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BTC/USDT – Tactical Bullish Consolidation__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : STRONG BUY signal confirmed across all timeframes via the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (stable green line, dominant bullish momentum). Support & Resistance : Major multi-timeframe support at 104,000 USDT , with key resistance between 108,000–111,000 USDT . Volume : No extreme spikes, below EMA – no panic-buy or selling climax detected. Behavioral Indicators (ISPD) : Neutral sentiment across the board – no signs of overheating or capitulation. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias : Bullish. Technical momentum is aligned with supportive macro drivers and resilient on-chain dynamics. Trade Opportunities : Tactical buys on confirmed re-tests of 104k support; upside targets at 107k, 108k, with potential extension to 111k. Risk / Invalidation : Strong rejection below 104k combined with fading Risk On / Risk Off Indicator → could trigger a flush toward 100k or even 94k–97k. Macro Catalysts : US/China tensions (volatility), altcoin breakouts (risk appetite), on-chain data in euphoric phase. Action Plan : Active monitoring, scalp bullish impulses, partial TPs under resistance, hedge on volume spikes to the downside. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis – BTC/USDT __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D : Consolidating below major resistance (108k–111k), with key support at 104k. Bullish momentum, neutral volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : STRONG BUY . 12H : Technical rejection at 104k–108k clusters, firm support at 100k–104k. Momentum holds, no behavioral excess. 6H : Same price levels as higher TFs. Strong momentum and neutral sentiment, no anomalies detected. 4H : Bullish rebound off 104k, facing resistance at 108k+. STRONG BUY signal intact, normal volume. 2H : Support holding firm, bulls in control. No weakness observed. 1H : Price compressing within 104k–107k. Underlying bullish momentum remains solid. 30min : Consolidation under 105.5–107k resistance. Indicator remains bullish. No sign of capitulation. 15min : Repeated tests of 104k support, slight softening in signal but bullish bias remains. __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion – Execution & Position Management __________________________________________________________________________________ Directional Bias : Bullish. Constructive consolidation with strong sector momentum. Key Levels : 104k (support) and 108k–111k (resistance). Strategy : Buy dips on validated re-tests, scalp breakouts, swing above 108k. Risk Triggers : Breakdown below 104k with volume spike, or bearish reversal in Risk On / Risk Off Indicator . Watchlist : Unusual volume spikes, ISPD turning red, abrupt macro changes. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
LONG a Falling Interest Rate! - TLTNASDAQ:TLT is an ETF that tracks value of United States Treasury Bonds in the time range of the 20-30-year bonds. With this ETF tracking the bond value it will rise with the decrease in these bond yields as the previous bonds offering higher % rates increase in value. I am bullish on TLT for a few reasons that are summarized in the bullets below - Interest Rates are at their highest levels in around 20 years and history would show that following these peaks in the 5.5%-7% range tends to be a sharp fall of interest rates usually due to a general moderate or severe economic downturn needing economic stimulus with low rates - Along with the peak thesis, in the current economic state of America, it has been generally discussed by Fed Presidents that rate slowdown / rate hike pauses are starting. The FedWatch tool from CMEGroup shows that traders predict the highest rates will not go any higher, and actually start being cut in Early Spring 2024. Due to this data, it is definitely important to realize the risk/reward of this trade on how the downside is minimal with the current economic conditions proving interest rates will likely not move higher, and definitely not more than a last 25bps hike for this rate cycle considering no unprecedented events occur. - Another staple to this bullish thesis is against the Federal Reserve. I strongly believe the Federal Reserve bluffs intentionally during their public conferences and talks. Recalling the inflationary period following COVID, the Fed repeatedly spoke out on this inflation being transitory while CPI rocketed to record highs in decades. I believe they like to not inform the public to the 100% truth and locked room talks. The Fed has came out and said they are quite against publicizing a rate pause officially / begin cutting rates and I believe this is a bluff. As the Fed claims to wait for data, I believe that data is showing, and will continue to show stronger economic struggle from the effects on high-interest rates. As unemployment just ticked up and probably will continue, rates will start to drop fast as soon as the Fed starts. Treasury Yields would likely dump prior to all of this as the anticipation begins to flow into the markets. Lastly, I think the Fed tends to deceive the public to try and not heavily move the markets in a short time. - Overall the data should start to pour in on economic slow down as student loan repayments resume, credit delinquencies continue to rise, housing market cools, unemployment ticking up, and more can feed to a sharp drop in CPI as aggregate US demand settles. The Fed will act on this slowdown and will need to sharply cut interest rates, especially if they wait too long. - Technicals on NASDAQ:TLT also look strong with a major demand zone, a dailydouble bottom and a diagonal trendline supports the price level. TTM_Squeeze also backs up a possible end to the downside. Below 89 area could be a solid Exit area for risk-management. Any Cut in Rates, or anticipation in rate cuts can send TLT flying with bond yields tumbling. Bonus: NASDAQ:TLT also provides a safe hedge to a market collapse or recession. Because market recessions would spark a cut in rates to help fuel a recovery, while stocks may tumble, this ETF would rally on a decline of interest rates to help stimulate a falling economy. Thesis : long Commons or 2025 dated Credit Spreads
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by ZachSap
6
Will Sunday head straight into a bear market???Well I am finally getting more comfortable with analyzing the market so I figured I would publish another idea in hopes that maybe someone would give me a heart or whatever trading views version of a like is lol. So here we go, my outlook on Cable. So I just want to throw this out there. I do trade using ICT concepts so yes I give credit to any logic that I am hoping to share through his teachings anyways back to your regularly scheduled program. so what I see here is that there was a shift in market structure at the low then the market traded to a premium . I feel like it will break the high before reversing back down. I also used the daily and weekly chart to get a larger view go the market and you can even check it out for yourself. but not to say that I would enter as soon as the price breaks the high bc remember there is a chance I can be wrong but when price does break a high I will be watching it to see any signs of a reversal back into the bear trend. I used a ghost feed to kinda give more detail to my projection. Hope you enjoy! I'll be watching to see if I can get a entry short where the white like at the top is. That is where the previous Fair value gap was on a larger timeframe. Im hoping it will reject in that area and then head back down to the next price area in a bearish direction. And that's all I have. This is just me practicing. until next time.
Short
by intuitivesafehaven
7
T-AT&T- THE CYCLE OF BULL TO BEAR OVER THE DECADES! SHORT!Find out the latest details on AT&T NYSE:T . Have the bulls completely lost their momentum? In this video I go through the macro view on AT&T and discuss their debt and cash flows and there future. Is this a good stock to buy and hold for your portfolio? Find out here! Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
NYSE:TShort
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
Don't Get Trapped Muhh Bois We could easily fall out of the channel now, but i suspect we will have one more swing up above 10.5k to trap in longs before heading back to the 6k region. I plan on re-entering around the mid point of this Gann Fan to ride an oversold bounce, then plan on loading in more in the green zone into the new years 2-5k price range incoming in my opinion. feel free to post ideas of your own in the comments if you see it differently than myself, i always like seeing differing opinion. Good luck and safe trading my friends.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CapitulationCalls