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Majortrendreversal

Krispy Cream Donut Weekly God Candle Has me lookingHi guys. Always on the lookout for major changes/shifts or Macro signals. Yesterdays 40% increase in Krispy Cream Donuts, has me taking a look into this one. This analysis is on the 1 week. Note, the current candle is not yet confirmed. Weekly close is obviously on fridays. I have highlighted 2 zones. COnsolidation range and a Supply zone. We do need to pay attention to these 2 ranges. BEcause atleast from previous history the supply zone is a resistance zone and thus a sell area. We would need decisive candle closes ABOVE for multi weeks for me to gain confidence that it has flipped to Demand or Support. Same goes for breaking out of the consolidation range. More info is needed such as confirmation. But nevertheless, What had me looking DNUT's way, was candle moving past the major resistance trendline that has haunted us since the stock being traded publically. I would like to note on the weekly timeframe, confirmations have not come in yet, and until proven otherwise it can be a fakeout and can always come back into the consolidation zone. AGAIN, End of week will give us better information. But it does not take away the fact that DNUT is moving. And atleast for now, DEMAND exists. VOLUME needs to follow with continued increase. Things to note in our indicators: RSI, breaking a major trend by signaling a higher high. But again end of week will clarify this. If it prints, i see it as a positive sign. STOCH RSI - crossing bullish with is almost above 20 lvl. This indicates possibility of momentum coming in to support an uptrend. MACD - Has Bullish cross, however we need to see whether or not we can get ABOVE 0 lvl. This would indicate a high probability for a sustainable uptrend. Being that this weeks candle has not yet closed. It is absolutely important to continue to observe. But DNUT has made it to my watchlist for sure. Is Krispy Cream Donuts, the Donut for me and you? Well time will tell. LOL. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on MINAUSD in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:DNUTLong
by SafofAllTrades
20
UiPath Bottoming & Trend Shift Signs Point to Trade PotentialHi guys! With this years bullish activity, ive been on the hunt to find assets that are down 50%+ and with unignorable strong technical signs of bottoming that will pull in bullish activity. One that i have noticed to have some nice technical signs playing out in my opinion is UiPath,Inc (PATH). This analysis is on the 1 Week timeframe giving us Macro insights. First we will discuss MAJOR Macro developments that really brought my attention to PATH. We have broken out and confirmed out of MAJOR RESISTANCE Line that expresses our major DOWNTREND. That is indication in my opinion of a Trend Change. This is important to see in a stock trying to bottom out. The 2nd MAJOR Development, is the observation of an ASCENDING Triangle Pattern. Usually its seen as a Bullish Continuation Pattern but at bottoms it can be seen as a Bottoming pattern. If we start to see signs of a breakout and then CONFIRM Support on the Blue Flat Trendline, it would signify the Triangle is playing out and we have indeed bottomed. The confirmation of Support would make a solid area to take positions. VOLUME must continue to increase if we are to breakout of the Triangle. So this next week to couple weeks will be interesting to see what happened. Also note, that for the Triangle to play out, we need to pass some Extreme RESISTANCE. There is always a possibility of a rejection here or a fakeout so maintain vigilence and watch for CONFIRMATION. Keep in mind also a rule of trendlines = The more we touch a trendline, the weaker it gets. Now lets take our attention to Current Price Action: As long as we close around these current prices today, we will print a BULLISH ENGULFING candle. This print will also have our price action ABOVE the 21 EMA. Though we've been above and below quite a few times, with other things playing out in the charts, i believe we have a more likely chance to continue ABOVE the 21 EMA. Normally in UPTRENDS, staying ABOVE the 21 EMA is needed. We will need a test of support and confirmation of maintaining it. ALong with this, if our MACD prints a BULLISH CROSS while being above the 0 level, this would be key for BULLISH MOmentum to come in. With MACD if the Red line in the RSI is broken and it takes the Path i drew out in black. This would make it likely for the Ascending Triangle to play out to the measured target. Check out my Doordash Idea to see example of Ascending triangle. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on PATH in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:PATHLong
by SafofAllTrades
Nike Monumental Macro TA FindingsHi guys! This is a look into Monumental MACRO developments occuring in Nike stock market structure, some of which are happening for the 1st time in history. For this reason and in my opinion, its a very important time to keep eyes on Price action. The aim is to briefly go over what those developments are and what it may mean for NIKE's Current market trend. Hopefully providing insights for investors. For this analysis, we are looking at Hieken Ashi candles on the 6 month timeframe. Note that: Our current candle will close in January 2024. So it has alot of room to change by the time the candle closes. Ive chosen Hieken Ashi candles to provide clarity in patterns of trend that occured in Nike's History. Our major development is that we have broken down BELOW and confirmed resistance against our MAJOR MAJOR Historical Support Trendline for all of Nike's Market History. This is the 1st time we have ever done this. It