Ending Channel in EURCHFPodemos ver la formación de un ending channel, además, tenemos una fuerte divergencia en MACD, lo que indica y confirma la caída próxima en eurchf. Todavía es temprano para buscar la entrada, la semana que viene podremos encontrarla cuando haga el breakout y forme una bandera. Aproximadamente, el nuevo impulso llegará hasta el final de la flecha marcada en el gráfico.
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We can see an ending channel in eurchf and, furthermore, we have a very strong divergence in MACD, that confirms the next fall in eurchf. It's still early to look for the entrance, next week we'll be able to find it, when it makes the breakout and form a flag. Approximately, the new impulse will reach the end of the arrow drawn on the chart.
Macdivergence
1# BTC 5K or 10K ? That is the question.** Freshly in the cryptospace, Here is my coming out on what's is going with Godfather Bitcoin. Disclaimer : I am a learner ; not a technician **
-- ONE-YEAR PICTURE--
Bitcoin is in a HEALTHY, ACCELERATING BULLISH CHANNEL since March, following the exact same cycle :
1) A Quarterly 3-figures Bull Run (800% compounded YTD) that penetrates at least ONE fib level F
2) A 40% retracement from the second fib level F+1 to the fib level F-1, just between the SMA 100 & 150
I would like to confirm that it follows the last 9 month an Elliott Waves (currently ended wave 5?) & allowing ABC corrective waves. * Please correct me if i am wrong! *
-- LAST 3-MONTHS--
We are now at the consolidation phase for the (1) last bull run, started the 14th September. There are two opposites scenarios :
Scénario 1) BTC Return To 5K : RSI and MACD divergence both indicate strong bearish reversal signal et the major 8000 level ! A last quarter retracement would push BTC at the 6100 and then 5000 levels.
Scénario 2) BTC Continue To 10K : Since last week BTC price forms a Bullish Flag consolidation just below the 8000 level. that indicates upward support. Also BTC is not so overbought and DMI/MACD can support further upward movements. At the time i am writing BTC has broken the 8000 level & breakout the symetrical triangle & Bollinger squeeze at 4H and 1H.
-- WHAT AM I DOING FOR NEW YEAR ?--
Scénario 1) Track a bounce or a penetration at the 6100 level ; then Look for reversal signs & patterns Double / Triple tops / H&S ; Be prepared to BUY between 6100 and 5000 levels.
Scénario 2) Confirm 8000 level breakout at 4H ; Wait for a consolidation of the price at the Mid-8000's and track the next reversal SHORT or bull confirmation to open LONG.
PS: BTC is still fundamentaly strong : both as reserve of value for Institutionnal investors and as a reference for newcomers. I am not surprised for a Christmas at 10K
Peace out
AUDUSD Weekly Trade AnalysisAUDUSD > 10/8-13/17 Trade Analysis
Timeframe: 1W
Pair broke below support @ 0.7807 with MACD showing bearish divergence, expecting further decline toward 0.7727
A firm break and hold below 0.7727 would signal good possibility of further decline toward 0.7633 level.
Expecting bearish trend to continue with price needing to remain below 0.7820 for continual confirmation.
A firm break and hold above 0.7820 would indicate bearish trend is weakening. Firm break and hold above 0.7874 would serve as indication that bearish trend is complete and a reversal would come back in play.
* Personal analysis only. Please use your own rules and strategies prior to entering market.
** Forex trading involves HIGH RISK.
Before entering a trade, carefully consider your objectives, financial resources and level of experience.
Bearish in AUDUSD!!!We are getting to the top resistance on AXY showed in May 14th, 2015 (81.6) and the lowest support on DXY (93.18) in the same day, right now the pair AUDUSD is falling into a trap, so wait to sell until we reach the 0.81630 level to sell, do not risk your earnings, enter with a MACD divergence (3,10,16,CLS).
Safety trade!!
HOW TO FIND DIVERGENCE WITH MACD!!Every time that we are looking for Support and Resistance, we are always wondering when will our price finally go up or down, in order not to risk your accounts, you can use the following MACD strategy and look for any price divergence.
MACD Strategy:
Fast Length: 3
Slow length: 10
Source: Close
Signal Smoothing: 16
Happy Trading!!!
USDMXN - Bull huntingplease review a 1 week Div for the USDMXN pair
Fib re-trace will provide key prices to look for while we hunt those all too important candle patterns
I would like to recommend hunting 1 day candles, look for a Bull Fractal before entering the game
potential bottom:
.786 18.11755
potential breakout:
.618 18.95532
take profit
.382 20.13218
remember this is a long study so be very precise with entry and shorter timeframe verification to go long
dont forget to use ATR for stop loss calculation, keep leverage low to support the long trade and in general just try to survive those tree shaking pip stealers
chears
Resistance reboundCHK has shown many patterns over the last year, with 3 flags and a double top pattern, and now the stock has broken out a flag pattern and has had a partial rise and has fallen to the support trendline but has had a breakout, this position will lead to the support trendline. Also the 100 MA is providing resistance and thats where the stop is.This is also backed by the MACD divergence.
GBPUSD - Possible reversalThere's a good possibility of going long on GBPUSD. Previous structure broke to the downside (massively) and created a bullish Bat pattern. It might go lower, but there's a trendline (from october 2016) that could retain the market. Also, MACD starts showing bullish divergence.
GM short entry at top of price channel$GM is currently trading at the top of its price channel and is forming a shooting star pattern on its daily chart. Furthermore, it's also forming a sort of "micro" head and shoulders pattern with the two previous channel highs.
Looking at the hourly shows decreased volume, declining MACD, and declining RSI from yesterday. Combined this presents a very strong bearish divergence which we can take advantage of.
Strategy:
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Enter trade SHORT by COB today or on break of the hourly convergence pattern support line, whichever happens first.
Set price target at $35, but be aware that there will be resistance at the 37.25, 36.60, and 35.53 levels, which all may provide valid exit points. Again, see the hourly charts to clearly see the resistance points at these prices.
set stop loss at top of shooting star or a similarly sensible position.