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Investment_ Manappuram FinanceNamaste! Manappuram Finance is in the same type of business as Muthoot Finance. Both the stocks have corrected >40% from all time highs. I think it is a good time to invest in Manappuram Finance considering following questions:- Q: What is the good price to accumulate this stock? A: Don’t invest more than 05-10% of your portfolio in this stock. Rs 95-97 is a good price to accumulate this stock. Q. What are the strengths in this stock? A: 1. It has a weekly trendline support at near Rs 95-96 levels. 2. It will be available at 6 P/E which looks attractive as it is below 10 and 6 P/E is a kind of very good support because every time it does bounce-up from 6 P/E (Jan 2009, Sep 2015, Apr 2020, Etc). 3. It’s in the business of gold loan which is kind of stable because it offers a secured loan by taking the gold as collateral. Gold is liquid and could be sold if the borrower doesn’t pay-back. It’s safer and more liquid than properties (mortgage) loans provided by other banks/NBFCs. Gold prices sometimes move in cycles, which affects the company's short term risk though. 4. It has a current dividend yield of 2.59%. 5. Most of the time fundamentals “confuse me” so I don’t dig deep into it. I do not value any company after reading the annual report, balance sheet, blah-blah-blah. I pay attention to EPS, P/E, Correction in stock prices (trendline support), rarely Debt to equity that’s it. I don’t advise this to anyone because it may prove risky for a naïve or sometimes even a seasoned investor. I know and understand some of the key figures in the books of accounts but don’t dig deep into it. We can not predict the future of the company and/or know what’s happening inside the company. What we can do is DIVERSIFY, and have a contrarian approach with caution and margin of safety. Q. What changed my mind to invest now rather than wait for a big correction to buy at a cheaper rate, considering my opinion of an overvalued market, strength of the economy and rising interest rates? A: I posted many articles based on my understanding saying “is the market getting ready for a free-fall; …correction of more than 30% from all time highs, etc". I posted those to caution people and gave them opinions to get ready for a panic or downfall in the stock markets. It's always better to get ready for various scenarios early and make plans for them, which will guide us throughout the "fear and greed cycle of the markets". Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment and/or trading in the market does not guarantee a fixed return and may result in a financial loss. Please do your own analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing and/or trading.
NSE:MANAPPURAMLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
HAVELLS: Odds Favoring All-Time Highs Greetings, my friends! Havells has been forming a series of support levels and breaking through resistance barriers. A rising trendline curve is clearly visible on the weekly chart, suggesting robust momentum ahead, provided the price remains above this curve. This presents opportunities for both swing traders aiming for a specific target and investors seeking long-term gains. Furthermore, Havells is poised to reach new all-time highs once it breaches the 1504.45 level. Please give a boost and comment if you find the analysis helpful and consider following for more. Any Request, suggestions or advice are warmly welcomed. Disclaimer:I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst, and the views expressed here are solely my own and for educational purposes only. Make sure you consult your Financial advisor before investing, as I won't be responsible for any losses incurred.
NSE:HAVELLSLong
by Kaushik_Karnale
2
Long Trade On NIFTY MIDCAP - CNXMIDCAPThis is a long trade on NIFTY MIDCAP 100 it is on the weekly timeframe so it may take a while to reach the target but you can consider it as a safe trade because it's an index, I am already late as I should have entered on Monday 5th SEP but no problem we will get that;) Analysis :- The price broke the white trend line and retested it successfully and closed the weekly candle now the first target based on green fibo is 35472 and it is the safest target, you can go for 38300 also if you want to take higher risk.
