Downloading...
Download

Moass

MOASSTLDR: MOASS is about to kick into high gear and Elliott Wave has given us some solid targets from a price and time perspective MOASS Target Price: $1800-$2400..with potential for us to see pockets of trades fill at even higher levels (remember if price overshoots a target we just look to the next fib) Timeframe to complete: End of Jan 2025 (pay attention to the fibs on the time axis) It is time Our patience is about to be rewarded Friday saw, what we think is the fuse lighting (hint hint) for what we will look back later and call: MOASS We have been pounding the table saying that GME is bullish Elliott Wave Theory has done a great job tracking general price movements Again, if you are judging Elliott Wave Theorys efficacy by its exactness then you have the wrong expectation As we have explained many times Elliott Wave gives you IDEALIZED targets but price can and will overshoot/undershoot those targets...and we expect that to happen Which is why we say EVERY FIB that we show on the chart is important because when overshoots/undershoots happen we just look to the next Fib as our target...and we do this until the price structure changes and invalidates our count Thats why we constantly talk about PRICE STRUCTURE Ultimately, price structure, too us, means is the overall structure Bullish (impulsive) or Bearish (corrective) So with that said this chart lays out exactly how high we think this gets and also how long it might take Pay close attention to EVERY FIB on the PRICE and the TIME axis...we expect price to react significantly to every one Oh for the last time...for those that think price could never reach the prices we project ( aka at those prices GME would be XXXXXXXXXXXX Market cap blah blah) we are NOT saying that price will be SUSTAINED at those levels...we are saying price will TEMPORARILY reach those levels.. Remember we are calling targets for a SHORT SQUEEZE here..not a FUNDAMENTAL price target M O A S S
NYSE:GMELong
by Heartbeat_Trading
19
THE BIG LEBOWSKIHere is a bullish play on a name you've probably never heard of unless you love bowling lol. I love bowling. Bowlero Inc is the next MOASS that could put GME/AMC to shame. Quick stats: Short Percentage of the Float: 90.4% Short Interest Ratio/Days to Cover: 11.2 Average Trading Volume (3m): 1,270,749 (High liquidity) Cost to Borrow: 17% Chart Analysis and Forecast: - love this setup, nice momentum that will generate a squeeze (actually just started today) - Fractal re-accumulation pattern with nearly identical setup as the accumulation pattern that it initially broke out of a few months back ** Initial Target = 17.50 by early-mid April 2024 **** Goal Target = 19-21 by mid May 2024 (up to 50% near-term upside from current price) Those targets are being conservative, if it breaks above 21 it will go APE. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bullish play (not financial advice): Load the boat with shares, Apr 19 15.00 calls, and May 17.50 calls. Join the squeeze, its just beginning.
BLong
by JerryManders
34
Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down?On trading social media, Disney has been the target of moonboys for quite a while. For some reason, whenever a stock is in a landslide and doesn't go up, everyone gets it in their head that they're going to BUY THE CALLS and catch the next MOTHER OF ALL SHORT SQUEEZES. And this is because you want to gamble on a single day candle, which results in you blowing your account, and then you stop using TradingView and can't have fun anymore. Disney, fundamentally, is a company that may not have any future whatsoever in a society that returns to mankind's traditions. For so many years, it has been pushing a warped and depraved culture at both its parks and via its broadcasting networks. It was even an entertainment industry leader in onboarding the Chinese Communist Party's Zero-COVID social credit edicts. And this is a problem if you want to get long. They always say "zoom out," and so let's look at yearly candles: 8 months of price action for 2023 so far indicates that we've probably just been painting the wick portion of a year that will break the 2020 COVID low. And the first place you find support below the COVID low is at $40. "Sure, sure. But it's Disney. It's the stock market. EVERYONE KNOWS it's going up. Bears always get #rekt LOL." "Bear flags" and "bull flags" are astrology and don't exist. But what does exist is when an equity spends more than a year in an area it should have bounced from and simply doesn't go up, which is what we see on the monthly. But the contrary, on the Weekly, there is a problem for bears, which is the August of '22 high at $126. And so there is a potential that tomorrow's earnings call actually results in a raid to $80 that actually produces a bullish buying opportunity with a target of $126. The problem is, the "JPM Collar" has the world's most significant bank long on SPX 4,200 puts that expire September 29 that have literally been under water every second of every day since they were bought at the end of Q2. SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' However, I note in my recent SPX call: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg And a recent Nasdaq call Nasdaq NQ - Is It Time To Sell The Rip? With CPI pending on Thursday morning, what happens tomorrow is really significant. That although I suspect our index tops to get raided, the problem is, are you going to see $40+ on Disney in a time frame of less than 3 weeks? September is likely to be something of a "chilly autumn" for equities markets with the way everything is set up, including the SOXS bear semiconductor ETF and the VIX. If there's to be anymore rally, that rally may only come in Q4. And thus, that would mean for Disney that a likely scenario would be a raid on the lows from earnings and even more bearish consolidation, with the $126 target being left for the beginning of Q4. This stock is a lot like Verizon and T-Mobile. It's better left not bothered with until it starts to show you signs that a bank or a fund really wants to rip it bigly in one direction or the other. There's lower hanging fruit and greener pastures out there to trade.
