FTM AnalyzeHi friends.
AN ABC correction will compelete in 38.2% retracement.
divergence between Rsi and price is clear (like i show it).
also momentum is in oversold area.
we see an volume profit support in 0.37$
and a volume profit resistance in 0.7$.
Good luck Friends.
(this isnt trade advise)
Momentum Oscillators
BTCUSD short term bounce from supply zoneThere are many wicks on top of the candles on the 15 minute BTCUSDT chart. Honey Cypher momentum is to the downside. The light blue Vwap is starting to slope down. Looking at the honey wave structure we can see that the previous uptrend was long lasting so the chance of the coming downtrend to have this long lasting slow drop is quite likely to me.
AAVE to $250 🤑Hey Traders,
As you can see on the Daily Candles of Aave (AAVE), the price action has formed a beautiful falling wedge (lower lows and lower highs.) The price target out of this would be 70-80% ($250). Additionally, there is a massive bullish divergence! Get ready...
Safe Trading
-Pulkanator
Chainlink will moon in April! 🚀Hey Traders,
As you can see on the daily candles of Chainlink ($LINK), the price action has formed lower highs and lower lows symptom of a falling wedge pattern. The Fibonacci retracement level (.618) also has the same price level as the falling wedge breakout. The price target out of this pattern is $22 (+58%). Meanwhile, the Momentum Oscillator (RSI) is forming a BEAUTIFUL bullish divergence! A long position of 2-3x would be guaranteed 2x gains!
Safe trading,
-Pulkanator
VET/USDVeChain Update
VeChain had broke out of its previous Falling Wedge Pattern but is still in a downwards channel.
VeChain failed 4x to close above its sideways Pitchfork Median Line (A,B,C).
VeChain has closed below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that a close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal.
At the moment, VeChain has found support from its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. A close below the BB Basis and re-test as resistance will be further confirmation of continued downwards momentum on this 1 day timeframe.
Note that VeChain is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 10x daily candles that i have selected.
Note that VeChain is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) fro this charts visible range.
Volume is still low on this Binance chart and the last 4x daily Volume Bars have closed below its Volume 20 Period MA.
I have added some areas of potential support as highlighted by the horizontal Black Lines with Yellow Shading.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has overtaken Positive Momentum on this 1 day timeframe because the -DI (Red Line) has crossed back above the +DI (Green Line). The -DI (Red Line) has risen to 22.81 and the +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 18.72. The trend strength is weakening with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 24.14 an it is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 28.46 and is a further sign of weakening trend strength.
Looking at the Elders Force Index (EFI) we can see that the bulls have lost a lot of strength but is sideways at the moment, note that the EFI Line (Red Line) is still above the 0 Base Line. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) has dropped below its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) which is a further sign of weakening bull strength. If the EFI (Red Line) crosses below the 0 Base Line then that means that the Bears have taken full control on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at the STOCHASIC indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment and note that the %K Line (Blue Line) is still below its %D Line (Orange Line). Note that the %K Line (Blue Line) is indicating that VeChain still has room to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1d timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is point downwards and is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. The MACD Line (Blue LIne) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) so we need to keep an eye on this as if the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back below the Signal Line (Orange Line), as this will be a sell signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe.
There are a few things to look out for if you are uncertain if or when to go long, be on the lookout for a successful daily close above the LSMA, the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and The Pitchfork Median Line as well as keeping an eye out for any successful retest of those levels as support. With any rise, you need to also keep an eye on the volume as ideally you want any sustainable rise to be supported by increasing volume strength. Also be on the lookout for if/when VeChain crosses back above the upper descending trend-line of the descending channel as well as any successful retest of that previous resistance as support.
So at the moment, it looks like there will be some really good opportunities coming up to acquire more VeChain or your crypto of choice at a much cheaper price.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC/USD updateLet’s have a look at BTC/USD using as many indicators as i can. The purpose of my post as always is not price predication but more education on what these various indicators and squiggly lines are indicating.
As you can see on this Bitstamp 1d chart, BTC is in a Descending Triangle Pattern ‘potentially a Bearish Continuation’ as well as a Falling Wedge Pattern ‘potentially a Bullish Reversal’ on this 1d timeframe.
If we look at the Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C) we can see that BTC is still below the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. BTC is still above its Lower Yellow Schiff Pitchfork Support Line, a close below this level will possibly result in BTC revisiting its previous low of around $39,580, a close below that will take BTC down to its 50% Trend-Based Fib Extension level at around $38,536.
At the moment BTC is fighting to get back above its 38.2% Trend-Based Fib Extension Level.
BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that the Middle, Upper and Lower Bands are all sloping downwards and we have slight expansion of the Lower Band.
BTC is getting really close to to testing its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) as support on this 1d timeframe. If BTC closes a daily candle below the LSMA then that is potentially a sell signal.
Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid Point of the Short-Term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid Point of the Mid-Term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that the momentum at the moment is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 30 Periods ago, this is not good a good sign.
BTC is still well within the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud, note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) resistance level is pointing downwards further confirming nagative momentum. We should expect even more of a drop if the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) starts to point downwards in parallel with the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A).
Let’s take a look at 4 different Momentum Indicators and see what each are telling us on this 1d timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is pointing slightly downwards at the moment indicating slight Negative Momentum. The MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but it is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and note that the Green Histograms are getting lighter and decreasing in size. If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a sell signal on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 18th Nov 2021.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum is still strong with the -DI (Red Line) at 27.83 and it is still above its +DI (Green Line) which has dropped to 12.05. Note that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 36.88 and it is still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 36.55. Note that the +DI (Green Line) has not been above the -DI (Red Line) since 15th Nov 2021.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that accumulation has actually increased with the CMF (Green Line) rising up from -0.24 on the 5h Jan to 0.01 just above the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still above its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) indicating accumulation strength on this 1d timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has popped out of the Negative Zone at the moment, note that the CMF has not closed in the Accumulation Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 24th Dec 2021. Look for a successful daily close above the 0.0 Base Line
If we look at the Elder Force Index (EFI) we can clearly see that the Bears are still in control because the EFI Line (Red Line) is still under the 0 Base Line indicating a Negative Elder Force. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) is also starting to point downwards. If the EFI Line (Red Line) crosses back below its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) then that may see continued and faster negative momentum for BTC on this 1d timeframe. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) has not produced a strong Positive Elder Force signal since 15th Nov 2021.
Here is a closer look at this Bitstamp 1d BTC chart:
So what does all this tell me for the medium to longterm, it tells me that for the medium to longterm unless BTC starts CLOSING daily candles ABOVE key levels like the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line on this 1d timeframe then we will see continued downwards momentum at worst or sideways momentum within a range at best. The LSMA is a key indicator to watch on this 1d timeframe, just trace back on the chart to see what may happen when the price successfully closes ABOVE or BELOW the LSMA indicator.
I hope this post helpful with your understanding of what the above indictors are indicating and i hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
New ADX DI indicator in actionNew ADX DI indicator on top with signals filtered using two baseline filters. Adding a Zero-Lag WAE and then trend following algo in the very bottom indicator we end up with 80% win rate on regular shorts and longs on BTC over the las 6+ months. This is only a quick sanity check to see where the indicator excels and its great for adding confluence to an already robust trend/momentum trading system.
VECHAIN soon to breakout for May 202121 EMA is awake now since it has been dead for 2 weeks.
Money flow keep coming out, making selling power stronger than buying power. However, price action is still increasing. Looks like big whales are slowly selling their shares at a rate that small fishes barely matching up to it.
Surprisingly, momentum wave is still not crossing down.
Momentum wave keeps crossing up to 0-100, instead of crossing down to 0 - (-100) for good buy entry.
Basic bullish pennant triangle spotted, price entry from ATH and most recent low are used as reference points.
Fibbonachi retracements. Price entry between 0.2 to 0.3 fib retracement levels.
Price Entry Long: 0.20669
Profit Target 1: 0.22075
Profit Target 2: 0.26257
Profit Target 3: 0.27663
Stop Loss 1: 0.19263
Stop Loss 2: 0.24851
BY this week (3rd - 10 th May 2021), we will see a breakout.
Unity's Squeeze-Price Inflection oscillation tied to EarningsPremise:
Convergence probably occurred before initial jump to ATH (not drawn)
2nd convergence noticeably begins around the time Momentum Squeeze kicks in for the buildup to Q4 earnings report.
Momentum at breakout was BEARISH, despite P/L changing in the positive direction (earnings much closer to estimate than in Q3)
If this performance holds up, Unity's stock should be competitive against established entities (see background: 700 and ATVI) in the gaming market which looks poised to resume an upward trend.
One Possible Scenario:
The last 2 weeks in March are showing the beginning of a 3rd convergence; will keep updating to see if this pattern holds up.
A new Squeeze indicator along with past experience suggests it will, crucially timed to the earnings release on May 6th.
The sine wave shown here in purple is not meant as a trendline projecting the stock's price level at some point in the future but is simply an extrapolation of past inflection points to identify at what point along the new growth curve the stock will be if and when Momentum breaks decisively in the positive direction.
My conclusion is that Unity will probably continue trading in its current range for some time, possibly even taking another downward turn this month as public sentiment on the stock has been increasingly bearish as its clear it isn't poised to rocket back to 150.
That would be the time to buy and hold, if the enthusiasm for Unity among developers is to be taken seriously, or at the very least, place your May-21 calls.