NSE:CNXMIDCAPLong
by strange112
5 ways to play the current macro environmentWhy We Rallied It's been a strong few months for the S&P 500, which is up about 13% from the October lows. There were five reasons for the rally: 1) P/E ratios got attractive, especially for small-to-mid caps. 2) Inflation peaked, which historically has sometimes marked the bottom for stocks. 3) Global liquidity turned upward. Every major bond market was pricing a central bank pivot, and the big central banks (particularly Japan and China) added about $1 trillion to their balance sheets. 4) Economic data remained surprisingly strong, which raised hopes of a "soft landing." 5) Possibly there was a bit of forced buying due to a "short squeeze." Why the Rally Is Probably Over However, I believe we've now reached an inflection point where these tailwinds will turn into headwinds. 1) The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 P/E ratios are once again looking high (although S&P 400 and S&P 600 still look cheap). (See this report from Ed Yardeni.) 2) Inflation is no longer surprising to the downside. The last couple prints have been exactly in line with forecasts, and leading indicators of inflation have been creeping back up. See, for instance, this chart of service sector wages, this chart of copper prices, and this Goldman Sachs forecast of crude oil prices. This is partly because of the global liquidity boost and continued deficit spending , and it's partly because of China ending its Covid-zero policy and reopening its economy. (China is the largest importer of crude and the second-largest importer of liquified natural gas in the world.) 3) With inflation set to stay high, liquidity has tightened a lot. The market is no longer pricing a Fed pivot , and analysts suggest the central bank liquidity boost may be over . Stocks have now gotten significantly higher than liquidity measures would predict , which suggests they may need to come down a little. 4) Economic data are deteriorating. Leading indicators have been pointing toward recession for months , but consumer savings and a glut of job openings have helped delay it. We're definitely starting to see weakness, though. Credit card debt has soared to an all-time high , we're seeing more late payments , and the housing market is cooling off fast , with inventories of unused construction materials piling up . We've seen "soft landing" hype before: in 2000 and 2007 , just before those recessions hit. Unless the Fed pivots immediately, it's probably not "different this time." 5) The short squeeze is over for large cap tech, with most of the shorts already forced out. Five Ideas for How to Reposition How to trade a coming recession? 1) The obvious trade is long bonds, short stocks. Bond market valuations are very attractive relative to stocks, with bond yields only a little below the S&P 500's earnings yield, and bond markets having perhaps gotten too hawkish relative to policy rates. Given the historical correlation between 10-year yields and S&P 500 valuations, the gap that has opened between them may imply an opportunity for a statistical arb. Either stock valuations should drop or bond yields should rise. Historically, in a recessionary environment, the bond market has tended to recover first, and the stock market second. So now would be the time to long those bonds. However , it should be noted that this recessionary environment is an unusual one in a lot of ways. Stocks have already sold off a lot, and valuations are pretty mixed. Bonds should perform well if we get a deflationary recession that allows to Fed to lower rates, but a stagflationary recession might force the Fed to keep rates high even as the economy stumbles. Thus, it may be worth getting a little more specific with our trade. Here are some other ideas: 2) Long investment-grade bonds, short high-yield bonds. If recession is coming, then high-yield spreads are probably way too low . It's possible that high-yield bond rates will rise even as investment-grade, Treasury, and policy rates fall. 3) Long high-quality small- and mid-caps, short low-quality large caps. In my opinion, large cap tech is still way too crowded. I wouldn't want to short Microsoft right now, given the success of Bing AI. But I'd be willing to take a swing at Amazon, Apple, and Netflix as long as I could balance the risk by longing some cheap, quality smalls and mids on the other side. In my opinion, the size factor is ripe for disruption. If you'd asked me two years ago, I would have said that AI would most benefit large cap tech. Now I think it will most benefit smalls. What changed between now and then is that AI went from being the exclusive domain of big companies to being publicly available at shockingly low cost. This happened way faster than I ever would have guessed, and you better believe that small, agile companies will capitalize on the opportunities provided by access to AI! 4) Long cash to buy the dip on energy stocks. Energy historically has struggled in a recession, so it's quite likely that energy stocks will see some downside soon. However, the current free cash flow yield on energy stocks is quite high , and the sector trades at 10x forward P/E . Meanwhile, investment in the sector is still much too low . I believe there will be a decade-long structural bull market in energy due to constrained supply, but that there will probably be some recessionary pain first. Meanwhile, money market funds offer a really high return on cash. My Fidelity money market is giving me almost 4%. Ain't nothing wrong with just collecting that money market rate and waiting for energy stocks to dip for the buy and hold. With retail investor inflows at an all-time high , I believe the current market environment offers a good opportunity for savvy bears to execute some well-constructed long-short trades. If you look at how the smart money is positioned, it's pretty much the opposite of retail positioning here. There will be a time to get bullish on US large cap stocks, but we probably need to see some weakening of coincident economic indicators like employment first. (Stocks tend to do best when unemployment rates are high .) Remember, market positioning beats market timing, but ideally you could do a little of both! Thanks for reading, and please share your ideas in the comments below!
