Waiting for the Perfect Entry: XAUUSD Market Structure Breakdown🔍 Taking a look at XAUUSD today: it’s clearly in a downtrend 📉 on the 4H chart, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows 🔽.
📌 My bias is bearish, and I’m patiently waiting for price action to set up for an entry 🎯.
If we get a break of market structure 🧱, followed by a retest and failure of the current range high 🚫, that could present an opportunity 👀 — not financial advice ⚠️.
Metals
DeGRAM | GOLD forming head and shoulders📊 Technical Analysis
● A double rejection at 3 358—confluence of the May-July descending trend-line and the long-term channel roof—has carved successive lower highs; the break of the inner up-trend (circled) shifts structure bearish.
● Price is now slipping out of a contracting pennant; sustained trade beneath 3 246 (pattern base / April pivot) exposes the mid-channel magnet at 3 202, with the outer rail projecting 3 121.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Surprise rise in NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations and Daly’s “no urgency to cut” remarks lifted 2-yr real yields and the DXY, while ETFs saw a fifth straight day of outflows, signalling fading bullion demand.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300–3 320; break below 3 246 targets 3 202 → 3 121. Short view void on a 4 h close above 3 358.
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Gold (XAU/USD): Tugged Between Tariffs and Treasury YieldsGold is finding renewed interest from two forces: falling real yields and a cautious Fed. Despite the dollar’s strength, we’re seeing the yellow metal hold above $3,300. Treasury yields are sliding, and global central banks, especially China’s PBOC, are still net buyers of gold. The World Gold Council reported $38 billion in inflows to gold ETFs in the first half of the year, the highest in five years.
Technically, support remains stiff at the 50-day EMA ($3,305), with a ceiling at $3,340. If broken, $3,360 - $3,400 comes back into play. But failure to hold above $3,300 opens downside risk to $3,246, and possibly $3,185.
Early impulsive action got me active! This was a move I was looking to happen yesterday but got slapped trying. It just rocks out like that some time and you have to wait for the next opportunity. In this move early and looking for it to continue if it can hold well above yesterdays high. Trailing stop with every 50 ticks cause anything can happen turning price around and I dont want to give to much back.
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat!
The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets.
Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure.
Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality.
What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
Ramelius Resources (ASX: RMS) –A Tactical Re-Entry Zone?🟡 Gold-Linked Opportunity: Ramelius Resources (ASX: RMS) – A Tactical Re-Entry Zone?
Context: Ramelius Resources, a mid-tier Aussie gold producer, is showing signs of technical exhaustion after a strong rally from its 2024 lows. With gold prices consolidating and RMS pulling back to a key support zone, this could be a tactical opportunity for shareholders and swing traders alike.
📊 Technical Snapshot:
Current Price: $2.47
Trendline Support: The long-term ascending trendline remains intact, offering a potential re-entry zone for bulls.
Risk-Reward Setup: Defined green/red zones highlight a favorable R:R ratio for those targeting a rebound toward $2.80–$3.00.
🪙 Gold Correlation Insight:
The inset chart shows gold (XAU/USD) stabilizing after a volatile June. If gold resumes its uptrend, RMS could follow suit, given its strong correlation with bullion prices.
🧠 Psychological Angle:
After a 40%+ rally from the $1.78 low, some profit-taking is natural. But this pullback may shake out weak hands before a continuation move.
Watch for sentiment shifts around gold and broader risk appetite—these could be catalysts for RMS’s next leg.
#RMS #Gold #ASX #MJTrading #Forex #Trading #Investment
Gap below… but copper’s breakout still in playCopper markets erupted higher this week following President Trump's proposal to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports. The price ripped from just above $5.20 to nearly $5.80 in a single 4-hour candle.
Now, copper could be forming a bullish flag or pennant on the 4-hour timeframe. After the vertical spike, price is consolidating in a tight, potentially downward-sloping channel between ~$5.45 and ~$5.60.