PLTR- More than just data analytics companyPLTR's narrative and story align well with the overarching theme and development of big data, AI, deep analytics and cybersecurity.
Yes, it is a story-driven stock and it is clearly overvalued. However, I'm betting on its long-term potential and am willing to take a risk by market buy 1/2 of the positional size and put in the rest on the retracement as I think the short-term bottom is already in.
Stop loss placed below $20
DYOR. Not the investment advice.
BTC Monthly, uncharted waters Trying to time corn again out of indicators, and historic patterns, sounds a bit silly at this tie, but as the title says, uncharted waters.
On a Connors RSI every period spent on the overbought zones ended with a touch back at the 7 SMA. I noticed a pattern of 3 periods with different lengths where this happened. If the pattern is to repeat it self this should drag on for through Feb, due to the DMIADX indicator has just signalized the uptrend movement, and in march we get that touch back on SMA, really difficult to set a price target but those touches are around 30~50% retraces. We could still see a touch there by late this month or Jan. In any case, just a thought for longer term, trying to time the next big moves.
Not financial advice.
OMG- Semi-bullish zoneI expect near-term consolidation as there are some short-term resistance lvls that need to be cleared. Looking for momentum and volatility to pick up soon.
Steady uptrend and the cluster of technical supports below current price lvl indicate that OMG is one breakout away from turning fully bullish.
If BTC retraces again, it will be a perfect opportunity to accumulate some OMGS. Scale in slowly if you intend to market buy.
Just my two cents. Not investment advice.
AUD vs. SGD to see further gains ahead (mid-term trend).
Pseudo inverse head in shoulder (re-accumulation like pattern).
AUD has broken out above the top descending trendline.
Buy signal already triggered.
Significant move higher if price manages to break above the 38.2% Fib level and retests it and successfully holds.
Measured move target to 0.084 SGD, which sets a higher high, establishing a longer-term bullish structure.
PRISM Analysis
Snap bend up sharply, which is presently pulling the AJ-ribbon (Acceneration and Jerk) higher with the lime-green Jerk oscillator leading the move (i.e. bullish). Expect momentum to see serious gains ahead.
Daily chart shows that AUD vs. SGD continues to be held up above the red 21 EMA level. Bearish if this breaks and it falls below the green 50 SMA level.
PRISM higher-differential-order oscillators looks like they are ready to curve upwards as well.
Weekly Chart
This is a continued shared/published analysis from:
fibonacci retracementprice has tested the neckline twice at .50 retracement and rejected,
by the way momentum osc. has broken his trend,
so I'm thinking about to sell with conformation of the price action
BTC vs. USD confirmed support above long-term trendline.BTC retested the white long-term trendline and confirmed support, which is a very bullish sign.
Note that the daily TD-seq is approaching a 9 though. Expecting a short term (probably minor) reversal to retest the 10429 USD VPVR line.
Green Ichicloud supporting "cushion" ascending higher and appears to be in the process of broadening.
PRISM had registered a bullish reveral as well, and the acceleration/jerk (AJ) ribbon is now curving upwards.
Looking at the 3 hourly:
Price will need to break up above the thick orange 200 SMA to confirm bullishness.
Green Ichicloud have recently formed.
AJ-Ribbon looks like it is in the process of curving upwards (awaiting confirmation -- i.e. when the thick-lime snap-oscillator crosses above the thin-red acceleration-oscillator)
Previous long-term measured move target:
BNB needs to retest 21 EMA (hourly chart analysis)BNB had seen a pump after a short period of re-accumulation -- where the green w-like pattering is marked (bought earlier at breakout back over the red 21 EMA).
Cyber Ensemble SELL signal has now been triggered.
PRISM oscillators looking bearish in the short term as well -- overbought (red background), and with the AJ-Ribbon falling with widening gab between the limegreen jerk-line below from the red-acceleration-line above, pulling momentum down. The middle Snap-like had already plunged negative.
BNB will need to drop at least to the 38.2% Fib level, where the red 21 EMA is at. This is also roughly where the previous local high was at as well as where the green Ichicloud is approaching.
If the 21 EMA fails to hold, expect to drop down to 61.8% Fib level where the green 50 SMA is also at.
Bearish if 50 SMA fails to hold and bearish target is at thick orange 200 SMA line.
BTCUSD Outlook -- Bearish Slant on the short-to-mid-term
Orange 200 SMA sloping negative.
Thick bearish Ichicloud.
Appears to be rejected by 10429 USD VPVR level.
Bullish slant if red 21 EMA continues to hold it up.
TD approaching a 9, another bearish sign (flipping between a green 9 and a red 1 during posting) .
Continue to be supported above the white long-term trendline. Will be really bad for the bulls if the price even goes below this line.
Blue VPVR support line at 9621 USD just under the white long-term trendline though, and strong purple VPVR support at 8732 USD.