NASDAQ:VCLTLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
16
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORPORATION LTD - Keep an Eye + Cup & Handle📊 Script: HINDPETRO (HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORPORATION LIMITED) 📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO 📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY 500 , NIFTY MIDCAP 📊 Sector: Energy Oil Gas & Consumable Fuels 📊 Industry: Petroleum Products Refineries & Marketing Time Frame - Daily Script is forming Cup & Handle Pattern as shown in a chart. Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB). 📈 MACD giving crossover. 📈 Double Moving Averages also giving crossover. 📈 Volume is increasing along with price. 📈 Keep an eye on Script, it may give breakout of Cup & Handle Pattern. 📈 Current RSI is around 63. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade ONLY ABOVE 254 . BUY ONLY ABOVE 254 ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 249.95 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ⚠️ Purely technical based pick. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:HINDPETROLong
by radha_23
2
ROSSARI BIOTECH, BULLISH!!almost 2 and a half year, the stock has given about 22% returns. this is a very bad performed. nifty small&mid cap indice is going to get bullish very soon. and rossari would be a part of it. its trading near to its IPO LISTING PRICE. this stock has a good fundamentals, and sales. so it got a lot of potential to go upside. i have drawn several levels, to take positions in this stock, and a breach to the blue resistance, means the stock will all over carry till 1120, and 1300. have a look at MACD, now it has started to rise upards, soon we could see green candles coming in. good time to make positions in this stock. there could be a U- SHAPED recovery. and final point, RSI indicator is also at a buying zone. path has drawn, based on U- SHAPED recovery.
NSE:ROSSARILong
by raghavchoudhary2016
SYNGENE is forming channel patternNSE:SYNGENE midcap stock is forming channel pattern for a year. Clear rejection from channel's resistance 2 days back, so entry need to be tried after strong breakout. Pros: Consistent increase in revenue & profit Negligible debt FII & DII increasing stake Key note : Always follow proper risk management to avoid losing capital from false breakouts as this is common. Caution : This is a knowledge sharing analysis, not a call. Profits are not made from following ideas, but by following Risk Management .
NSE:SYNGENE
by samplespaz
VINATIORGA is forming channel patternNSE:VINATIORGA midcap stock is forming channel pattern for a year. Pros: Consistent increase in revenue & profit Negligible debt FII & DII increasing stake 74% promotor holding Consistent dividend payout Key note : Always follow proper risk management to avoid losing capital from false breakouts as this is common. Caution : This is a knowledge sharing analysis, not a call. Profits are not made from following ideas, but by following Risk Management .
NSE:VINATIORGA
by samplespaz
SOLARA ACTIVE PHARMA, AT A HUGE DISCOUNT!!i have marked the time of corona crash(2019), with a circle, this stock had not broken its support during a crash too, that means its a stable stock. it has a good fundamentals, due to heavy corrections from past year, this stock had corrected a lot. i have drawn a 5 wave pattern, and this stock will now stock its bull rally, as markets for large caps have corrected, and now its time for mid and small caps to get its bull run. (link provided below). the stock has corrected till its IPO PRICE(when it touched its bottom). this stock has a good future, invest for long term
NSE:SOLARALong
by raghavchoudhary2016
3
Dixon Technologies - Keep an Eye 📊 Script: DIXON (DIXON TECHNOLOGIES (INDIA) LIMITED) 📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO 📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY 500, NIFTY INDIA CONSUMPTION, NIFTY MIDCAP 📊 Sector: Consumer Durables 📊 Industry: Consumer Electronics Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it. 📈 Crossover in MACD . 📈 Already Crossover in Double Moving Averages. 📈 Volume is increasing along with price. 📈 Script is moving towards resistance level which is around 4659 if script is breaking its resistance level it may go up. 📈 Current RSI is around 77. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade for around 120 points. ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 4540 🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 4659 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:DIXONLong
by radha_23
1
Sumitomo Chemical - Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Soon 📊 Script: SUMICHEM (SUMITOMO CHEMICAL INDIA LIMITED) 📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO 📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY 500 / NIFTY MIDCAP 📊 Sector: Chemicals 📊 Industry: Fertilizers & Agrochemicals Key highlights: 💡⚡ ⚠️ Keep an eye on SUMICHEM . ⚠️ It is near at its resistance zone which is around 500. ⚠️ Script is going to give double breakout which is trendline breakout and Symmetrical Triangle Breakout as mention in chart. ⏱️ BUY ABOVE AROUND 500 ⚠️ If its give breakout then one can go for swing trade. ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:SUMICHEMLong
by radha_23
1
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise Resistance : 2727.9 Pivot: 2612.6 Support : 2564.4 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 2612.6 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 2727.9 where the swing high resistance and -61.8% fibonacci expansion are. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to 1st support at 2564.4 where the pullback support, 23.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are. Fundamentals: Due to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve can achieve a soft landing for the economy, we have a bullish view for the S&P Midcap 400 index.
CME_MINI:EMD1!Long
by Genesiv