If confirmed with a clean breakout above the flag’s upper trendline - perhaps near $5.62—the next leg could project toward the previous high near $5.80
There’s also a gap below current price action, between $5.20 and $5.35, formed during the explosive move up. While gaps can act as support zones, they also tend to get revisited.
Gold is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,260 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,260 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Absolutely beautiful to see our 1h chart idea playing out perfectly. After completing the bearish targets earlier this week, we had the ema5 cross and lock below 3306 opening the swing range.
- This played out perfectly hitting the first swing range level and doing exactly what it say son the tin giving the full swing into 3306 just like we highlighted.
We will now look for ema5 lock above 3306 for a continuation into the bullish targets above or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns for suport and bounce.
If it continues to fail breakout above, into the first Bullish target, then we are likely to see the full swing range tested on the rejections.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Sprott Copper Arbitrage against LME copper futures, discount 20%Currently COP.UN (traded on TSX, Toronto Stock Exchange) is showing some substantial discount again against NAV. Discount is more than 20% which basically means that you can buy copper on the world markets (LME) with a 20% discount! I expect discount will narrow again in coming weeks and wil go back to minus 10 or even better.
A more detailed description can be find below of all facts and figures.
Current Situation:
Discount to NAV: COP.UN is trading at just over a 20% discount to its net asset value (NAV). Essentially, this means you can buy copper exposure at a significant discount to the current market price.
Copper Storage and Transfers: The trust’s copper is stored in LME-approved warehouses and is increasingly being shipped to COMEX warehouses in the U.S. The reason is straightforward: copper prices on COMEX are currently higher than on the LME. By moving copper to COMEX, Sprott can sell inventory at better prices.
Mechanism for Payouts: The proceeds from selling copper at a premium on COMEX versus the LME can be distributed to unitholders as a special cash distribution (dividend). This provides a direct way for investors to benefit from arbitrage between exchanges.
Redemption Option: Institutional investors can redeem trust units for physical copper, subject to minimum tonnages and fees. This helps keep the trust price connected to physical copper markets and offers an arbitrage route if the discount remains wide.
The Opportunity:
This setup offers trading houses huge opportunities:
Arbitrage Play: Buy COP.UN units at a >20% discount, redeem them for physical copper, and sell the metal at spot prices, pocketing the spread (net of costs).
Dividend Upside: Hold COP.UN units and potentially benefit from future special dividends if Sprott continues moving copper to COMEX and realizing higher sales prices.
Useful Resources:
COP.UN Prospectus (Sprott Physical Copper Trust) cop-prospectus-en.pdf
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,311.90 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,301.31..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time to Recover?!
Gold reached an important rising trend line on a daily.
I see 2 nice intraday bullish reactions to that on a 4H time frame
and a double bottom pattern formation.
Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 3309
will confirm a start of a bullish correctional movement.
Goal will be 3327.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the trend line will push
the prices lower.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
HelenP I. Gold can rebound from trend line and start to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see that gold has formed a clear wedge pattern, and within it, we can also observe a smaller triangle forming. This structure reflects a narrowing price range and growing tension between buyers and sellers. After testing the upper boundary near the resistance zone at 3390 - 3410 points twice, gold started moving lower and now approaches the trend line again. This level has already held as support multiple times, and each time the price touched it, it showed a rebound with renewed buying interest. Now the price is again trading near this trend line, around the 1300s area, and a small triangle has formed inside the larger wedge. This triangle may act as a base for the next upward movement. I believe that as long as gold respects this trend line and doesn’t break below the 3250 - 3230 support zone, the probability of upward continuation remains strong. My current target is the 3390 resistance level, which aligns with the top boundary of both the wedge and the resistance zone. A breakout above the triangle may give the price enough momentum to approach this area again. That’s why I remain bullish in this situation and expect a bounce from current levels, followed by an upward move toward the resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SILVER: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.433 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 36.547.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
7.9 Latest gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 News information:
1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes
📈 Technical Analysis:
Our decision to close our positions at 3305 yesterday was undoubtedly a very strategic one. After reaching a high of around 3310 last night, it began to fall. At the same time, I also gave VIP members the news that it might fall back to around 3300. Since the opening, the lowest point has reached around 3285. The overall trend is still under our control.