NYSE:DIS
by LordWrymouth
1
Target - Why Is Everyone Desperate To Long Disasters?Target is another example of the so-called "contrarian" trade that circulates on financial social media where, somehow, everyone puts on their VERY SMART PERSON baseball caps and gets long because it MUST BE TIME FOR THE MOTHER OF ALL SHORT SQUEEEEEEEEEEEZES. And yet time and time again it never works. Paypal is a really fine example. Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market? I mean cool, if you bought at $59 in May (you didn't) and sold at $77 on the last two days of July (you didn't) then you made $18 a share and are a VERY SMART PERSON. And then it gave it all back in a day on earnings and people are killing themselves buying the dips again. Same with T-Mobile, Verizon, and Disney Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down? It's at long time lows. Went up a bit on earnings. And then gave it all back over the span of a few days and people are still "buying teh dip," primarily because some Signal or Discord or picture of a girl on Musk's new Xeeeeeeeter app said "muchwow prize target nao $120 be a winner like me and BUY CALLS." These are things that you need to stop doing. When something trades like a bag of doorknobs for a long period of time it's because it really is a piece of crap that will eventually go lower, and so instead of buying that dip, sell that rip. Better yet, ignore this kind of junk and trade what is actually trending, the indexes, or just go outside for a month or two and come back when the chop is over and save your trouble. Look at the monthly bars on Target. "Zoom out," they always say. I understand this because in the first two months I wanted to go long on this thing for at least a retrace to $150 too. But instead the old "support" has become new "resistance." And this tells you that new lows are most likely coming. And when Target flirts again with $100 people will go even more bigly long. The longs trapped from $125 and $130 will double their position. But this piece of crap probably won't bounce. Have you actually been on their website and looked at the clothes they sell? Look at stuff like women's intimates (lol). Do you know they have an isle in the stores devoted to fleshlights? Do you know that they allow people to steal? That, my friends, is real "fundamental analysis". What's the bull case? That someone told you the EllLioT WaVeS SaId $160 MiniMum? This is a chain that was bounced out of Canada because it was Zellers 2.0. These markets, all the equities, all the commodities, the entire world is in for a rough future. The rough future might only last for a few months, but it might last for a few years. If you don't "paradigm shift" ahead of schedule, by the time you do get your paradigm shifted forcefully, it will be too late for crying. And so my only wish with these things is to wake you up. China is the world's central stage and what's going on with Xi Jinping, the Chinese Communist Party, and its 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa is the fundamental story that everything else is a slave to. Time to wake up, my friends.
NYSE:TGTShort
by LordWrymouth
1
Walmart - Congratulations. We Now Have "Confirmation."Walmart is another stock that, for some reason, people want to be bullish on. It's probably because Marxist social marketing platform Reddit's public relations firm nestegg r/WallStreetBets said so, or some GPT instance on StockTwits said so. Yet it's another old company with an old business model that is anything but good. I haven't been to a Walmart in the United States in years, but the ones in Canada aren't even cheap. They attract people from low social classes and people who moved here from other countries, but are seriously often one of the most expensive options out there and even shopping online are an automatic skip. Yet people want to get long. This stock is similar to Target Target - Why Is Everyone Desperate To Long Disasters? And Disney Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down? And Paypal Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market? In that none of them are one bit bullish, and yet people are rallied by a certain force into believing that it's time to BUY THEM CALLS because it's GOING TO SQUEEZE or something. And yet when stuff like Apple or Meta trends upwards for 5-8 straight months you're told to short every pop while it runs away on you. China's economic problems are seriously escalating and at a frightening speed. The effort is underway to destabilize the Chinese Communist Party, so long as Xi Jinping is its leader and the President of China, at least. The ultimate endgame is to produce a situation where the CCP and/or Xi falls, but what the International Rules Based Order and its banking cartel want is not to have China's 5,000 years of dynasties and traditions return, but to replace the existing regime with something of a submissive soyregime that's nested out of Taiwan. And because of this, retail stores are particularly at risk because everyone just loves and loves to put their hands and get their hands in Shanghai where the Jiang Zemin faction is. When the day comes, the CCP will be gone and the Jiang faction and the CCP's 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual cultivators and all that organ harvesting will become an international story, the only one that matters. And these companies who have been supplying blood to "China" all these years will really wind up going Blockbuster and delisting. Walmart's monthly shows us that we have a raid on the '22 all time high. The purpose of these kinds of events is to take out the funds and whales who use stop loss rules. And if it's really true that Walmart isn't aiming for $180, then it means the next set of rules-based funds and whales to hunt is on the low side, which is a painful $50 away. On the weekly, this ramp towards the top has been an amusing 52 degrees. Trendlines are created to be broken because you're told that technical analysis and not price action is somehow important. The reverse bullish upside down inverse bat pattern harmonic RSI MACD divergence clouds are definitely the way to understand the market, not the places where people are told to put their stops to "mAnAGe ThEiR RiSk." And so the moons have come together on today's earnings to tell us that it's probably time to sell the rip. Walmart has produced: 1. A failure swing 2. The rejection came on Q2 earnings as a catalyst/news driver 3. Months and months of insider sales 4. At a time when indexes are toppy 5. Jackson Hole, the biggest Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, is a week away 6. JP Morgan is long some 15,800 puts with a strike of SPX 4,225 expiring September 29 that have never been in the money since the quarter changed And so the trade setup is simple. Don't try to buy the dip. The dip can't be bought. Instead sell a rip back to the $158 pivot Buy long duration puts Sit on your hands and go outside Take a girl on a date Listen to music and have wine with her Tell her that her hair is pretty Come back a few weeks later and roll them out Rinse, repeat until $99 Good luck, my friends. It's time to stop listening to the Internet and social media machine. People with low follower counts and low traffic can tell you the truth, but the big dogs are promoted because the purpose is to use you as exit liquidity lol.
NYSE:WMTShort
by LordWrymouth
1
Gold - $2,000 Is a Death TrapThis is a follow up to my June 2 call for a new ATH on Gold, that will be bearish, instead of bullish: Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped? In the process of tracking this, price action did not meet expectations (in the sense that it has not traded low enough), and so I began to reconsider the overall topography of the market. Also, right now, I have an open call on silver for $33: Silver - 33 Moons However, as price has not traded down the levels I regard as requisite to trigger a bull impulse, while I still believe that these high prices will manifest in the future, the market makers desire lower prices first. One thing to note about gold is both the monthly and weekly bars are actually bearish despite price having formed a long-term triple top: But in the shorter term (1H-4H-1D) candles, gold is clearly heading towards higher prices after bouncing exactly over $1,900. As I've said before, one of the problems with a metals bull market right now is that Xi Jinping and the Chinese government (the Chinese Communist Party) have amassed a large amount of gold in recent months. China's economy is doing extremely poorly following the decimation of the Party by Wuhan Pneumonia and the CCP faces threats on all sides, especially from the International Rules Based Order who now chatters about "de-risking" from China. Since the United States tends to be the market maker of everything, this is trouble for China's central bank. Large stocks of gold and a heavily declining price will put the regime in a great deal of trouble, depleting the money it has available for buying people off. And this is a huge geopolitical threat, for Xi Jinping has one Trump card to play: throw away the CCP in the middle of Beijing time, which is the U.S. night, and weaponize the 24-year-long persecution and genocide against Falun Dafa (Falun Gong) meditation, which was launched by Jiang Zemin and its band of toad cronies in Shanghai. Another thing to note is since the pandemic crash, BUT BEFORE 2022, gold has had something of an inverse covariance with the SPX and the SPX has an inverse covariance with the USD. But after 2022, gold has traded mostly in lockstep with the SPX, although in recent days and weeks that has begun to decouple. Looking at the daily covariance, gold and the USD have an inverse covariance with the overextended equities market: And I anticipate a USD rally, as I state here: DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia Since I believe what the market makers have in store for us is a significant downtrend in the equities market until September: SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' Gold setting a new high right now doesn't make sense. And so what I believe will happen is the target for the algorithm right now is $2,030, and it amounts to a short squeeze/bull trap. This will both take out the June high and draw in buyside demand over the $2,000 level, since retail goldbugs are always pining for a new all time high. But the rally will fail, again, and the markets at large will fail again (except for Natural Gas). Natural Gas - The Girl Who Hopes You Remember Her And as the rally fails we'll see lower prices. Probably ending in the $1,800 range. This amounts to a 10%~ drop and is pretty painful if you're sitting leveraged long and even worse if you're leveraged on call options. If $1,800 is violated, then the top is probably already in, in my opinion. So, be careful and make sure you practice social distancing from atheism, Marxist-Leninism, the Theory of Evolution, QAnon, and the CCP itself. Long gold is about returning to tradition, and mankind's Heaven sent traditions are even more luminous than an entire vault of 100.00% pure AU.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LordWrymouth
1
VIX - The 72-Handle PreludeI will reiterate again, as I have in my past posts, notably: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal That if you are bullish on US equities into the future and want to see a healthy economy into '24 and '25, you DO NOT want to see a new all time high to be set yet. Instead, you want a correction. A major correction is just that: a correction. A correction gives a number of elements an opportunity to rebalance and reload so that a new phase of markup, and thus profits for longs, can unfold. The VIX controls a lot of things, namely the price of options. Really, what this means for most people is it controls the price of "protection," i.e. puts. And since the VIX is now trading at a low not seen since June of '21 and in an area of accumulation that spanned 3 years between '18 and '20, if you think a new all time high on equities is coming, you're actually saying that VIX is going to trade to 5. And you may very well be right. It's a very difficult situation. However, net liquidity is coming out of the system, and the indexes and equities rallied from mid-June to mid-August of last year. The algorithm rarely runs the same pattern at the same time twice. Moreover, there's a lot of problems brewing in this world with the War in Ukraine connected to Vladimir Putin and the situation in mainland China with Xi Jinping still at the helm of the notorious and unforgivable Chinese Communist Party. There are handles a major arranged correction in the markets are not going to print on VIX. 1. VIX will not print GFC highs 2. VIX will not print the millennial-titled "Coronavirus Disease 2019" highs 3. VIX will not print 50-handles Instead, VIX, in my opinion, will print a 72-handle. One of the truths in the market place is the easiest and most consistent money is not only that the market goes up, but selling volatility after the dust on periodical propaganda has settled is free money. A free money train always continues and you're never a part of it because you're trying to long MULN and Bed Bloodbath and Beyond for a MOASS. So, let's take a look at the ETFs. There are some notable pieces of evidence in the price action that show something ought to change, and quickly. The first is in the SVXY inverse VIX ETF, which has taken out the pre-COVID high, and by a lot. LT short seller funds: they dead. But a more notable case is that of the UVIX 2x leveraged bull ETF It was 5:1 reverse split to start the year, had one bounce during the bank collapse hysteria, and then lost 80% of its value. UVIX trades under $1 pre-split. You're looking for a MOASS on shitcoins, but here's a real opportunity. Notable is also that HUV, the Toronto Stock Exchange VIX (non-levered bull) ETF, is in a similar boat. It 6:1 reverse split in February, had one bounce, and lost half its value, trading to barely over $3 pre-split. You can care about Canada because there are arbitrage opportunities with the USDCAD currency pair and because our holidays and your holidays are not the same, like "Juneteenth," and so there is opportunity in manipulation. What I can say is that there's an argument, if nothing else, to long volatility in extreme situations as a way of defending your long positions. People are willing to allocate 40 percent of their portfolio to bonds that just don't go up when the market pumps and don't go up when the market goes down. So why not hedge with volatility? That being said, if Nasdaq goes to 9,000 points, are you really willing to hold your $400 NVDIA? Humans never believe in what they don't see. They only believe after they've been shown, and then it's too late. What I truly hope for everyone who has a kind heart is not only that you can preserve your money through the chaos and manipulation, but walk out of the machinations stronger, better, healthier, and with a bright future. For this, and only this, is what you have waited for.
