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Minimalisttrading

Short setup on SPX (x2)After the most recent upward move, the SPX shows clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup. Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving upward and it's now near its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend. This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration. Three additional signs support this setup: The RSI Exhaustion shows recent bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely. The price has formed a top just shy of its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator. A major level has formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level turned into support, it originated as resistance and could well revert back to it should be price start to drop further. Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
TVC:SPXShort
by a.b
Short setup on SPXThe SPX has experienced a significant bull run, reaching just below $5700, but is now showing clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup. Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving sideways and is now nearly flat at its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend. This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration. Three additional signs support this setup: The RSI Exhaustion shows bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely. The price has formed a top at its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator. A new major resistance level has recently formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level could potentially turn into support if the price breaks above it, for now, it remains a resistance, exerting downward pressure on the price. Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
TVC:SPXShort
by a.b
Major downtrend in SPXAfter almost two years of market exuberance due to central banks' unconventional actions, the SPX has recently entered a major downtrend which has just started. The index has just formed a top under a major resistance and its next target is the major support level around 3200. The RSI Exhaustion confirms the same analysis, in fact, there's no evidence of divergence and the indicator is currently "bullish exhausted" meaning that a bull run from here is extremely unlikely. Remember to do your analysis, be patient and always look for confirmation from the indicators.
SP:SPXShort
by a.b
2
SPX looking rather badThe S&P 500 Index looks extremely overextended and a downward movement is likely going forward. Currently, the SPX is in a very similar configuration to the pre-pandemic (late 2019 going into early 2020). Back then the price continued to move higher forming multiple tops while the RSI Exhaustion continued to decrease and stayed mostly bullish exhausted (colored green). As easily predictable, a significant correction took place later on and continued until late March. At that point, the chart had completely reversed showing a rather oversold situation and forming a bottom which gave us the opportunity to reenter for a new bull run. As of today, the SPX is back to a very similar configuration to one year ago: going forward a downward movement is likely. One final note on the supports. There are two major supports that will sustain the price should it start to fall. However, even the highest support is pretty far away from the current price level so there's plenty of room for triggering a downward movement.
SP:SPX
by a.b
11
Breakout opportunity on EURUSDThe EURUSD is currently in a downward channel and two alternative scenarios are possible: The downward channel should signal a further move to the upside. This view is supported by the fact that the pair broke up a similar consolidation in late-May/early-June and the price has increased until early September when it started consolidating. The RSI Exhaustion indicator is also supporting this view. In fact, it is increasing (diverging with the price!) and became bearish exhausted twice (colored red) in the last couple of months. A break to the upside can push the price in the 1.22-1.24 area. On the other hand, the price could continue to consolidate for some time and eventually move down at least until the 1.115 level. In such a case we should expect to see the RSI Exhaustion decreasing, becoming bearsih exhausted (colored red), and eventually becoming oversold as well. Among the two alternatives, the first (breakup) is the one more likely but remember to be patient and always check confirmation from the indicators!
by a.b
EURCAD Long at this S/R flip.I am looking at longing EUR/CAD at the top green line because the high is untested. I'm going through different styles of trading, so right now I'm trying minimalist trading: HLC bars, same color for up and down. The idea here is that I want all extraneous information off of the chart so that I'm focused only what matters, and not what doesn't. Where price opens in a day doesn't really matter. Whether the bar closed lower than the days' high (meaning it'll be colored green or red) doesn't really matter. Indicators lie. So I'm trying the old-fashined way. Same colored HLC bars. You can easily see 1) trend, 2) untested levels, 3) support and resistance.
Long
by RTradesReal
A BIG MOVE IS COMING ON EURUSDI usually post 1h charts but I think this weekly chart is very helpful to every FX trader . EURUSD is in consolidation since last May in the 1.155–1.18 area. This situation is the prelude of a breakout and a big impulsive move coming in the second part of 2018 and possibly 2019. The indicators are currently looking good but we need to wait and see the breakout, either up or down. Are you of the same opinion? Feel free to share your feedback below.
by a.b
9
BIG MOVE COMING ON BTCUSDThe BTCUSD is due to a major move soon. The pair has been consolidating to the downside for several months now and it has been significantly squeezing until now. During the last few months, the pair formed Lower Highs and Higher Lows, hence forming a nice pattern that is about to be broken. The Sentiment Index is squeezing which is a great indication that something big is about to happen. The Breakout Pivotal Bars is negative (red candles) so a breakdown seems more likely but we need to wait and see the color of the breakout candle. Either way the price will break, we are prepared and ready to profit from the move.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by a.b
9
HOW TO RIDE TRENDSThis educational idea refers to the last trading idea I published (linked below) and to many more I traded in the past. The chart above shows the BTCUSD going from about 6'500 at the beginning of April up to around 10'000 in early May and all the way back down to about 6'500 in mid-June. This idea shows how it was possible to ride the trend all the way up (4 buy opportunities) and all the way down (4 sell opportunities) with three indicators: the Breakout Pivotal Bars , the Sentiment Index and the Levels and Zones . Here's how they work to identify setups: Breakout Pivotal Bars • For break-ups the candle must be coloured in green. • For break-downs the candle must be coloured in red. • Blue candles mean indecision so either trend continuation or imminent trend reversal. Depending on your strategy it is possible to trade them or not. Sentiment Index Possible situations are: • Breakout (e.g. Bullish Sentiment in case 1 or Bearish Sentiment in case 8) • Divergence with the price (Bullish Sentiment in case 8) Levels and Zones Gives a reference in real-time to where the most significant levels and their corresponding long/short zones are. Let's see the 8 trading opportunities: 1. Break-up of consolidation (blue candle) + Break-up of Bullish Sentiment + Above Support -> GOOD OPPORTUNITY 2. Break-up of consolidation (green candle) + Break-up of Bullish Sentiment + Above Support -> GOOD OPPORTUNITY 3. Break-up of consolidation (blue candle) + Break-up of Bullish Sentiment + No Support nearby -> VALID OPPORTUNITY but pay attention 4. Break-up of consolidation (green candle) + Break-up of Bullish Sentiment + Resistance Above -> VALID OPPORTUNITY but pay attention 5. Break-down of consolidation (red candle) + Break-down of Bearish Sentiment (divergence in Bullish Sentiment) + Below Resistance -> GOOD OPPORTUNITY 6. Break-down of consolidation (red candle) + Break-down of Bearish Sentiment + Support is pretty far! -> GOOD OPPORTUNITY 7. Break-down of consolidation (red candle) + Break-down of Bearish Sentiment + Support is pretty far! -> GOOD OPPORTUNITY 8. Break-down of consolidation (red candle) + Break-down of Bearish Sentiment + Support is still pretty far! -> GOOD OPPORTUNITY
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by a.b
36