Mobility — Trading Ideas on TradingView

Archer Aviation: Fact or Fiction in the Skies?Archer Aviation, a prominent player in the burgeoning electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) industry, recently experienced a significant stock surge, followed by a sharp decline. This volatility was triggered by a report from short-seller Culper Research, which accused Archer of "massive fraud" and systematically misleading investors on key development and testing milestones for its Midnight eVTOL aircraft. Culper's allegations included misrepresentations of assembly timelines, readiness for pilot-controlled flights, and the legitimacy of a "transition flight" to unlock funding. The report also criticized Archer's promotional spending and claimed stalled progress on FAA certification, challenging the company's aggressive commercialization timeline. Archer Aviation swiftly and forcefully refuted these claims, labeling them "baseless" and questioning Culper Research's credibility, citing its founder's "shorting and distorting" reputation. Archer emphasized its strong first-quarter 2025 earnings, which saw a dramatic narrowing of net losses and a substantial increase in cash reserves to over $1 billion. The company highlighted its operational momentum, including strategic partnerships with Palantir for AI development and Anduril for defense applications, a $142 million U.S. Air Force contract, and significant early customer orders exceeding $6 billion. Archer also pointed to its progress on FAA operational certifications, having secured three of four essential licenses, and its preparation for "for credit" flight testing for Type Certification, a critical step towards commercial passenger operations. Culper Research's past track record presents a mixed picture, with previous targets like Soundhound AI experiencing initial stock declines followed by strong financial rebounds, though some legal challenges persisted. This nuanced history suggests that while Culper's reports can cause immediate market disruption, they do not consistently predict long-term corporate failure or fully validate the most severe allegations. The eVTOL industry itself faces immense challenges, including stringent regulatory hurdles, high capital requirements, and the need for extensive infrastructure development. For investors, Archer Aviation remains a high-risk, long-duration investment. The conflicting narratives necessitate a cautious approach, focusing on verifiable milestones such as FAA Type Certification progress, cash burn rate, successful commercialization execution, and Archer's comprehensive response to the allegations. While the "fraud" thesis might be "overblown" given Archer's verifiable progress and strong financial position, ongoing due diligence is crucial. The company's long-term success hinges on its ability to navigate these complexities and meticulously execute its ambitious commercialization plan.

$UBER UBER’S RIDE TO PROFITABILITY & BEYOND?UBER’S RIDE TO PROFITABILITY & BEYOND? 1/8 Uber ( NYSE:UBER ) just keeps on rolling! 🚀🚖 From 20% YoY growth in gross bookings to a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B stock buyback, here’s what you need to know about this market heavyweight. 2/8 – RECENT REVENUE GROWTH • Q1 FY24: Gross bookings hit $37.7B (+20% YoY) • Revenue: $10.1B (+15% YoY), beating estimates by FWB:40M • Uber’s firing on all cylinders—mobility & delivery both on the rise 3/8 – EARNINGS & PROFITABILITY • Operating margin up from -3% to 2%—that’s a serious pivot to profit • Adjusted EBITDA soared 82% to $1.4B • First annual profit since going public in 2019. Party time! 🎉 4/8 – BUYBACKS & BULLISH GUIDANCE • SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B stock buyback → market approves, stock at all-time highs 📈 • Gross bookings outlook: +15–20% for the next 3 years • EBITDA growth pegged at ~40%—can they keep the momentum? 5/8 – VALUATION SNAPSHOT • Forward P/E ~35x—a bit high, but consider the growth & dominance • Market cap ~$140B vs. robust free cash flow projections • Competition (Lyft, DoorDash) often has higher P/E or shakier growth 6/8 Is Uber undervalued given its trajectory? 1️⃣ Yes—ride (and deliver) the wave! 2️⃣ No—too pricey at 35x forward P/E 3️⃣ Maybe—needs more proof (robotaxi success?) Vote below! 🗳️👇 7/8 – SWOT/SCOT TAKE Strengths: Global brand, diverse services, Waymo partnership 🤖 Challenges: Regulations, high op costs, fierce competition Opportunities: New markets, AI, autonomous tech Threats: Legal hurdles, changing consumer habits 8/8 – WHAT’S NEXT? Uber’s aiming for an autonomous future—could that turbocharge margins? ⚡️🏁

BLXM about to jump 1100%Bloxmove has been consolidating after it's 0.3 USD peak and 0.87 USD liquidity spikes, and hit half of the all time low on the 14th of June of 6.2 cents. The company is moving into Ibiza to bring the service there which is extremely bullish for the future audience, with 4 million yearly tourists from all over the world, the brand/token will gather a lot of much needed attention. BLXM is about to change the world of mobility by decentralizing the mobility platforms, so drivers can offer rides cheaper than Uber or Bolt could ever do. In the near future we'll have also option to provide the funding for vehicles and real time commission payments for every ride finished. The token will get also burned till there's only 10 million BLXM left making it rarer by every ride finished. There's only one way from this point on, standing at 1 million mcap, this is a gem like no other, like getting into Amazon or Microsoft on the first year of launch. We should be seeing spike to at least 11 million in the next 2 months followed by slight consolidation. The overall future of BloxMove is really bright, with possible 200-500 million top by the end of bull run. Developer team is based and have been actively working on the project for 3 years already, Nigeria soon going live followed by Ibiza.

HLBZ Helbiz the CEO keeps buying more shares! On Dec 29, HLBZ Helbiz CEO bought another 1,568,249 shares of its company at $0.12. He has also bough shares when the stock was $6.75 last year, worth $3,374,000. His average I believe it`s a bit above $1. That`s why i think the CEO of HLBZ, Salvatore PalellaIa, said: "I have only two targets: Profitability and bringing back the stock at 1$ without a RS ; I will do everything I can to make this happen. PERIOD". We are "Creating the first mobility SuperApp"! If we are to trust him, then HLBZ should do a 7.6X move from here. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.

All roads lead to a very exciting future of mobility In the classic 1980s film, ‘Back to the Future’, the protagonists, Dr. Emmett Brown and Marty McFly, travel 30 years into the future. In the year 2015, their DeLorean time machine, which now runs on waste matter, is airborne in what appears to be heavy car traffic in the skies. Although our skies don’t quite look like what was envisioned in the movie, ‘Back to the Future’ did get two things right. First, cars have found alternative fuels to run on. And second, the technology at our fingertips today bears no resemblance to what was there back in the 80s. We know that as technology advances, the rate of change increases too. But we don’t need another dose of science fiction to imagine the future of automobility. All we must do is observe the megatrends already in motion. At WisdomTree, we see the future of automobility as connected, autonomous, shared and electrified. This is exciting not just for car and technology enthusiasts, but investors as well. Connectivity Imagine you are driving on the motorway. You feel hungry. You verbally ask the car to search for good restaurants along the route, pick the one which optimises between the highest rating and your cuisine preferences, and add a stop on the navigation. This isn’t science fiction; some cars with high-tech infotainment systems can do precisely this. The Mercedes Benz User Experience (MBUX) responds to “Hey Mercedes” and uses artificial intelligence to predict your personal habits. The more you drive it, the more likely it will find you a route you will enjoy most. It will also remind you when your next service is due. It knows, after all, how forgetful you can be… In 2021, there were 236 million connected cars worldwide. A connected car is one that uses the internet to download, as well as upload, data. By 2035, this number could reach 863 million1. The connected car brings additional benefits as well. It can update its software automatically, like your mobile phone. This means fewer trips to the workshop. It can also help you monitor critical safety information about the car remotely. This is especially useful for managers who need to maintain entire fleets of cars. Digital dashboards can enable them to monitor their fleet quickly and remotely, instead of checking each car manually. Autonomous driving Now, imagine being on the motorway again. Perhaps you don’t have enough time to sit at a restaurant, but you could pick something up and eat in your car while driving. Not very safe? Why not let the car drive itself while you enjoy your meal in the backseat and maybe even respond to some urgent emails. Autonomous driving isn’t just for the hungry driver in a hurry, it will have a huge impact on all forms of mobility. Logistics is one example. The global drone package delivery market is expected to grow from $824 million in 2021 to $11,519 million in 2030, expanding at a compound annual growth rate of over 55%2. Autonomous mobility has many tangible benefits, including improving safety. Currently, approximately 1.3 million people die each year because of road traffic accidents3. Although there are regulatory and psychological barriers to overcome before full automation becomes the norm, assisted and partially automated driving is already making cars safer. As we progress along the continuum of automation, this dreadful statistic might hopefully be reduced. Moreover, not always requiring humans to do the job will make logistics more efficient and cost effective. The UK, with its recent lorry driver shortage, could certainly have benefitted from automated driving. Shared mobility Back to the motorway scenario again. This time, imagine you reach your desired restaurant in a town nearby only to find there is no parking. But what if you don’t need to park. You don’t own the car anyway. The car drops you off and goes to pick up another passenger. Once you’re ready to go, you call another car. These days when we think of ride-hailing, we think of Uber as the alternative to calling a traditional taxi. But in many crowded cities, shared ownership can reduce the need for people to own cars. This could not only reduce the financial burden on individuals and city planners, but also help the environment. vironment Vehicle on demand (carsharing) and mobility on demand (ride-hailing) create a marketplace for transportation. This marketplace creates ‘positive feedback’ through network effects. Source : Hackermoon, Berylls, 2022. Electrification Let’s return to the motorway scenario one last time. This time you hear on the radio how terrible the weather is going to be the following week. As you ponder the state of the planet amid climate change, you feel assured that at least you have ditched your internal combustion engine car in favour of an electric one. Road transportation accounts for almost 12% of all greenhouse gas emissions4. Electrification can, therefore, make a huge difference. A few years ago, electric vehicles were limited to the likes of Tesla and a handful of other car manufacturers. Today, most car makers have rapidly growing ranges of electric models. Electric vehicle sales doubled in 2021 compared to 2020 and reached 6.6 million worldwide. All of this in a year when the automobile industry was faced with semiconductor chip shortages. By 2040, electric vehicles will dominate sales worldwide (see Figure 3 below). Source: BloombergNEF, as of 01 June 2022. Drivetrains: BEV (battery electric vehicles), PHEV (plug-in hybrid electric vehicles), FCV (fuel cell vehicles), ICE (internal combustion engine vehicles). ICE includes self-charging hybrids. Types: Shared (digital-hailing, taxis, car-sharing and autonomous vehicles operated in a shared fleet), private (privately owned vehicles). Forecasts are not an indicator of future performance and any investments are subject to risks and uncertainties. Electrification (that is, making cars that run on lithium-ion batteries) isn’t the only innovation car makers are pursuing. Manufacturers are actively exploring alternative fuels like hydrogen. Daimler already has hydrogen fuel cell trucks under testing. Car makers are also innovating with cutting edge technologies like wireless charging. BMW is an example in this space. After all, it will be easier for autonomous cars to park themselves over bays where they can charge wirelessly, rather than finding a way for cables to be