TVC:VIXLong
by LordWrymouth
4
IWM Russel 2000 - No Love For Small CapsI hadn't really looked at IWM until a follower asked me about it on Twitter, and after thinking about it for a few hours and comparing it against SPY and QQQ, I realized that it's not that IWM is lagging, it's that it's not going to follow the recent mania. Some wisdom I heard recently is that breadth is important in markets because it indicates a large amount of liquidity has entered or left, indicating the emergence of new bull and bear markets. Unfortunately, with the exception of Friday alone, breadth has been terrible in this debt ceiling crisis pump, which means even though Nasdaq is flirting with 15,000 and SPX with 4,300, it's a bullish impulse within bearish macro conditions. There's a lot of trouble on the horizon with the 2024 Presidential Election close enough that the game has to played and the trouble brewing in mainland China with the Communist Party being about to fall and the globalist bloc struggling to either cuckold or depose Xi Jinping. What a bullish impulse in a bearish macro framework means for small caps is that although Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Tesla, Amazon, Apple might pump, liquidity is not going to be going "risk on" on small caps and zombie corporations. Instead, prices will be driven lower because as they sell the cycle highs in the blue chips, they'll be bidding a portion of their profits with lowball asks on small caps for the purposes of pumping them, and then dumping them, on retail's head after interest in the big names has become exhausted. Those very large lowball asks will lead the algorithms to drive price towards them because the algo is designed to generate volume. But on small caps, unless the company has significantly exceptional fundamentals, your expectations on how high it can go and how long it can go for during a reversal will have to be quite reserved. In other words, if you missed the July '20 to October '22 pump on IWM then you missed the train and it's never coming back. It is what it is. Just accept it. You can make a lot of money trading puts on this thing on the way down. It just means that if it really does bounce around $125, your expectation for where it can bounce to shouldn't be a new ATH, but probably back to $170. Again, you can make a lot of money trading calls from $125 to $170. But if you want to bUy tEh bOtToM fOr thE mOaSS and think you're going to get a 50 bagger instead of a "tiny little" 5 bagger, you're going to blow your account. And if that's who you are, it's probably better you blow your account and go back to working a real job and learn the value of money again. So here's the trade. This recent breakout looks like it's just a consolidation squeeze. It's going down. But it might screw around for a while and could be as annoying as trading over $200 again. It's really hard to say. Areas you'd really like to short and/or buy puts are called $188 or $190. You'll need 4-6 months or so to get to the $127 level. But either way, the R/R on a $188 short with a $212 stop and a $130 target is almost 7 to 1. Go do sports betting for a while and enlighten to how hard it is to hit a +700 if you don't think that's a worthwhile trade. You need to quit wanting to get rich quick. Getting rich isn't important and it isn't even valuable. What you need is to wake up to what's important in life and what you're really here to do. And that question is answered in mankind's traditions and that 5,000 year old culture sitting in Mainland China after the CCP is utterly annihilated.
AMEX:IWMShort
by LordWrymouth
4
AMC ready to fade. Too Much Big Short Money to OvercomeI like the theory of beating the Hedge Funds and their over capitalized naked shorts but the reality of the markets is that they exist to hurt us (the poor and middle class). I'm expecting a fake breakout sometime between now and Christmas, this will pull in a final round of suckers. then going into the new year, this will print a definitive new lower low on a ton of volume. The AMC Movie Theatre business fundamentals don't matter at all, this is a meme asset that is narrative and emotion driven only
NYSE:AMC
by noam_chom
24
GME moment of truth -- will the Algo break the trendline??GME algo is in full control, as you can see from the two upward blue channels that follow with a sharp drop. The good news is that the upward orange trendline has held on 3 separate occasions now -- Feb '21, May '22, and Sep '22. This signifies that while the algo remains mostly in control, the lows aren't as low as they could be because DRS diamond hands are holding the line. The moment of truth will come within the next couple weeks, as the algo goes for the "mega drop", similar to what we saw in January when we went from $40 to $20. If we're lucky, we will mimic the movement of April '20 before the sneeze, where the price temporarily dropped below the trendline and back into it, igniting the squeeze in just a few months. So I'd expect a quick drop below the channel to the $15-20 range and back into it shortly thereafter. If this happens, MOASS is most definitely imminent within the next 3 months. However, if it doesn't bounce back into the channel, MOASS would be delayed and a new trend would most likely take shape over the next 6 months or so before we can make any real judgement. At that point, we'd be totally dependent on DRS numbers sucking out liquidity before we saw anything really reminiscent of MOASS.
NYSE:GMELong
by bouncytrades
3
AMC Could hit $14? Naw its AMC DayWe Fell Back below resistance before close, but IDC Tomorrow Who Ever is Holding AMC will receive an APE on the 22nd!!! This Will be Monumental! Even if they don't close? 1. The Buying and Holding Pressure tomorrow will be Extreme!! 2. We will have holders from baby and game piling into AMC 3.For the First Time Ever we could finally expose Synthetic Shares in the Market!!! 4. I would think the 90 million short shares, would at the least have to be covered!!! $33 with Ease Win Win Win Win!!! We are Making History & showing the whole world things can change!!!! See you on the Moon. This is not financial advice Short Interest 95,091,742 shares Short Interest Ratio 1.43 Days to Cover Short Interest % Float 18.45% Off-Exchange Short Volume 17,363,626 shares Off-Exchange Short Volume Ratio 59.90%
NYSE:AMCLong
by FibonacciN
2