Bullish with opportunity to retest the 11141 VPVR level, if it can close above the 10666 USD base of the daily Ichicloud.
PRISM
Stochs of pRSI indicates overbought. AJ-Ribbon relatively sideways with a bearish slant atm.
RSI/Stochs
Classical Stochs(RSI) coming down.
Daily Chart View
FUSIONGAPS V4 {50/15} series
Not good for the bulls.
However, looks like Altcoins (collectively) vs. BTC still have some steam.
bullish hidden divergence with pin bar confirmationbullish hidden divergence with pin bar confirmation indicates the continuation of the big uptrend on the daily time frame
please do your own analysis before trading this is an educational idea
KUSAMA (KSM:BTC) broke back up above 200 SMA on the 30 mins ...KUSAMA (KSM:BTC) broke back up above 200 SMA on the 30 mins after period of continued rejection..
Kusama was originally planned as a testnet for Polkadot, but from what I am hearing so far, it could become its own independent chain in its own right (at the same time as functioning as a test net for Polkadot too) -- where certain projects (that were not successful with securing a Polkadot slot) will instead run exclusively on the Kusama platform rather than migrating onto the Polkadot network.
(Correct me if I am wrong on the fundamentals side of things, I'm focused mainly on TA). :)
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TA
KSM now supported above orange 200 SMA on the 30mins
Need to wait to see if it will continue sideways, continuing to be supported above the 200 SMA, to eventually turn the bearish Ichicloud bullish again, before a recovery can be expected.
Bullish wicks and 21EMA/50SMA bullish cross registered (circled in main chart) on the 30 mins.
PRISM Oscillators Analysis
Hidden Bullish Divergence adhered.
Transparent blue Volume falling off significantly as price increase though.
Acceleration heading up, pulling up Momentum
Still waiting patiently for confirmation for a suitable entry as a long-term investment, with a couple of small stop-limit buys modulated by a combination of Cyber Ensemble and PRISM Oscillators Set, and Ichicloud state, set for now.
BTCUSD - More downside in the short-term (30mins chart analysis)More downside to come for BTC in the short-term. Perhaps relative sideways.
BTC remains below thick orange 200 SMA, and continue to be rejected by the green 50 SMA.
50/200 SMA deathcross registered not too long ago.
Rejected by bearish Ichicloud that appears to still be thickening.
For the bulls, will need to wait for:
For price to first head back above the 200 SMA to advert 50/200 SMA deathcross (DX) on the higher timeframe.
Ichicloud to turn positive again on the higher time frames.
Watching how the weekly candle closes too vs. the trendlines.
PRISM Oscillators Analysis.
Stochs in a downward corrective trajectory..
Negative Snap-Oscillator, which is still heading downwards.
Momentum is accelerating downwards (AJ-ribbon heading sharply down), pulled lower by negative snap-oscillator.
See also my long-term analysis/target:
Zooming Out: BTC is still looking pretty bullish..
Will be healthier if Stoch resets downwards a little, either correction by price or through time (i.e. painfully going sideways, liquidating longs and shorts along the way, over a longer period of time before continuation)..
More upside potential for AUD vs. SGDBullish w-like re-accumulation patterns..
PRISM Oscillators Analysis
Stoch-of-pRSI in Oversold state atm
Snap-Oscillator pierced into the positive and heading higher.
AJ-ribbon (acceleration/jerk) heading up (in response to the positive Snap-osc), which in turn is pulling the momentum up..
Continuation from my previous analysis awhile back:
AMPL:BTC long opportunity at 78.6% Fib retracement level.@ 78.6% Fib retracement (~0.000179 BTC)
Green IchiCloud forming.
Higher low set.
Inverse head and shoulder formation emerging again (clearer on the 5min chart).
Have the sell pressure ended?
Buy on confirmation: When AMPL goes above green 50 SMA and holds.
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PRISM Oscillators Set (Momentum/Acceleration Analysis)
pRSI STOCHS in an oversold state (green background)
pRSI entering Bullish phase again, piercing above its 30 VWMA; supported by hidden bullish divergence.
Snap-Osc (yellow) in the positive, pulling AJ-ribbon upwell into the positive, which in turn have pulled the momentum oscillator up back into the positive again.
Looking at the hourly chart:
Looking at the 3 hourly chart:
Bullish perspective of BTCUSD (Daily Chart)Main Chart
BTC need to close above this updated dotted yellow trendline to confirm a long.
Long-term Resistance (solid white line) up just above ~10000 USD.
Lossa bullish W-ing like accumulation patterns.
PRISM Oscillator Set
Stochs presently oversold (Green Background)
Red pRSI (Main-Oscillator) resting back to the baseline.
Acceleration/Jerk Ribbon creeping sideways in the positive.
For Altcoins vs. BTC analysis, see:
