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Mpmaterials

Can Strategic Minerals Transform National Security?MP Materials has experienced a significant market revaluation, with its stock surging over 50% following a pivotal public-private partnership with the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). This multi-billion-dollar agreement, which includes a $400 million equity investment, substantial additional funding, and a $150 million loan, aims to rapidly establish a robust, end-to-end U.S. rare earth magnet supply chain. This strategic collaboration is designed to curtail the nation's reliance on foreign sources for these critical materials, which are indispensable for advanced technology systems across both defense and commercial applications, from F-35 fighter jets to electric vehicles. The partnership underscores a profound geopolitical imperative: countering China's near-monopoly over the global rare earth supply chain. China dominates rare earth mining, refining, and magnet production, a leverage it has demonstrably used through export restrictions amidst escalating trade tensions with the U.S. These actions highlighted acute U.S. vulnerabilities and the imperative for domestic independence, propelling the DoD's "mine to magnet" strategy aimed at achieving self-sufficiency by 2027. The DoD's substantial investment and its new position as MP Materials' largest shareholder signal a decisive shift in U.S. industrial policy, directly challenging China's influence and asserting economic sovereignty in a vital sector. Central to the deal's financial attractiveness and long-term stability is a 10-year price floor of $110 per kilogram for key rare earths, significantly higher than historical averages. This guarantee not only ensures MP Materials' profitability, even against potential market manipulation, but also de-risks its ambitious expansion plans, including new magnet manufacturing facilities expected to produce 10,000 metric tons annually. This comprehensive financial and demand certainty transforms MP Materials from a commodity producer vulnerable to market whims into a strategic national asset, attracting further private investment and setting a powerful precedent for securing other critical mineral supply chains in the Western Hemisphere.
NYSE:MPLong
by UDIS_View
MP Materials Strong as Expected$MP made a new ATH just recently as I was/am expecting this stock to go far, however, the wave count and the indicators show that the price acceleration has taken the stock to the overvalued zone. The price can still go up if momentum traders pick up the stock and push it more towards the sky, however for long term investors the valuation is becoming rich for what it is today and I think it is time to trim a bit to lock in some profit or start to sell covered calls
NYSE:MPLong
by IboProtrader
MP Material one of the best SPACs$MP has been, for sure, one of the best SPACs when it comes to performance. SPACs got hammered multiple times. Barely did some of the known ones hold the $10 ground and some of them now are traded in $2-$3 range per share if now lower. I had a very high conviction on $MP from its DA announcement and I am holding it from before the merger. Today, I see more strength given the fact that they have a good moat when it comes to rare earth material. After China, they are the biggest one in the world and practically the only one in the US. Electrification is becoming more strategic and there have been rumors that China has threatened American companies on cutting off the supply of the rare earth. This is a very strong position for $MP. Their gross margin is not like a mining or material company, but like a tech company. This year they are projected to have an 82.10% gross margin on 446M revenue. The projection of the revenue for 2021 is 319.30M (137.7% growth compared to 2020). In 2022 the revenue growth rate is estimated to be around 40%. EV/GP (Enterprise Value/Gross Profit) for 2022 is 15.1 and EV/GP/Growth for the same year is 38.1. It shows the price of the stock is fair. Considering the growth, the price could go lower in a short term to offer a nice opportunity to buy or add. As it can be seen on the chart after the short report released on the 3rd Feb, the price recovered relatively and today it experienced nearly 8% hike so far. This shows the interest in $MP is high. If we can get a 20% discount from these levels to around 30s before the 24th Feb (2021 Q4 earning release) I believe it is a good level to start collecting or adding. This is not financial advice. DYODD
NYSE:MPLong
by IboProtrader
MP (1D) - Midterm correction to continue ? Hi Traders, I had Long position in MP Materials, because I realy like their business model and really think that in long term US government should and will be supporting companies which provide Rare materials for EV/Battery/drones/... and related sectors. Regardles, the Fundamental Analysis.... Technical Analysis cannot be ignored. You can se alredy formed 1:1: Extension with overlaping of something what could be marked as abc uptrend correction of drop. Im alredy OUT of position with some profit. Its too risky for my RRR ... and will wait for another crash. Everything important is in the chart. As usually, I will notify you with my EW count of subwaves. In case that marked resistance zone around 46 USD will be broken upwards. than we should wait for retracement and confirmation of that area as a support (hence there will be chance to open long position). Trade safe and enjoy the game ;)
NYSE:MPShort
by Longevity_Contrarian
7
QE2 results a catalyst to higher pricesMP has been doing well in the past weeks while the small-cap stocks market notably SPACs were beaten down to disappointing prices. Now that there is less than a week to the QE2 results the price is at a pivotal level. There are resistance levels around $39 and $41, which can be broken if $MP reports impressive results as they have done it after their SPAC merger in 2020. Chamath Palihapitiya was the PIPE investor of this stock and it seems it is one of his best so far. The other ones such as $OPEN $CLOV are not doing well. Even, $SOFI did not have a good performance as many of its holders expected. A market rotation to small/medium cap stocks can send many of these stocks to the sky again, but that is a big question for right now as the mega-cap stocks are the safe haven for the big dogs.
NYSE:MPLong
by IboProtrader
New position, MP materials LONG!After due diligence, I really like this company and it' future expansion plans and current execution. My PT is 45-47 so there is a lot of potential with this one. Hoping for more short term weakness to build a position (I am not expecting all my buy limits to get it, but if they do, even better. After position has been built, I'll let them roll until PT is hit. What do you guys think of MP materials? Seeing it from a risk-reward perspective for the long-term I am really liking this company!
NYSE:MPLong
by Fed02