Marketcondition — Trading Ideas on TradingView

SNPS Breakout Potential to the Upside NASDAQ:SNPS has been range-bound since 2023 and is finally showing technical patterns that reveal Dark Pool hidden accumulation, pro trader nudges, and the potential for HFTs to gap and run the stock upward. This stock is setting up to challenge the all-time high. Often in the current Moderately Up-trending Market Condition, HFTs will gap the stock over the resistance level. So keep the stock on a watchlist to look for pro trader nudges or resting-day candles that indicate the pros are attempting to trigger HFTs to gap the stock up. IF the HFTs gap the stock, then pro traders will take profits immediately, selling into the foray of retail traders chasing the gap. The goal is to enter before a potential gap. The stock may not gap. However, the pattern is indicative of more HFT activity.

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A Risk Tolerance Test for All Traders Risk Tolerance trips up more traders than any other emotional aspect of trading stocks, or any other asset class. How is your risk tolerance? Would you say that you have a good stable risk tolerance? Or is it the main reason you take small gains or losses? If you need help evaluating your risk tolerance, take this Risk Tolerance Test . If any of these apply, then there is a problem you need to address: Do you get stopped out of trades and then watch as the stock moves up? This is caused by setting stops too tightly for the kind of trading style being used. Do you panic as the stock retraces and lower the stop loss to avoid getting stopped out? This actually increases risk rather than lowering it. Do you raise your stop loss before the stock forms a new consolidation for support? This also increases risk rather than lessening it. There is higher risk that you will get stopped out prematurely. Do you check profit or loss everyday on your held stocks? Position traders should only be checking their balance once a month. Swing traders could wait for the end of the month but can do it weekly. Are you a swing trader who checks your positions intraday to see what is happening? This runs the risk of reacting prematurely to intraday volatility that eventually evens out. Have you given up on using stop losses because "they don't work"? You probably just need to learn a better method for placing stop losses. Do you hold and hold with no stop loss, watching a stock tumble, unable to exit and ultimately exiting too late or "holding long term" instead? This is a chronic problem among retail traders that indicates the lack of a complete trading plan, one that provides a plan for when your holdings go against your intent. To keep your risk tolerance in check try adding these simple steps to your trade analysis: Carefully check the Risk to Reward ratio of your picks, and only trade stocks with a good probability for profit vs. loss. Consider the amount of money at risk in each trade. Think about how you would feel if you lost that money should the trade go against you. Add this parameter to your trading rules. Lower overall market risk by trading more than one or two stocks at a time. Spread your capital outlay over a few picks rather than putting it all on one trade. Use stop losses on every trade. Place stops under the appropriate support levels for the chart patterns and your intent. If you are a Swing Trader, it is important to enter trades only on strong market days. Not every flat day is a good day to swing trade. You'll keep more of your profits over time if you wait for ideal days and picks. The simplest way to improve risk tolerance is to continually paper trade on a Simulator even after you've started trading live. Most beginners do not practice executing their trading plan sufficiently before jumping into the market. They allow emotion to cloud better judgment and let greed overwhelm decisions. Trading is the only business where normally calm, intelligent, and wise people do really greedy things that end up being foolish and risky. And it all comes down to the emotions that come with money, especially fear, greed and pride. Traders have one thing to compete against and that is their own emotions, which can cause poor decisions. My best advice for all traders is this: compete against your own prior trading history to improve results, and ignore what is going on with everyone else. Summary: Emotional control comes from having a sound plan, sticking with it, and not changing it because the market has moved on a whim or some guy on social just made a lot of money. Create your trading style, which is a plan of attack for the market. Set out your strategies and use the correct ones for the current Market Condition. Only trade stocks that have a risk factor you can live with. Use stop losses appropriately, and you will be successful. Problems occur somewhere in all of this, when traders miss a step and deviate from the plan. When you feel emotions getting out of hand, controlling your trading decisions, consider the above checklists for help evaluating and adjusting your mindset. Greed is a tough emotion to control, because it is insidious and hard to identify in ourselves. Fear is easy to identify and much easier to control or harness. A certain amount of fear is necessary and good in the market, because it keeps individuals from taking too much risk. However, fear that dominates daily emotional energy only creates constant losses. Think about this and study prior trades. If they performed well after being stopped out, then there is a risk problem to address in your trading plan.

A Trader's Guide to Market Conditions There are six main types of market conditions that every trader needs to know: bull quiet, bear quiet, bull volatile, bear volatile, bear sideways, and bull sideways. In this blog post, we'll dive into each of these conditions in detail, so you can understand what they mean for your investments and trading. Bull quiet conditions may be ideal for long-term investors, with steady upward trends and low volatility. On the other hand, bear quiet conditions can make finding profitable trades a challenge. But don't despair! Short-term traders may still be able to make profits by taking advantage of small price fluctuations. If you're looking for short-term gains, bull volatile conditions may be the way to go. These periods of economic growth and prosperity can lead to larger price swings than in bull quiet conditions. But beware, the opposite is true for bear volatile conditions. Prices are steadily declining, but with high levels of volatility. Still, traders can profit by taking advantage of large price swings. Bear and bull sideways conditions are characterized by a lack of clear direction in price movements. While traders may find it challenging to make profits in bear sideways conditions, they can take advantage of small price fluctuations in bull sideways conditions. Understanding these market conditions is crucial for making informed trading decisions. By being aware of each of these six conditions, you can increase your chances of making profitable trades and maximizing your returns. So if you want to elevate your trading game, backtest these market conditions and see what your trading results you'd get trading each condition.

Simple BUT Not Easy Reading charts and understanding the "Language" of the market is very simple but at times due to high involvement of our emotions we make it very hard. Any market or chart that you see will be in a phase all you have to do is identify it on a higher time frame. Lower Lows & Lowers Highs is a definition of a down trend. Higher Highs & Higher Lows is a definition of a up trend. If you can see the above both happening then market is ranging. If you are having a short bias on a particular instrument always look for a shorting opportunities in a lower time frame after confirming the phase of the market in a higher time frame. Always wait for a confirmed trend don't try and jump in too early. Let market decide the direction, don't force your self. Risk Management is very important, Plan your trade with a proper risk that you can manage. Trading is a marathon, if you try to sprint you will fall down and injure yourself. Slow & steady wins the game :) Thanks

The crash will probably start this year, but first: $5468 target I'm predicting that we will get a correction to the september lows. After that, we will see an epic final run-up. Arround the target level of $5468, I am expecting a massive blow off-top. After that the trend is going to be nothing but down. The low of the recession will probably come to an end in 2025 (however I don't like to link prices to dates). Be carefull guys. We could be going into a recession very soon from now. If we get enough bad news, the blow-off top won't happen and the markets could fall any time from now. But I still think that we need some kind of blow-off top for a crash. The volatility index also shows that a big move is coming soon. It might be a great Idea to stay out of the markets. In my opinion we will most likely see it this year in the end of Q3/beginning Q4, but could be as early as early spring/now. The market is looking very unhealthy and I wrote about that in november 2021. I will make an update soon. (This is not financial advice!!!) (Do your own research.) Good luck everyone!!! Duursma, Yuri.

Nasdaq100; Dump it!!Aside from a total U.S. Market Capitalization that is now in excess of 260% of U.S. GDP (the historic norm, not the low, being 78%!) ... ... and a Doubly Exponential; f(x)=a^(b^x), Central Bank(s) push in equities , up to this point, ... ... and the leverage in the system (U.S. equity markets) now easily the eclipsing all previous records, by any measure, not just in absolute terms!; www.hussmanfunds.com ... and since the current SPAC mania is identical to the South Sea Bubble, in as much as: "Let them see not what they do!" , ... and since the total Market Cap of the top 1500 companies, that were unprofitable for each of the past 3 years, now exceeds $2.5 Trillion, ... and because of charts like these; www.hussmanfunds.com ... and; www.hussmanfunds.com ... and; www.hussmanfunds.com ... youtu.be ... there are numerous (too many to list) other leading-, as well as coincident-indicators which would all suggest that being long here is very unlikely to turn out well. Such as; The valuation of Bitcoin now equates one-fifth (20%) of the entire U.S. Monetary Base ; ... and; ... and; from this post; ... and so on.

usdjpy short usd jpy short we have the usd hitting. strong level of market structure against the jpy . with current market conditions expect it to bounce back to the . 236 , 5. and 618. on a strong market retracement