At present, gold will still usher in technical corrections in the short term. The current price of 3293-3290 support can be considered for long positions. If the European session continues to fall below the low, you can try to go short during the NY session. If the European session continues to maintain sideways consolidation, you can consider retreating and going long during the NY session. As long as the key support of 3250 below is held, gold will maintain its consolidation trend in short-term trading. On the contrary, once it falls below 3250, gold may directly touch the 3200 mark. Focus on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, which may further influence the trend of gold.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3293-3290-3285
TP 3305-3310-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3297.6
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3291.9
My Stop Loss - 3301.3
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold at a Decision Point-Just as Tariff Headlines Return(July 9)📌
4H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
Price is compressing inside a falling channel, nested within a large symmetrical triangle, and now sits right at a high-stakes confluence zone — a perfect intersection of dynamic EMAs, rising trendline support, and local structure.
This could be a pivot point for the next major leg.
🧭 Key Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Breakout Potential:
If price breaks above the falling channel and holds above $3,310–$3,320:
🎯 Target: $3,400, and eventually upper triangle resistance near $3,480–$3,500
✅ Watch for impulsive breakout + retest confirmation
🟡 Bearish Breakdown Risk:
If the rising trendline gives way and price closes below $3,275 (High Risk) and $3,245(Low Risk):
🎯 Targets: First $3,232, then key level $3,166
⚠️ Further weakness may expose $3,000 psychological support
🔍 Why It Matters:
• Symmetry + compression = potential volatility expansion
• Trump tariff headlines today (July 9) could trigger safe haven demand
• Strong historical respect of these trendlines
• EMAs aligning around decision zone
“Another BreathTaking Edge” — because this is one of those moments where market structure whispers louder than words.
🗣 Boost if you find value, and follow MJTrading for more clean setups.🚀🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #Forex #MJTrading
Zoom in to get closer to battlefield:
Zoom out to see where we are:
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 9Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3340, support level below 3245
Four-hour chart resistance level 3308, support level below 3264
One-hour chart resistance level 3296, support level below 3275.
The expectation that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July has been widely accepted by the market, mainly because Trump announced that he would increase import tariffs on goods from many countries from August 1, triggering market concerns about rising inflation. This expectation pushed up the US 10-year Treasury yield, supporting the dollar to a two-week high, which put gold under downward pressure. On Tuesday, gold closed sharply lower at the daily level, with ma5 and ma10 running downward, indicating that the bears once again dominated. Today, the price of gold may continue to fall. Pay attention to the support near the lower track 3275. If the price of gold closes the real falling candle again today, it will drive the Bollinger Band opening downward, which will further confirm the downward trend. The market may start a new round of decline in the future. The 4-hour level K line continues to fall, and the Bollinger Band opening expands downward! The short-term key support position below is around 3275. After breaking through, it may fall to the previous low of 3266-3245; the important pressure position is around 3308!
SELL: 3296near
SELL: 3308near
BUY: 3250near
Gold Under Pressure as Dollar Strengthens – Watch Below 3297FX:XAUUSD – Technical & Fundamental Outlook
Gold prices declined on Monday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar following President Trump’s announcement of a potential 10% tariff on BRICS-aligned countries. The news supported the dollar and weakened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Although uncertainty remains around U.S. trade negotiations ahead of the July 9 tariff deadline, signals of possible extensions and staggered implementation have further reduced short-term haven flows into gold.
Technical View:
Gold remains under bearish pressure while trading below 3320.
As long as the price stays under this level, we expect sideways consolidation between 3297 and 3320 until a breakout occurs.
A 1H close below 3297 would confirm bearish continuation, targeting 3281 and 3255.
A break above 3320 would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward 3342.
Pivot: 3297
Support Levels: 3281 / 3255 / 3239
Resistance Levels: 3314 / 3320 / 3342
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