and Aussie are performing relatively better against US$ from commodity currencies. Further USDCAD is expected to remain range bound as is Crude OIL. Utilizing this fundamental divergence in line with technical setup seems pretty lucrative.
Trade with Care...