warrents caution as this signifies Major Trend Change, perhaps even macro trend reversal. While we were above the Spport line, we knew that everytime we came down we would atleast test that line. Now that we are BELOW it, we need price to find the next support. Currently ive highlighted by a Black Support Trendline, that very support area. We've maintained support since January 2020. This line coincides with another black line that marks Resistance. When combining these 2 black lines, we have ourselves a Symmetrical Triangle. That is very likely to play out sooner or later. If we are able to break above it, it may be probable for us to get back ABOVE the MAJOR SUPPORT Orange line, continuing our Uptrend. If we break below, further declines will occur. Further supporting the idea of a Major Trend Reversal. We are also currently at 4 Red candles in a row. If you notice previous history, 4 in a row has happened only 1 other time. July 83 to Jan 85. And also notice that the 3rd candle of the sequence indicated market bottom with the 4th candle printing a higher low. Can that be the case for us now? Maybe but things in the past don't have to repeat. Being inside of the symmetrical triangle, 4 red candles in a row would warrant me to NOT take any investment positions. In my opinion, if we break out on the upside of the symmetrical triangle and preferably get back above "Orange support line", would i consider taking positions. I think as of now however, we are at best more likely to either move in a range/ sideways or see further declines as the worst case. Why i think this, is because of the STOCH RSI. Notice how we are below the 20 level with a bearish cross/signal. The last time we did this, we were in here for multiple years which led to moving in a range for many years before continuing to make all time highs. Within range our, price dropped from the top about 67% to bottom of the range. If we continue the previous pattern, the same is likely. Hypothetically, we can also drop 60% to $70.00 level, which is a support area. For that to not happen we would need a BULLISH cross ABOVE the 20 level. Also notice the RSI, we are currently at the lowest level in all of NIKE history. We are also in an RSI range that coincides with sideways or range bound action. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on ETSY in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:NKE
by SafofAllTrades
Lyft Showing signs of Life, have we Bottomed?Hi guys! Welcome to an analysis on macro developments of Lyft (LYFT). With the markets doing what they've been doing this year, we have to ask, " Will the % gains come to stocks that are still many many % down from their tops"? Or are some stocks just doomed to fizzle out and take time to re-build/ grow? Well, if we are in a Bull market, which i personally think we are... Assets with Solid Market Structure & Technicals will also be included into the liquidity being injected into the markets. Taking a glance under the hood with LYFT, i can see some promising developments playing out. Making me consider LYFT as a Long play. This analysis is strictly on Technicals and is on the 1 Week timeframe to get a big picture view. So lets look at Price Action: Last week candle has broken ABOVE the Major Resistance trendline which has worked to cause Price Declines since November 2021 Notice how we've had many touch points on this Resistance line in RED. I believe it to have been weakened, thus the current BREAKOUT. Do we go back to print All Time Highs now? Absolutely NOT. It requires alot of energy or momentum to break major trends. But its the 1st step to the road of getting back to all time highs. We also need Confirmation before anything. This 1 candle is not enough, though an extremely BULLISH candle, a Bullish ENGULFING candle. Which is a great sign and pushs probabilities for confirmation as well. But we need to now Test the Resistance line as SUPPORT. With the overlaying Resistance line ABOVE us, i believe we will get a push down to the Support Test. But so far the break out to me is promising: Why? Look to the Volume for clues. We are so far seeing increased volume. It is important that it continues. If at the end of this week, you see Volume has declined. We would need to reassess the breakout, as that would potentially mean this could be a Fakeout. So getting ABOVE Major Multi year resistance, would support the idea of Trend Change/ perhaps Trend Reversal and a sign hinting that the Bottom is in. Another Bottoming sign observed = BULLISH DIVERGENCE being spotted. This is when Price Action prints Lower Lows BUT Indicators print Higher Lows. Seen in the RSI -> Notice if and when we get above the Resistance line, we will see large % gains. Another indicator to watch would be the STOCH RSI, as we are getting close to a BULLISH CROSS. If we get it, we will see bullish momentum come in, perhaps pushing prices above this horizontal resistance line. Anyway i think things are hinting at the idea that we have bottomed. We are in a critical moment for LYFT and we must continue to monitor this week and more. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on LYFT in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by SafofAllTrades
Cardano-more bear or a reversal??Hi everyone. ADAUSDT have created a small weak channel in daily time frame .Considering the context on the chart ,we have a MTR scenario ahead. MTR is an easy and profitable pattern to trade for experts and beginners as it has one of the best traders equation.(Major Trend Reversal). For now we have a channel in between 0.4$ & 0.6$.If the pattern takes place right here,we may get a weak bull channel a head. I will answer your questions,Just leave a comment below and PRESS THE LIKE BOTTOM please.
