USDCHF: Pullback From Resistance 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF is going to retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance cluster.
As a confirmation, I spotted a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising
wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
We see its retest now.
Goal - 0.815
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
BTCUSDT. Initiative Analysis Market OverviewHey traders and investors!
📍 Context
On the daily and 4H timeframes, the market is in a sideways range (Black lines = range boundaries).
Buyer initiative is active on 4H. The target initiative is 108,952.
However, on the daily timeframe, the seller initiative is in control, and a seller zone has formed. The seller zone is the red rectangle on the chart.
📊 Key actions
The buyer attempted to break out of the range on the daily timeframe twice, but both times the seller pushed the price back inside.
The price is currently interacting with the seller zone. Watching for the reaction.
🎯 Trade Idea
🔸 Long positions — with caution. Only valid if the price holds above 105,336, aiming for the target at 108,952.
🔸 Until that happens, the priority is on further downside, in line with the current seller initiative on the daily. It’s reasonable to look for short setups if the seller defends 105,336.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
USDCAD POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITY...HISTORY REPEATS ITSELFHey hey TradingView fam! It has been a minute (more like months lol) since I've done a post on here for you guys so just wanted to come on and drop an potential swing trade opportunity I see on the USDCAD currency pair! So let's get straight to it
OK so it is pretty straight forward (at least in my eyes) but as you can see on the chart USDCAD is coming into a weekly demand zone. IF you are unfamiliar with what a "demand zone" is it is actually very simple. Think of it this way...a buyer zone/area. Literally simple as that. It is a previous zone that a buyer was interested in before. How do we know that? One of the most incredible thing about the charts is that it is like a receipt. It shows the transactions that have taken place.
SO...when we look left back @ the 1.3600 price handle we can see that there was aggressive buying that took place here. How do we know? THE CHART LITERALLY ROSE/SKYROCKETED FROM THIS LEVEL. Ever heard of the phrase history repeats itself? It is ESPECIALLY true in the markets!
OK so hopefully you guys got some nuggets from this post was more of a psychological breakdown than anything but truly want to help those of you who may see the charts as this complicated phenomena to realize that it is actually so so simple. And my main goal is to make trading simple again.
Love & appreciate you all! Thanks for tuning in! If you found some value in this please boost this post & follow my page for accurate analysis and simple trading! Cheers!
GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold.
We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF.
We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower.
This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe.
ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.59500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.48
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPUSD - Next point of interestAfternoon All,
So our GBPUSD trade from earlier didn't quite go to plan however I knew full well that we were building liquidity to the left on the higher timeframe.
This will be my next point of interest for a potential long.
Lets see how price plays out when we get down there.
GBPUSD - LongUnfortunately I can't post the idea on the 5min to give you a better idea of where we are at in terms of the entry for this.
However I am looking to be tagged into this trade and have a limit order where I have set it.
Hoping to be tagged in. If we aren't we move on. and if we lose we move on.
If im able to help with any questions you may have do send them my way
XAU/USD 17 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Long term trendThe long term trend line is long and strong with this one. We’re a good ways off of it though, so a mellowing while the Stochastic RSI resets could result in doubt that equates to a slight pullback. The trend line should provide ample support, due to the aforementioned length and strength, so new highs should be in order by the end of the month. 🎢
XAU / USD ANALYSIS [Bullish Bias]Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3375 - 3370
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # VeloraFXReal
AUD/JPY Bulls Eye 95+ After Bullish ReversalAUD/JPY bounced sharply on Thursday, snapping a 3-day losing streak with a solid bullish-range session. The rally kicked off from a bullish pinbar above 92, where the higher low reinforces support and the broader bullish case.
The 1-hour chart shows a clean breakout from an inverted head and shoulders pattern, pointing to a target around 95.50. With resistance at the April high (95.30), March high (95.75), and the 96 handle, there’s still room for bulls to run.
Dips toward 94 may offer opportunities to join the trend — but a break back below the neckline would shift the tone back to risk-off.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long trade
🟢 GBPUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.35864
Take Profit: 1.36168 (+0.22%)
Stop Loss: 1.35664 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.5
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This GBPUSD buyside trade was structured around an early London session setup, targeting a short-term liquidity gap above. Price had formed a bullish 1Hr structure, establishing a higher low.
Long trade
🟢 EURUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.15748
Take Profit: 1.16144 (+0.34%)
Stop Loss: 1.15581 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.29
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This buyside trade was executed after price swept the sell-side high from Monday, 21st April 2025, triggering liquidity above the previous swing, and then sharply rejecting back into structure. The reaction occurred above a 1Hr Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicative of a directional bias.