connected somehow. How can investors capture these megatrends? The automotive ecosystem can be split into five key segments. Original equipment manufacturers – companies developing, manufacturing and selling vehicles. Suppliers – companies developing, manufacturing and selling software, hardware or engineering services for vehicle development. Dealers and aftermarkets – companies buying and selling vehicles or providing platforms for doing so. Likewise, servicing, optimising and repairing vehicles after they have been put into operation. Infrastructure – companies developing, operating, and maintaining the infrastructure required for industry transformation (for example, charging, hydrogen refuelling). Mobility service providers – companies providing mobility services (B2B / B2C)5 or providing the platform for a third party to provide mobility services. An exposure across the five segments can help investors capture the megatrend of future mobility. Expect change. Expect innovation. Expect excitement. The mobility ecosystem is evolving rapidly to meet the changing needs of consumers and cities, and to tackle climate change. And, it is starting to get a lot of attention from investors. Sources 1 As per September 2021 forecasts from Statista. 2 According to Research and Markets ‘Drone Package Delivery Markets’ July 2022 report. 3 According to the World Health Organisation June 2022. 4 Our World in Data 2020. 5 B2B is business-to-business and B2C is business-to-consumer. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Look at all these sector rotations! Welcome to the new regime Recently we've seen a significant "rotation" in markets toward large cap tech and defensives, and away from small caps, financials, and transportation. In this post, I will describe the rotation through a series of charts, and I will also suggest some explanations for what's going on. The long and short of it is that I think we've just witnessed a regime change, and markets are going to look very different for the rest of the year. What's up: ecommerce, software, automation After a long period of underperformance early this year, the software sector made a bullish trendline break vs. the S&P 500 at the end of May, and has been outperforming ever since: Likewise the Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF: And the Amplify Online Retail ETF: Note that the online retail ETF is outperforming despite recent weak retail sales numbers. What's down: airlines, retail, materials While tech names have been breaking out upwards, we've seen downward breakouts in several other sectors that outperformed early this year. This includes most of the winners of the "reopening" trade, including airlines: The "consumer discretionary" or retail sector has also rolled over, obviously with the exception of ecommerce: As retail rolls over, we're also seeing some very bearish action in the materials sector. In addition to a sharp selloff in lumber, we also saw iron ore and gold take big dumps in the last few days. The materials sector has broken its uptrend relative to the S&P: What's going on: weak demand and the Delta variant Partly tech may be outperforming because of falling bond yields. Tech has been inversely correlated with interest rates since early this year. But I think a couple other factors are also in play. The economic data lately have been very disappointing, with weak retail sales, weak durable goods orders, and weak housing starts. A lot of consumers now say they are hesitant to buy a house, and initial unemployment claims ticked up significantly this week. The ECRI leading weekly index has been in a downward slide since mid-March. All of this points to weakening consumer demand, which I think is why you see the retail and materials sectors falling so hard. The drop-off in demand is partly due to inflated prices, and partly due to the elimination of expanded unemployment benefits. Having already spent their stimulus checks, consumers now simply have less money to spend. There's another factor, too, which is Covid-19 variants. The variant known as "Delta" has been ravaging India and spreading fast in the rest of the world. This variant is highly contagious and has been described as "Covid-19 on steroids." Meanwhile, the vaccine-resistant variants known as "Alpha" and "Beta" have been spreading in Europe and the United States. Alpha is now the predominant strain in the US, having increased from 12% of cases to 37% of cases in the last 4 weeks. With variants a growing threat, it's possible that some traders are hedging against a "reclosing" economy, or at least the possibility that consumers might travel less. Another noteworthy shift: bonds over financials Also note that financials have broken their relative uptrend, with a big drop today: The selloff in financials was a reaction to the upward breakout in bonds: It appears that we're headed into a new cycle of monetary stimulus and low interest rates, which means lower yields for banks. Oddly, the US dollar also broke out upward today. I'm unsure what that's about, or how it fits in with the price action in bonds. Normally higher bonds and higher inflation would be bearish for the dollar. What's threatened: aerospace, energy, and transportation The aerospace, energy, and transportation sectors are so far still in an uptrend, although all three exhibited some weakness today. You'd think that aerospace would fall along with airlines, but remember that the aerospace sector also includes defense, and we are increasingly under threat from China. The transportation sector includes passenger travel like airlines, but it also includes shipping companies like UPS and FedEx. So ecommerce strength may offer some support, but this could still fall out of its uptrend soon. The energy sector trades somewhat in sympathy with transportation, so transportation weakness could bode ill for energy. Energy is also inversely correlated with the US dollar, so today's upward dollar breakout could cause pain for energy. However, this sector is currently being supported by oil shortages and hype around the possibility that oil will reach $100/barrel. Keep an eye on defensives, real estate, and biotech Investors seem to be getting more and more defensive. That includes taking refuge in large, high-quality names. Large caps underperformed early this year, but that has changed in June, with the cap-weighted S&P 500 having broken its downtrend relative to the equal-weighted index: It also looks like several defensive sectors are basing relative to the index. The relatively undervalued communications sector may benefit from the bipartisan infrastructure bill that's now near to passing in the Senate: We're also seeing consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare find some support, though no big upward breakouts yet: Surprisingly, real estate and biotech are also both seeing bullish movement relative to the S&P 500, so these are sectors to watch. Both are relatively undervalued due to having underperformed for a long time:

HOL Space is showing to be more than the final frontier. That much was evident in January’s news that exchange-traded fund (ETF) mega-manager Ark Invest plans to add a Space Exploration ETF to its offerings. That sent up shares of Virgin Galactic (NYSE:SPCE) and Maxar Technologies (NYSE:MAXR), which is also working with NASA on the new lunar Gateway spacecraft. Cathie Wood, who runs the fund, is betting big on space exploration. Investors want HOL to ride that Ark-fueled wave

Consumer staples are the best of all possible worlds right now So we've got macroeconomic forces pulling in a couple different directions right now. One the one hand, the Fed is talking about pumping trillions of dollars more liquidity into the market, which should further inflate equity prices. On the other hand, with coronavirus cases continuing to rocket, we're starting to see economic data fall off a cliff. Consumer staples and metals are the natural havens. Today, the University of Michigan measure of US consumer sentiment for July came in at 73.2 versus the consensus expectation of 79. This was the largest negative surprise on record, and it's going to have a big negative effect on the consumer discretionary sector. And what's bad for retail is also bad for banks, as CMBS delinquency reached 10.32%. We also got a large negative surprise on housing starts today, up only 2.1% vs. the 4.9% consensus expectation. Home building has been the one bright spot in the economy as Americans flee the cities for the suburbs, so this is a concerning deterioration in that market. The ECRI leading index has been flattening, and mobility is falling as scared consumers remain at home even in states that haven't reclosed. California's reclosure this week was a huge deal, since the state accounts for nearly 15% of US GDP. Consumer confidence chart: twitter.com Mobility chart: www.dallasfed.org Meanwhile, the Fed's balance sheet grew this week for the first time in four weeks, which means that liquidity-- and the accompanying asset price inflation-- is on the upswing again. Congress is actively working on as much as $3.5 trillion in new stimulus, and Lael Brainard of the Federal Reserve is signaling that the Fed may get more aggressive about trying to hit its 2% inflation target, even to the point of "overshooting" that target to make up for years of weak inflation. (Current CPI is about 1.2%.) See Brainard's remarks here: www.federalreserve.gov With economic data starting to sour, I don't really want to be in equities. But with more liquidity coming, I don't really want to be out of equities, either. My solution is to hide out in metals and consumer staples. A fall-off in mobility will be bad for nearly every sector of the economy, but it should be bullish for consumer staples and grocery store stocks, some of which report earnings in the next few weeks. That makes the consumer staples sector a natural safe haven as California recloses and frightened consumers stay home. Consumer staples also pay dividends, and they're a little more reasonably valued than technology, which is the other sector that might conceivably benefit from reclosing. As you can see on the chart, staples recently made a bullish trend line break (which I alerted before it happened), and they have continued to strengthen since.