by HubAlgo
2
EURO-HORIZ trading range.last bearflag?Hello everyone As we see New York markets struggle in the past couple of days,many down fall of prices in the different markets are noticeable,however in EURUSD we can't see that much change. Now the price is in a horizontal trading range with long shadowed bars ,after a trend line break, late in a bear market;I don't know about you but this screams final bear flag to me.In situations of such,I expect to see a reasonable down trend in lower time frames after a retest of a moving average ( 20 maybe) and a lower low major trend reversal which can create good reasonable buy setup for swing trades. For now. the price might stay in trading range for the rest of this week ( good for scalpers) so our support level of 1.05$ will stay unbroken until next week and the price will stay in this channel.
by HubAlgo
Major Trend Reversal based on Al Brooks theory; 40% probability.Subjective analysis based on the Al Brooks method. We have a broad bullish channel, and within that channel we have an upward and downward trend. If the context continues in the same way (it will probably continue until the market cycle changes) it is possible to imagine a new bearish leg that sets up a new bearish trend within the broad bullish channel illustrated. In addition, a major trend reversal sequence (from high to low) was noted in a region of resistance of the bullish broad channel + high climate bar in the region of resistance. According to the theory, we will have a 40% chance of reaching a 2 to 1 target, however, in my opinion we have a little more probability, I would say more than 60% of reaching the first target, due to the macro context in which the broad channel discharge is inserted.
Short
by igrode
AUD/NZD approaching major reversal pointAUD/NZD is approaching a major reversal point that we have identified on the monthly chart (although it's visible on all charts, of course - the monthly just provides clarity!). The notes in the image should explain all of it, but please let me know if there are any questions. The most important thing with trend reversals is to wait for confirmation. Don't try and pick the bottom (or top), wait until reversal (or continuation) is undeniable, and THEN enter the trade. Given the strength of the trend line (which, unlike supply/demand zones, gets stronger with time), I'd expect price to reverse back upwards. We are, however, in a long-term wedge, so don't expect price to reach the previous high. I'd be looking to enter on confirmation of reversal, and then take 75% profit at the first supply zone, and fully exit if price reaches the second supply zone. We then wait to reassess what is happening before re-entering the market. It's worth mentioning that I wouldn't hold a single trade over a month or more period (e.g. I don't trade the monthly charts). I swing trade, and generally enter based on the 4-6 hourly charts. The importance of the larger time frames is to determine a general trend (and therefore frame of reference and trade bias), and to ensure that I now exit my bearish trades (I've been bearish trades ONLY since the last reversal), and wait for confirmation. I don't want to get caught in a rapid bounce (or continuation), and would prefer to wait for the trend to develop either way. Please let me know thoughts and suggestions in the comments below. I'll keep this updated, but it's likely going to be a trade that develops over the next 2-4 weeks. Cheers and good luck, RJR
Long
by DreamsDefined
Bullish sign in GOLDPlease like and subscribe if you want more analysis from me... A fall back to test the secular trend followed. Since no extended breakdown ensued, a sideways range has been in place ever since. There is a large saucer shaped pattern between $1060 and $1420, which characterizes price accumulation. Our momentum studies also remain in a bearish holding pattern between 20-60%. The expectation is that the top end of both price and momentum ranges will be overcome in due course, triggering a move to $1670 and $1800, under the old record highs at $1950.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by NextOrderAlpha